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Show Iceberg Peril IsfNow Acute portnnce to hnve froiu Fur North ouU pimts nccurute data on the Incidence,, direction and velocity of the winds, A third factor Is the ocean currents,! which In general terms are inexorable nnd Immutable In a grander sens they, like Lord Tennyson's brook, "flow on forever." Yet they are subject sub-ject to variutlons, and In the last year which has been one of extraordinary meterologlcal phenomena the worldl over, muny curious aberrations bava been noted In their movements. Take the great lord of all the ocean, currents, the mighty Gulf stream. Itt sweeps majestically up from the south,, bearing an Incalculable volume ofi warm water Into the northern latitudes. lati-tudes. It Is axiomatic that a warmer fluid body assumes an ascendency over a colder one. So the Gulf stream! mounts atop of the colder waters from) the frozen north, swimming along onl the very surface of the sea. Plan to Warn All Vessels by Radio of Route, Size and Speed of Wandering Ice. Washington. More dangerous Icebergs Ice-bergs are expected to make their appearance ap-pearance In the steamship lunes of the North Atlantic this spring than in many years. This knowledge, of great value to mariners ad marine insurance insur-ance companies, has been obtained as a result of the new method of iceberg forecasting, In process of being perfected per-fected by the International Ice Patrol and the United States Weather Bureau. Bu-reau. Eleven years ago," on April 14, 1912, the Titanic collided with an Iceberg la the North Atlantic on her maiden i . , with the breaking off of the glncier ends. The west const of Greenland Is the birthplace of the Atlantic Icebergs. Observations by Lieutenunt Smith show that a season of stormy weather will result in the breaking off of more bergs thun a relutlvely culm season. The vast forces of mountainous waves, raised by severe storms, pound so Irresistibly Ir-resistibly upon the protruding ends of the glaciers that they snap a year or more prior to the time they would fall fVom their own weight. The present season is expected to have more bergs than usual, because the winter and early spring were about the most tempestuous in the history of the weather bureau. The North Atlantic has been vexed by storm after storm. In February, ln- voyage and went to the bottom with some 1,500 persons. There had been many casualties of the sea arising from Icebergs before that. Tramp steamers and sailing craft had many narrow escapes and some were lost., Many of the ships Indefinitely posted as missing on the boards of the world's shipping offices also are believed be-lieved to have been sunk in this way. The appalling loss of the TltHnlc resulted re-sulted In an international conference on the Bafety of life at sea. This conference, con-ference, to which the United States One-eighth part of an Iceberg standsi above the water line: Its great bulki Is below. It Is plain that a small lee-berg lee-berg will not extend so far down intoi the sea as a great one. Suppose that a small berg but even these are great enough to sink any ship la floating down the Atlantic. It encounters the1 , Gulf stream. Tha stream la flowing, on the surface, and, as the berg doeai not extend so very far down Into thej water, the greater part of its bulk 1st opposed to the surface current awl drift where the Gulf stream steers It Then conceive of a great berg of such ponderous weight and size that It Kaches far into the ocean depths. The! Labrador current, flowing south, haai dived under the northward-flowing! Gulf stream. A greater mass of the big berg's bulk Is far enough down to be chiefly Influenced by the southward-l flowing subterranean current Thlsl berg, then, goes south, even against' the flow of the Gulf stream. Constant Observation Needed. The thing needed Is constant obseri vatlon of these phenomena, in relation to the winds and the course of thi bergs, to determine accurately whlchj stream is likely to capture them as It prize nnd bear them off to whatever( Dart of Nentune's realm it Is seeking.- sent Cnptuln Ellworth P. Bertholf, head of the coast guard, agreed upon the establishment of the International Ice Patrol. For ten years this patrol has been maintained, its cost allocated among the maritime nations In proportion propor-tion to their tonnage.' From autumn until spring two American Amer-ican const guard cutters, stanch ships, designed to ride out any storm, patrol the tempestuous seas of the North Atlantic. Each cutter hns a two weeks' tour of duty, at the end of which It Is relieved by the other. If either, or both, becomes disabled, other cutters are dispatched to the patrol. Notify 8hips by Radio. stead of the nine or ten storm areas regarded as normal, some 20 disturbances disturb-ances swept across the ocean. Ship after ship reported the worst buffeting buffet-ing in the memory of mnny shipmasters. ship-masters. The waves which have been 'tossing shipping bII winter presumably presum-ably have been buttering loose the glncier ends at the mouths of the Greenland gorges. The layman naturally thinks of the Iceberg as a tenant of the winter sea, so bleak and cold are Its associations. But it is in winter that the North Atlantic At-lantic Is most free of bergs, because they are still in winter quarters. It might almost be said that the spring has the same effect on the bergs as it has on man, for It Is with the coming of the vernal season that the great mountains of Ice tear loose and go sileutly cruising down into the steamship steam-ship lanes. The Titanic was sailing on an almost summery sea In mid-April mid-April when she struck. The bergs drift south, and In the course of the summer melt away, so that the fall and winter find the, sens again free. So it nppenrs that frequent and accurate ac-curate reports of the incidence of storms In the Far North will be of great value in the forecasting of Icebergs. Ice-bergs. Wind Is Factor. A second Important factor Is the wind. It Is the wind which, pressing upon the crystal snils of the bergs, blows them away from the shore nnd Into the full course of the Arctic drift, then southward to the ocean currents. A season of light winds or of winds from a quarter uafavorable to the movement of the bergs, might conceivably conceiv-ably retard their southward migration long enough to permit many of them to melt. In consequence, It Is of 1m- Lleutennnt Smith has proposed station at Cape Dyer, In Baffin land, which could report n meteorological Conditions, wind nnd weather, and the progress of the bergs as they passed in majestic procession down to the southern seas. Such stations, It Is asserted, as-serted, could chart the speed of the bergs, and mariners would know that when a berg was reported as passing a given point In command of a given , current, with such and such winds, It) would be due in the path of their shlpaj . on an ascertainable dnte. The next few years are expected tot bring many added facilities to the weather bureau In long-distance forecasting fore-casting of icebergs, storms and perlodsj . of moisture or aridity. The science of meteorology has advanced rapldly,j The cutters seek out any Ice which lies below the forty-third parallel of latitude about on a line with Boston. Then they cruise northward. It Is the duty of these Ice scouts constantly to maintain contact with the southern, the eastern and the western limits of the lee. By means of radio they notify art ships within their long range of the position of bergs. Lieutenant Edward II. Smith of the United States coast guard hus Just submitted a special report on meteorological meteoro-logical aspects of the International Ice Patrol which Is regarded as of and all that Is lacking Is more obser-i vntlon stations. The region of the Bering sea off the, Alaskan const and the almost InHC-1 cwslble fastnesses of the Lake Baikal! region of Siberia are the breeding places of the great storms that sweep the world. It has been estimuted that: If the prlnclpnl notions would Jointly assume an expenditure of some $10,-000,000 $10,-000,000 a year In establishing and maintaining outposts In these places and at some other strategic points, the uncertainty of the future, so fur as weather is concerned, would be at an end. The commercial value of longdistance longdis-tance weather forecasting Is Inestimable. Inesti-mable. If at the planting season, t!ie farmer could know the amount of moisture he would have during th growing senson, he could guide his planting and cultivation more Intelll-gently. Intelll-gently. New York Times. special importance. He has recommended recom-mended that the United States establish estab-lish outposts In the Far North to give earlier Intelligence of the presence nnd progress of these bergs than cun be obtained by the patrol. Uls report of observations Is being studied by the United States weather bureau, In connection with the studies of long-distance forecasting of various kinds which It Is making, and there Is a fair promise that the government will take the lead in perfecting tkls new science of iceberg forecasting, as It Is called. An iceberg Is the huge tip of a glacier. A glacier creeps at little more than geologic speed down the gorges of the Arctic mountains, being, In fact, a river of Ice. This river flows Into the sea. The contact with the warmer water usually Is not sufficient to detach the end of the glacier. The Ice Is of tremendous weight, and as it flows out Into the sea It takes the form of a vast beam of solid Ice, protruding pro-truding Into the deep water. Having no resting place on the earth, the j weight produces a greater and greater dnwnwurd pull on the end of the j glacier. When this weight becomes too ponderous the protruding end breaks off. Bergs a Peril In Spring. Tho first discovery In connection with Iceberg forecasting wn that the weather conditions of the winter nnd especially the spring have much to do |