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Show THE SALT LAKE TRIBUTE, slan region, which thus accounted for nearly a quarter of the wool German coal production. For fifteen years, at least, the Barra basin la lost to Germany, now, If tn Upper Silesian district should vote to become Polish, the net of German coal production would be, -- accepting the figures of 1911, which will hardly be exceeded In any proximate time, 1X6,000,000 tons. In HU the coal consumption In Germany was 163.000.000. Allowing for the diminished requirements dhe to the loss e. West Prusof territory, sia, Posen, etc , German requirements could now be 134.000.000 and German production with the Barra and Upper Silesian yields lost would be not more than Thus, allowing for all possible the adjustments of supply and demand, Silesituation would be that, with- Upper sia lost, Germany would not produce coal enough to meet her domestic requirements by a number of millions of tons. an unfavorable plebiscite, ana attit sees her only other great coal region, that of the Ruhr In French and British hands, aa It must be until omt settlement la had of the disput which, following th London conference, led to th advance ot allied troops from the Rhine. Then her threo coal district, tne Ruhr, the Barrs and the Upper Bllealan, will either be lost outright or under allied control. Her Iron duced by the Spa and other agremnt by half, but even this reduction would not materially affect tha new aituatlon. If I pper Silesia votes to become Polish, Germany must either reduca her own con sumption of coal far below tha normal requirements to run her own industries or fall to meet allied demands, chiefly French, for annual dellveriea until such time as the Lena coal region ta restored to normal production, which will be nearly ' ten years. By FRANK H. SIMONDS. Either way, then, either by reduced to The Tribune. coal exports, reduced. In fact, to noth WASHINGTON, March 1. Many feme lng, or by reduced production of goods,con-oy alone can pay her postponed and now fixed tar March Zti. which Germany the loss of the Upper Silesian the Upper Silestan plebleclte will In ho querors, district would directly and materially alight degfte determine the fate of Ger- weigh upon allied interests. It would remove the last chance of any adequate are anq affected la Small as the many. payment by Germany, as a consequence Inconsiderable as Is theyfraction of Ger- of the peace terta manys 60,000.000 people dwelling in this corner of old Prussian territory, It la Future Is Dependent I do not thing It la largely an over hardly too much to say that If the dec! slon goes for Poland the economic disaster Statement to say that tha future of Ger Industrially, at least, depends upon for Germany will be Irreparable and the many, tha retention of Upper Silesia. She naa German capacity for payment of reparaalready lost 60 per cent of her Iron detions very greatly reduced. posits and become absolutely Independent practice upon the outside world and In the examination of this Upper SileFrance for the Iron essential in sian problem, as of all similar disputes upon her lost She has Industries. her great between rival races, there are three sepof potash, as a consequence ol arate elements to be considered, namely, monopoly Alsace of the cession deposits to the historical, the ethnlo and economic. the And it may be remarked. In passing, that FTance. In addition to coal, she will lose the here, as elsewhere, one of the moet zinc deposit In Europe, If Upper greatest from of arlaee all complications baffling Silesia goes to Poland, together with the fact that the ethnlo and economic valuable lead mines and a material fraccircumstances seem to demand quite option of such Iron deposits as remain to posite solutions. her. As long as Germany retains her for great coal fields ahe will have a basis th History Favors Germany. exchange with France of iron, but ifelseTo start with the historical element: coal la lost, then ths Iron will go Unlike Posen, West Prussia, Galicia or where, to Poland rather than to Germany. even the Lithuanian lauds now Iq, dispute, Upper Cilegia has no recent Polish his- Fight Is Economic. tory. It was actually separated from the after all, that It Is on the economic aide, Polish kingdom not less than seven cenfor Upper Silesia has been turies ago. as early as 1163, and was ths battle the treaty conferencs fought. In ths Paris 9 united with the Bohemian crown in presented to the At .this later data even a nominal of Versailles, asthefirst Poles Upper Silesia Polish connection disappears and Upper Germans, gave It was modified under Brttisn Silesia' passes to the house of Hapsburg outright. came to VerIn due course of time. Sharing the fats influence after the Germans for the plebiscite. of Bohemia. In 1742, following Frederick sailles, to provide to the moment present hour that From the Greats shameless attack upon Mans the German have been fighting to eacapa Theresa, all Silesia, Including tbs upper the be recalled will that ail plebiscite. It friction, becomes Prussian; and Prussian of Dr. at offer and Slmona proposals It has remained up to the present moas 'they were, London, unsatisfactory ment. upon wer mads erthelesa contingent Hsorically, then, there Is not much to nei a decision for Germany In the Upper be for the Polish claim upon ths Indeed, -Slleeian pleblneltes Yr- ho- the title ww extinguished Intervenmore titan seven centuries ago, while the maneuver wa to obtain allied to make to Insure a German decision, ret on has belonged to Hapsburg and tion the plebiscite a mere form, rather than 1ml "nzollern, thst Is to say, German trial. real a s. for as many centuries. Historthe subject of the result of this vote ically, then, the decision la patently to be allOn A battle has la idle. x speculation made for the Germans. been conducted In this region for nearly two years, during a large part of which Band Ethnically Polish. ( tim there have been allied troops, whoa Examining the ethnic elenient, however, presence alone prevented actual warfare. quite a different situation la discovered. If, as the Germans Insist, separatist senla Of a total population of 2,200,00, German timent relatively recent growth statistics, notoriously inexact and par- among the Polish populations. It la still tial, disclose that not less than 1,200,000 undeniable that the feeling has mounted are Polish by speech, against 600,000 who rapidly In recent month and that at the are the rest being divided among present moment the Poles are at least aa several minorities, notably Czech, sanguine aa the Germans of the outcome. On the German showing, then, not leas Probably never In history has there been than 67 per cent of the Inhabitants are such a battle of rival propagandas as has Polish, while 41 per cent are German. taken place In all the Silesian district In And in point of fact one would !)ardly the laat year. exaggerate In asserting that statistics based on realities rather than Prussian Other Influences at Work. official data would disclose that nearly Nor ta the battle Influenced solely of the people If not actually The German conn of this district are Polish by tongue and local circumstances. ed their cause won when tha bolahevista by race. they approached - Warsaw laat summer; promwere counting on a similar effect of Similar to Alsace-Lorrainised bolshevlst offensives In the present We are here, then. In the presence of spring, coinciding with the time of election and persuading the Pole of Upper quessometh'ng like the tion, where the French claim rest upon Silesia of tha advantages of remaining solid historical basts, If ths past threa German and thus escaping tha war. But the Russian revolution centuries be taken as the basis' for calculation, while the German rase depends has apparently made a new red offensive Upon the fact that the people of the two unlikely, while the allied Invasion of the border provinces are by speech in overRhine district has served to supply arguwhelming majority German, save in the ments to the Poles for a secession from a restricted Lorraine area about the city Germany subject to foreign occupation of Meta. Actually the decision must be and apparently In for prolonged foreign had by consultation with the Inhabitants, disturbances. g All Information from Upper Silesia sug with the majority m that the election will ba attended who have already demongeat strated unquestionable preference tor by disturbances, perhaps actual riots, tnat French rather than German rule and with every form of fraud and Intimidation will side alone, but g the majority In Upper be resorted to, not by on aa to whether The problem Silesia, whose wilt la now to be deterby both. mined In the forthcoming plebiscite. ' either aid will aocepi in good faith, or Historically German regard being had even under anything but tha most drasfor recent centuries ethnically Polish. tic pressure, the verdict at the polls, which Upper Silesia la beyond all question of bill be frankly suspected both by Foies argument economically a vital portion of and by Germans, may wall ba considered the German stats. To put the thing di- as carrying one more manse to tha peace rectly, Germany will lose her position as of Europe, a first-rat- e nation economically if Uppar Silesia votea to become Polish. To be1 World Problem Raised. sure, the fact la equally patent that II But there I a larger side to the whole Poland acquires that aama territory aha Bllealan question. If It la obviously will, in turn, become one of the greatest Upper Impossible and vn,Jmmoral to attempt Industrial powers on the European conti- to fore tha Poles, provided they prefer nent. but this will be at the expense ot Polish allegiance, to submit to the rule of Germany, whoAe retrogression must D a German minority, It Is not less unmisrapid and complete. that with the loss of Upper SileWithout attempting to plunge Into that takable to sia Germany ther la raised a hew ea of statlsttoa which the German propafor all of Europe, for the wboie gandists have supplied to impress and problem I shall not world. to discuss perhaps to bewilder the foreign observer, more extensively tha attempt of tha Upthe simple facts about SUealaq production per Bllealan situation relation to th whole eco, , . are these: nomic situation of Germany. The articles of Raymond Swing, recentCoal Source Threatened. New York Herald, ly published In th In 1013, the last year before the world have furnished th most romplat and satwar, the coal production of Germany was. isfactory Illumination of German economic In round numbers, 117,000.000 tons. Of conditions which he have had since the this total a full third was produced in outbreak of tha world war, but the slighttwo regions, which may he lost to Ger- est examination of these articles warmany, namely, the Uppw Hlleslan and the rants th conclusion that the real fate Barra basin. Of the slightly mors than of Germany, tha real question at to 60,000,000 tons produced In these two dis- whether sha can restore herself and In retricts 43,000,000 were raised In the BU- - storing herself not alone meet reasonable demands for reparations, but In ad dttton furnish a market for exporting na tlona, tha first of which la now the United States, hlngea upon a favorable decision of tb Bllealan plebiscite. In reality, Germany-- - has left only on on which- to- base her recogreat assetaside from her machinery and nstruction her highly trained population, and thla re-IS coal. But It Is precisely at this coal source that the Bllealan plebiscite strikes Without coal, without tne Silesian .coal, Alsace-Lorrain- - of Upper Loss SUNDAY AIORXIKG, ' MARCH' I ..1 20, 1921. -- , A i loet. her potash monopoly broken, her. merchant marine In enemy hands, her establishment colonial permanently 10 other hands. passed Hlleslan dlstrlbt Th loss of th la ' 1 1 i , does not carry Upper with It any substantial X less than per changa cent. At least 67,000,000 Germans will boundaries within modified the till live of th old empire. But the modifications In population, of frontiers will have deprived these ot a very large portion of thee resources, out of which were constructed German economic prosperity In the last of th nineteenth century and th quarter first decade of the twentieth. A sltuatton not wholly analogous, but not leas strikingly suggestive of the present plight ot Silesia Threatens Econom Would Injure Allies. But under the treaty of Versailles, Geric System, Simonds Says. many was compelled to pay the allies an Austria will result. annual tribute of coal of upwards of of tons. This total has been re- Coal Is Last Asset. Inability of Europe to Pay American Debts Would Be Result, Declares Writer. 8rut , ' 1336-133- ter-ilt- oj gJ-i- - ou u, two-ttyr- e. Alsace-Lorrai- Russo-Polis- German-speakin- Alsace-Lorrain- e, Polish-speakin- Would Make Poland Great. Tor this week ws sr ing are-o- Trainee for only 97.75, with case, oomploto. tttriadtoe aramlnakloa f poor ifN. Oar yiloM m you GLOBE Airy OPTICAL COM? 17 Toon hi Balt Lake ' ff Bhsl-Ts- x Bast Bad Booth Walker Bank Bid. ' Let ui look for a moment at the alternative. Suppose that the majority In the election favors a union or, as the Poles would say, a reunion with Poland. We shall redognls at one that thla means that Poland will become at ones a great Industrial country. 6h will bav tne coal of Silesia, th oil of Gallola, tb vast of tne lands esresources agricultural quired alike from Germany and from Russia, ah will have also th great textile establishments which, even before th war, mad Lode on of th great manufacturing centers of Europe. 8ns will bav. In addition, with th slow or ewlft relntegratloft of Russia, which must follow, an even greater monopoly1 of tne Russian markets than ah bad before tne war. world " UnqustlonaKlyBrltIh. French, American, even Oerman. capital will flow to Poland In auah a clrcutnatanoe and tha tlm la not far distant when Poland, which will have nearly 36,000,009 Inhabitants, If present frontiers stand, and an area greater than that of Italy or of tne British Islands, will become on of tna great powers of Europe, always aaaumtng, a large, but not Impossible, assumption, that Poland la able to consolidate her position at horn and la spared th new perile of further bolshevlst Incursion and the not less dangerous poaatblllty of a German attack. Provided Russia evolves toward order and Germany remains restrained by the western allies, Poland will her time to organise and tlm ran matt her one of She great factor In th new Europe, Industrially aa wall aa from th military sen. But what of urmaayT Suppose that a few dav hence, following th lose of her Upper BUeelan territories aa a result ot LI not alone the supcoal necessary to enable her to and other raw materials purchasebutIronto feed her own furnace and abroad, her own factories. She supply power for will be exactly In the aituatlon of a mantown, whose plants are still inufacturing whose tact. but machinery has been parbecause some floor or fire has cut alysed off the motive power and the raw material essentia) to feed the mills. This, after all,- - Is measurably tha Austrian situation, although It must be confessed that the Austrian plight ta more Germany plies of will lack and more completely prospect of remedy. terribly present tore m A' without Some Might Say It Is Impossible Could Not Maintain Population. In such ft state of affair It la absolutely hopeless to look to Germany to pay not merely tha cost of actual reconstruction of devastated Franoe and Belgium, but any bug fraction of these cos- t- Aa tor all other Itema they may be dismissed ft fantastic. Th brutal truth la that without her coal, her Iron and her merchant marine, Germany cannot maintain her own population. Lloyd George hah athat Britain, despite her inlready hinted position, is raced finitely mors fortunate by the necessity to export many millions of her people. As for Germany, thus Its a Broad Assertion and, of Course, Competitors Will Say But Gray Bros. Are ShowingNthe Merchandise That Justifies Every Printed Statement So-Calle- d Newspaper space is by far too expensive ill which to announce a dissappointmerit. The plain truth is good enough for us. Gray Bros, have not built the greatest clothing business in ihe intermountain west on mere promises. J to maintain more stricken, her capacity of people Is not even to than 40,000,004 save be discussed, only as some change, approximating a miracle, may com. Our Famous Y ear Round Special Prices Speak for It Is, then, ths fate of Germany, which is at stake in Upper HileSts; but the fate of Germany has a direct bearing upon th condition of tha rest of the world, it pay her victims the Germany cannot which Is only a modest fracown losses due to the Gertion of their man attack, those nations cannot pay u the 311,000,000,000 In government loang which they owe us. It may even be questioned whether they can pay us tha 34,000,000,000 of additional credits which have been extended following the rerusai of th United States government to make further loans. Actually our chance ot money back Is directly cogetting our ntingent upon Germany's paying her In the last analysis our recouping .depends upon German payment. vto-tim- e. Would Paralyze Market. But. putting aside the question of th loans, we come down to the more Immediate question of the foreign market If Tipper Silesia "goes Polish th risk in further credits for Germany, by which alone we can dispose of our surplus ot cotton, dstuffs. of other raw materials becomes absolutely and fooprohibitive. The European market will be paralyzed, so far aa credit Is concerned, with all that this must moan to tha American producer, For the farmer anAThe coal Is the laat resource of Germany, and a and of her with her surplus portion home necessities lost, aha can only continue to meet allied demand by closing down her own factories, while If aha fails to meet French demands, French factories must close. So much for tha economic aide, bearing as It doesbutupon American conditions there remains the pomanifestly, litical. France la bankrupt if Germany does not pay. Germany has now refused to pay, and French as well aa British and Belgian troops are In the Ruhr region. The loss of th Bllealan districts would warrant Germany in demanding such I reduction of allied claims aa would leave aa a Franoe with ofan Intolerable burden dellD-eraGerman attack and consequence devaetatlon. The only possible counterbalance for France, the only possible offset for this burden, would be tne reduction of Germany to such a state not hav to fear or that Franc woulda new Oerman attack. provldo against of A Germany 40,000,000 Instead of would leave Franc sat. France Must Remain Flrml ' And, th mors France feels that this whole reparations campaign must end in French disappointment th mors hopes of getting th money diminish, ths mors France muat look toward ths otner solution, which la th reduction of Germany to the situation which preceded tha Franco-Fruitio- n war and that great Industrial expansion of Germany, resulting from th development of German resources In coal, Iron and her creation ot a great merchant marina. Therefor. FYench policy win not dictate a modification of French demands, although German inability to pay becomes more and more unmistakable. Aa for Germany, In such a situation, who can fall to ao that sconomlo and political disintegration are both possible, it not certain? go far tha Oerman economic aituatlon has been held together. Hut ta chief Influence baa been th hop and expectation that British and American baled upon sconomlo policies, would! In tha end lead to Intercotton-growe- r. ta - Gray Bros, have always stood solidly against the practice of most clothiers in marking merchandise on the principle of WHAT CAN WE GET? Gray Bros, are building solidly on the policy of LOWEST POSSIBLE PROFIT PER GARMENT AND BIG VOLUME and our thousands of satisfied customers are most convincing proof that : our plan is'RiGHT: 7 old-fashion- vention on German behalf, iscites or reparations claim before plebhad actually to to ot ruin tho operate Germany. begun At London, however, the hop of British America temporarily vanished. support silent Tha Polish question now remains cornea up for aettlement; If Upper Silesia be lowt, th Oerman depression can hardly be measured, th oonsequenoes of such despair lie outside ths area ot any rea- sonable Strikes forecast. at World. In aum, then, ws hav arrived at on of the Innumerable criaes whlcn ths Faria oonferenca. And have followed again, aa ao often In Parla, we aes sconomlo and political considerations squarely in opposition. Th nationalistic cirwhich more has isd to th Baikan-laln- g cumstance, of mlddl Europe with Incalcuiaoiy now threaten to deal an even heavier blow to the whole ecostructure of nomic Europe, of Germany of all other nations In dut first, but Even the United States can course. hardly hop to cap from th If. In thla Imtance, th economic shall th thnlo, th gain for world prevail over will be obvious, although no ona stability can fail to rsoognla tnat th defeat of tho legitimate hopes of the Poles will lead to bittern m and may even provok violence. But la any event, the1 whole ed Buy Your Easter Suit at Gray Bros, and Save to We Guarantee the Saving We stand behind our merchandise, our advertising and our prices. The styles are correct the qualThe Gray Bros, label is your guarantee ity is A-See those extremely popand absolute protection. ular hairline stripes in two- - and In no other Salt Lake models. store such tremendous assortments styles to satisfy any mans desires. l. three-butto- n double-breaste- 1 evil consequences, d cones-quenc- of reparations, th whole laau question of what Germany can pay, let alone wnat ah must pay, to enable th United States,- - gull tha much aa Fraeeej'con-to situation, la cap from th existing vote In th Upper Sileupon tingent election and upon 253 South Main Street - y Gerthis, sian many, but all of her creditors, are anxiously waiting. provided Oarmany wins, w may bar new Oerman proposition, an aacaps from th prmnt deadlock and an avoidance of furthar military operations on the Rhine. I. Blmona. at London, offered many concession contingent upon a th plebiscite) he can, favorable nauttof Inface-sax with a show lug, make even more favorabl proposals, If Silesia ''goes In but any other event, all German, from Germany muat b for ieaa than tha sum any French government oan and International chaos possibly accept muat result, and by chaos I mean at tna beat, a prolongation of tha existing tan-io- n end at worat an explosion In Oarmany or In the domeatl polltiua of hsr conqueror; Infee a word, a nw unsattis-maiof ths dominant uses- la ths not-onl- le xt Ity of tn (Copyright, world to 1611. gt beck to bjr McClure Bynalcat. ) "nor-malcy- ." Nwepapr RECEIVER'S HANDS. POCATELLO. Idaho, March 16? Th People's lllghlln Ditch eompany, operating an Irrigation ditch near Moreland, ha gon Into tho hands of a receiver. Ths who received th service of th psopl water supported tb eompany for tone tlm. but war unabl to hoar th accumulated burden after th officials declared they wsr unable to finance th Venture. Th canal furnished moat of th water for th agricultural tract surrounding Moreland and Vicinity. IN HORSE SALE Jeroms, Idaho, March 26, 1921 Cleanup sale on draft stallions, Mammoth jacks, mares and geldings. S Registered Stallions 2 Mammoth Jacks R. K. Mom & Son AT HALF PRICE COMPLETE PRINTING MULTIGRAPH OUTFIT AT FACTORY COST Several Cash Registers. , AT FACTORY COST THE TYPEWRITER CO., 319 South Main 6L Phone Wasatch 21C0. t |