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Show Tells How Long War Will Last All Over by End of 1943, Is Conclusion of Amateur Prognosticator. BRONXVILLE, N. Y. Ignatius Donnelly Taubeneck, a mild-mannered school teacher by profession and a one-man Gallup poll and amateur prognosticator in his spare time, predicted: 1. The war will be over by the end of 1943, with the Axis soundly beaten. 2. There is a 50-50 chance of a world depression after the war which will make the 1929 debacle look like child's play. "No tea leaves, no stars, just facts are the basis of my predictions," Taubeneck, 50, said, rubbing his semi-bald head and setting aside a batch of history students' term papers. pa-pers. "Anybody can do it," he said generously. gen-erously. "I just apply scientific methods to human variables. I use the doctor's method of diagnosis on contemporary facts." Through the application of science to human variables, Taubeneck predicted pre-dicted the 1929 stockmarket crash in 1927, and the outcome of every presidential election since 1924 from four to ten months in advance. Predicted Entry Into War. In October, 1939, he predicted America would come into the war through a military clash in the Orient. Taubeneck makes no charge for his predictions and he gets nothing out of them but satisfaction. He says he has been correct 89 per cent of the time. On several occasions, including the 1940 election-when he predicted the third term the previous January, Janu-ary, he has written his prophecies, put them in a ' sealed envelope and had them deposited in a safe deposit de-posit box at the Bronxville Trust company. Taubeneck said his prediction about the end of the war was not to be hailed with jubilation. "We are in for some nasty military mili-tary reverses," he said, "but the tide will turn our way in 60 days." The "global depression," he said, could be avoided by proper economic econom-ic steps being taken now. He's not too hopeful that they will be. taken. Bow He Got Started Taubeneck got interested in predicting pre-dicting to demonstrate to his history classes, high school and college, that any one who is informed can know what is going to happen in the world "even in such peculiar fields as American politics." He gets information from likely and unlikely sources He reads seven newspapers a day, "for balance," bal-ance," and talks to all sorts of people. peo-ple. Although he has several college col-lege degrees he said he learned most "from people, and through the vicissitudes of war" He fought in France in 1918. - "And a lot depends on your point of view," he explained. "The trouble with most people is they are flat mappers. You have to have a global outlook." |