Show II Coun Country CountryWide try Wide I Canvass Indicates I JY ck and s nd Presidency t 1 t B Y l lI lId lIl HERALD RAt RAtA l d A I Is I AN P ARII Nation Wide Political Poll Shows Drift Is Toward Pr President in ini s i Practically Tied Race Races HUGHES HUGHES' LEAD CUT Never in Memory ol of of Politicians of Today Has There Been Contest Contest Con Con- test Close as This This' One B Bj BS rb f Sp Special di News tr NEW NE YORK Oct 21 The 21 The Ith fth instalment of the of-the the NeW y York erald s political poll shows that he be drift is towards President Wilson Vilson in in a practically ti tied d. d race Hughes plurality IS is 3 27 7 out but of t f i total of straw of t i k kin k n bY h N Ne V Y Jerald erald ii lq in six SI e erald's erald s information follows Copyright 1916 by the New York er erald ld j any All U Rights Rest Rese d ct L y Vi tin h ef election just fit ift fifteen een en Jays aYs avs off the pr presidential r tide Js is lifting toward Pre resident Breiden Wilson Hughes has baa m made made- slight gains galas In intes ates tes es which are norm normally IY Republican an gut ut ut which bleh are this year in fn n doubt Tho president nt has made mad gains in intas intes ates tes tas which are ordinarily n. n but which this year are not in doubt but are likely to decide the ele elec elee- tion lon fon I The states in which Mr Hughes in ine in ine e Heralds Herald's straw votes has made ains gains are jare New York upstate Connecticut Connecticut Con Con- Idaho lass 1 Massachusetts Mo MoLana Mori M n tana Lana South Dakota and and Jew ew Jersey WILSON GAINING The states where the president has I loads invade ad gains are Illinois Indiana Maryland Mary- Mary land Michigan Minnesota Nebraska Ohio Washington West Nest Virginia land and Wisconsin T As was first noted in the Herald on September 24 24 it is a neck and neck tt ra race e f for r the the presidency Mr Tr Hughes pas as had the lead because of th the noral nor norr norral mal al strength of the Republican Republican party pasty nd and the amalgamation of th Progressives Pro Pro- with the Republicans But But he has been losing He Ha is much weaker than arty President Wilson has 1 gaining He lIe He is mu much stronger tha h j party arty The iThe two are now practically ly tied tied r for r fi be e lead I Using as u a basis t the thi old time strength N of ot the R ep n party and ande the e comparative vote lot of Taft and Roosevelt with that of Wilson Vilson it ity teas y necessary sary at atthe the o of the t cans can can- vass s for the Democrats to make huge gains to give the them what t would ap- ap approach an even start with their political po po- rivals Bat they h ha bm all an that ap appears ars n the aria str riv vote male made these gains on on page Date paJe 2 NATION WIDE CANVASS SHOWS RACE ABOUT TIE Continued from page 1 and are now on what amounts to an even footing with the Republicans Out of ot a total of ot straw votes taken in thirty-six thirty states Mr Hughes has a plurality of or Last week out of or a total of or he had a plurality of or In this grand total however there are Incorporated votes from California This is out of proportion to the r rest st of or the country California California- is from all aU indications now discernible the one Republican stronghold which is holding true to its standards Therefore Therefore Therefore There There- fore it would be hardly a fair computation computation computation com com- to include so large a group of votes from there any more than it would to include the same sam number from a state like Tennessee or North Carolina which are Just as strongly Democratic LABOR FOR WILSON If the vote of California were cut down two thirds which would make it it commensurate with commensurate with the rest of or thu th i states the closeness of the contest as I revealed by the total straw vote would be more apparent For instance if Just third one of or the I votes were included the total tabulation would show a majority o of oX for the president S Inasmuch as a very large proportion i of or the test ballots are necessarily gathered in what are presumably Republican Republican Re Re- publican states it is 15 only fair fail that attention attention at at- I at should be called to the California California Cali Cali- fornia situation call I Never in the memory of politicians politicians' of today has there been a contest I which approached the present one for closeness I I It is like a yacht race where an extra puff of wind or Just a zephyr on the closing stretch may drive one across the finish line first Labor is overwhelmingly for the president BRAINS DIVIDED Business is almost a unit for the Re Re- publicans The great middle class small class small merchants merchants merchants mer mer- chants clerks brain workers generally gener gener- ally ally is is divided and it is next to impossible to ascertain how hov it stan stands stans s. The indications obtained in the Heralds Herald's Heralds Herald's Her Her- ald's aids polls to date show that these men are inclined to favor the They and the silent vote which is more numerous this year than ever before will decide the elec Lion tion There are indications in several parts of or the country that branches of or orthe the railway industry are turning away from the president on the theory that they are being deluded by the Adamson Adam Adam- s son n law The Republicans are con ducting a most vigorous campaign to convince the railway workers that this is true They are ire making progress In some places but in others the railway employees employees em em- operatives and oth others rs are almost almost al ale al- al most a unit for the Democracy REPUBLICAN GLOOM The Republicans say that the th e almost sensational drift of wage earners to the tile Democracy in the last month has reached its highest point and that the swing back has begun and will continue continue con con- till election day It Is conceded by the Republicans that unless there Is a swing back there is some tion for Republican gloom In addition to the lab labor r drift to the Democrats there is in all the lican states a small but steady drift of ot Republicans to the the- presidents president's contention conten conten- tion He Ie He has kept us out of w war r. r There is likewise a steady drift of or Democrats pf of the business winging swinging into line for for Mr Hughes A study of the percentage tables published publish in in ri the Herald toda today shows the sweep of the tides which are ru running run rim ning In the present campaign SHIFTS FAVOR WILSON When the Heralds Herald's first straw vote tabulation was published the president was receiving 45 per cent of the Uie total vote vot cast He went the second week to 46 remained there for fora a week and In th the last compilation given today he is re receiving 47 per cent On theother theother the theother other hand Mr Hughes in the first computation received 52 per cent of the total vote and is now receiving 50 per cent In the comparative shifts from party to party and from the Progressives the president makes gains also The total to to- tal gain of or Mr Hughes fr from m all sources sources from from Roosevelt and Wilson 1912 was 1912 was roughly four to one over the president Now it is less than three to one SWING TO PRESIDENT The Hughes gain from the Roosevelt Roosevelt Roose Roose- velt vote of 1912 in the first tabulation was approximately four to one Now it is about three to one The percentages percentages per percentages of gins gains in all the states from the Progressive ranks show that in the tile Heralds Herald's first computation Mr 1 Hughes was receiving 77 per cent and Mr Wilson Wil Wil- Wil Wilson son 21 per cent of the Progressive vote Now Mr Hughes Is receiving 75 per cent and arid the president 23 percent percent per percent cent of ot the same vot vote The swing has unquestionably been in the direction lon of the president |