| Show Round Merry By DREW PEARSON and nd ROBERT S. S ALLEN WASHING WASHINGTON WASHINGTON Two Two ON-Two Two significant departures characterized the confidential election forecast compiled for the president this year by Democratic Demo Derpo- Derpo cratic national committee master minds One was its pessimistic note of uncertainty The other was the prediction of important state and congressional losses This is the first Democratic pessimism since 1932 In that year and in the elections of 1934 and 1936 the inside boys were cockily confident confident confident dent of the outcome They were not only certain certain tam tain of victor victory but assured Roosevelt of new gains But this year is a different story The arc are apprehensive Where they do claim victory in closely fought contests they admit that the margin will be bevery bevery bevery very narrow These are the secret forecasts made to the president House Likely House Likely Democratic loss of 3 30 to 40 congressmen On the other hand a good chance to pick up 4 to 6 gains il in iru Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts Massa Massa- New Jersey Kansas and Minnesota J Senate Senate Four Four Democratic losses practically certain offset by one certain ertain gain in Oregon and a fair chance to pick up one in Pennsyl Pennsyl- vania I Eastern States New Hampshire Odds Hampshire Odds favor the election of Republican Charles W. W Tobey over Senator Sentor Fred Brown ardent new dealer and close friend of the president Massachusetts Leverett Leverett bluestocking bluestocking bluestocking blue blue- stocking Republican moderate will lick bat bat- scarred tle-scarred and smeared scandal-smeared Governor ex-Governor James Curley who unexpectedly won the Democratic Democratic Democratic Dem Dem- i nomination New York York Governor Governor Lehman will be reelected reelected reelected re- re elected by a very close margin Senator Bob Wagner will lead the Democratic ticket followed followed followed fol fol- fol- fol lowed by Representative James Mead who will top his not very effective Republican opponent by a good lead New Jersey William Jersey William H. H J. J Ely picked hand-picked choice of Mayor Hague will defeat Republican can Senator ex-Senator Warren Barbour Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Definite Definite prediction sible Alvin C. C Jones Democratic candidate for governor given better chance to win than Governor Governor Governor Gov Gov- George Earle who is seeking Republican Senator Jim Davis Davis' seat Contest will be decided decided decided de de- de- de in Philadelphia if Republican majority can be held down there Jones and Earle will win narrowly Middle West Ohio Outcome Ohio Outcome unpredictable with the odds favoring the Republicans C Chances ances of Democratic Democratic Demo Demo- cratic gubernatorial candidate Charles Sawyer are much better than those of Senator Robert Bulkley Michigan Outcome Michigan Outcome uncertain with the odds against Governor Frank Murphy Minnesota Race Minnesota Race between Farmer Labor Governor Elmer Benson Benon endorsed by Roosevelt and young Republican Harold Stassen too close to predict Wisconsin White House-blessed House Senator F. F Ryan Duffy will be defeated Likely winner winner win win- ner ncr is La Progressive Follette-Progressive Herman Ekern closely trailed by Republican Alex Alexander Wiley Governor Phil La Follette will squeeze through by a small margin martin North Dakota Republican Dakota Republican Senator Gerald Nye Nyc will win over partisan Non-partisan league Governor Gover- Gover nor William Langer whom Nye Nyc defeated in the spring primary Good possibility of Democratic Democratic Democratic Demo Demo- cratic gubernatorial victory as result of secret alliance between Nye Nyc and the Democrats who are arc backing him against Langer for the senate seat Iowa Senator Iowa Senator Guy Gillette who beat off offa a purge attack will win over former Republican Senator Dickinson Democratic Governor Nelson Kraschel has only a fair fairchance fairchance fairchance chance to win because of strong labor hos hos- Kansas The Kansas The odds favor the Republican ticket ticket ticket tick tick- et with Democratic Governor Walter Waiter Huxman having the better chance to skim through than Senator George McGill Far West Utah Utah Senator Senator Elbert Thomas staunch new dealer will be reelected Idaho Representative D. D Worth Clark who won the Democratic nomination from fromSen Sen Sen Senator Senator Senator ator James James' Pope by secret Republican support has the edge over Donald Callahan but is s not a asure asure asure sure winner Oregon Willis M a h o 0 n a. e y Democratic- Democratic candidate for senator will win ily Henry Hess young new dealer will be elect elected d governor but will trail Mahoney California California Both Both Culbert Olson Democratic gubernatorial candid candidate te and Sheridan Downey senatorial candidate will win win Olson Olson by a much larger vote than his running Prohibition in Reverse Oregon drys are pulling a new one on the wets They have a referendum proposal on the state ballot which if adopted would divert 10 per cent of the annual liquor tax revenues for forthe forthe forthe the promotion of total abstinence among Ore- Ore Tied lied Up in Tape Uncle Dan Ropers Roper's bureau of marine inspection inspection in- in continues to function with the same dispatch and efficiency it has displayed in in the past I On April 8 1937 1037 the tug Radiant suddenly sudden sudden- ly and mysteriously sank in the D Delaware laware river near Philadelphia The tug was about 35 years old and had sunk before in 1926 Following the 1937 disaster the inspection bureau held several hearings but to this day it has not yet made a report on the matter al although although although al- al though eight lives were lost Copyright 1938 1933 for The Telegram f b |