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Show Page 20 - THE HERALD. Provo, Utah, Friday, May 11. 1984 Huge Winter Wheat Harvest Will Add to Surplus smaller than a By SONJA HILLGREN 1982 record wheat acreage was enrolled initially in this year's acreage-idlin- g program, which was less extensive than last year's acreage reduction. After a new law was enacted this spring to pay wheat farmers cash to get them to idle part of their acreage to hold down surpluses, farmers were given a second chance to enroll. Results of the second enrollment, which ended May 4, will be issued next week. Enrollment is expected to surpass 60 percent of overall wheat acreage. Even though last year's payme- of 2.11 billion bushels. UPI Farm Editor - AnWASHINGTON (UPI) other bumper winter wheat crop, just 1 percent smaller than last year's, promises to pile more wheat on top of existing surpluses. In the first official estimate of 1984 winter wheat production, the Agriculture Department Wednesday projected the harvest at 1.98 price-depressi- billion bushels, indicating the acreage-idlinprogram may g make only a modest dent in the harvest. Last year's crop of 1.99 billion bushels bushels was just 6 percent Compared to last year, a smaller yield this year will more than offset increased acreage. However, the estimated 1984 average yield of 38.2 bushels per acre would be second only to a 1983 record of 41.8 bushels per acre. The department's Crop Reporting Board predicted farmers will harvest 51.8 million acres of winter wheat, up 9 percent from last year and 80 percent of the area they planted. Last year, farmers harvested 76 percent of planted acres More than 50 percent of overall program was the largest acreage reduction in his nt-in-kind ing Board said the crop was in "mostly fair to good condition, except dryland areas of Texas and (the) Southwest, which rated poor." The crop in Kansas, the largest winter wheat state, was estimated at 395 5 million bushels, compared to 448.2 million bushels last year. The department said the Kansas crop suffered from insufficient moisture during planting last fall. In another report, the department tentatively projected 1984-8- 5 world grain production would be a record 1.596 billion metric tons, 8 percent greater than the previous crop. tory, wheat surpluses accumulated because a record winter wheat yield offset much of the cutback. Even before the coming harvest begins, overall wheat supplies in excess of demand are estimated at 1.4 billion bushels and prices are in the doldrums. The winter wheat crop, planted last fall, will be harvested this and summer. Winter wheat sp-is accounts for about of the nation's wheat crop. Winter wheat development is behind schedule this year because of cooler than normal temperatures this spring. Nonetheless, the Crop Report- ng three-fourth- The department said the new estimate, if realized, would be 3 percent larger than record world crops harvested in 1982-8- The increase was based on expectations that grain production will rise 1 percent in foreign nations and by about 50 percent in the United States. The department predicted that the world wheat crop would be a record 498 million tons, up 2 percent from production, and the coarse grain crop would 1983-8- 4 be 794 million tons, up 16 percent from 1983-8- 4 and up 1 percent from the Major Steelmakers Push for Quotas; 'Mini-Mill- 7 Operators Say They'll Hurt - WASHINGTON Will (UPI) steel import quotas help solve the woes of the American steel industry, or will it simply transfer the problem to other segments of the industry? Major steelmakers say the Fair Trade in Steel Act will allow America's steel industry to recover losses resulting from unfair trade policies of foreign steel producers. But representatives of "mini-mills- " in the East say the act will hurt their efforts to compete. Those are the central issues as the U.S. International Trade Commission and a House trade subcommittee continue hearings on a petition by Bethlehem Steel Corp. and the United Steelworkers of America for quotas limiting steel imports to 15 percent of the U.S. market for at least five years. The import level was 20.5 percent of the market last year and 25 percent during the first three months of this year. "Temporary relief is needed now," Bethlehem chairman Donald Trautlein told the ITC Wednesday. "With relief, the domestic industry will be fully competitive within five years. Without relief, the industry will be denied the cash flow to finance the modernization recognized by all as needed." Executives of Kentucky and '' told Maryland steel "mini-mills- a House panel Tuesday import quotas threaten to shut down their plants by cutting off irreplaceable supplies of semifinished foreign steel. In testimony in a House trade subcommittee, officials of the Maryland Specialty Wire Inc., in Cockeysville. Md., and the Ohio River Steel Corp. in Calvert City, Ky. strongly objected to legislation that would limit foreign imports to 15 percent of the U.S. market lor up to five years. In late April, leaders of major U.S. steelmakers such as U.S. Steel Corp. and Bethlehem Steel Corp. urged Congress to approve the legislation, calling it necessary to reduce the flow of government-subsidized foreign steel that is being dumped on the U.S. market at below-cos- t prices. However, spokesmen for the Maryland and Kentucky concerns said while import quotas might help protect huge "integrated" steelmakers, they will hurt modern "mini-mills- " that now effectively compete in the world market. Richard Nash, president of Maryland Specialty, said the recent imposition of quotas on stainless steel wire rod had severely damaged his company's the industry to another." Wolfgang Jansen, chairman of the Ohio River Steel, echoed Nash's complaints, saying U.S. companies could not provide the raw material needed by his plant, which employs 226 people. Jansen said his company "would like nothing better than to have a safe, secure, adequate and competitively priced domestic supply of semifinished steel in the size necessary to service our needs." "The fact is we don't, he said. "And the further fact is that, if d our supply of the steel we need to make our mill run is shut down, our plant will shut down." Steel importers in the U.S., in briefs submitted to the ITC, say semi-finishe- quotas won't guarantee major steelmakers will modernize. In the past, modernization by the major American steel producers has decreased when the industry has been under protection, according to the briefs. According to the American Institute for Imported Steel, this happened between 1969 and 1974 when voluntary restraint agreements were in effect with producing nations and again in 1978-7- 9 when a government "trigger price mechanism" was supposed to launch investigations when imports came in at low prices. "It is only when Big Steel faces interests. He said the quotas "have not solved problems, bu have merely shifted them from one section of record. 1982-8- 3 GIVE THE MOTHER'S DAY GIFT THAT'S SURE TO PLEASE... vigorous import competition that modernization increases, obsolete capacity is closed, the steelworkers union is pressed into concessions on wages, fringe benefits, work rules," the importers' group said in a position paper. Bethlehem and the union say the trigger price system never worked and that enforcement of U.S. laws against subsidizing exports or "dumping" them below home market prices has not been sunsetJS sufficient to prevent import shares from rising. Another issue is the cost to consumers. Trautlein said imports have resulted in "serious price depression'" in the U.S. steel market. Eliminating this, he testified, would bring the industry an additional $5.9 billion which it could use for modernization. The importers group said the cost of this would be borne by American consumers, through higher prices of cars and other products made of steel. They have estimated the added cost of quotas to consumers at $10 billion a year. 7m it j vf Mmpenn j TENNIS BALLS 1 f Pt'C m'01 r in ! l I ! j 'e"0W l,a"$ : I i yuur unuite pi regular or -- - OffiS I vmm H" mil ! Higher prices, according to the opponents, would hurt the competitiveness of other industries, including automobiles, that use steel. This would be followed, they contend, by new requests from those industries from import protection. 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