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Show England Awakens Late to Crushing Defeat of Russ, Says Ambassador Gerard Points Out in Diary Balkan Triumph as One of Most Effective Bits of German Diplomacy in History. "Face to Face With Kaiserism" By JAMES W. GERARD, American Ambassador at the German Imperial Court, July 23, 1913, to February 4, 1917. Author of "My Four Years in Germany.''' Copyright, 191S, by Public Ledger Company. Copyright Canada, 191S, by Public Ledger Company. CHAPTER VII. August, 1915 (Continued) An Unpublished Unpub-lished Diary. THE defeat ot the Russians is undoubtedly crushing. England En-gland is waking up too late. There will be a big offensive soon against the west lines. I have heard nothing up to today from the state department re the Arabic, except one cable asking me to request a report. A correspondent has just been in and says that the general staff people peo-ple threaten to expel him because he went to Copenhagen and sent out news about the petition to the chancellor chan-cellor not to annex Belgium. The foreign office had no objection; this shows how the line is forming between the chancellor and the military. mili-tary. All correspondents today say the Germans are trying to dragoon them into sending only news which the general staff wants sent, and the military have added their censorship censor-ship to that of the foreign office. An official told me that Bernstorff, while not exactly exceeding his instructions in-structions in his "Arabic note" (of September 1, 1915), had put the matter mat-ter In a manner they did not approve. ap-prove. Orders have now, apparently, been given to all German officials to say . that the war will last a long time at least a year and a half. It is expected that Persia wlU come in under German leadership and attack at-tack India. , Our military attache, Colonel Kuhn, was finally presented to the kaiser and had a pleasant chat with him. Colonel Kuhn says all fighting on west is with artillery and hand grenades. Rifles are thrown aside. Germans have spies "piking off" our embassies in Paris, London and Petrograd. Inside of German Diplomacy. Great airship attacks on London may be expected. In one of the recent re-cent attacks 9800 bombs (fire and explosive) were dropped. I get this frCjin good authority. Foreign office quite elated over their Balkan triumph. Personally, I think it was one of the most effec- Mr. Gerard's second"book, written since his departure from Berlin upon the severing of diplomatic relations with imperial Germany, has fceen secured se-cured by the Public Ledger for exclusive ex-clusive newspaper publication in the United States and Canada. It will appear simultaneously in daily installments in-stallments in this and other newspapers news-papers licensed by the Public Ledger. Any infringement of the Public Ledger's copyright will - be prosecuted. prose-cuted. 1 tive bits of German "diplomacy" in the history of tho empire. October, 1915. There is a tendency here to say Bernstorff went too far. But this is all for the public, Von Jagow told a correspondent so today; to-day; but, of course, he did not know about the note of Austria to Serbia, either! The marine people are positively posi-tively raging. The paper which Reventlow writes for, the Tages Zeitung, was suppressed yesterday; I hear on account of an article on this Arabic settlement, but I am not yet sure. There is talk now of marching to Egypt. More and more men are being called to the colors. But Germany seems to be able to take care of all fronts. ' The emperor is now in the west. The foreign office leads the rejoicing over the entente's invasion of Greece and the violation of its neutrality neu-trality and says that talkabout Belgium Bel-gium is now shown to be cant. ' "Weather is rotten and we shall have a melancholy winter. . Feel the war more deaths and prices. Six hundred and eighty thousand killed to October 1, and many crippled. Food way up, but they cannot starve Germany out. Suppression of the Tages Zeitung means that the chancellor has at last exhibited some backbone and will fight Von Tfrpitz. The answer of Germany depends on the outcome of this fight. It is possible that Von Falkenhayn and the army party may sustain the chancellor as against Von (Continued on Page Two.) LITE 1HG TO RUSS DEFEAT (Continued from Page One.) Tirpitz. It is quite likely that a sort of safe-conduct will be offered in the note for ships especially engaged in passenger trad.e. Much stress will be laid on English orders to merchant ships to ram submarines. The kaiser Is at Pless, a castle of Prince of Pless, in Silesia, near Bres-lau, Bres-lau, where he moved after the attempt at-tempt of French fliers to bombard him at Charleville, on the west front. The Germans probably will have Lemberg in a few days. This may prevent pre-vent Rumania coming in. There is talk here of an attempted revolution in Moscow. Mos-cow. There is said to be jealousy of Hindenburg, and on account of this Mackensen was put forward to be the hero of the Galician campaign. Captain Enochs, one of our observers in Austria, Aus-tria, was forced out of Austria because of German pressure and our other military mili-tary observers will follow soon. Many commercial magnates have arrived ar-rived in town to argue with the government govern-ment against war with America; but some are in favor of the continuance of bitter submarine war, notably one who sees his Bagdad railway menaced by possible pos-sible English success hi the Dardanelles. November, lit 1 5. A man who saw Tisza tells me the Serbs inquired If they could get peace and retain their territories. terri-tories. They were answered, "Xo." It is said that Italy has also felt out for peace, but was answered that sue must deal with Austria alone and Austria Aus-tria says that she will not include Italy in any general peace, but will wallop her alone after general peace is made. I am working hard to get Brit'sh prisoners pris-oners properly clothed. Winter is already here. Efforts to starve Germany will not succeed. We shall be on meit and butter but-ter cards, but that ia only a precaution. The people still are well in hand. Constant Con-stant ru:no"s of peace keep them hopeful. hope-ful. Men over 45 not yet called. They seem to have plenty of troops. The military mili-tary are careless of the public opinion of neutrals; they say tliey are winning and do not need good opinion. I am really afraid of war against us ifter this war if Germany vin3. We had snow, ice and cold weather at the end of October. Octo-ber. The7-? have been uneasy movements among the peopie in Leipzig, r-. great industrial in-dustrial center, and the Voiks Zeitung. a Socialist paper there, as been put under perr.-i' nent preventive censorship. All these movements start with the question of the price of food. The Prussian junkers, however, are really benefited by the war. They get, even with a high '"stop price," three times as much as formely for their agricultural agri-cultural products and pay only a small sum, 60 pfennig daily, for the prisoners of war, who now work their fields. They may. in addition, have to pay the keep of the prisoners, but that is very small. Camp commanders are allowed 66 pfennig pfen-nig t er head per diem. There is much talk of peace. The shares of the Hamburg-American JAne and the shares of the Hamburg-South American Line have risen enormously in price, from 5$ to 140 in one case. This may be caused by an advantageous sale of some shares of the Holland-America lane or by promise of a subsidy or by hopes of peace. There is no question that every man tinder 4T that can drag a rifle has been drafted for the army, with the possible exception of nien working in railways, munitions, eic. Yesterday I noticed many women working on the roadbed of the railway. The new Peruvian minister is named Vnn rlcr T IpmIp Ms fiirhAr w-u c f.or. ma n. The Greek minister still thinks Greece will stay out of the war. His father is one of the cabinet. The Germans are very glad to get rid of Hrand Whitlock. Pur home time they have been looking for an excuse to expel ex-pel him. The dyestuffs and other chemical man-i.faeturcrs man-i.faeturcrs are getting quite scared about possible American competition. I hope the Democrat r, will give ; rctection to th'j: fc new industries, and will also enact some "antidumping" legislation. The Gei man cities are adding to the general weight of debt by ire urring larse debts for war purposes, such as relief of so'qiers' families, etc. The former Turkish pmhassador, who is agaSist the Young Trnks, is living here. He is afraid to go back and also the Germans aie keepinc him, in stock in case the Y nng l urks ga out of power, and possibly to stir Up tix-uhle in Egypt, as his wife is a daughter of one of the Khedives. There are lots of suspicious -looking Spaniards about. possiMv cooking up an attack on Gibraltar. Talk of Peace With Indemnities. Any German peace talk includes pav-ment pav-ment of a large subsidy by England. Russia and France; Italy to" be left to Austria to finish. The export of gold has now been formally for-mally forbidden. There Is no doubt whatever that the popuiat ion in the conquered portion of Poland has been for a long time In need of food. Our military attache. Colonel Kuhn. just back from Perbia. says the Germans have, literally, stacks of ammunition and had begun preparing last spring for the present attack, even little mountain wagons wa-gons tt nd new hn mess being all ready. Onlv about six German corps are there. The ha te a sralnst Americans bere Is dern-seatod and bit ter. Hans Winter-feldt, Winter-feldt, a prominent German banker, with American citizenship, .i 11st came in to tell me that nt the annual meeting today of the great Allgemefne Flectriclt'nets Gesellschaft a fight was started against him because of his American citizen- ship, and lie was not, therefore, re-elected I a director. Ho thinks of resigning from I nil banks, etc.. and retuvnlng to America. |