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Show Roosevelt to Bar Third Term; Plans Memoirs; Say Intimates By CEORGI R. HOLMES WASHINGTON, July 31 (INS) President Roosevelt will not stata publicly and irrevocably that he will not be a candidate to succeed suc-ceed himself in 1940 but he has told intimates ho will not bo, that he can conceive of no circumstances that would impel him to run again. The reason for not making a definite def-inite aad public disavowal at this time is simple. If he did he would lose caatrol over his party in congress con-gress it Is already slipping and there would ensue a mad scramble for place and preference with an eye to 1V4U, in which scramble the remainder of the New Deal program pro-gram might bo lost la one af his fireside chats. Mr. Roosevelt stated hia "great ambition" ambi-tion" waa to retire in mi, with the "assurance" that the nation waa proeperous, at peace, and marching march-ing ahead oa the road of ever-Increasing Democratic government Sincerity Credited Those who are really close to the president credit absolutely hia sincerity sin-cerity in thae statement. They aay he wanta nothing more than to retire re-tire to the squireahip ef Hyde Park and devote the following year to writing. There is a history of the New Deal ta be writma and Mr. Reoeevelt wants to do the Job himself. him-self. Such being the case, and assuming assum-ing that he will take himself out of the picture at the proper time, it becomes possible So appraise the position po-sition ia which the Democratic parity par-ity finds itself. The New Deal honeymoon, which has lasted for four and a half years, is about ended. There la aomethlng very akin to real revolt in tke Democratic ranks iln congress today. It atarted with I the ill-fated court reorganisation scheme. There Is another real revolt re-volt en over wages-and-hours legislation, leg-islation, with tha conservative southern wing of the Democratic party leading it. South Loses rreatlge Slowly hut surely the Democrats of the deep south are edging away from -the New Deal They have bad little stomach for a good part af the program anyway. The Democratic conservatives are extremely uncomfortable. And ehey are looking forward to 140 with misgivings. The rapid growth of powerful Democratic machines ma-chines in the north and west already al-ready has diminished the power of the eouth la Democratic affairs. The two-thirds nominating rule was abolished at the Philadelphia convention con-vention last year, and the eouth ao longer holds its traditional veto power pow-er in naming candidates. When the Democrats aaaemble to nominate a presidential candidate in 140 it will be by a simple majority, and the Democrats from north aad west will be ia tbe majority. Berkley s Sua Rlee There will be no dearth af candidates candi-dates when and if Mr. Rooaevelt effaces ef-faces himself. At this time there are few who questioa that she president presi-dent aad his friends will dominate that convention, aad select its candidates. can-didates. Who theee candidates will as. it is. of course, far too early to speculate upon. Recently, observera have been looking with newly-appraising eyes oa the aew leader af the aenata, Al-ben Al-ben W. Berkley af Kentucky. He was tha White Houae cheioe for the leadership, and waa an original Roosevelt msn. Geographically he ia well situated. |