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Show new im mm ielectw wwm.. FOIL. OF EVERY STATE IN THE. UNION GIVES VICTORY TO ROOSEVELT, SAYS NEW .YORK'S GREATEST DAILY PAPER Interesting Statement of the Conditions Which Exist All Over Country Is Given; Congress Republican. . The New Tork Herald's forecast of national elections are usually the great news feature of Presidential carnal gns: livery State has been polled by the Herald. The complete story of the Herald's forecast follows: NEW TORK. Nov. 2. The election of Roosevelt and Fairbanks is indicated by a non-partisan poll of thecountry, taken. by the New Tork Herald. The result of the poll, together with a review of the situation in all sections, will be printed in the Herald tomorrow morning. morn-ing. The probability of an increased Republican Re-publican majority In the House of Representatives Rep-resentatives in the Fifty-ninth Congress Con-gress also is indicated by the Herald's poll. With New Tork showing an apparent difference of only 12.000 votes between the Presidential candidates and this figure in favor of Mr. Roosevelt such . a situation is presented thai It is held to foe misleading to classify.the Empire State as otherwise than doubtful on the national ticket, and as Democratic on the Governorship. The Result in Detail. But not counting New Tork, 25" electoral elec-toral votes, or eighteen more than the 239 necessary to elect, are set down by the Herald" as sure for Roosevelt and Fairbanks. For Parker and Davis there are seen as certainties only the 151 electoral elec-toral votes of the solid South, with the eight of Maryland added. In the States classified as doubtful the odds favor the Republic-ns in Colorado. Delaware, Montana, New Tork and West Virginia, with an aggregate of fifty-seven electoral elect-oral votes, and the Democrats in Nevada, Ne-vada, with three electoral votes. Indiana Is Analyzed. Indiana is Bet down as safe for Roosevelt, Roose-velt, as are Connecticut, New Jersey and Rhode Island in the East, where Democratic hope has turned In expectation expecta-tion that If the Empire State went Democratic so would go its neighbors, through business. Industrial and political politi-cal attachments. Thfi loss of Indiana and any of the thre4 Eastern States named, with doubtful New Tork, would reduce the number of electoral votes counted as favorings the Republican ticket below the 239 necessary to elect. With their 159 conceded votes, New Tork and Nevada, and the fifteen of Indiana In-diana which their managers claim with apparent confidence, the Democrats would still have to gain twenty-three electoral votes to win, for. five of which they must seek beyond the doubtful list of Republican probability. Figures on New York. Naturally, the greatest interest in the Herald's poll will attach to the figures ,for New Tork, where the closeness of the contest is plainly indicated by the small margin in the tabulation of perhaps per-haps 1,500,000 votes. The New Tork poll, moreover, was more systematic than that conducted In other parts of the country. Special correspondents cor-respondents spent three weeks visiting every section of the State. They talked with laboring men, farmers, mechanics, railroad men. merchants, labor organizations, organ-izations, manufacturers, bankers, professional pro-fessional men and politicians. . The civass of the fifty-seven counties coun-ties ou-e of the city of New Tork was conducted independently of the poll of .' the city, and there was no manipulation of figures to place one candidate ahead of the other. Other Figures Given. The result up State showed that Roosevelt would come down to Harlem bridge with an estimated plurality of 144.750, which is about 29.000 less than that received by McKlnley and Roosevelt Roose-velt in 1900. The Herald estimates the plurality In the city for Judge Parker as being probably 133.000, large enough to bring the apparent lead of Mr. Roosevelt down to 12.000. There are signs pointing to this excess over the Coler vote of 1902. Mr. Coler had 122.000 more than Mr. Odell in the city. Mr. Cleveland had 109.000 more than Harrison in the same territory before the consolidation. There also are sign? pointing to a plurality plu-rality for Judge Herrirk. the Democratic Demo-cratic candidate for Governor, which will be astounding in its proportions. Mr. Higgins1, roughly speaking, ought have at least 12..000 more votes than t?j5ge Herrlck outside ot the city. Judge Terrlck may run ahead of Judge Parker Par-ker in the city at least 31.000 vote, having hav-ing a city plurality ' 164,000, and-If he does he may bt Mr. Higgins in the entire State by HWO votes. i. The Republicans cave been figuring NEW YORK HERALD'S ELECTION FORECAST. " PRESIDENTIAL. Electoral . Votes. ROOSEVELT .257 PARKER..'. 159 DOUBTFUL 60 NECESSARY TO ELECT.. 239 CONGRESS. House of Representatives Republicans 210 Democrats.. 161 In Doubt 15 Senate Reunblicans 56 Democrats 34 on about 70,000 votes for Parker in the city. One of the beet informed Tammany Tam-many Hall leaders has placed the plurality plu-rality In the entire city at not to exceed 104,000. Most 'men will decline to believe be-lieve that if Mr. Higgins is to be cut 25.000 up the State, as is indicated in the county pluralities, he is to be cut only 12,000 in the City. Other Tammany Hall men btiic . e that Judge Parker will have 110,000 plurality in the city and Judge Herrlck 135,00. They count on les9 than 100,000 for Roosevelt above Harlem. The .Herald's lr vestigation shows a strong Democratic drift in this city and a strong Republican drift up the State. The last fw days of the campaign. It is declared, must determine the New Tork result. The Gold Democrats. The Herald correspondents found in their Investigations in the counties outside out-side the city that the gold Democrats In many localities are supporting Roosevelt Roose-velt In considerable numbers. A major;-ity major;-ity of the Bryan Democrats, it is reported, re-ported, have been pressed into line and will vote for Parker, but there are many in Some counties who intend to vote for Roosevelt, while some will vote for Watson. Wat-son. 1 Judge Parker's home county, t'lster. It 19 estimated, will give Roosevelt and Fairbanks a plurality of 800. It normally, nor-mally, is a strong Republican county, giving McKlnley 1989 four years ago. In Orange county, Gov. Odell's home. It is indicated that resentment against the Governor will be emphasized at the polls, and that Roosevelt will run behind be-hind McKlnley by about 1000 votes. Of the general conditions up the State the Herald says in Its summary that there is a feeling among Republicans that it is a wise plan to let well enough alone, while Judge Parker has losrt Democratic admirers through his disinclination, disin-clination, to make speeches. Lack of Democratic enthusiasm also is noted wherever there are colonies of anti-Hill folk. The German Vote. The Importance of the German vote In the coming election is held by the Herald Her-ald to be great. The paper says that, whereas a majority of the Germans In New Tork City were against Roosevelt as a candidate for Governor, today the majority are for him. This statement adds to the interest In the poll, because of the large Democratic plurality Indicated, Indi-cated, In spite of the German support that Is declared to have returned to Roosevelt. What is true of German admiration for the President In New York. It is declared, de-clared, is largely the case In the three pre-eminently doubtful States of the earlier days of the campaign New Jersey, Jer-sey, Connecticut and Indiana-Mn which the German vote always has been considered con-sidered a factor. Both parties claim the majority of this vote in these four States, says the Herald, Her-ald, but careful Investigations made seem to indicate that the bulk of the independent German vote,, which in 1992 wa held by Mr. Cleveland, will be cast for Mr. Roosevelt, while on State Issues Judge Herrlck appears to be the favorite among the Germans of New Tork and Mr. Black n New Jersey. Outside of New Tork the States that present the most Interesting situation from the national sandpolnt are Indiana In-diana in the Middle West, West Virginia and Maryland on the line between the North and South. Connecticut and New Jersey in the East, and Colorado in the mountain region of the West. INDIANA. Republican claims in Indiana are a Roosevelt plurality of 20,000. the return (Continued on page 3.) l STORY OF !CL!TICAD COIIDIilONS "A IN EACE OR THE SHIES K. Y. HERALD'S FIGURES OH CONGRESS. I J . : :: - ... ' v . : The Herald'a forecast on the Congressional racea givea the following results: , , Congress:- ,' , ' , REPUBLICANS, 210; DEMOCRATS, 181; DOUBTFUL, 15., Senate:! ' REPUBLICANS, 56; DEMOCRATS, 34.- Present House stands :-r . ' , REPUBLICANS. 208; DEMOCRATS, 178. t , " - of 4500 to 6000 for Roosevelt, and that the Republican nominee for Congress will be elected. ' Both branches of the Legislature are said to be safely Republican, Re-publican, . thus insuring' the return of United. States Senator Clark. ' s'v ' -TIT ATI. ' Mormon Influences are said to be at work for Roosevelt in Utah, and politicians politi-cians on both sides concede that the electoral votes will be cast for Roosevelt. Roose-velt. The Smoot Republican State ticket probably will be elected throughout. through-out. ,A fight is being made on O. W. Powers, the Democratic nominee for Congress, but It Is believed he will win The next Legislature may be Democratic, as many Mormons deprecate depre-cate the fight being made on Powers. PACIFIC COAST. Roosevelt will get 60,000 majority in California. Republicans ' will surely elect six and probably eight Representatives Represent-atives and fourteen of the twenty State Senators and sixty of the eighty Assemblymen. As-semblymen. Sixteen of the twenty hold-over members of the State "Senate are Republicans, Insuring the election of a Republican -to succeed United States Senator Bard. The election in Nevada promises to be close. Both parties have strong electors up, but conservative opinion is that the State will be Democratic by a small majority. Nixon, Republican, Republi-can, is against Gov. Sparks. Democrat, for Senator. The Legislature has ten hold-over Senators pledged for Sparks and a strong fight is being made by both sides. Sparks has been indorsed by the labor unions and at present has the advantage. At a conservative estimate Roosetleft will carry Washington by 30.000 and the present Congress delegation will be returned. In some counties Turner, the Democratic candidate for Governor, will run strong, but Indications are that Mead, the Republican candidate, will win by 15.000. Should a full vote be polled Oregon will give Roosevelt a majority of nearly 27,000, but there are no State officials to be elected or Issues to be voted on except the prohibition question, and so the Roosevelt majority probably will not exceed 22,000. t (Continued from page 1.) of nine and posslbry ten Republicans to Congress and a Legislature Republican in both branches, insuring Republican successors to Senators Fairbanks and Beveridge. The Democratic prophecies are of a Parker plurality of 8000 to 10,000, the election of six Democrats to Congress and a Legislature Democratic on Joint ballot. -It is admitted that the Republicans are not In as good shape in the State f as they were four years ago, owing to factional, quarrels and the loss of the . gold Democratic vote. The actual number num-ber of gold Democrats In Indiana, however, how-ever, has been considerably overestimated.. overesti-mated.. Instead of 25.000, as frequently stated, a better estimate Is said to be 8000 to 10.000, and. assuming them all to be In line for Parker, as they are, the Democrats still would have to overcome over-come a Republican plurality of 6000 to 10,000, on the basis of the Republican plurality In 1900. i Part of this remaining plurality has t' been overcome by natural causes, such as the removal of Industries in which Republican voters were employed, but. on the other hand, there is disaffection among the Democrats In the southwestern southwest-ern part of the State on account of the supposed attitude of Henry G. Davis, ' the Vice-Presidential candidate, toward ' organised labor. The Herald's latest returns re-turns from the State Indicate about 15,-t00 15,-t00 for Roosevelt. The legislative situation In Indiana Is such as to raise high Democratic hopes, but it Is believed that if the Republican Republi-can national ticket carries in the State the Legislature will be pulled through wlthjt. The Democrats will have one advantage in that members of the Senate Sen-ate and House will be elected under the apportionment of 1897, as the later Republican, Re-publican, gerrymander has -been set . aside by the Supreme court as unfair. .There are twenty-four legislative dls-. dls-. tries In which the party plurality is less than 200, and all these are regarded as doubtful. eighty-eight members against sixty-two Democrats. , On the question of pluralities the Republican Re-publican leaders claim Roosevelt will have. from 100,000 to 125.000 and Deneen .from 125,000 to 140,000. 'in 1900 McKlnley carried the State against Bryan by 94,-S24, 94,-S24, while Yates had 61.233 more than Alschuler. the Democratic nominee. In Cook county the Republicans expect to give Mr. Deneen a plurality of 40,000. In 1900 McKlnley carried the county by 17.567, while Yates lost it to Alschuler by 7573. . WISCONSIN. . Republican fears In Wisconsin have practically been set at rest, as far as the National ticket is concerned, but the Republicans are liable to lose some members -of Congress and the Legislature, Legisla-ture, which will elect a successor to United States Senator Quarles may cost the present dominant party a seat In the upper branch at Washington. Conservative estimates place the plurality plu-rality for Roosevelt and Fairbanks electors at 50,000. Gov. La Follette, the Republican candidate for Governor on the regular ticket the title to regularity regu-larity coming from the Supreme Court of the State may run.wjth the Presidential Presi-dential electors. In any event his election elec-tion is regarded as assured by 25,000 or more. ers have come Into the State. More than 20,000 of these are Republicans. The workers of both political parties are apparently well supplied with funds for use on election day. The Republicans Republi-cans assert that they have enough money to hold their own people in line; in other words, to buy all floaters of Republican tendencies. The Democrats appear, to be more than satisfied that they will have all the money necessary to buy everything which can be bought to swell the Democratic total. The latest returns are declared to Indicate In-dicate a plurality for the Republican electors of about 9000, and the election of Cornwell, the Democratic candidate for Governor, by 6000- on the tax law Issue. The Legislature, which elects a United States Senator, probably will be Republican, as great influence, national and local, has been brought to bear In spite of the tax issue to save the hide of Senator Scott. NEW JERSEY. Estimates of results In New Jersey have been based on lnformatffn derived from the State committees of both parties, chairmen of .county committees and reports from special correspondents in every county, lh the Bute. The estimates esti-mates in all cases Vere' given confidentially confiden-tially and were claimed to be conservative. conser-vative. An average., was . made of all kla . 1. .1 Krt. Vi of the Democratic forces which have been divided for some years in the State. The tariff question in certain sections of the State is expected to bring more voters to the polls for the Republican ticket. In New Hampshire conservative estimates esti-mates give Roosevelt a plurality of from 15,000 to 20.000. Senator Galllnger, chairman of the Republican State com- parties concede the State to Roosevelt. The Democrate, however have not abandoned hope of turning the trick and of yet wresting victory from apparent defeat. The Roosevelt plurality is estimated at 27,600 and that for the Republican candidate can-didate for Governor at 6000. The Democratic Demo-cratic managers, however, are confident that Charles C. Black, their candidate for Governor on an equal taxation platform, plat-form, will win. The Republicans are said to fear a big silent vote on this proposition, as the feeling of the people on the question has not been reached. CONNECTICUT. Fifteen thousand is named as a con-servative con-servative estimate for a Roosevel( plurality plu-rality in Connecticut. The most substantial sub-stantial claim made by the Democrats is based on what they call a fighting chance to carry the State, predicted up-' on a supposed undercurrent or drift toward to-ward Parker in the ranks of, the quiet voters of the Republican party who are supposed to be hostile to Roosevelt methods. It is conceded that most of the old line Cleveland sound money Democrats will vote for Judge Parker, but it is obvious ob-vious that many of the Bryan Democrats Demo-crats will not do so. Watson will I poll some of that vote, but Debs is likely to get more of it than Watson, and not a little of it will be cast for President Roosevelt. One hears occasionally of a McKlnley Republican who does not expect ex-pect to vote for President Roosevelt. WEST VIRGINIA; Bloodshed Is feared throughout West Virginia on election day. It will be a battle of money against money and of " men against men white against white, rb whlte against black. c"he Democrats are determined that S imported voters shall cast their bal-' bal-' lots, and for the purpose of preventing an Influx of negroes from Virginia hundreds hun-dreds of white men have pledged themselves them-selves to constitute an armed guard sabout the polling places. '. It is estimated that In the last sixty days the Standard Oil company and allied al-lied Interests have shipped out of West Virginia at least. 4500 votes, largely Re-publican. Re-publican. Corporations like the Fairmont Fair-mont Coal and Coke company, the Baltimore Bal-timore & Ohio railroad and others em- ploying large numbers of men are earnestly earn-estly endeavoring to defeat the Repub-- Repub-- Ikanv State ticket, and, if Republican in N t"ndency on the national ticket, are mher mdiJIerent as to Its success in '. is State. :i addition to these Influences In fa- of the Democrats, there is the fight Vr the new Republican tax law. The Republicans on the other hand, ko fa as the national ticket is concerned, con-cerned, can claim two very Important influences In their favor. One Is -the tact that West Virginia is normally a Republican. State by. virtue of sympathy sympa-thy with Republican political principles and a considerable negro vote, having ! Siveh the Republican national ticket' a plurality of 21,022 in 1900. The other in-luence in-luence In favor of the Republican na-.lonal na-.lonal ticket is the fact that within the ast four years perhaps 30,000 new vot- The "stalwart" Republican ticket, headed by former Gov. Scofleld, whose name was substituted to fill the vacancy caused by the withdrawal, following fol-lowing the Supreme court decision, of S. A. Cook, the original nominee in opposition op-position to La Follette, will get an infinitesimal in-finitesimal vote. The masses of the "stalwarts" will vote directly for former Gov. Peck, the Democratic candidate. The defection from La Follette in the Republican ranks will be offset by the Bryan Democrats, who will cast their votes for him. The Republican danger spots in the Congressional field are the third, fourth, fifth and ninth districts. The third district is represented by Joseph W. Babcoclf. chairman of the Republican Republi-can Congressional committee, against whom the wrath of the La Follette leaders is concentrated. The normal Republican plurality In this -district Is t 10.000 to 12.000, Babcock having about 8000 two years ago. an off year. He der feated the Governor's forces for the nomination this year, but it Is an open secret that the latter and the third i district is the La Follette stronghold of the State intend to scratch him at the polls. The chances are somewhat in Babcocks favor, but not enough to remove re-move the district . entirely from the doubtful column. IOWA. Estimates on the Republican plurality plural-ity In Iowa vary from 7M00 to 150,000. The great Interest in the election there has centered In the last week over the Congressional campaign in the Second district, now represented by M. J. Wade, the only Democratic member of the State delegation In the House of Representatives. The Republican aim now is to return, a solid Republican delegation. mittee, says the State will be easily carried for the Presidential ticket and that the Republicans will carry all the Congressional districts. Massachusetts is expected to roll up at least 65,000 plurality for Roosevelt. The present districts are divided up between be-tween ten Republicans and four Democrats. Demo-crats. The Republicans, however, hope to capture eleven seats next month, leaving the Democrats with only three Congressmen. THE SOLID SOUTH. The Southern States will go solidly as usual for the Democratic candidate for President.'and there will be litle If any change In the Congressional representation. repre-sentation. In Kentucky it is estimated esti-mated the Democratic plurality will be at least 22,000. In some of the States an increase in the Democratic vote is expected on account ac-count of the race ibsnie. In Missouri the Democrats expect a largely increased majority, not on account of Judge Parker, but because of the popularity of Joseph W. Folk, the Democratic candidate can-didate for Governor. His personality and the fight he has made against boodle probably will make his majority more than 50,000. The Legislature will be strongly Democratic, and United states Senator - Cockrell will be reelected re-elected next January. Alabama, Arkanris, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mlsflspippl. South Carolina and Texas will go solidly for Parker and will elect all Democratic candidates for Congress. In .Tennessee the Republicans expect to get two Congressmen, but the State probably will give an Increased majority ma-jority for Parker. The Republicans hope to get one Congressman Con-gressman from Virginia. KANSAS-NEBRASKA. Conservative estimates on the Kansas election give the State to Roosevelt by 60,000. The' plurality depends to a large extent upon the Populista Should they desert the Populist National ticket In large numbers it Is believed, they will go to the Republican Presidential candidate. can-didate. E. W. Hoch. the Republican candidate for Governor, may run behind the Presidential ticket by 7000 to 12,000. There is practically no contest in Nebraska Ne-braska over the National tickets. The fuslonists concede the eight electoral votes to Roosevelt. No effort has been made by the Democrats and Populists to unite against the Republican candidates. candi-dates. The Republicans are claiming the State by a plurality of from 20,000 to 60,000 for Roosevelt. OHIO. Estimates wrung from apathetic conditions con-ditions Indicate that Roosevelt will carry Ohio by about the same majority given to McKlnley in 1900, slightly In excess of 69,000. The same estimates indicate that there will be no change in the representation in the Lower House of Congress, which is now, seventeen Republicans and four Demoe'rats. Each side expects (o lose and gain one district, dis-trict, so that the ratio will be maintained. main-tained. It is an open secret that the old Mc-Kinley-Hanna faction of the Republican party is lukewarm toward President Roosevelt. There are many contributing contribut-ing causes, but the strongest Is the belief be-lief that the opposition is to be favored through Senator Foraker with the largest share of the Federal patronage, which formerly went almost exclusively to the machine of whlch Senator Hanna was the active head. This tectlon of the party will give Roosevelt its support, but it will make no extraordinary efforts In his behalf. The Democratic managers this year hope to Increase their total, and say that the Republican majority will fall to below be-low 50,000, the mark established in 1896. MARYLAND. Notwithstanding the fact that Maryland Mary-land gave the Republican National ticket a plurality of. 13.941 in 1900 the State is apparently Democratic this year on the national ticket beyond a doubt. The race Issue has 'been dominant In this campaign to the exclusion of nearly every other question. The gold Democrats Demo-crats are back In line. The Democratic organlratlon is harmonious and has conducted con-ducted a strenuous fight for a large majority ma-jority for its ticket. ; MICHIGAN. In Michigan a plurality of 120,000 for Roosevelt is expected, but there Js a fight on Warner, the Republican candidate can-didate for Governor, that actually leads Democrats to hope for the election of the head of their State ticket. Warner will probably be elected, however, by 20,000 to 30,000 plurality. NEW ENGLAND. New England States will roll up big majorities for Roosevelt and Fairbanks, accordlng to the estimates made by Republicans. Re-publicans. Evert the Democrats despair of breaking these solid Republican States. There has not been a lively campaign in Vermont The State Is considered fo overwhelmingly Republican that it has already been placed in the Roosevelt column. The Republicans have conducted an aggressive campaign and It Is estimated that Roosevelt's plurality will not be less than 10.000. The vote In Maine in November is considered a good indication of what the relative result will be next month. The Republican plurality for Governor in 1900 was aboutOOO and in the Presidential Presi-dential election about 27,000. The apparent ap-parent loss this year was but a variation of plurality due to a reunion COLORADO. Odds In local poolrooms on the result of the State election of Colorado are 11 to 8 on Alva Adams. There is little betting on the result so far as the National Na-tional tickets are concerned. Bets are offered freely that President Roosevelt will carry the State, with few takers. The fight being waged over the Governorship Gov-ernorship eclipses everything else In Colorado. It is clalnred by some that the tide Is setting toward Gov. Peabody now, but there is little to support the statement. Alva Adams ' will be elected by a plurality close to 7000 at a conservative figure. It is probable that President Roosevelt will carry the State by a plurality considerably under that of Adams. There will be much scratching. . Thed omlnant purpose of voters who decide to scratch will be to vote against Gov. Peabody. At the last moment many will decide to take no chances and vote straight. Thus they will vote the Democratic ticket for the tingle purpose of voting against Peabody. MIITNISOTA AND DAKOTAS. There Is every evidence that Minnesota Minne-sota will go heavily Republican, so far as the national ticket is concerned, al- I though it is believed that Roosevelt will not parallel McKinley's strength, and that the returns will show that his personal hold on Minnesota Republicans Republi-cans ha been largely overestimated. Judge Parker will poll his full party strength, and receive the votes of many Republicans who are dissatisfied with the Roosevelt administration. On State Issues Minnesota will be rery close. Old line Republicans are beginning to admit that the Republican Republi-can party fight In convention, resulting in a serious split between the Dunn and Collins forces, has seriously cut down the State ticket's chances of victory. Dunn, the Republican nominee. Is making mak-ing a whirlwind campaign, but is being successfully met by John A. Johnson, the Democratic nominee. Minnesota will elect a solid Republican Congressional Congres-sional delegation. Reports from North Dakota Indicate that Roosevelt will carry the State by a heavy majority, running strong In every district. The Republican State organization .Is working harmoniously and Is conducting an effective campaign. cam-paign. The chances of the Republican State ticket are excellent. Similar reports of a prospective Republican Re-publican landslide come from South Dakota. Da-kota. MOUNTAIN STATES. For the first time in the history of the Stale. Idaho is likely to be found in the Republican column this year, according ac-cording to conservative estimates. W. J. Bryan carried the State four years ago by only 2216. Chairman J. H. Brady of the Republican State committee estimates es-timates Roosevelt's plurality at from 3000 to 5000 owing to the popularity of the President, Congressman French, jho defeated the Democratic candidate in 1902 by 7508, will be re-elected by the Republicans. Other estimates give Roosevelt a plurality of 15,000. The entire en-tire Republican State ticket will be elected and the Legislature will be Republican. Re-publican. Montana's three electoral votes, it Is generally conceded, will be cast for Roosevelt, , though the Democrats hope to win by a small plurality. The Congressional Con-gressional seat will be retained by the Republicans. Joseph K. Toole, Democratic Demo-cratic candidate for Governor, will be elected, it Is expected. The campaign In Wyoming Is being fought on State issues, and though it Is estimated that the Republicans will cfcrry the election for Roosevelt, the Democrats are hoping that the State fight will afTect the head of the ticket. The Republicans estimate a plurality . ! DELAWARE. Delaware, with three electoral votes, is in the doubtful column, with Republican Repub-lican leanings. Roosevelt, according to indications, will have a plurality, but not as much of a one as McKlnley In 1900, when the Republican electors received re-ceived 3671 votes more than their opponents. op-ponents. The Democrats will cast their full party vote. A matter of concern to both Republicans Repub-licans and Democrats Is the part which Mr. Addlcks "will play on election day. It is thought by many that his funds for use In emergencies of this kind are not as. plentiful as in former years, and as the Legislature, even if Republican, promises to be anti-Addlcks, his personal per-sonal Interest In the campaign will not be so strong. It makes considerable difference in Delaware whether or not there is plenty of money in circulation on election day and In whose favor the money is expended. The Democrats are hoping for a lull In Republican excesses In this direction, and find some reasons on which to baie their hone. ILLINOIS. President Roosevelt will carry the State by a large plurality, and Charles 8. Deneen, the Republican candidate for Governor, will be elected. All State officers offi-cers at present are Republican, and the full State ticket will be elected. The Congressional delegation probably will remain unchanged, standing as at present, pres-ent, eighteen Republicans and seven Democrats. No change of Importance Is expected In the general assembly, where the Republicans had thirty-six members of the Senate and the Democrats Demo-crats fifteen In 1903, while In the House of Represeatativea the Republicans had |