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Show JIIII II/IIlJllllrlmlll/lI//II/IIII/IIIJ/IIIJIl/II/II/II/IIIJIJ/ II IIlJllllrlmlll lI IIII IIIJ IIIJIl IIIJIJ / I IIdI IIIII / / III / / IIIlil011111111111111111111111QIIIIiI / / / / / / I/IIIIIIIIIIIII/II/IIIIII/IlII/IIIIII/IIII/II/IIIIIII/IIII I IIIIIIIIIIIII II IIIIII IlII IIII IIIIIII / / I IIIIIII / / IIi / IIIiIIIl01111111111 / / / / 11111111111111 / II/II/II/II/llIlIl/II/II/II/IIII/IIIIIIIIIII II llIlIl IIII IIIIIIIIIII / 11111111111nllllllllllllllllllllllllllltlllllllllll / / / / / / / / lII/II/IIIII/IIIIIII/IIIIIIIIIJIJIIIIIIIJ/IIIIIII lII II IIIII IIIIIII IIIIIIIIIJIJIIIIIIIJ / / IIIIIIIINIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIL IIIIIIIINIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIILUncle / / / Uncle Sam Prepares to Count HisChildren His HisI I E Children-and Children and - and How Flow His Family HasGrown Has HasGrown HasGrown Grown Since First Census in 1790 1190 ! ItlII IIOBHII 0200010200020100020100020100010201020202000100000101000100 I IINII IIIIInIIRInIIIIII /IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII/IIIIIIIIII/IIIIIJ/IIIIIII/II1I1I1I IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII IIIIIIIIII IIIIIJ IIIIIII II1I1I1I / II IIIIIIIIIIIIInIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII / / / / I 1020001020090000201000100010102010001020102000200010001020 IIIIIII I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1II1I1I1II1I1J1I1I1II1I1I1I1II/IIllll I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1I1II1I1I1II1I1J1I1I1II1I1I1I1II IIllll II II IIIIII IIIIIIIIIII III IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIUIIII / lllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllmlllllllli IIIIIIIIIII IIIIIIQIIIIIl011111111111f 0002020002 _ _ _ u By ELMO SCOTT WATSONRelea WATSONReleased WATSON WATSONReleased ( ( Relea Released fcy by Western hewspaper l-.ewpaper l.ewpaper l .ewpaper ewpaper - . $ Union ) HE commg coming of a new newyear newyear THE year means a big Job lob for forI I - Uncle Sam For 1940 IS IS"census is"census is"census iscensus "census census " year " and it means meansthat meansthat meansthat that ooce once more he is faced facedWIth facedwith facedwith WIth the task of counting countmg all allills allhis allhis ills his childrenAnd children c1uldren childrenAnd c1uldrenAnd And how his family has hasgrown hasgrown hasgrown grown since he took the first firstcensus firstcensus firstcensus census of its members 150 150years 150years 150years years ago ! Then there were wereonly wereonly wereonly only 3 929,214 929214 , of them Tills This Tillsyear Thisyear Thisyear year it is estimated estlmated that there therewill therewill WIll be more than 132 000 000The 000The 000 000The The first rst 1 census taken m in 1790 1790covered 1790covered 1790covered covered only population The Thecount Thecount Thecount count was made within wlthm a year yearfrom yearfrom yearfrom from the date of the mauguratlon inauguration inaugurationof mauguratlonof of President Washington Washmgton and the theassembling theassembling assembling of the first congress congressof of the United Umted States The enu enumerators enumerators enumerators merators took the name of the thehead thehead thebead head of each fam family y , together togetherWIth togetherwith togetherwith WIth the total number of persons personsm m the family , classified as free freeor freeor freeor or slave The count began on onthe onthe onthe the first Monday in m August , 1790 1790and 1790and 1790and and the law gave nine nme months monthsfor monthsfor monthsfor for the completion of the workDoubie workDouble work workDouble Double Doubie this time tlll1e elapsed how however however however ever , before all the returns were werem werein werem m in Communication then was wasslow wasslow wasslow slow and uncertain uncertam The Amer AmerlCans Amerrrans Amerleans lCans rrans of that day , particularly m in mthe inthe mthe the rural districts regarded the thecensus thecensus thecensus census enumerators with W1th some someSUspICIon somesuspicion somesuspicion SUspICIon , and there were those thosewho thosewho thosewho who thought these agents of the thefederal thefederal thefederal federal government really alffied aimed alffiedat aimedat aimedat at getting gettmg information mformauon on wruch which wruchto whichto whichto to base an tin increase Ulcrease of taxesThe taxesThe taxes taxesThe The report of the first census 1S is 1Scon iscontained iscontained con contained tamed in m an octavo volume of of66 56 pages Discolored and Crlun Crum Crlunbllng Crumbling crumbhng bllng bling with age this tills little bttle book IS ISvery isvery isvery very rare The census bureau bureauhas bureauhas bureauhas has two of the few copies in m ex exIStence existence existence IStence and the Library of Can Con Cangress Congress Congress gress one oneAdams Adams ' ProphecyFour ProphecyFour Prophecy ProphecyFour Four years before the first cen census census census sus was taken John Adams des destmed destmed destmed tmed to become the second Pres Pres1dent President President 1dent ident of the United Umted States had hada hada a vision of the potentiahties potentlahtles potentialities of ofAmerica ofAmerica ofAmerica America which led him illm to pre prefICt prediet prediet fICt diet ( that the population of the thel1mted theUnited theUnited l1mted United States would some tune time tuneel.ceed timeexceed tuneexceed el.ceed elceed exceed : ! . 20 000 000 At that time timeS timekuch timesuch S kuch ch a prophecy seemed bttle little bttlemore littlemore littlemore more than a wild fl ght of the thelffiagmatlOn theimagination theimagination lffiagmatlOn imagination and was branded as asuttorly asutt'rly asutt uttorly utt'rly uttrly ' rly rIdICulousWriting ridiculousWriting ridiculous ridiculousWriting Writing from London where he hewas hewas hewas was minister to the Court of St StJames StJames StJames James he said It has ever been beenm beenmy beenm m my } hobby horse to see rising In InAmerica inAmerica inAmerica America an empire of liberty libertyand , and a prospect of 200 000 000 or or300 300 000 000 of freemen without one onenoble onenoble onenoble noble or king kmg among themIt themIt them themIt It . was v.as vas John Tyier Tyler tenth Presl Presi Presldent President President dent of the United Umted States blessed blessedwith blessedwith blessedwith with a similar slll111ar vision who made madea a slll1 similar ar prophecy though not so soextravagant soextravagant soextravagant extravagant as Adams but at the thesame thesame thesame same time doubtful of fulfillmentand fulfillment fulfillmentand fulfillmentand and missed his guess by only a afew afew afew few years and a relatively small smallnumber smallnumber smallnumber number of millions mllhons of population populationIn In a letter addressed to Col Sam Samuel Samuel Samuel uel Gardmer Gardiner of Shelter SheIter Island Islandwhose islandwhose islandwhose whose son married Tyier Tyler s sdaughter sdaughter sdaughter daughter and dated from the ex exPresident exPresidents exPresident President Presidents s country seat Sher Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood wood Forest Va November 26 261850 1850 Tyier Tyler said In a little littlemore littlemore littlemore more than half a century a peo pee peopIe peepie peopie pIe who were regarded as littlebetter little littlebetter littlebetter better than a host of murderers murderersor or sojourners among savage savagetribes savagetribes savagetribes tribes have attained positIOn positIOnamong positionamong positionamong among the first civilized powersWIth powersWith powers powersWith With a spirit of adventure adventureheretofore adventureheretofore adventureheretofore heretofore unequaled by anythmg anything anythmgwhich anythingwhich anythingwhich which has occurred on the map mapof mapof mapof of the world there is united umted a adeep adeep adeep deep plodding ploddmg sagacity whIch whIchcrowns whichcrowns whichcrowns crowns the most daring darmg enter enterprlSes enterprises enterprises prlSes prises with success Such a pea pee peapie peepie peopie pie . tven t.ven , had they attained attamed that thatwruch thatwhich thatwhich wruch which is denommated denominated a station stationry stationary stationary ? ary ry .Ondltl Ondltl ( . condition in m regard to popu would not to attract attractgreat attractgreat attractgreat great and absorbing ' attentIOn attentIOnBut attentionBut attentionBut But when the reverse is the fact factwhen factwhen factwhen when our population is known knownto knownto knownto to double in m every period of twen twenty twenty twenty ty five years when having havmg now nowa nowa nowa a population of 25 000 000 that thatnumber thatnumber thatnumber number before the child now m in mthe inthe inthe the nurse s arms attains attams matu maturIty maturily matunty rIty rily is destmed destined to reach nearly nearly50 50 000 000 and before that same samechl1d samechild samechild chl1d child shall have passed the theboundaries theboundaries theboundaries boundaries of middle age to 100 100000000 100000000How 000 000 000How How Bow Right Bight Were They TheyT TheyTNow ? Now that Uncle Sam is prepar preparmg preparing preparing mg ing again to count his children childrenit It is interesting mteresting to checkup check up on onthe onthe onthe the predictions of these two Pres Presldents Presidents Presidents ldents idents and see Just ] ust how nearly nearlyrIght nearlyright nearlyright rIght Tyler Tylet they . were .ere ere Although Ty ler let s propnecy prophecy was a bit too op- op optlffilstlc optimistic op optimistic - - timistic tlffilstlc he was not far wrong At wrongAt the time his letter was Wrlt writ Wrltten written written ten the population of the country countrywas countrywas countrywas was 23 2 0 638 He predicted that thatIt thatit thatit It would woula double in m the next 25 25years 25years 25years years aad 8'Jd 8Jd and ' although there are no nofigures nofigures nofigures figures available for 1875 by 1880 1880It 1880it 1880it It had reached 50 262 382It 382It 382 382It It had 1 t I ot of reached the 100 000 000000 000 mark by 1900 as his predic predlC t3jll Poss g SSI0NS r ISH I s H / / r rI rro N I ro / ti > x , 1.0 10 1.0t . t ' w 7 7V V . . . N / V0fstf 0fstf - to ,1 1 , ' 4 4N x V 4- 4 4,1 / # : ? ; / / / / 'IlJ 'I I " ' lJ , o lJo N NR //R// R / / RuF / / / u\F u F \ \ \ : ) Cl Clj j/ j jpA / pA \ N psi j o .4 4 . \ / . / 7 01 . ' 01U ' U UM ' t.r tr 6 . Z.A'M Z.AM ZAM Z.A'MN . ' 111 -11 11 - 11h % - ioii.v.u ioiiv.u ioiivu ioii.v.uo , . . : . 1 ' : N e eioii.v.u . . . . . o saor.s.e saors.e saorse ' + aU eQ h : : t1nAoW t1nAoWaU q < .114 114 . . 1 1eQ + 45 oM . .d.nrwY d.nrwY dnrwY . . , . o .4 4 . .4m .4r .4t .4'f m r 0:8 08 0:8So p e : kJl kJlO . , . & ? c3 So SokJl 'f f 'fp ' f . , fc3 m t O 0 0 oA oAPOP"UTlO 0 0DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION ' , ) , , 9POPULATION _ DISTRIBUTIONoTas oTas , t , " 9 POP"UTlO POPUTlO POPULATION " ' OF THE DNLTED ! ST\.TES ST.TES ST .TES TES STi.TES STiTES STi.TESFIRST \ . . 1 CENSUSUiItED FIRST CENSUS ,1790 1790 , 1790 U UDtld Dtld ' tion tlon suggested for Uncle Sam s sch schildren schildren children ch dren then numbered 76 129 129408 -408 408 - 408 and it was not unt until 20 years yearslater yearslater yearslater later that it reached the mark of of105 105 710 620 Even though the ' ' , doubling process which he heprophesIed heprophesied heprophesied prophesIed did not continue contmue con conslstently consistently consistently slstently sistently there did take place the theamazmg theamazing theamazing amazmg amazing growth m in the nation of of50 50 000 000 people peowe peogZle in m half a century centuryor or an increase mcrease in population of 200 200per 200per 200per per centSo centSo cent centSo So Tyier Tyler s prophecy was not so soextravagant soextravagant soextravagant extravagant as it must have haveseemed haveseemed haveseemed seemed at the tune time And when whenthere whenthere whenthere there is taken into mto consIderatIOn considerationthe the steady increase mcrease during durmg the 153 153years 153years 153years years since smce John Adams madeF made F ' " r l , ri - 9 9y y " 6 * L.z Lz . . i ? IEfIJl IEfIJlv v $ r rMiss 1 _ . _ " " ' . \ Miss 1\IISS 1 IISS \ Mildred 1\hldred 1 hldred Keaton has one oneof oneof oneof of the toughest assignments In Intakmg intaking intaking takmg taking the census She ' covers coversthe coversthe coversthe the Arctic Archc coast from Point Pomt Bar Barrow Barrow Barrow row east to the Alaskan Canadian CanadianIme Canadianline Canadianline Ime line , . the route over which wlueh shemushes shemushes she shemushes mushes ' to treat ailing allUlg nahves natives nativesas nahvesas as a field nurse for the Office of ofIndIan ofIndian ofIndian IndIan Affairsknown Affairs Allaus Affairsknown known his vision even his rus estl esti estlmate estimate estimate mate does not now seem so fan fantastic fantastic , tastlc tastic The 1930 census gave a total of of122 122 775 046 people under the Stars Starsand Starsand Starsand and Stripes Stnpes On June 27 1936 1936the 1936the 1936the the population was estimated at at128 128 403 000 an increase mcrease of 5 627 627954 954 m in six years or nearly 938 000 000a 000a a year The census bureau s last lastpreliminary lastpreliminary , prellmmary preliminary estimate of the na natlon nation nation tlon tion s population as of July 1 11S38 1938 was 130 215 000 an mcrease increase mcreaseof increaseof increaseof of 1 812 000 in the two years smce since smcethe sincethe sincethe the estimate of 1936 That meant meantapproximately meantapproximately meantapproximately approximately 906 000 each year 200 000 000 in ID 2000 AD A D 4Even v 4 ' ) vEven Even though the mcrease increase mcreaseseems increaseseems increaseseems seems to be growing growmg smaller smallerthere smallerthere smallerthere there is still a large enough gam gain gameach gaineach gaineach each prediction predlctlon year to justify the predlc predic tlon tion that John Adams estimate estimateof of 200 000 000 may eventually be bereached bereached bereached reached On the basis of the In Increase increase increase crease since 1930 it will take takenearly takenearly takenearly nearly 70 years and we will prob prob- probably prob- prob probably probably - - ably reach the year 2000 A D Dbelore Dbefore Dbefore belore before we reach a population of of200 200 000 000 in m the USA U S A I IOfficials 1 I 1Officials Officials of the rensus census bureau bureauregard bureauregard bureauregard regard the 1940 census as prob probably probably probably ably the most important and Car far Carreaching farreaching farreaching reaching since smce that first one 150 150yeSlrs 150years 150years yeSlrs years ago For this one will be bemuch bemuch bemuch much more than a mere counting countmg of noses As in past years the thecensus thecensus thecensus census will cover population oc occupatlons occupations occupations cupatlons cupations irrigation Irngauon dramage drainage dramagemanufactures drainagemanufactures drainagemanufactures manufactures busmess business mmes mines mmesand minesand minesand and quarries quarnes vital statistics cot cotton cotton cotton ton production and consumphon consumption consumphonand consumptionand consumptionand and financial statistics statlshcs of states statesand statesand statesand and cities In addition addlhon the census censustakers censustakers censustakers takers will also assemble data dataI datanever datanever datanever never sought before and these thesedata thesedata thesedata I data will bear upon the new so- so socIal social so social - cial and economic situations situationswhIch situationswhich situationswhich whIch ha\ ha hae hate \ e arisen in m the last few fewyears fewyears fewyears years bringing brmgmg with them prob problems problems problems lems that are yet unsolvedFor unsolvedFor unsolved unsolvedFor For this census will also be con concerned concerned concerned cerned with such questions as un unemployment unemployment unemployment employment migrations fromlone fromone from lone | one state to another andaddition and addition additional , , al vital statistics bearing on pub |