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Show GERMANY CM BE BEATEN BY ALLIES Editor of Pall Mall Gazette Tells How to Defeat Teutons. By J. L. GARVIN. London, Nov. 14. Tho principle of victory that might have been adopted six or even nine months ago Is plain to the allies. The wrong plan has been pursued and the right plan, It is now agreed, must bo carried out with concentrated energy. One way to win the war at least cost and with the surest effect was to break down Turkey first, then Austria, Aus-tria, then Germany, and it remains a fundamental proposition. Tho Balkans Balk-ans are as certainly the koy to Europe Eu-rope in this businoss as Constantinople Constanti-nople is the key to tho Balkans. The Germans must be weakened in the west by losses' and diversions else-whore else-whore before they are smashed in the Balkans. If the Germans be thwarted thwart-ed and held in that quarter they aro thwarted and held everywhere else, and we will not only win, but we will shorten the war. Hardships in Germany. The allies are in excellent positions to start again. Everything shows that there is iutenso popular hardship and suffering in Germany. That country coun-try is near the height of its purely military successes. Germany can go a long way yet, but at the erfd of the way she already sees the specters of want, ruin and the exhaustion of men, money and, to a largo extent, of fighting fight-ing materials. Meanwhile the -pressure of the British, blockade will become be-come more severe and British submarines subma-rines foreshadow what must ultimately ultimate-ly happen in the Baltic. For this reason rea-son all Germany, from her rulers down, longs for peace, which from our point of view would bo a bad and fatal peace. Plausible peace proposals almost certainly will be made before long. If England listoned to them in a certain number of years hence England would be attacked singly. Germany would look to regain all at Britain's expense. ex-pense. If we reject these proposals as wo shall then the central empires em-pires will rouse themselves next year for the final struggle with supreme energy. For that struggle tho British Brit-ish war board and war policy must prepare. They have obviously to meet and break the plan of an. enemy en-emy who has grasped the Initiative anew. Plan of the Teutons. The Germans think that under the present circumstances they can hold the allies in the west. After mastering master-ing the Balkans they mean to mobilize the Turks against both Russia and Britain. They will then carry out strong plans against Egypt, Bagdad and Persia as surely as they have carried out their strong plans against Serbia. They reckon that they then will constrain Rumania as they have secured se-cured Bulgaria and paralyzed Greece. Finally, they hope to wear out Russia Rus-sia by a renewed offensive next year, partly by war entrenchments in some regions and partly by war maneuvers carried out in other regions with the full use of their railways. The Germans no longer hopo to win. They know there is no longer a possibility of that but they hope and reckon that in a year hence the allies al-lies will bo no nearer attainment of any of their declared objectives, that general exhaustion and weakness, political po-litical division and popular discontont will bring about an inconclusive peace relatively favorable to the central cen-tral empires and Turkey. That is the German plan. What we have to do Is to utterly defeat them. We never can defeat them, however, unless by Insuring the mastery mas-tery of the Balkans. The allies must insure the total overthrow of both Turkey and Austria in order to settle thoroughly with Germany afterward. |
