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The Salt Lake Tribune NATION Ranchers Unwittingly at Center of Wolf Controversy New Madrid Seismic Zone THE ASSOCIATED PRESS GLENWOOD, N.M. — The New Madrid zone in the Midwest produces peace and quiet. They wanted to get away from the growth and and Cummings have found their peace in rural New Mexico member Gavilan Pack of wolves back into captivity That movehaspleased ranch. ers, and some conservationists Hi ranchers who moved to Catron County two years ago fora little tourism around their ranch in the Durango,Colo., area But after two years, Collins some minor quakes have occurred in the past year. ‘Big One’Is Slated To Hit Midwest U.S. shattered. On Dec. 26, a pack of wolves killed one of their cows. Early this month, the wolves attacked WASHINGTON — An earth- quakepowerful enoughtoflatten St. Louis or Memphis, break levees on the Mississippi River anddisrupt the nation’s railroad system and natural-gas supplies is certain to hit the Midwest. The ‘The New Madrid seismic zone, Northridge [Calif.], they would which stretches through Arkan- spend little bit now and save “Tt wouldn't surprise me if we deaths, 12,000 injuries and $15.3 billion in damages, including 114,000 damaged buildings, according to the Insurance Informa- geophysics at St. Louis University in Missouri. “We cannot predict tion Institute. Scientists rank the New how big and how often earth- Madrid region fourth among ac- Center of Earthquake Research andInformationat the University of Memphis, agrees the New Madrid zonecould be ground zero for the next “Big One.” Although such a moveis under we're losing our wildlife because of the livestock industry,” said Michael Robinsonof the Center for Biological Diversity. Robinson contendsthatif cattle were not in the area, there such A are attempting to delay those release: y asking for an expanded environmental review of the plan. The simpler way for wolves to get into the Gila Wilderness would be for them to lope across grazing allotments between Arizona release sites and the escarpments to the east where the wilderness area begins. The Gavilan wolves were the first to head that wayand claim a piece of New Mexico as their territory. Ranchers contend wolves have no place in a region in which ranchers of earlier generations, with help from the federal gov- ernment, killed wolves to the brink ofextinction. Biologists say Mexican gray wolves had been extinct in the wild for decades until 11 captive- bred lobos were released in 1998 in the Apache-Sitgreaves Na- tional Forest in Arizona. Neither Collins nor Cummingshada strong opinion about wolf reintroduction until they started losing livestock. But Col- lins said he has become convinced that the wolf reintroduction will not work. “We're really not ‘anti’ anything,” Collinssaid. “I’m anti-bad judgment. I'm anti-bad science, and I'm surely anti-something that’s going to put me out of business.” Fares may be higher Sunday, Monday, Thursday, and Friday (Each waywith roundtrip purchase) FROM SALT LAKE CITY TO: Albuquerque.................. $97 AMANO Sorc soph shan cues ee $99 ‘Austin .. . $99 Baltimore/Washington (BWI) .... . $99 (New Saturday nonstop service starts January 22) Birmingham. . $99 Bose i Si cecanae Nacemeee $29 Burbank:s 022. dnt cescconan $73 Chicago (Midway).............. $99 Cleveland (<2. concer ae sees $99 thelargest earthquakes in the na- Detolts, sets iors noes $99 mate they measured up to magni- EU PASOGiee case oseeeraceires $99 tion's history — scientists estitude 7.9. There were claimsat the that this is an active earthquake zone, capable of producing big earthquakes,” Johnstonsaid. Johnstonpredicted in 1985 that there was a 40 percent to 63 per- timethat the earthquakes were so powerfulthat church bells rang as far away as Boston. The quakes led Congressin 1915 to enact the Houston (Hobby) .............. $99 (New Saturday nonstop service starts January 22) Kansas City. 0. sicesncs $99 first disaster relief act, despite relatively minor casualties and perience an earthquake measuring 6.0 withinthe next 15 years. damages sparsely still is highly regardedby thesci- site of the strongest earthquake Today, Johnston’s research angered. The Gavilan Pack tive earthquake zones in the United States behind Alaska, California and the Pacific Northwest. New Madrid, Mo., was ground zero in 1811 and 1812 for three of ublic should be aware cent chance the region could ex- ception to that rule, though, and biologists are considering using The Northridge earthquake in 1994 measured magnitude6.8 and wasthe secondlargest disaster in U.S. history, behind Hurricane Andrew. It caused more than 60 quakes occur, butit’s better to be veryprudent.” Arch Johnston, director of the the lease wolves on the Arizona side of the state line. There is an ex- three times thecosts later. Most of the injuries occurred because of damaged buildings.” quake could strike in the next 10to 15 years. More than 200 small earthquakes occur in the area had a quake with a magnitudeof 6 within the next 10 years,” said Robert Hermann, professor of over twoways, neither simple. First, because of opposition to wolfreintroduction by New Mexico game officials, federal biologists agreed they would only re- codes and have not been retro- fitted. “That's not good,” Witt said. “If people could see what I saw at annually. struggle Collins’ and Cummings’ranch,is “wolf heaven,”Robinsonsaid. Wolves can get there in one of cluding schools and hospitals, that do not meet building seismic only question, scientists say, is when. sas, Missouri, Tennessee, MissisKentucky,Illinois and Indisuch a hotbed of activity omescientists say an earth- of a largely cattle-free and entirely road-free expanse just east of But other environmentalists an intense conflict over how pub- have found themselves the focus would be more wild prey for wolves to eat. He also contends wolves should be allowed to run free across national forests in the area. The Gila Wilderness, a it: Wolves that were released in Arizona and recaptured can be movedinto NewMexico. recaptured in the past year, leav: ing three packsin thewild. “People are getting it that plentyof public land andplenty of argument over how that land should be used. Specifically, they Witt said he was most concerned aboutthe large numberof old buildings in the region, in- are generally unopposed to the idea of capturing wolves that huntcattle. would be the second pack to be lic lands should be used in a corner of the state where there is federal government has an emergency response plan in effect in the event of a quake. planning to move the eight and killed oneoftheir bulls. Now, Collins and Cummings find themselves in the middle of Experts say magnitude 6.0 quake possible reintroduction of endangered Mexican gray wolves into the mountains of the Southwest. Eachtime livestock was found dead, dozens of ranchers turned out to watch wildlife officials determine whether the animals were killed by wolves. Reporters kept calling. Now, as a result of a recent confirmation that wolves had killed livestock for the second time, federal wildlife officials are Wilderness, they are going to have to cross cattle countryused by people like Bud Collins and Judy Cummings. Collins and Cummings are . Here is a look at where the fault is located. Biack pointers show tremors in the past 30 days, while gray pointers show where a If wolves are going to move on their own from Arizona to the Gila BY PAMELA}BROGAN Sunday, January 23, 2000 Las VEGAS IF a inci yo sags ss ciiedt $54 because the area was populated. In 1895, Columbia, Mo., was the Little Rocka... 0 ote $99 entific community, although he ever recorded in the Mississippi Los Angeles (LAX) . . admits earthquake forecasting is Valley. Federal and state earthquake emergency management experts. LUbbOCk cS. coven domes: $99 animprecise science. “We have moreinformationtoday than we had in 1985, but I'd still stick with that forecast. Pre- dicting earthquakes is a lot like predicting the weather,’ Johnstonsaid. James Witt, director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, agreed the earthquake threat in New Madridis serious. There are “all kinds of predictions, but Memphis couldbe leveled, depending upon whereit hits,” warned. 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