Show e 6A The Salt Lake Tribune Thursday Nos ember 10 19X8 Hut Pollsters Say Wheels Were Already in Motion Polls Got Bangerter Bandivagon Moving Says Professor The squeaker election for Utah governor left in its wake a debate Wednesday whether the proliferation of public-opiniopolls influenced the voters more than the issues These independent polls were published and broadcast regularly almost weekly since the national political conventions sometimes heartening underdogs and worrying the leading candidates And while pollsters generally see them as merely reflecting opinion at a certain point in time others believe they can motivate voters in certain instances to change their votes affecting particularly close races Utah governors The three-warare is a case in point and University of Utah political science Professor J D Williams — for one — believes this past weekend s local poll results had an ' enormous influence" in Democrat Ted Wilson's loss to Gov Norm Bangerter Those polls used such words as "tossup" and photo finish" to describe circumstances in the governor's race They showed Gov Bangerter had finally come even after a losing cycle stretching back several months "and what we had here was a bandwagon moving " Dr Williams said "Undecided voters and independents who in their heart of hearts were really conservative saw the governor had a real chance to win They could compare his numbers with that of independent candidate Merrill Cook They saw him as a n ‘ thud man out The Republican part of them were ready to join the governor and make a race out of it" he reasoned Granted he said the pollsters reflected the slippage away from Mr Wilson over a period of time but it wasn t a horse race yet a dead heat Dr Williams explained The cumulative effet of the previous series of ' polls hit home finally and that one — — stood out momentum word moving people to get on the band-wagn" he said However Koy Bardsley pollster for The Salt Lake Tribune's Utah Poll cautioned against assumptions that the poll influenced voters’ action in the ballot box rather than reflecting a trend that was already evident Four weeks earlier a trend of Mr Wilson losing 2 points a week was initiated and the Bangerter campaign redoubled efforts to capitalize "There was momentum going there but not necessarily in response to the polls because it had already been under way" he exBy Election Day enough plained Republicans went back to their predilections and decided to go with the " party candidate Mr Bardsley said studies indicate the bandwagon isn t on a one-wastreet there is usually some compensatory factor where some want to go with a presumed winner but others like an underdog Dan Jones whose firm Dan Jones & Associates conducts the Deseret A'eicsKSL Poll said he always feels the bandwagon effect is ex- e ‘ d y d Shimizu’s Win Sets Up Commission Reunion By Tim Fitzpatrick Tribune Staff Writer Salt Lake County's commission will be reunited in January w hen former Commissioner Tom Shimizu returns to the post he held from 1981-8Mr Shimizu will rejoin commissioners Bart Barker and Michael Stewart who squeezed by Democrat Jim Bradley in a surprisingly close race Commissioner Stewart was in a dead heat for most of the night but he was confident early in the night that exit polls predicting his victory would ring true He credited Mr Bradley for running a tough campaign especially in he closing days "Jim came on very It motivated us ” strong Before election night Mr Stewart had lamented that he had been during the campaign's last weeks He said he was surprised when Mr Bradley launched his advertising blitz w hich included television ads and direct mail To counter that his campaign organized a telephone canvass that made 50000 calls in the few days before the election "I had just been out working really hard” said Mr Bradley "and it gave me some indications that there may be an upset in the making " He credited his strong finish with an 85 mass mailing which included a credit card-siz- e plastic card ‘ 1 got a lot more mileage than thought from the cards People just throw away brochures but they will hang on to a card " He called the campaign "a very positive experience" and said another run for office is a possibility Mr Shimizu credited name recognition with helping him to an easy victory over Democrat Dale Gardiner He also said he had the favorable perceptions of citizens People felt I've tried to be fair I m grateful ' The previous commissioner and Mr Shimizu s first oppo nent Dave Watson saw his chances vanish when he was ariested on cocaine and drunken-drivincharges last summer The Democrats had to quo kly substitute Riverton Mayor Gardiner Mr Shimizu said Mr Watson s in discretions were a factor but not a feel I would have deciding one two-yea- r 1 usu Ion l M going to oli unli! 7 ’it) won anyway but it a close race " Mr Gardiner would have been said that was only one of a number of factors ' Bush winning by a 2 to-- margin hurt Wilson's failure hurt my own inability to raise money hurt " “I feel bad that I lost but I thought it was worthwhile to participate and Party and represent the Democratic the party ideals " He also complimented Mr Shimizu whom he described as ' a tough guy to beat ” and wished him well He ran a good clean campaign and so did " In the end ' there are just too darn many Republicans in this county he said adding that he doesn t see himself running again Mr Baikei who has two more years on his term said the reunion doesn t mean things will be exactly as they were A lot has changed We have some major differences in funding pressures and I think we ve seen some changes in the commissioners But he said the trio has worked effectivelv as a team as the commission has with John Hiskey who was appointed to serve out Mr Watson s term don t think it has to to with partisanship it has to do with individual shle and character 1 1 a i i lub Meipmg hei honk to Shanghai dal! 'hb ho r w In ng di I a ail the dn iled n I Nicn C’lintR Her Volt Counts kill'd In Maos Red DuutiU guards win attempting to mnki s a Mi ipmg i in pi ii ate bet imitln I fon ign s p itti l tliev ad In on mi abb to In a sm h a i mill mu mil id M n I b In in I In i II As an example of the problems a final printout showed district 1204 had 919 registered and a turnout of 95 percent The short line was for district 1235 which had 468 registered voters and a 77 percent turnout she explained The county's turnout of 283000 was just shy of 81 percent explained Ms Jones who pictured the computerized counting of punch cards as perfect But the volume of voters produced a record number of ballots to be counted and kept polls open past their scheduled 8pm closing Issues were complex Ms Jones added They made voters think That meant spending at least five minutes in the booth to do a duty that usually takes a minute or two "There must have been tremen- - dous growth in said 1204" the director Much of 1204 had been pasture during the 1980 census Mr Tvedtnes noted "Now it's all houses " "I apologize" Ms Jones told The Tribune ' We try to keep size of the districts near 500 ” She believ es 1 204 was much smaller in May when polling places were set "That was before the tax initiatives and increased voter registration " Under other circumstances Ms Jones said voters from 1204 could have used district 1235's facilities too But not this time because ballots’ were different She predicted that when the next election rolls around Mr Tvedtnes and his neighbors would find 1204 split into two districts Both Seats Being Vacated 2 Ex-Teache- on Murray Board rs Two women will join the Murray School Board in January filling va- cancies created when two members decided not to teacher-recognitio- seek Sherry Madsen and Margaret D Nelson were selected to serve four-yea- r dren attend schools in the Murray district Her campaign emphasized the need to establish an annual award program in each district school Mrs Madsen also said she favored limiting the number of terms that a board member may serve Dr Davis an associate professor of surgery at the University of Utah Medical School had maintained that Murray School District needed to upgrade its educational quality indicating it compared unfavorably to private education institutions He too has children in the Murray district which he felt needed ' g’ r academic vision" and better administration Mrs Nelson who lives in the fastgrowing northwest portion of Murray said she would ensure that the academic opportunities for students in that area are not damaged bv overcrowded classrooms She is also a former schoolteacher and the mother of six children in Murray district schools Mrs Nelson received 2 158 votes in the uncontested election terms in Tuesday's gen- eral election Mrs Madsen will represent the southeastern porMs Madsen tion of the city af- District 5 ter defeating Dr KimR Davis She received nearly 60 percent support (1 490 votes to 997) in her bid to replace J DaleAhlberg Mrs Nelson had a much easier time She was unopposed in her bid to fill the position formerly held by outgoing board president George I Brown Mrs Madsen a former teacher in the Murray Granite and Provo school districts currently is Newspaper in Education coordinator for the Deseret News Three of her five chil- - n at-e- Jordan 2 Incumbents Re-Elec- ts s J Forth Losing Sleep Over Finallv in 1978 two vears after s death she was told the truth With tier daughter gone there was nothing left foi Ms Cheng in China and she determined to come to the United States She lived in Canada for t w o y ear s w ailing to he pi ocessed into the United states and now lives m W ashington D C Shi w as the kevnott speaker at this veal s leedoin festival in Pro vo and hoi book has been a national bextxellei It was released ill paper bai k foul months ago and has al itadv soul at) 01)0 copies she said lie tiook is a personal vivid ae count of hoi trials She was a target dining the (ultuiil Revolution he i nose she had been educated in Lug land and worked foi an American companv She had no warning of her I he guunl i aim mi) lending a i lest through like a hurricane Thev smashed cv entiling in the house She was taken to prison and pies suted to confess to being a spv She ‘I Ilex lieat tin 'I lies tol lefllsi'd lined im w as on a star at ion diet ’1 v M d 1 v lale and d Mao i ( the only true was I Sand-stro- 'Thev told me she had committed suicide but I knew that was not III d i G By Jack Fenton Tribune Staff Writer John Tvedtnes waited until after work Tuesday to vote So did a lot of others He stood in line from 6pm until 7 40 "It was incredible" he said of the line at Hunter Junior High where voters from District 1204 filled much of a large multipurpose room Mr Tvedtnes said that when he left that line was so long voters felt polls would be open till 10 Just steps away from that hustle and bustle he complained was another district where the line seldom exceeded a "It seems like they could have planned better” he said of the county elections department Elections Director Merrilea Jones acknowledged a record turnout and complexity of the ballot delayed the count until Wednesday at 3 30 a m half-doze- close race Mr Morrill defeated Mr Morrill District 3 Roy R Chapman a Mormon Church personnel representative to fill the District 3 seat vacated by Gary C Swensen Mr Morrill received 519 percent of the vote In the other races the incumbents won easily Mr Davidson an educator real estate developer and business and marketing consultant won 68 percent of the vote His opponent was Charles C Larsen who is in the food services industry Mr Davidson had told voters the tax limitation initiatives which were voted down Tuesday would have hurt the district He said the district already has reduced the property tax schedlevel instituted year-rounules at 22 percent of the schools and cut two assistant superintendent posts Ms Sandstrom an English and drama teacher in neighboring Jordan District pulled in 75 percent of the vote in her race with D LeGrand Andrews owner of Television Production Co Ms Sandstrom has been involved in Granite District and the PTA for 26 years This will be her third term on the school board She had told voters that businesses are attracted to states w ith strong education systems Now more than ever we need experienced people to keep Utah schools moving toward excellence Fits! Free Election '1 uesdav s v ote w as tin climax hletime of fighting (oi Ms In n of i linging to hi i aim s m 'lie tuie of torture mipi isoninent r hi and t hi kilim s a duugbli pi 'lit ii ul pi isonei in ( bma oi m m lv 7 ui s she w a a v ii tun ol Muo sc tour s ( ultuial Revolution W ' i mild vote ui China but fm mil mu pm t x and ulw uv s w ith xnuie om wan him' ii )o v mi i all tiiit ol ' mg su said i dnesduv at a on i mg of lie I a n ne v die Knife and mk High Turnout Snarls Polls For Onlv One Party’ oi ol 712 of 712 Districts In i v Long Wait in District 1204 Salt Lake County Commissioner five-memb- i I sensed by voters about the viability of Mr Cook's campaign The series of polls during the last month showing Gov Bangerter inching up between his two challengers did have influence on financial contributors turning to the governor he added and lawyer Denis R Morrill were elected to the board Eric McMullm 'I i ibuiie Staff W nter Just in time for those Flection Year Blues comes a storv like Nicn Chengs let othi is mumble about the u Hit of the undulates or take potshot at Dan (Juivli s ban oi Ml i hue! Dukakis nosi None of that foi Ms ( hi ng Su slept fittullv on Ele tion ve aftaid that she would miss In i hum e to i ast bet tirst fiee vote wuki up at t 'id a in and I w 3 than confirming doubts already Patricia Bv v K’ Board vice president Lynn D Davidson board member 'We Could Vote in China A ulhor Say s 1 Two incumbents and a school board newcomer were elected Tuesday to the Granite School Board out-spe- 1 ‘ Granite District Taps Newcomer Two Incumbents 6 000-piec- e But in all honesty aggerated think there was some feeling going into the election after seeing polls that Gov Bangerter had a chance and Merrill Cook wasnt likely to win And this led to some splitting away from Cook to both other candidates but slightly more to Bangerter” he said "Some of the support for opponents to the governor was so soft They were just mad at Gov Bangerter and they just made up with him" he added The Tribune’s Sunday poll reflected 37 percent for Mr Wilson 35 percent for Gov Bangerter 26 percent for Mr Cook and 2 percent undecided or for others Gov Bangerter could wind up the winner Mr Bardsley concluded then if Mr Wilson continued to lose support as he did throughout October The Deseret AVtcsKSL Poll found much the same thing going on the Democrat and Republican deadlocked with 36 percent support Merrill Cook with 24 percent and 3 percent undecided Gov Bangerter won the election with 40 percent Mr Wilson held 38 percent and Mr Cook had fallen to 21 percent when the votes were counted Republican State Chairman Craig Moody said he believed the last preelection poll was less motivational I was cold and sick Thee was no medical care " ' 1 To survive fought back Her I didn t faith in God carried her feel that I had been abandoned I never asked God to carry me out of I just asked God to give me prison the strength to deal with mv situa turn ' To survive the heatings and the mental pressure she plaved games Each day after with her torturers the interrogation I would ask nivself whv they had asked that question was trying to What did thev want think trvmg to take a positive atti tude which has left The experience scars arthritis and an irregulit heart beat made her a better pot son she insists I know w hat it is like to he hungi v and cold I am more understanding of othel s She said she tells Americans how luckv you are to live in this wondei ful enunt'v You arc a nation gov erned bv laws 5 our piesident is a powei ful man hut he untied do am thing he wants 1 To School Board The makeup of the Jordan School Board will remain the same after two incumbents were to four year positions Tuesday Orr L Hill easily retained his seat with a victory over challenger Clint Wart y while Jane Callis'er was un opposed Mr Hill collected 8 955 votes to Mr Warbv s 5 903 a 60 '40 split Ms Callister received 13 920 votes A teachei and administrator in the distnct for 33 years before retiring Mr Hill pledged to continue to work for an educational svstem that guar antees students an opportumtv to achieve then goals Besides his school board duties Mr Hill serves on the gov ei noi s' ax Uecodification Commission the Wistvale Flemeiitarv Si bool puent advisors committee and the boards of Draper Bank and Tiust Ionian Ciedit I nion Kducatois Insuramc Co and Lampion Invistment Co lb has a n ii s t ei s ih gnu tioin Mi aim lOluoi Umvcisitv and a bielu bus degree from Southern I tuh State ( ollege 'I lus is to third term fm Ms Cal listci who pn'viouslv solved as boat d pi csidont Jordan Hoard of Education 41) Jam C ( I’reeim-- t 4 of 40 Districts alhster 1392(1 liOp)OM d 0 Precinct 5 ’I of 37 Districts (hr L Hill 8955 Clmt Wdihv 0 5993 PICK YOUR CARD place YOUR AD R3? 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