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Show Jilin1- - alir Balt Fake eribanc i li.iil U.S. Exerts Subtle Mideast Force New riduy Morning. March 16, 1979 III k Dully Nt'W s WASHINGTON President Carter lies put Nov let Union on notice (tint coni limed So let suppi m"1 of Marxist South Yemen's atta k on North Yemen could lend to a direct military confrontation with the lil lted States the Srrlioil I'age 22 Criminal Justice Task Force Could Have 'Stayed Home Somewhere, at some time, a Social Services. The legislature president, a governor or a legislature wouldnt hear of it. The task force must have acted favorably on the suggested at least two community i hidings of a "blue ribbon task force, corrections facilities to relieve growing pressure on crowded Point of the citizens committee or advisory comMountain Prison. The legislature mission. only one. And so it went with provided of for members It didnt happen Utah's Blue Ribbon Task Force on recommendations requiting legislaCriminal Justice. Some 24 persons, tive action. A most notable exception Board of all ot them busy individuals with was approval for expanding other interests to attend to, spent Pardons membership. Some of the task force's proposed weeks from September, 1977 to ovember. 1978 complying with a changes which did not require legislalegislative mandate to develop a tive action have been implemented. master plan for the states criminal The coming switch to uniform sentencing standards by Utah judges is justice system one. In sum, however, the efforts of The 1979 Utah Legislature ignored the Blue Ribbon Task Force on many of the task forces recommenCriminal Justice have been minimal dations. With few exceptions it reso far. jected those task force conclusions it Public executives and legislative brought to a vote. bodies frequently call for further The task force recommended de"study of a tough problem in order criminalization of public intoxication. to buy time in hope that problem will For the fourth time in as many years go away or somehow solve itself. the legislature said no. The task force When the study results are in hand said the state should assume in- they are quickly put aside. creased responsibility for operation The difference concerning the and upkeep of local jails. The legislacriminal justice study is that the ture said nothing doing. problems which led to the task forces The task force recommended that creation have not gone away. They the Division of Corrections should be are still out there and may be bigger removed from the Department of than ever. Officials here sa that Carter made it clea' to Moscow that the United States has "vital interests" in the Middle East ml regions, which are directly threatened by the Yemeni border conflict on the southern til) of the Arabian Peninsula, and it will fight if necessary to protect those interests The President backed up that warning with action last week by dispatching a I1 S. naval task force to the Arabian Sea, the carrier Constellation and two missile ships, and by invoking an emergency provision allowing him to bypass Congress in stepping up military aid to North Yemen. Thus Carter, who last year expressed concern over Soviet and Cuban military involvement in the Horn of Africa overlooking the sea lanes used in delivering Middle East Oil, has now drawn a line around the tip of the Arabian Peninsula and warned the Russians not to cross it Significance Overlooked significance of Carters decision m terms of potential confrontation between the superpowers was largely overlooked in the excitement over the Presidents dramatic lastdilch peace mission to Cairo and Jerusalem, even though his urgent effort to seal a peace treaty between Egypt and Israel is part of the administration's new strategy m defending western access to the oil supplies it needs to survive. "There is no question about it," a high official (old me, "the President has made a decision to protect Saudi Arabian and Persian Gulf ml supplies at whatever cost. The line was drawn at Yemen because thats where (he Saudis felt it must be drawn. The naval task force, the arms shipments and military advisers to North Yemen were all decisions that were made at the request of Saudi Tile 149 Los Anyeies by'Kli'-r-f Mans Peculiar Guniiu Arabia." The Saudis are pay mg for the $100 million w hich military aid package for North Yemen includes 12 F-- 5 fighters, fit tanks and 50 i armored personnel carriers, as well as aft and anti-tan- k weaixms and small arms and ammunition The Pentagon is also sending an 11 man U.S. army "mobile training team" to help teach the Yemenis how to use the weapons. Up to 301 U.S military advisors are expected to follow. James Keton anti-airc- Comforting Caution Thats an intriguing controversy that none of the five plants is located raised by closing down of five nuclear in what is generally considered earthpower plants because of a deticient quake prone country. The almost reflex shutdowns analysis of their ability to withstand earthquakes. argue in favor of extreme safety Nuclear power opponents cite dis- consciousness on the part of the NRC. covery of faulty data which led to But the fact that errors in original initial approval of the plants water calculations keep cropping up is a piping system as another in a string source of continuing anxiety, too. of circumstances which prove nucOn the record thus far, nuclear lear power plants highly dangerous. power has shown itself to be as safe, But nuclear power backers mainand in many ways safer, than other tain that the shutdown immediately power sources. And there is little after disclosure of the original mis- doubt that the nuclear power industry takes is furthur proof that every is held to higher standards of safety conceivable danger is promptly adthan others in the same general field. In view of the greater potential for dressed. Some nuclear power advocates damage this is as it should be. We prefer to think of the five plant even say the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) which ordered the closings as part of government implant closings, is being cautious to the posed compliance with those higher point of being absolutely asinine, in safety standards rather than a fresh the words of Sen. J. Bennett Johnston, example of the nuclear monster being In this regard it should be noted crouched and ready to spring. D-L- a. Two Spy Planes In addition, the U.S. Air Force has dispatched two supersocret electronic spy planes to Saudi Arabia to help monitor the fighting in the mountainous border regions. While Carter's quick decision to prov ide whatever U.S. military backup the Saudis have requested in connection with the Yemen txirdcr war has clearly pleased the government in Riyadh, the Presidents urgent pursuit of an UraeliEgyptian peace treaty has not. and virtually all of the other Saudi Arabia Arab countries, radical as well as moderate call Egyptian President Anwar Sadat's peace " to the Arab cause. Although effort a the Saudis continue to provide substantial economic aid to Sadat, they have hinted that this would be cut off if he signs a separate peace w ith the Israelis. But Carter is convinced that peace between Egypt and Israel, the two most militarily ixiwerful nations in the Middle East and both allies of the United States, would have major significance in terms of U.S. policy interests in the region. sell-out- Israel and Egypt welltrained Together, the and forces of Egypt and Israel can stand off any combination of opjHinents that can be arrayed against them in the Middle East. And with the support of the United States, the two are protected from any direct attack by the Sov icts. As long as Egypt and Israel are at peace, the likelihood of a resumption of an Arablsraeli war. at least for the foreseeable future, is just about nil. At the same time, the two nations will serve as a bulwark against further Soviet expansion in the area, either directly or tiirough the use of Cuban proxies as was the case in Ethiopia in the Horn of Africa. The dual Carter strategy of providing direct U S military protection of Saudi Arnbian-PcrsiaGulf oil supplies, as is being done in the case of the Yerrmn border war, and in strengthening U.S. allies m the area, like Israel and Egypt, is a direct outgrowth of the collapse of the proWestcrn government in Iran battle-hardene- well-equipp- Prove Need for Draft It is not surprising that the Joint Chiefs of Staff favor registering men for the draft. After all. the brass is charged with defense responsibility and see the draft as the surest way to produce necessary manpower. But Army Secretary Clifford L. Alexander, their civilian boss, doesnt agree. As a political appointee concerned with wider aspects of the proposed draft, Mr. Alexanders opposition is equally understandable. Is the country ready for reinstatement of the draft or registration of all men? Is it prepared to reactivate Selective Service even to the extent of drafting men into the ready reseive as proposed by Gen. Bernard Rogers, army chief of staff" We doubt it. Mr. Alexander's statement sums up prevailing civilian opinion on the question: "To enact a draft tat this timet, I believe, would be unnecessary, unfair and counterproductive to the best interests of the Army." Mr. Alexander said his opposition extended to dralting men into now d reserve units. Gen. Rogers wants the draft m order to f'esh out ready reserve units said to be some 500, IKK) men short of optimum strength. Since the army secretary says this is unnecessary he should explain why, which he hasnt done as yet. And Gen. Rogers must show that every alternative to the draft has been considered and tell why none is acceptable. There are indications the countrys mood is changing and that some form of military draft may he acceptable if reasonable need cun be proved. But for those of us who under-manne- remember the dissension and general unpleasantness attending the drait that sent men to the Vietnam War, it is hard to believe that conscription can be resumed short of a clear and urgent need that dramatically affects national security. And it must lx a need that can appreciate. If the urgency is there it is up to the military to trot it out. So far, the Joint Chiefs seem to have convinced themselves but not many others. n Kissinger Reflects On Peace Mission New York Times the Israelis thought that the political momentum was going toward the moderates in that part of the world It was quite another thing when the danger for Israel began to come from (lie revolutionary movement of Islam in the east. When objective facts change. Kissinger said, you have to be careful about nasty judgments. I am not saying who is right and who is wrong, he added, but I have already communicated to Cv (Secretary of State Vance) that, at this point, there will be no nit picking from me. (This was said an hour before President Carter seemed to break the deadlock between Sadat and Prime Minister Begin). What about the criticism of Carter's diplomatic tactics? Well, Kissinger said, there were two w ay s to look at these problems. First, do you really get your own way by throwing around the power of the United States? I don't think so. he said When you act in negotiation as a mediator, you have to give both sides the feeling that you understand their unstated concerns. Decline of Influence Also, he added, there was another problem. Anybody who conducts US. foreign policy today has to take into account the decline ol American political influence in the world date it back to Vietnam or Watergate or wherever you like as a bipartisan concern, he but it is a fact of international bfe. You said or macho cannot deal with it by a tough-gu- y effusion, but only by having a steady policy that succeeds. You don't suddenly change. It's like playing chess, he said, and say ing my next move is going to be a checkmate. That way you are bound to lose. Do we have a national philosophy of foreign policy in the United States? We have had a national problem, the former secretary of state said, of coming to grips with the fact that U.S. foreign policy now is more like the traditional foreign policy problems of other major countries. All our national instincts are for final solutions. Our liberals seem to assume that by some great moral assertion we are going to sweep all of mankind into our wav of thinking alxmt world affairs. And we have radical conservatives trumpeting anticommunism on the assumption that they can make the walls of Jericho tumble down. Some Terminal Phase Both of these groups. Kissinger said, seem united in the proposition that there is some terminal phase in the conduct of foreign policy and both are rebelling against the fait that we are in an endless process in which each solution of the foreign policy puzzle is an admission prize to another problem. It is not a he said, Iwcause it cuts across both Sen ire when WASHINGTON This column in fairness really should be signed by former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger because, with his permission, it contains his reflections on President Carters mission to the Middle East. Where are we now? Compared to what has already has been accomplished in these talks. Kissinger said, what remains to be done is so infinitesimal that it cannot possibly fail, and thats what we ought to keep in mind. What's the main question? My feeling, he said, is that this is not the time to go nagging about diplomatic tactics. I think the president faced a tough problem and made a reasonable gamble, Kissinger said. The question that bothered so many people was why a compromise peace seemed so much more illusive recently than it did 18 months ago the Tnat's what needs to be analyzed objective conditions that caused the recent delays. How would he analye these changes or first for President objective conditions Sadat ? So long as Sadat was dealing primarily with world. Kissinger observed, the the president of Egypt could claim that he represented hall the Aral) world in Egypt alone. But with the political and military-collapsof Iran, and the momentum behind the radicals there and elsewhere. Sadat faced, not e only a problem, but a movement in which Egypt was a small minority And changes for Israel? It was one thing tor Israel to give up the Sinai land the oil resources there). Kissinger said. Pan-Ara- b Pan-Ara- Pan-Islami- b kil um Mil Kill Cranes Sure Bet to Beat Reagan in N.H. Primary Chicago Tribune If there is a good bet to be made about the 1980 presidential race, it is that Illinois congressman Philip Crane will beat Ronald Reagan and win the New Hampshire primary, the first in the nation. It is such a good bet that Reagan supporters in New Hampshire as though terrified at the are putting out smear stones Crane potential about Crane and his wife. And the primary is still a year aw ay Professional politics watchers will accoid Crane nothing better than a place in the pack, assuming that he will finish behind the heavies: Reagan, John C onnally, George Bush, and Howard Baker. At a luncheon the other day, Crane himself happily released the results of a New Hampshire poll that showed Reagan leading him by WASHINGTON - 50 to 10. Better Showing all goes as Crane has carefully planned it, those figures will be dramatically changed and all is going as Crane lias by primary day planned it In fact, that 10 percent is a belter show mg than Crane anticipated at this time. But if Crane's adv ant ages include the fact that ne is the ideologu a! equivalent of Reagan but also younger, better looking, more elect able, ar.il rigarded as eonsidei ably more intelligent than the K year-olformer California governor. lbs biggest plus, though, is that Crane is d knowledgeable and skilled as to the winning a primary like New Hampthe crowded circumstances of 1980. GOP Primary It was in just such circumstances in 1909 that Crane astonished Illinois Republicans out a field of 10 opponents in the GOP congressional primary and, consequently, becoming a fixture in Congress. At the time, he was only an obscure college professor. Most of his opponents were much liettcr financed and included some of the more formidable names among Chicago's North Shore suburban Republicans. His devastating!' successful strategy was to move quietly but quickly to build a strong volunteer organization, to identify as scientifically as possible the Republican voters most likely to support him, and move heaven and earth to get every one of them to the polls. Total Vote By outH'rformmg his rivals in these efforts, he won less than a third of the total vote, but m so crowded a field it was enough to come in first. These are precisely the techniques that Crane is using now. He has made 18 trips to the New Hampshire area since announcing his candidacy last August seeking not media exiKisure bid volunteers for his New Hump shire organization. He has 7(MI signed up already and campaign funds are flow mg in wt II ahead ol expectations of shire's in ways Better, the multiplicity of Republican presidential candidates he is counting on to fractionalize the New Hampshire vote is growing, lie expects there will bo eight to 10 ideal for his candidates in the primary strategy. And Crane doesn't even have to come in first All he has to do is to heroine a Issit Ronald Reagan party-matte- front-runne- parties On the politics of foreign iolicy : of the most unsettling things More Conserv alive The Reagan people seem well aware of this Thev have tried to depict Crane as a right-winloon far more conservative than Reagan. Yet recent polls show that of New Hampshire Republicans who know both, 78 7 percent think Reagan is conservative and only (11.1 percent think Crane is. lor foreigncr.s, Kissinger said, is the impression that our foreign policy can tie changed by am new president on the basis of that president's personal preference ... sometime, maybe not within these next 18 presidential (xilitie.il months, he said, but hopefully maybe even in these 18 months, well settle on some bipartisan foreign policy. We can always have tactical disagreements, but a basic American strategy and philosophy of foreign policy is essential he insisted. Ttie lessons from all this present conflict One g The smear ugainst Crane, culled from "conservative Republican political operatives" that obviously included Reagan people and published in William Ixx'b's rampaging, Manchester Union Leader, decried Crane as a playboy with linr-- morals and a fondness for women and whiskey. It also attaekiil Crane's wife, Arlene, as having similar inclinations Iaich has been a Reagan man from the out set. spleen-soake- d Lessons to Draw tliink, Kissinger said, that the lessons we ought to draw, whether Carter succeeds ot fails because if he succeeds in the Middle Easl, he still has (his moderate radical split in that area, which is the fundamental issue now tliink we ought to use our present travails to see whether we can develop some bipartisan conceptions to some of these problems e I The New Hampshire House has unanimously adopted a bipartisan resolution denouncing the 1 sloi les, ('rune. Reagan mas have lo-- t the primary alreadv (Copy i iglit) i |
