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Show rate of 12 percent in mc 1970's and 5 percent during the 1960's. World Dependence on U.S. Agriculture of the new land coming under cultivation will be semi-arid and subject to wide fluctuations fluctu-ations in weather. With the expected increased increas-ed world dependence on U.S. agricultural supplies, the U JS . will hav to increase its farm exports by 6 to 8 percent per-cent a year, compared with an average annual growth By 1985 the world may depend on the VS. for 15 of it's agricultural supplies, compared with 2 in the early 1950's and 11 percent in the late '70's. Increased foreign reliance on more marginal resources, resour-ces, combined with increasingly increas-ingly protectionist trade policies will likely mean wider year to year swings in the demand for UJS. farm products in the future. The world's trade in food has expanded more than twice as fast as production and consumption. This unprecedented un-precedented growth in trade has reduced, foreign food self sufficiency. The rest of the world now produces about 90 of Its domestic food consumption compared to 98 twenty years ago. In the next five years, the economic and energy picture pic-ture for the developed countries coun-tries is relatively poor, which is likely to translate Into a reduced growth rate in energy intensive production produc-tion of agricultural products marginally slower growth in food demand, and a net boost in imports. In the oil exporting countries', coun-tries', the outlook is for record rec-ord growth in food, feed, and fiber demand which, given giv-en these countries' generally general-ly limited agricultural resource re-source bases, will translate into strong input demand. The problem many foreign countries face is that production pro-duction gains in the 1980's from expansion of arable areas are likely to be significantly sig-nificantly smaller than for the last three decades. One important factor Is that much |