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Show SMOOT GIVES ADDRESS TO WEBER G. 6. P E. 0. P. HOPEFUL BUT STRIVE TO 110 MISTAKE Democratic Chances Declared Poor Bui: Leaders Are Growing Grow-ing More Cheerful REPUBLICANS POSSESS SUPERIOR ORGANIZATION Fight to Elect Senators Predicted Pre-dicted to Be Hard Fought Contest iB DY MARK SULLIVAN National Political Corrccpondcnt of The Evening Pus' ii NEW YORK, Sept 25 There are 'i Just five weeks of effective campaign- idk remaining before thi electfc-n At A this moment the leaders and officials ?1 of botli parties, and indep.-ndcul 'oh fi servers as well, can uee the situailon. M aa It exists today, almost as clearly and definitely as if n were muthemat- ffi If ffcc election were held next Tues- day the Republican? would win by a decidedly marked majority 'A As I say, the Republican leaders W know this and the Democra'ic lenders V . know this. But the attitude of the two ' groups toward this fact Is different. Republicans see their advantage, hut are uneasy about it; the Democrats Bee I j their disadvantage, bui are nol incur- ab!y discouraged about It REPUBLICANS FEARTUL The Republicans are fearful Lhttt '.ho ' climax of their strength, ii. s come too j ' early. They are fearful that seme ' thing may happen during the remain- . j! . Ing five weeks They cannot foresee any specific thing thai is likely to , happen, and they feel that all they U. need to do is to avoid mistakes Hut ;ip the rick of mistakes must be rur. The ;f organization caunol Stop functioning I and lock the doors and .s jm p 1 w 'l' : for the iruit to fall The pn std mini jj candidate cannot stop talkinc and le- ;ii main silent until election day. And in &5 both the functioning n! 'he organise- W' tlon as well as In tin l'1 the candidate, there i. always the, Pl4 chance of the mistake of the sort thai Jr might lead to disaster, J With the Democratic managers the feeling is that from now on things will ,' A Improve with them. Not onlv wifl lhe i hi be the certain beneficiary of ?ny mis-1 p,l takes the Republicans make, and M probable beneficiary 61 any accidents 84 that happen. In addition to ttifit here' Sj are detlulte, constructive things which .jB the Democrats feel they are now Jn a ; position to bring about It would not be , jB an accurate statement .if fact tday to I J58 Bay that the Democrats have any ton jfif fident hope ot winning. Their attl- i tude of niind varies of course srith the temperament of Individual Icaaen P There is hardy a leader among the H Democrats but will admil that, as K things stand today, they ar- the los- Km ers. But there .ire plenty of Demo-' Kl cratle leaders who do bellove that ilv-ir 9 fortunes will tend to Increase measure- Kg ably from now on. A few Democrat 1 lc leaders believe It is possible to turn SU the tide completely They point out that things today ar- no worse with Ml tin- Democrats than they were tela I HJ ttvely four years ago. WON IN FIVE WEEKS. Mj It Is a fact that Wilson's lctory in four years ago was won during thei V last five weeks of the campaign. It might eea be aaid ihat Wilson's victory vic-tory La 1916 was won during the l.ust, three weeks of the campaign. In 'he Democratic headquarters . I ti.a linn-I linn-I there was n gallant and dashing group I il . . of workers and leaders who threw Into I the last few weeks of the campaign enough of plunging energ; to turn the I i A tide. Just as one detail, illustrative t of what they did, they telegraphed ad vertisements to newspapers through out the western states to the extent of ! ILi over $700,000. They did It without, a cent in the treasury and ended ihe jilyni . i ampaign with an appalling deficit. but llHr they won the election. Of course tin re Is almost no annlo-y between conditions this year and eon i ditlons in 1916. No one would n turc to predict that what was done then can as readily be done now But! il'll It is true that from this time on there will not be a day when the Republic ii ' ans will not be apprehi nslve ;b rit malutalning the advantage the., now j IN FAVOR OF DEMOCRATS. ! There are two conditions which; : l II ought to operate at least slightly In favor of the Democrats from now on . one Is that ihe Democrats presum-ably presum-ably will achiee some sort of offec J t .e organization I'p to tin presen, ; they l:ae had practically none The ! liner i: that from now on Cox will be doing his campaigning In the crowded crowd-ed tenters of population, where more peoplo can hear him and where more IIB effectiveness ought to attend What ever capacity he has as a spellbinder i M Tnr- stratotrj- of the Cox camjiaign (Contlnuod on Page T-wu j G. 0. P. Hopeful Bui Strive to Avoid Mistake 1 ontlnucd 1 r mi Page ne.) 'so far has not been Impressive. He I has spent the last four weeks campaigning cam-paigning I" the sparsely settled BtatCf i of the west, where he cunnot possi-' possi-' bly make his voice reach so many I people. Even If Cox should earn' halt j of the states he has been campaigning ' in. the actual number of electoral votes he would receive thereby is not Impressive But. Cox is not likely to ! carry anything near half of the States I he has appeared in Pome of thes states, like Michigan and Orecon. are so sural Republican that Cox's time ) there ha?x been wasted. DEMOCRATS si n 1 I V Cox's tour through the sest ht-s been minutely followed, of course, hv the managers of both parties nl oy 1 Independent observers as well. The I reports received have been to the I f-fect f-fect that Cox's presence has everywhere every-where stiffened up some Democrats who were waveriripj. bUl that nowher has he made large groups of inverts in-verts if Cox's campaign in the west was intended to win lare xroupf of the old Roosevelt progressive he has failed. Cox is now xxlthln n week of completing com-pleting his Ion western swing The i vice presidential candid ite. Mr. Roosevelt, Roose-velt, long ago completed his trans-Mississippi trans-Mississippi tour Whatever the Democrats Demo-crats can do In the west has 'een done and the net or isll report iboul conditions as they are today is'that the Democratic chnncs In 'he v n si have not been Improved beyond What they were at the beginning Of the Campaign. From now on. ''ox's speechmakinK will be done Ir. tn. ' more crowded centres of the sent, In those centres he has a larger ctuttiev. j but his last chance, to be effective MAINE l IK'I IO I A good deal of the confidence of Republican loaders i? based, quite !"t- irally, on the result of the Maine election elec-tion Two weeks of painstaking post mortem over that eent have not revealed re-vealed any convincing explanations thai e.n give much confidence to he Democrats The most persuasive explanation 1 have seen from aJDemw-Icratie aJDemw-Icratie point of view Is to the erreei 'that the c ms of the Maine n mt vras the lack of effort an the pari of the Democratic nrganlsati'ir to bring lout the votes of the Demcraric women wo-men 1 have seen an snalysis cf the vote in Maine, which Indicates that the vote j or the men In Maine divided in 1 way I that wis not much less favorable to th I Democrats than normally But, as to ; the vote of the wonv-n. there can ne no doubt that the Republican organ lotion was completely mobilised; and m ide thorough work of petting Re-; Re-; publican woman registered and bringing bring-ing them to the polls. The Democrats, Demo-crats, on the other hand, had almos I no organisation, and there is yomc ground for accepting the theory that the Democratic women voters were neither registered nor brought to 'he P REPUBIiH IAN8 SURPRISED. The Republicans were complete!) surprised bv the rlze of their Maine majority. Preceding the Maine election elec-tion I received many letters from many persons well posted on Maine Conditions, among others. I had letters from one of the two Republican United States senators, from thr. 1 of the four Republican congressmen, from the Republican state chairman and the Rr publican member of the national committee In none of these letters did tho writer predict a larger Repnhllean malorlty than 30,000 On election da) the head of the Republican Republi-can organization In Maine telegraphed to the national organization in N'ew York that his expectation was a malorlty ma-lorlty of 25.000. Hut the present Republican confidence confi-dence does not - sst on rne more r t of a malorlty of C.VOOO In Maine The Republicans hive, ss ihe Democrats Demo-crats have not. a minutely organized mechanism reaching down into -every precinct, from which they are able to gel dependable reports as to onditlons l every precinct and township In the OOuntr) The net of these reports in such as to Indicate that If the election were held next Tuesday, tne Republicans Would not only win. but Win by a record-breaking majority 1 in savin this i am speaking only ; Of the presidential election. In what; is nulla a imuortant to the Repub-1 1 jlicans, the control of the f nited States senate, the story Is different. In orler to win a comfortable majority ma-jority In th senate the Republicans will have need of all the organization and all the resourcc-H they can command. com-mand. If this fight for control of the nate were not overshadowed by tne presidential contest, the public would recognize It as a spectacular fight Omitting the .southern states. ,n which a Democrat Is sure to be elected, elect-ed, there remain twenty states In which there are acute contests for the senate. In all but one of these states the Republhan candidate for senator is sure to run behind the Republican candidate for president. Kentucky Is the only state having a senatorial contest In which it Is expected that the Republican candidate for senator will do as well as the Republican candidate can-didate for president. For one example the Republicans hope to carry Connecticut for Harding Hard-ing by 50,000, but they concede that Brandcgce may run anywhere from 10.000 to 15,000 behind Oregon Is mil' of the nio"t conspicuous example The Republicans fully expect and nearl every Independent observer i'd-tnits i'd-tnits that Harding will cany iregon by a large majority. Harding may 1 aiT.v Oregon by as large a majority SS Roosevelt did m 1904; that Is to say by over -10,000. Nevertheless, person who claim that Harding will carry Oregon by over 40.000 admit that it Is quite pes-ibb- for the present pres-ent Democratic senator, chamberlain, to retain his seat. Kor capturing control of the senate by a majority large nough to ie uoni-j fortable, the Republicans have a stiff job on their hands I (Copyright 19J0 b New Vorl; Evening Eve-ning Host, lnc 1 |