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Show S1k1 SIZN SIZNn'd . ! ' N NH n'd nd n'dRD H HE HEar6 XRD XRDar RD ar ar6 ar6ind1the ind1the ind1theNATI nd the theN N NATI NATIONALCAPITAL TIONAL TIONALCAPITAL oN-AI oN AI oNAIAPI ; - ; NATIONALCAPITALJ CAPITAL API TAL TALCarterField J fY CAPITALfY fYCartel Carter Cartel CarterField CarterFieldWashingtonThere ' Field * . S SWashington WashmgtonThere Washington-There Washington There Washington Washmgton -There There - There is no disposi dispoSI- dispoSItion disposition disposition - - tion to laugh oft off Governor George GeorgeH H Earlc's Earlcs Earle's Earles ' opening opemng gun in the fight fightto fightto fightto to nominate nommate Franklin Franklm D Roosevelt Roosevelttor Rooseveltfor Rooseveltfor tor for a third term among shrewd shrewdWashmgton shrewdWashington shrewdWashington Washmgton Washington politicians Very pri- pri privately pri privately - . vately nine nme out of ten men on Capi Capitol . tol toI Hill H1l1 will tell friends that thej they thejthmk theythink thej.think thejthink . thmk think the probab probability Ity is Roosevelt RooseveltwIII Rooseveltwill Rooseveltwill wIII will break this precedent , as he has hasbroken hasbroken hasbroken broken so many others . , There are plenty of people who whoknew whoknew whoknew knew Cah Cal Cahm m in Coolidgc Coolidge fairly well wellwho wellwho wellwho who believe beheve that he be wanted to break breakthat breakthat breakthat that precedent "Ike Ike " " Hoover 10 in 10hlS inhis mhis hlS his memoirs leaves no doubt as to tohIS tohis tohis hIS own judgment on that point pomt , , , and andmade andmade made a very interesting 1Oterestmg ! , ' case to toprove toprove toprove prove itCoolldge itCoolidge it itCoohdge Coohdge Coolldge Coolidge , according accord1Og to "Ike Ike "Ike"Hoover's IkeHoovers " " Hoover's Hoovers ' theory , expected too much muchHe muchHe muchHe He wanted to keep on dec1m1Og declining declining.in decliningin . , in more and more forceful lan Ian language . guage , but to have the nomInatIon nomInatIonIorced nominationforced nominationforced Iorced forced : on him illm Roosevelt , , , observ observ- observers observers observers - - ers think thmk now note now , is not going gomg to make makeany makeany makeany any such mistake mlstah.e mlstahe mlstah.eThe mistakeThe mistakeThe . The two situations are mterestmg interesting mterestmgchIefly interestingchiefly interestingchiefly chIefly by contrast rather than by byslmllarIty bysimilarity bysimilarity slmllarIty similarity Bight Rlght Right up to that day 10 in 10the inthe mthe the Black Hills of South Dakota Dakotawhen Dakotawhen Dakotawhen when Coohdge CoolIdge said he did dld not not"choose not"choose not"choose notchoose "choose choose " " to run , everyone every one assumed assumedhe assumedhe assumedhe he heo.Ild \ wojid \\o.Ild o.Ild would . be the candidate There"as Therewas There ThereR "as as was " R as not a hint of opposition There There"as Therewas Therewas "as as was " no prospect of a fight agamst against agamstbIS againsthis againsthis I bIS his nomination nommabon There Thereft Voas -ft ft w - as not even evenmuch evenmuch evenmuch much discussion of the third term termidea termidea termidea idea . Coolidge was popular , the thecountry thecountry thecountry country was prosperous When the thetOpIC thetopic thetopic tOpIC did come up m in conversatIon conversatIonmost conversationmost conversationmost most folks said the less than t\\ t t0 two tyears twoyears twoyears \ 0 years of President Hardmg's Hardmgs Harding's Hardings ' term termwhIch termwhich termwhich whIch Coolidge Coohdge had served before beforebecommg beforebecoming beforebecoming becommg becoming President in 10 his own rIght rIghtwould rightwould rightwould would not count as making makmg another anotherelectIon anotherelection anotherelection electIon a third termAs term termAs As a matter of fact , Coohdge Coolidge Coohdgenever Coolidgenever Coolidgenever never mentioned any preJudice preJudiceagamst prejudiceagainst prejudiceagainst agamst against the third term idea He HeJust Hejust Hejust Just made it partially parbally clear that he hedid hedid hedid did not ' want 't t ' ant to run again agam And the theRepublIcan theRepublican theRepublican RepublIcan convention took him at atbis athis athis bis his word Whereas m In the present presentcase presentcase presentcase case Governor Earle and some of ofthe ofthe ofthe the union umon leaders have come out outflatly outflatly outflatly flatly for a third term tor for Roose Roose- Roosetelt Roose-\elt Roose elt - . telt \ elt , , more than two years earlIer earliercomparably , comparably , than Coolidge an- an anpounced an announced . - nounced pounced he , would . ould not be a candi candl candi- candidate candidate - . date Coolidge's Coolidges ' announcement was wasmore wasmore wasmore more than seven months after the the1926 1926 election had returned majori majori- majorities majorities . - ties m in both houses of congress to touphold touphold touphold uphold his bonds httnds hands Ever Everybody } body knew knewthe knewthe knewthe the Democratic party was split splitso splitso splitso so wide open by the rehglOus religious rehglOusbattle religiousbattle religiousbattle battle which had come to its chmax climax chmaxat climaxat climaxat I at Madison Square Garden , that thatthere thatthere thatthere there was virtually no hope of Its Itsbemg itsbeing itsbeing bemg being really formidable at the fol followmg following following lowmg lowing election The national nahonal con con- conventions conventions . - ventions were barely a year offTime off offTime Time Inopportune InopportuneThe The opening openmg gun of the Roosevelt Roosevelttillrd Rooseveltthird Rooseveltthird tillrd third term campaign is fired more morethan morethan morethan than a year before the mid term termcongressIOnal termcongressional termcongressional congressIOnal election It resounds resoundswhen resoundswhen resoundswhen when there is a revolt against agamst thePresident the thePresIdent thePresident PresIdent on the part of conserva conserva- conservatise conservative - . t1\ t1 tive t1e tise \ e Democrats so pronounced that thata a harmony conference between the thePresident thePresident thePresident President and the national legisla leglsla legisla- legislators legislators - . torsas tors \ was \\as as to begin begm two days later laterat laterat laterat at the Jefferson Island clubIt clubIt club clubIt It came at a time hme when nobody nobodyreally nobodyreally nobodyreally really knew whether the revolt on onCapitol onCapitol onCapitol Capitol Hill had much popular back back- backmg backing backing - ing mg or not One point pomt about It ithowever , ho\\e"er ho e"er eer howe'er howeer \ \ " ' , was rather obvious Gov- Gov Governor Gov Governor - . ernor Earle , whose declaration at- at attracted attracted at attracted - tracted the most attention , . \ was as m in mrather inrather mrather rather a hot spot It was ObVIOUS ObVIOUSthat obviousthat obviousthat that no matterhat matter \ what \\hat hat might happen happenlater happenlater happenlater later , the Penns Pennsylvania , } lvama governor governorhad governorhad governorhad had made plenty of enemies by hIS hISactIon hisaction hisaction actIon in declaring declarmg martial law at atJohnstown atJohnstown atJohnstown Johnstown He had acted openly openly'when openlywhen .hen hen 'when when , ' . the President was aiding aldmg the thesame thesame thesame same side without any such frank frankavowal frankavowal frankavowal avowal So lots of important folks folksfigured folksfigured folksfigured figured they could shoot a at t Earle arle msafety insafety m in msafety safety , whereas they might not dare dareshoot dareshoot dareshoot shoot at the President Earle's Earles ' ' action tended to make the thePreSIdent thePresident thePresident PreSIdent the target for all such suchshots suchshots suchshots shots at him , and for this reason reasonhIS reasonhis reasonhis hIS timing did not make such a hIt hItat hitat hitat at the White Wlute House as his subjectmatter subjectmatter subject subjectmatter matter might mlght have on some other otheroccaSIon otheroccasion otheroccasion occaSIon _ _ _ occasionTariff Tariff Hearings HearingsThe The same group of interests mterests m in mthiS inthis inthis thiS country \ which hlCh so successfully successfullyobtamed successfullyobtained successfullyobtained obtamed obtained the independence mdependence act for forthe forthe forthe the Philippines Phll1ppmes , long atler afler after the thearmed thearmed thearmed armed insurrection msurrection of Agumaldo Aguinaldo Agumaldothe , the moral appeal of W William l1am Jen Jenmngs Jennings Jennings mngs nings Bryan and the shrewd lobby lobby- lobbying lobbying . - ing mg of Manuel Quezon had faIled failedis , IS now on the job to prevent bemg being beingdeprived bemgdepnved depnved deprived of the fruits of their vic vIe vic- victory victory . - tory toryWhat What has happened is that a Jomt joint JomtCO'11mlttee jointcommittee jointcommittee CO'11mlttee CO11mlttee committee ' , , consisting of experts ap appOInted appointed appointed pOInted by both the United Umted States Statesand Statesand Statesand and the Philippines Plul1ppmcs governments , IS IScondt iscondt isconducting condt . 'tmg tmg eting < ' hearings hearmgs with a view to todetermmmg todetermining todetermining determmmg determining the tariff policy pohcy which whichshall whichshall whichshall shall c\ist c ist eXist \ between the two coun coup couptries countrIes countries trIes after atter independence mdependence is actually actuallyachIeved actuallyachieved actuallyachieved actuallyachievedAt achIeved achIevedAt At first this independence date datebeing , beIng . fixed fu.ed fued m in 1946 , , seemed far oIT off oITto offto offto to the business busmess interests mterests aITectcd affected aITectcdMoreover affectedMoreover affectedMoreover Moreover , at first thenlas there then . \ was \las las eras a q ten tendency tendency tendency dency among those who knew about aboutit It to discount dlscount its importance They Theyfigured figured that there would be onlv only onlvrecommendationsthat onlyrecommendationsthat onlvrecommendations recommendations-that recommendations that - that v/hen v hen when / thei the I I I recommendations reached congress congresswould congresswould congresswould would be time enough to make a afight afight afight fight . They knew they hid h"1d h1d " won when whenthe whenthe whenthe the test came in congress By Byshrewd Byshrewd Byshrewd shrewd Jog log logrolling rollmg rolling they had wog woa wogenough woaenough wooenough enough votes to give the islands the themdependence theindependence theindependence mdependence independence act So they thoughtthe thought thoughtthe thoughtthe the came same log rolling would be sure sureto sureto sureto to work next time , which " would "auld auld be be.they bethey . , they thought , , when the recommen recommen- recommendatIons recommendations recommendations - - dations are formally taken up in incongress incongress incongress incongressAlso congress congressAlso Also , a considerable group of ofthose ofthose ofthose those interested actually nctually knew noth noth- nothmg noth- noth nothing nothing - - ing mg about the hearings henrmgs There was wastoo wastoo wastoo too much going on in Washmgton Washington Washingtonfor Washmgtonfor for the newspapers nev.spapers nevspapers . to get excitedabout excited excitedabout excitedabout about hearings on something willch which willchwould whichwould whichwould would have no effect until 1946 . But several things thmgs have happened happenedto to change all that First , , there 15 is 15quite isquite isquite quite a movement movcment to move forward forwardthe forwardthe forwardthe the independence mdependence date The same sameInterests sameinterests sameinterests Interests affected by the tariff tarlfl hear hcar- hcar hear- hcarmgs hearmgs hearings - ings mgs were concerned conccrned in that , and andthIS andthis andthis thIS made any present hearmgs hearings hearmgsmuch hearingsmuch bearingsmuch much more significant sIgnlficant . . Important FactorBut Factor FactorBut But much more important is an- an another another an another - other factor . The prospect now is isthat isthat isthat that there is not going gomg to be any reo re- re reopeal repeal re repeal - peal of the reciprocal trade treaty treatyPO treatypowers treatypowers ! PO\\ PO POers powers \ ers of the Presldent-th Presldent th President-thnt President thnt President - thit 1 . t this thispower thispower thispower I power will be extended e'ctended ectended ' indeflmtely indefinitely indefinitely.This indefinitelyThis . ThIS will Wlll mean , it if true . , that if and andwhen andwhen andwhen when the report of t1 tills this s joint jomt com com- committee committee committee - mittee comes up , immediately after aftermdependencc afterindependence afterindependence mdependencc independence is achieved or Imme brone- brone imme- bronedlately immediately Immediately - diately dlately before , it may not be pos pos- possible pos- pos possible possible - - sible to ignore its ideas simply slIDply by byhavmg byhaving byhaving havmg having enough votes m In congress to topre toprey topre\ topre topreent pre prey \ ' ent eat action on Capitol Capltol HillFor Hill HillFor For it is certain certam that any recom recom- recommendatIons recommendations recommendations - mendations such a committee cOImmttee wIll wIllmake willmake willmake make would have a great deal of ef- ef effect effect ef effect - fect on the State department , and andnaturally andnaturally andnaturally naturally on the Philippine PhllIppme govern govern- government government government - ment So that , , under the recIprocal recIprocaltreaty reciprocaltreaty reciprocaltreaty treaty making makmg power po\\er po er \ \ , , it could easIly easIlybe easilybe easilybe be that a lot of tariff duties dutIcs on Phil PhIl- PhIllppme Philippme Philippine - ippine lppme ippme products coming commg into the theI theUnIted theUnited theUnited UnIted States might be sliced shced In inhalffifty mhalf hcllf-fifty hcllf fifty half-fifty half - fifty per cent being bemg the extent extentof extentof extentof of the change m In any duty which willch can canbe canbe canbe be made by the State department departmentWIthout departmentwithout departmentwithout WIthout further reference to con con- congress congress . - gress gressFor For instance , if the duty on sugar sugarshould sugarshould sugarshould should be two cents a pound , under underthe underthe underthe the reciprocal reclprocal treaty power the theState theState theState State department could make a atreaty atreaty atreaty treaty with the Philippines PhllIppmes which whichVoould whichwould whichwould Voould would cut that duty to one cent , or orboost orboost orboost boost it to three centsSugar cents centsSugar Sugar is picked for an illustra illustra- - illustration illustration . tion chiefly because it is simple , and andwas andwas andwas was one of the big reasons why theislands the theIslands theislands Islands obtained obtamed the present prom prom- promise promise . - ise of independence mdependence There are plenty plen plen- plenty plenty - ty of others thers , notabl notable } ) coconut oil 011 . Future of G . 0 o . P . Despite the harmony 'harmony ' " meetlOg meeting meetingof meetlOgof of Democratic senators and repre repre- representatives representatives - . sentatives with President Roosevelt Rooseveltat at the Jefferson Island club there thereare thereare thereare are growing growmg signs SlgnS of cleavage as asbe asbetween asbetween be beeen between \\een een \ \ eenhat \ what \\hat hat might be called the theold theold theold old line lme Democrats and the New NewDealers NewDealers |