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Show 1 Soihiiig Wmg with ar fmay ' t t , , . I i ' - J .i. ' - . 1 " ") t ' m ffi ... r I . ! Judith Gorman, of Houston, Texas, has been battling polio s of her life. After she was stricken two years ago, she went home from the hospital with braces and crutches. Now she's back at the Southwestern Poliomyelitis Respiratory Center In Houston for an operation which doctors hope will help. The center is one of icveral sponsored by the March cf r- - -- s for respiratory polio cases. Volume 42 Number 26 Delta, Utah, Thursday, December 27, 1951 $3.50 a Year in Advance Oak City Gold And Green Hall The annual Gold and Green ball, sponsored by Junior and Junior Gleaners, will be in Oak Cily recreation hall Thursday even-ing, Dec. 27. The public is cordially invited to attend, and a good time is assured. Roger V. Babson Gives Views Of Outlook For 1952 1. Excluding defense orders, the total business volume in 1952 will be less than that for 1951. How-ever, National Income in 1952 will be very high, as war orders take the place of peace production. GOVERNMENT CONTROLS 2. The outstanding feature of 1952 - - barring all-o- war - -- will be the Presidenital Election on November 4, 1952. I comment further upon this under paragraph 48. 3. The Administration and its economic advisors appear firmly convinced that radical inflation is about to break next year. But the "brain trusters" are overlooking the fact that the boom is already old and that it was creaking badly when the Korean War broke out. The date of the slide has only moved ahead. 4. Farm income will continue high in 1952. 5. As 1952 wears on, the effect of controls, increased taxes, and high prices will cause a decline in legitimate business. If civilian production declines too much, the public may then cry, "This is a governmentmade slump; let's cha-nge the Administration." 6. If in 1952 it becomes, evident that business is declining too much as a result of government curbs, the planners at Washington will rush their patient into an oxygen tent. LABOR OUTLOOK 7. Many labor groups will be successful in getting another round o wage increases in 1952. Al- - exploitation and accompanying fear of inflation are not yet as their peaks for this business cycle. 19. States and Municipalities will again be under pressure to find adequate sources of revenue. Fur-ther increases in sales taxes by States and Municipalities can be looked for next year. 20. There will be increase in "luxury taxes" during 1952. DOMESTIC TRADE UNCERTAIN 21. Credit curbs will continue to hold down the demand for automobiles and certain household equipment. Completions of fewer dwellings will also act as a dam-per on furniture sales. 22. Falling demand fnr hard demonstrated. 36. Successful investors of 1952 will be those who have the PAT-IENCE to follow a carefully plan-ned investment program. Suth a program will emphasize diversifi-cation - - not only by the company and industry, but also by quality and cash. 37. Highest-grad- e taxable cor -- porate bonds should hold in a nar-row price range during 1952, but I see no reason for individual inves-tors to buy them unless they are CONVERTIBLES. 38. With present high income taxes, bonds should continue in good demand. Inves-tors should see to it that their bond maturities are carefully div- - ersified, with some part of their bond funds maturing each year. As there usually is not a good market for ts when an estate is liquidated, it is wise to hold only such bonds as will ma-ture near the time ot one's pro-bable death. REAL ESTATE ACTIVITY 39. Much of the recent real es-tate boom was the result of easy credit - - almost nothing down and small payments for years hence. Under the recent legislation there will be fewer small homes built in 1952; but some credit restrictions will be modified. Mortgage money should soon be had on more liber-al terms. goods should stimulate the pub-lic's spending for food and lower-price- d soft goods. 23. The above trend forecast will mean a decline in department store volume. I predict a rise in the sales of variety and drug chains. , FOREIGN TRADE OUTLOOK 24. I believe that armament is to become a new and permanent industry at least for many years to come. Airplanes, tanks, artillery, guns, and munitions will constant-ly bereplaced as they become ob-solete. This new activity will op-erate much as the automobile in-dustry has operated. I forecast that this will be more and more re-cognized throughout 1952. 25. Barring new war develop-ments, I look for continued shrink-age in our civilian exports during 1952. Imports, however, may rise further. Exports to South America will be off. Total foreign trade should not be changed much, but the exporters will be on the short end of this business with the im-porters gaining. 26. Except for war supplies, it will become more difficult to con-vince Congress that additional heavy credits should be granted abroad. 27. Many domestic manufactur-ers will feel increasing competition from foreign merchandise. A cry for increased tariff protection will be heard; but no radical tariff legislation will result. MORE DEFICIT FINANCING though there may be more impor-tant strikes in the first part of 1952, there should be a decline in work stoppages in the last half year. 8. Tightness in the labor supply will continue through 1952, par-ticularly in highly-skille- d workers. Wages of such workers will be ad-vanced voluntarily in order to hold them. 9. The Taft-Hartle- y Law will not be repealed during 1952, but may be amended. The Administrators of the Law will continue to wink at some of its clauses. COMMODITY PRICES WILL REMAIN FIRM 10. Wholesale prices of many commodities will suffer a mild de-cline in 1952, when compared with the price level for December 31, 1951. In some lines the drop may be quite steep from the high lev-els of 1951. Retail prices for 1952 will hold steady. 11. Commodity speculation for a rise will not pay in 1952. Further-more, our expanding stockpiles of strategic materials present a real price threat in the event of a peace scare. Such stockpiles could then act strongly as a depressant on prices. Wise merchants will op-erate with only a conservative in-ventory. 12. The cost of living will remain high during 1952. This prediction recognizes that living costs next year may continue above the low-er levels that existed during the first half of the year now closing. I also predict further rises in fre-ight and passenger rates. 40. Nonessential commercial bun ding will be hit in 1952 - - but, barring World War III, controls will be lessened rather than in-creased. 41. The decline in new bulding will continue to throw a wet blan-ket over speculation in vacant sub-urban lots during 1952. 42 The scare caused by the Korean- -China War and fears of an early outbreak in other sections will adversely affect the demand for big city real estate. This fear, however, is declining and many who had put their city properties up for sale are withdrawing them. 43. Small sustenance farms should hold up well in price as these continue to be valuable in-flation hedges. Demand for large commercial farms, however, should weaken as the year progresses. 44. Any swing back toward rent control will act as a further dam-per on new apartment house build-ing. There is as yet no incentive to build homes for rental income, although rent control is gradually lessening. 45. Tighter credit controls will make it more difficult to improve older residenial properties. Hence, the prices for these should weaken even though these are now the best buys. 46. Volume of money and credit in circulation will continue to in-crease to about the peak of a few years back. The big rise has been in credit. Much of the credit increase is "secured" by commod-ity and property values that can shrink greatly when defense spend ing ends. DEFENSE ORDERS AND POLITICS 47. Those who can do so should attempt to get defense orders if needed to hold up production vol-umes and reduce overhead. Not too much profit from such war bus-iness should be expected. These contracts will be subject to tight-fiste- d renegotiations. 48. The political outlook for 1952 will be completely dominated by jockeying for position in the Pres-- 28. The first quarter of 1952 may actually see a budget surplus as a result of high National Income and increased taxation. But, a Fed-eral deficit will surely arise dur-ing the balance of the year. 29. Government loans will grad-ually increase during 1952 and there will be some strengthening of basic interest rates. 30. Government bonds will con-tinue to hold tightly between the floor of Federal Reserve support purchases and the ceiling of Feder-al Reserve sales. Un-der such conditions, price changes should be negligible during 1952. 31. While Canada and South have permitted "free markets" or revaluation of gold, because of in-creases in costs of production, the Administration is still opposed. The Gold Stock of the United States is, however, likely to be revalued upward when the nation, in the op inion of government economists, "need another shot of inflation." This will not be in 1952. STOCK MARKET AND BOND OUTLOOK 32. Until the danger of war is past, wise people who can easily do so will move out of large bomb vulnerable cities and avoid having investments in such areas. 33. Sometime during 1952 stocks will sell lower than current quota-tions. This applies especially to oils and certain "blue chips". 34. Stocks now in the best posi-tions for 1952 should be many of those that have not been popular as inflation hedges in the past months. I like good chain variety store stocks, certain movie stocks and possibly the issues. 35. Investment Trust funds, pen-sion funds, and insurance compan-ies may provide an excellent back-log of demand for sound Income t Stocks where good values can be FARM OUTLOOK GOOD 13. Congress will not take any action during 1952 to legally bol-ster so -- c ailed Fair Trade price maintenance. It's too risky politic-ally when consumers are complain ing about the cost of living. But, some manufacturers will tighten up on distributors, eliminating those who won't sign Fair Trade contracts. 14. Barring crop failures, the total supply of food available should be larger in 1952 than for 1951, since the government will raise planting quotas as part of its attack on inflation. If the wea-ther is extremely favorable, the government will be asked to give away surplus crops. 15. With prospects good for ris-ing supply of feed grains, most meat should be more plentiful next year than in 1951. Prices for beef, however, will be held up by high wages and military needs. LOCAL TAXES WILL BE HIGHER 16. The burden of Federal taxes, both corporate and personal, will not be increased again during 1952 above the advance late in 1951,. State and Municipal taxes, how-ever, will go higher again. 17. The above forecast is based on the assumption that unless Sta-lin starts World War III during the early months of 1952, he has made up his mind to forget World War III until the United States and our Allies again "Go to sleep", which may be some years hence. We give this as a definite pre-diction as to the outlook for World War III. ' 18. There are three ways of pre-venting inflation: (1) increased production; (2) decreased spending and (3) as a last resort, increased taxes. I forecast that the curren' idential race for 1952. Barring World War III, Congress will pass very little new legislation except and the veter-ans. some sops to labor 49. Congress will still be domin-ated by a conservative coalition of Northern Republicans and South ern Democrats. This North-Sout- h coalition will still be able to curb onslaughts by New Dealers. 50. Democrats, as well as Re-publicans, in Congress are making every effort to avoid antagoniizng farmers. Again, in 1952, - - as in 1948 - - the farmers will hold the balance of power in the Presiden-tial and many Congressional elec-tions. Midwest states can make or break the Presidential candidates. The labor vote is overrated. Xew Year Iftance Monday Night Deseret slake MIA is sponsoring the New Year's Eve dance Monday night. The dance will be held in Delta high school gymnasium. An orchestra is coming from Dixie Co-llege to provide the dance music. Noise-make- and novelties will be given out to welcome the new year. Everyone is invited to attend. Dimes March On Polio Starts Jan. 2 The annual March of Dimes cam paign to collect funds to fight poliomyelitis will open Jan. 2 and continue through Jan. 31. The coming campaign will be di-rected here by W. J. Starley, and the public is urged to give gener-ously in the March of Dimes. Utah this year suffered the most severe polio epidemic of any state in the nation. Almost 600 Utahns have been stricken with polio to date, which is an incidence count of about four times that of the .nation as a whole. "Thousands of new polio victims with 45,000 patients from other years, still are in need of help", Mr. Starley stated. "Polio is the nation's only epidemic disease still on the increase." Your support of the March of Dimes is needed to help with patient care for polio victims." , New Year Will See U. .1 6 Completed Here The greatest road construction program in the history of the state calling for an expenditure of $10,295,000 during 1952, was ap-proved last Wednesday by the State Road Commission. The commission set aside $365 thousand to surface 33.5 miles of U. S. Highway 6 between Delta and Skull Rock Pass in west Mil-lard county. This will complete U. S. 6 the last link in the span, and bring to conclusion years of endeavor. The route is opened now to traf-fic, with W. W. Clyde construction company having completed work there this week. They will return, in the spring to smooth it up be-fore the oiling is done. Ray Gillis, resident engineer, says considerable traffic is now going over the road, and an hour's driving time is saved over the old route. Friends Learn Of Death Of Dr.. E. R. C. Tracy Dr. Elizabeth Randall Cahoon Tracy died recently at her home in Sanford, Fla., according to word received here Wednesday by fri-ends. Mrs. W. R. Walker had a let-ter from Mr. and Mrs. George Web ster, in California, who had learned of Dr. Tracy's death from Mar-garet. Thompson Clements. Dr. Tracy was a well-know- n fig- - ure for many years on the North Tract. She and her husband, the late Judge Jerome Tracy, arrived in 1911, and pioneered and farm-ed at Woodrow. Her skill as a doc-tor was called on many times by neighbors, and, she is remembered with deep esteem by her many friends here. She was 90 years of age, and for the past few years has been in a wheel chair. Her eyesight had also failed. According to the word from the Websters, Dr. Tracy died about three weeks after the death of her sister, Mrs. Fredericks. She had lived in Florida since she moved from Delta about 25 years ago. Mrs. Clements had vis-ited her there last summer, and Dr. Tracy had shown deep inter-est in news of Deltans. Open House Marks Golden Wedding At Brush Home Open house Sunday at the home of Mr. and Mrs. E. A. Brush will celebrate their golden wedding an-niversary. They invite all friends, both old and new, to call between 2 and 6 p. m. They were married Jan. 1, 1902, in Chelsea, Iowa, at the home of the bride. Mr. and Mrs. Brush came to Delta, Dec. 14, 1913, and have farmed since on the South Tract. All of their family of eight chil-dren and all but a few of their twenty grandchildren will be at home Sunday for the party and as-sist Mr. a.nd Mrs. Brush in receiv-ing. The children are Mr. and Mrs. Ted Brush, Palo Alto, Mr. .and Mrs. Clyde Brush, Oakland, Mr. and Mrs. W. T. Webb and Mr. and Mrs. E. A. Schultz, Hayward, Calif., Mr. and Mrs. F. D. Webb, Eloy, Ariz., Mr. and Mrs. Glen Brush Los Altos, Cal., and Mr. and Mrs. LaVar Ow-ens and Mr. and Mrs. Dee Brush, Delta. Service 31en Far and Near Cpl. Elbert K. Sanford, AF1934-578- 106 Installation Skd. March AFB, Calif. O. P. Barney, YMT3 2544 W. Bertona Seattle 99, Wash. Pvt. D. J. Pratt, US56061917 Co. B. 2nd Med. Tng. Bn. 2nd Pltn. 2131 ASU Fort George G. Meade, Md. Cpl. Oscar Ladd Kelly 47th Motor Vehicle Sqdn. Langiey AFB, Va. MSgt. Glen S. Christensen N.G. 39926671 Btry. B, 145th FA Bn. APO 301, co Postmaster, San Francisco, Calif. Sfc. Grant A. Christensen Btry B, 145th FA Bn. APO 301, co Postmaster San Francisco, Calif. Sgt. Wm. Howard Edwards Fd. Sv. Sch. Presidio of San Francisco, Cal. Pfc. Murray Edwards, Box 207 3390 Stdn. Skdn. Keesler AFB, Miss. Grant Crane 517 Polk Street Port Townsend, Wash. k Cpl. and Mrs. Dean Rawlinson, from Fort Lewis, Wash., arrived in Delta for Christmas with their par-ents, Mr. and Mrs. Frank Rawlin-son. Pvt. Rex Harris, from Fort Meade Maryland, has a furlough for and is spending it with his parents, Mr. and Mrs. Ted Harris. Mr. and Mrs. Harlo Mortensen, from Provo, are Delta visitors for the Christmas season. nationwide Essay Contest Is Announced Herschel D. Newsom, Master of the National Grange, has announc-ed at nationwide essay contest on "Conservation Farming for Abun-dant Living", with $10,000 in prizes offered by the American Plant Food Council,'' for young men and women through 20 years of age, beginning January 1 and ending March 31, 1952. Secretary of Agriculture Charles F. Brannan will be chairman of the national board of judges for the contest. Other members of the board are Dr. Hugh H. Bennett, former Chief of the Soil Conservat-ion Service; Miss Lois M. Clark, assistant director, Division of Rural Service, National Education Assn.,; Dr. R. Frank Poole, president of the Association of Land-Gra- nt Col-leges and Universities; Dr. W. T. Spanton, chief of the Agricultural Education Service, U. S. Office of Education; Miss Jennie Williams president of the National Home Demonstration Council; and Dr. M. L. Wilson, Director of Extension work, USDA. Mr. Newsom, in a joint state-ment with Paul T. Truitt, president o the American Plant Food Counc-il, said that "objectives of the contest are to stimulate new, in-tensive thought and aggressive act-ion looking toward a continuation and improvement of means and methods emphasizing maximum ec onomical production while at the same time stressing the conservat-ion of our natural resources." Prospective contestants are urg-ed to enroll in the contest through their nearest subordinate Grange where full details are available. The contestants residing in the foll-owing states can enter the con-test and submit their essays through their county agent, vocat-ional agriculture teacher, or Soil Conservation Service representative North Dakota, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, Kentucky, Missi-ssippi, Louisianna, Alabama, Flori-da, Georgia. I The following prizes are offered: I National - - first prize, $1,000 cash; J second, $500 third, $400, four, fifth and sixth, each $300. State awards wiU be First prize, $100 cash; sec-ond, $50 and third, $25. Contest judges explain that spec ial consideration should be given to the practical application of the subject to the soils of the contesta-nt's community and that sources of information, other than actual experience, must be credited by the author. Essays may not be more than 800 words and will be judged on the basis of 40 points (or practical application of sub-ject matter, 30 points for effecti-veness of presentation, 20 points 'or originality, and 10 points for spelling, punctuating, and gram-matical correctness. Leon Hunsaker, who has been in the hospital in Salt Lake City for three weeks treatment, return-ed to Delta during the week. He is now walking with the aid of crut-ches. Del Ray Nielson is home from the BAC at Cedar City for Christ-mas with his parents, Mr. and Mrs. Ray Nielson. Engagement Is Announced Mr. and Mrs. Mahonri Cropper, of Hinckley, announce the engage-ment of their daughter, Glenda, Irene, to wed Howard W. Rouhdy, son of Mrs. Lillian Roundy, of Oas-is. , i The engagement was announced Christmas night at an announce-ment party held at the Cropper home from 5 to 10 p. m. A hund-red guests called. The home was decorated with holly and misteltoe. The dining table was beautifully decorated with sprays of holly around the punch bowl that formed the cen-terpiece, with lighted red tapers around it. Light refreshments were served, and favors bore the announcement stating "It's a match- - Howard and Glenda". The young couple are planning their marriage in February. Mr. and Mrs. Lloyd Schlappi and sons are spending Christmas week and New Years' in California. Sutherland Has Holiday Dance Everyone is invited to dance at Sutherland Thursday night, Dec. 27. Bud's Band will furnish the music, and the dance will be in Sutherland ward recreation hall. The dance is sponsored by Suther-land MIA, and is free to the public. I Pvt. Bruce Hilton, from Camp Roberts, Cal., arrived in Delta Mon day evening to spend Christmas with his mother, Mrs. Vera Hilton, and family. Mr and Mrs. Don Morgan and small daughter, Kelly Jo, from Willber, Ore., arrived in Delta Sun-day to spend Christmas with Mrs. Morgan's parents, Mr. and Mrs. Spencer Wright. Jolly Stitchers Plan Meet The Jolly Stitchers will hold their scheduled Potluck meeting Friday, Dec. 28, at 2:30 p. m. at the home of Mrs. lone Dalley. An interesting program will be given. Miss Joha Westerduin spent the week end and Christmas visiting at the home of Mr. and Mrs. Ivo Ogden. Joha is a convert to the LDS church recently coming from Holland. Lt. David Judd, from Fort Sill, Okla., is spending the holidays in Delta visiting his parents, Mr. and Mrs. Thomas Judd. Mr. and Mrs. Blaine Steed spent Christmas in Delta with their par-ents, Mr. and Mrs. Kenith R. Robins Mrs. Steed teaches school at Am-erican Fork, and Mr. Steed is at-tending the BYU. Also home for the holidays from the Y was Robins. L-yri-c Lore Meet At Winner Party The Lyric Lore Christmas din-ner party was held Thursday, Dec. 20, at the home of Mr. and Mrs. Norman Gardner. Mary Bassett, Cora Harris, Carol Schlappi and Thelma Black assisted as hostes-ses. Dinner was served at 6:30 to the following members and their hus-bands: Mr. and Mrs. Rulon Ander-son Mr. and Mrs. Glen Rawlinson, Mr ' and Mrs. Claud Warner, Mr and Mrs. Eldro Jeffery, Mr. and Mr. and Mrs. Mrs Vert Barney, Clair Gardner, Mr. and Mrs. Evan Skidmore, Mr. and Mrs. Evan Gard-ner Mr. and Mrs. Eldon Eliason Mrs. Zerma Schlappi, Mrs. Irvin W. Gardner, William Jeffery, Norman Bassett, Lloyd Schlappi, June Black and Ted Harris. After dinner the group attended the stake play, "The Tinker returned to the Card Then they where Christmas carols ner were Lng. Santa Claus was there entertained all and late pas and handmade gifts to sed out lovely every one. .. Miss Phyllis Winsor, from the AC at Logan, arrived home last week for Christmas with her par-ents, Mr. and Mrs. Perry Winsor. Mr. and Mrs. R. V. Taggart spent Christmas day in Salt Lake City with Mr .and Mrs. Tony Stapley. Miss Carole Haumann, from Salt Lake City, and Freddie Haumann, from California, are home for the holidays with their parents, Mr. and Mrs. Fred Haumann. Mr. and Mrs. Walter Wright spent Christmas in Salt Lake City to be with their son, Wallie, who has been there in the hospital since Dec. 5 for treatment for polio. Wall-ie is doing well, they report, al-though he had two types of polio, the bulbar as well as the spina . He was able to eat turkey and all the trimmings for his Christmas Sinner, which marks quite an ad-vance, as his condition has been critical. His parents return to Salt Lake City Saturday, at which time Wallie will be moved from the Salt Lake county hospital to the LDS hospital for therapy. Mr. and Mrs. Harold Black and Gloria and Peter, spent part of this week in Delta visiting friends and relatives. BYU student is Don Broderick, the holidays with his Stents, Mr. and Mrs. Cloy Broder-ic- |