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Show w Wednesday, Jan. UPEtL tm wit up p yQgF 9, 1980 projections need nuclear sees energy growth Utility Editors note: This thesis ot the report. through 1978. material was released The plateau last month by Utah about commencing 1973 shows the decline Power and Light as one shows Figure use background informa- energy use in the of energy tion alter our form of for energy use with indicate that it might amount of energy, demographic changes. If we now ask the question, How much conservation can we we effect before government in order to police the distribution of as a subsequent to the Arab damage the time. oil embargo in 1973. economy? we can Since the embargo, arrive at a new energy is use Energy in presented quads per energy use in 1978 and growth rate curve. studies year, where one quad 1979 has again started Numerous have been made which equals 10 to the 15th to increase. If one ignores the attempt to answer this power in British thermal units. In 1978 leveling-of- f period question. Some studies such as Arab the economic setbacks in we used 78 quads of during the 1990s. the those performed, by energy in the United embargo, historical rate of Princeton The Sun Advocate States. and of use Harvard universities has not been able to growth The energy portion research of the chart shows the in the United States suggest that conthoroughly conserva- the issue to either actual rate of energy has been about 4 siderable refute or support the usage 1940 percent per year, from Projected Mure energy source for United newspapers throughout the state. The report states that only with the combined use of coal and nuclear energy can the nation steer clear of severe States function of left-han- d Figure EFFECT OF 1 CONSERVATION ON ENERGY USE IN UNITED STATES' compounded annually. Looking at the right-han- d portion of figure two, the upper curve entitled Projection based on history to a corresponds 4 of rate growth percent per of energy that of from suggest conservation to 40 percent would be possible without seriously damaging the economy of the United States. A study in 1978, for 25 bv example, LaboraBrookhaven tory showed that by the year 2000 energy Figure tor the United State wittl 2 OPTIMISTIC CXL&GAS SUPPLIES' (1 - Quad BTU can 10'BTUs Of rase one pound 1000 000 000 000 000 BTU ot water one degree 9) Projected growth contervatton wh nignrficant year (2 during the period from 1978 to the year 2000. This upper curve, then, represents the amount reduced supplies. of Most the conservation studies growth to 2000; 35yrfrom 2000 to 2025) 08Vyr ( energy in the same manner as we have in the past. As seen from this figure, our usage in the year 2000 would be over 200 quads. Studies have shown 1940 1950 960 1970 1990 1960 2000 that our population is rate growth 2010 YEAR Sourcas BrooMuvan Lab and General EiecMc Co decreasing. Addition- 9udh A0' 0 olo Jk ally, the age distribution in the United States is changing ob an toward older population. These two factors result in a lower overall energy usage. The second curve on the right-hanside of Figure two with the 3.8 d percent growth corresponds per year rate to these marked conservation contribute as much as quads but still allowing for 20 percent of our total 2025. economic growth in energy needs by that the United States, and time. Synfuels Based upon our this is the conservation taken account in subsequent program Figure quads. Studies reported in the Annual Report to Congress, 1978 shows four recent projections tion can be achieved, usage in the United of energy consumption with decreases in through the year 2020 be with values which vary 60 of conservation, might every usage percent or more. on the order of 130 from a low of 155 quads of a Studies with these very quads per year. That to high 200 value is shown on approximately one and quads per year. conservation figures Figure of these Each usually acknowledge corresponds to a 2.35 assumes that substantial percent per year projections growth conservation by changes in the lifestyle compounded in the United States rate through the year reason of high energy would be necessary. 2000. prices and other This appears to be a energy - conserving Indeed, it might even be necessary to reasonable projection effects. On the side of Figure two the energy use by type of energy is illustrated. Of the 78 quads used in OH Co General ElecMc Co Sfcjdtee States, large with energy left-han- d make e. substantive contributions by the year 2025. Utah Power and Light Company was the first industry in Utah to finance development in this area, namely, that of solar heating. It seems reasonable to expect that solar heating of buildings and water can be commercially feasible. A recent study by General Electric in which they reviewed the practicality of altering existing and buildings new designingfor solar buildings heating showed the 1978, 14 are seen to potential for a notable derive from coal, three future energy source from nuclear, four Projected tor Ihe United State with from and hydro We're clearing out our old inventory of overstocked items . Many, many items throughout the store drastically reduced! A geothermal, 20 from gas and gas imports, 19 from oil, and 18 from oil imports. The other data on Figure two illustrates how these various energy sources might expand to meet the total need by 2025. It is useful to 329 trains with cars 100 3200 conventional 500 hopper each, trains, large river barges, trucks and 9 9400 slurry pipelines. initial The requirements for these mines and transfacilities portation would cost approx- imately $120 billion. Bechtel further noted that because of the long lead times in changing over to an energy system based on coal, decisions must be made quickly if such a transition is to be made. The policies made in the next few years are likely to set the course for the rest of the century. To illustrate the associated problems with this magnitude of coal development, Utah Power and Light Company has been We have been f physical That includes 377 long-terservice of Eastern underground our power plants. It mines, 75 Eastern will be several years before we reach that Figure 3 stage. m Rapid expansion of coal production, in order to reach a factor of four increase by the year 2025, will require massive industrial investment and likely will also require changes in the present laws, to relax some PESSIMISTIC OIL&GAS SUPPLIES Projected growth significant conservation with 35yr pxjwth to 2000; 08yr from 2000 to 2025) (2 202$ environmental - stand- ards. requirements to allow this type of expansion. We have assumed in Figure two that these requirements will be met and coal will in fact expand by a factor of four from todays production. Kioto program byatadoroM Box Spring additional 1400 unit discuss the various The Mattress and transport this To increased amount of coal would require an on Coal is, of course, a working the major energy source. environmental reports Bechtel Corporation and has studied coal development of the production in detail mine for the last and has determined several years and it the type of facilities will be at least two needed to expand coal more years before we reach significant production. For example, to production. Even the the coal expand coal by a factor of 4 Bechtel near the surface determined that 692 initially will not be up new mines would have to the quality which we to be opened. need for reliable and Expand coal BACK AIDE QUEEN Western mines, underground each producing from two to six million tons of coal per year. quads from all the working to open one mine portal domestic oil produced new within the United capable of producing about two million tons States. per year in Emery Coal County. Solar Few Examples Shown Here: 232 mines, and eight of President Carter into review these it studies, appears recently proposed that charts. unlikely that solar a synthetic fuels be electric, either as a Energy Sources central station power established in the Figure two again source or as a widely United States, with the of shows the quads per dispersed series of capability million 2.5 electric on solar of producing panels energy usage year as a function of the individual homes, will barrels bf oil per day year in which the be a major contributor by the year 1990. to the energy supplies President Carter energy is used. The top curve of of the United States in stated that tens of billions of dollars two the time span of would be required to interest. to the corresponds this with The reason accomplish conservation principal energy support mode in Figure one, for this negative view extensive the federal with 130 quads per of solar electric is that from year in use by the year the intermittent nature government. In Figure of solar 2000. energy two we have assumed Beyond 2000 it is requires either large that this goal will be assumed that further storage facilities or met. Many engineers and demographic changes backup power sources and increased which would be scientists involved in conservation will be extremely expensive the development of effective in decreasing and do not appear synthetic fuel believe this is an overly the energy usage from ambitious target. 2.35 percent per year it is Moreover, We have further to 0.8 percent per year, uncertain whether the that the compounded annually, development progress assumed from 2000 through 2025. can be sufficient for synthetic fuels effort will become a major The upper curve of establishing practwithin icable systems industry which by the 2, then, Figure time to a the frame year 2025 will have corresponds definite energy indicated.is one form of expanded so that it ofis mode There conservation producing 17 quads through the year 2025 solar energy which energy: nearly as with an annual use in does appear able to much as the present 19 figure 2025 of 160 Dept o( Energy Shell surface of energy by Western surface mines cost-effectiv- which we will be using in the United States by the year 2000, if we continue to use energy 11 energy category shown on Figure two is solar heating. Extensive studies have been made which show that top solar has the potential to make a substantial contribution by 2025. Some studies Addraactonaataat w indualrial Nuclear capacity HmHa(kdto30yr) The requirement for Proaant value DwMingampfiai 1970 1960 1990 2000 2010 2020 Ganaral Electee Co. WeeHnghouee Etectlc Co nuclear expansion that YEAR AafBrookhavanUb DapiolEnargy BachMCcrp rapid ( indicates unless Continued on Page Kllu y Co APPAREL & GIFTS 57 North Carbon Ave. in Price FREE PARKING CLEARANCE SPECIALS All remaining Madman, Catalina Weather Caster, u 3(E the 7) |