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Show every election since 18G8, but have always al-ways been disappointed by the returns. In our judgment a fair list of reasonably reasona-bly doubtful states is the following: Sew York 36 Indiana 13 Connecticut 6 Colorado 4 Nevada 3 Iduho 3 Montana 3 Total 0 Of these. 61 are from the normal Republican Re-publican list, which leaves 201 in that column. Nine are from the Democratic column, which leaves 171. The Republicans Repub-licans will have to gain 22 votes from this doubtful column in order to succeed, suc-ceed, and the Democrats would have That is the situation. Study it out for yourself and arrive at your own conclusion. If you are following Jthe campaign closely your judgment will be as good as anybody's. A few things are apparent. First, i Habuison's chances are decidedly bet- j ter than Cleveland's, because the normal Republican strength is far above the normal Democratic strength; and, second, because he has gained most by the new apportionment. We believe the only doubtful factor in the situation is the Third party. No one can foretell how much figure that will cut. We only know that as a rule third parties have not amounted to much in this country, and that of himself Weaveu commands no strength. The discontent of silver men in the far West and the Alliance movement in the prairie prai-rie state furnish all the vitality the movement has. Without the Third party Hakrison'8 election would be practically practic-ally beyond question. As it is, he can lose twenty votes in thei'e western states and still win, if he holds his ground in the East. The Times believes Harrison's chances are far and away the better. Nothing short of a political revolution can defeat him, and the signs of such an upheaval are no more marked this year than they have been at this stage of several other presidential elections. PRESIDENTIAL CHANCES. What are the reasonable probabilities of the results of the presidential election elec-tion one month from today? The question ques-tion cannot be satisfactorily answered, because men's hopes and prejudices warp their judgment. Advices from Washington and the national headquarters headquar-ters of the Republican party confidently claim that Benjamin Harrison's reelection re-election is certain. Msny Democrats claim to be equally confident of Cleveland's Cleve-land's success. The fact is, that the only way to arrive ar-rive at a perfectly satisfactory conclusion conclu-sion is to take the figures of the electoral elec-toral college, make your own deductions deduc-tions and rest calmly in the belief that what you desire will happen. Then you will be perfectly happy until you get the actual returns. Here are figures to base your calculations calcu-lations upon, showing the normal strength of both parties. They are based on the vote of the states in 1888. and the votes in the new states at the last gubernatorial elections. Under the new apportionment the electoral college will consist of 444 members, 223 votes being necessar3r for a choice. This is an increase of 43 over 23 votes coming from enlarged en-larged representation in seventeen old states, and 20 from the admission of six new states. NO KM A L REPUBLICAN STRENUTH. New. Old. California 0 8 Colorado 4 3 Illinois 24 2J Indiana 15 15 Iowa 13 13 Kansas 10 i) Maine - 6 6 Massachusetts '. 15 14 Michigan It 13 Minnesota. 9 7 Nebraska 8 5 Nevad:'. 3 3 New Hampshire 4 4 'ew York 36 . 36 Ohio - i 23 Oregon 4 3 Pennsylvania 33 30 Rhode Island.. 4 4 Veriuo.it 4 4 Wisconsin 13 11 Idaho 3 North Dakota 3 3 South Dakota 4 Washington 4 Wyoming 3 Total 2'i3 233 Increase of 29 over 1888. We put only five votes from Michigan Michi-gan in the Republican column, as that state will choose electors on the dis-. dis-. trict system and four of them are conceded con-ceded to the Democrats. Allowing for i that change, and giving the Republi-i Republi-i cans the same states they carried in 1888, and the five new states admitted ' to be naturally Republican, and tho Republicans have 2G2 electoral votes, or a majority of 39. KOUMAL DEMOCRATIC STRENGTH. Now. Old. Alabama 11 10 Arkansas 8 7 Connecticut 6 6 e.invare..; 3 3 Florida 4 4 Georgia 13 12 Kentucky 13 13 Louisiana 8 8 Maryland 8 8 Mississippi U 8 Misxouri ; 17 16 "mv Jersey 10 9 'North Carolina 11 11 South Carolina 9 9 Tennessee 12 Vi Texas 15 13 Virginia 12 1J West Virginia 6 6 Michigan 4 Montana , 3 Total... 183 108 Increase of 11 over 1SS8. Carrying the same states as they did in 1888, and gaining Montana and four votes in Michigan, the normal Democratic Demo-cratic strength would be 182, or 41 less than a majority in the electoral college. col-lege. Now, r.'hnt' are the doubtful states? Democrats claim that nearly all of them are doui!ful, except Maine and Vermont. Ver-mont. They have made such claims in |