Show Round Merry S By Drew Pearson and Robert S. S Allen WASHINGTON WASHINGTON President President Roosevelt will be reelected on November 3rd His popular majority will not be as great as asin asin asin in 1932 Neither will his electoral vote But Buthe Buthe Buthe he will have a safe and comfortable majority This prediction is made by the Washington Round Merry-Go-Round categorically without any allY reservations reservations reservations res res- whatsoever It is made from a strictly nonpartisan journalistic journalistic journalistic jour jour- viewpoint and it is based upon a firsthand firsthand firsthand first first- hand survey in every everyone one of the major doubtful doubtful doubtful doubt doubt- ful states Some of the results of this survey already have been published in this column Others will follow This survey shows that Roosevelt will go into the voting on November 3 with twenty- twenty one southern and western states which he can definitely count on This does not include doubtful states only those which are sure They give him a total of electoral votes This is too big a lead for Landon to over over- come In addition to Roosevelt's certain electoral electoral elec elec- toral votes there are enough doubtful states leaning in his direction to net him the remaining remaining remaining remain remain- ing 44 votes necessary for election election and and to do doit doit doit it easily He needs only but his total will run over Swell Ground-Swell In addition the survey shows other important important important tant findings First it shows that there is an increasing swell ground-swell for Roosevelt This has come along with great rapidity in the last two weeks Where there was definite apathy toward him in early summer sentiment has now in his favorIn favor In some places this has become a contagious enthusiasm and even includes Kansas While it would be risky to make any footed flat-footed prediction prediction prediction tion that Roosevelt will carry Kansas recent sentiment for for- him there indicates that he has a chanca chanco Part of this swell ground comes comes' from silent voters who hitherto have not gone out shouting shouting shouting shout shout- ing from the housetops about their Roose pro-Roose- Perhaps they might not even have voted if the opposition to Roosevelt in certain quarters hadn't become so intense To this the Liberty league big business business business busi busi- ness and possibly Al Smith have done Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roose Roose- velt more good than harm They have focused attention on what Roosevelt at least has tried t to do for the little fellow I I Dead Lemke Second shows the Round Merry-Go-Round survey that the Lemke Coughlin-Lemke third party movement has pretty well collapsed It will ivill not carry one state in fact Lemke will ill have a hard time even even to be reelected to congress In gener general l people seem to have sized up Father Coughlin as a hard blow-hard never happy unless he is di digging ging somebody's grave At first he was a novel and dynamic saviour Now the novelty has worn off and the dynamics s have become distasteful Third the Catholic vote which for a time seemed to td be veering a away ay from Roosevelt is isnow isnow isnow now with him Roosevelt always had a strong following among Catholics and the tendency of church leaders in the last few weeks has been to offset the Coughlin Coughlin-Al Smith influence Fourth the farm vote is not as secure for R Roosevelt as his advisers originally estimated Some of the midwestern states such as Nebraska S ka and Minnesota which they counted upon as asS ascertain S certain now are not so certain However Roosevelt still has the edge and he has made up up upa a lot of his earlier losses on this last tour Landon Dis S SS S Fifth the Round Merry survey shows that hat Governor Landon has been a disappointment disappoint disappoint- ament ment to many voters This disappointment is b based sed partly upon the obvious fact that he has promised more than he can fulfill At the start Landon's appe appeal l to many was wa waS his simplicity and frankness Recent promises promise now make him just another candidate Big support also has hurt Landon The huge donations from the duPonts and the Rockefellers have not had a a. healthy ring in the middle west At the same time it is admitted by many of the big contributors that thit they are for Landon only because they are against Roose Roose- velt State Lineup Getting down to state statistics the backlog of states and electoral votes which Roosevelt definitely can count on are Alabama ma 11 11 New Mexico 3 Arizona 3 North Carolina 13 Arkansas 9 Oklahoma 11 California Californi 22 Oregon 5 Florida 7 I South Carolina 8 Georgia 12 Tennessee 11 Kentucky 11 Texas 00 23 Lo Louisiana 10 Virginia 11 Maryland 8 Washington v. 8 M Mississippi 9 Wi Wisconsin c si 1 12 Missouri 15 Ii t S Total 21 states total electoral elector l vot vote s Landon on the other hand hana can can count definitely def dc- on the following v Connecticut 8 New J Jersey 16 Delaware 3 Rhode I Island nd 4 Maine 5 Vermont 3 New Hampshire 4 Total 7 states total electoral vo votes voles es 43 In add addition tion Landon seems seem to tobe be running ahead in in- 17 South Dakota 4 Wyoming 3 and for and for good goodluck lets luck lets let's include Kansas 9 Total 33 electoral votes On the other side there is a considerable list of doubtful state in which Roosevelt has hasa a definite edge and from which he is certain to pick up enough electoral votes to put him across on election day These states are Colorado 6 Idaho 4 Il Illinois Illinois Il- Il 29 Indiana 14 Iowa 11 Minnesota 11 Montana 4 Nebraska 7 Nevada 3 North Dakota 4 Ohio 26 Pennsylvania 36 Utah 4 and West Virginia 8 Roosevelt's lead in these states varies and may change before before before be- be fore elections But at present it is oi on 01 th the tl e in increase increase increase in- in crease In the Bag Finally there are Michigan 19 and New NewYork NewYork York 47 in both of which Landon and Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roose Roose- velt are running neck and neck Prediction of their vote on election day would be pure rank speculation Neither Farl Farley Farl y nor Hamilton nor anyone else knows which way these two states will go It is significant however that Roosevelt could lose New York and even Pennsylvania total vote 83 and still win So whether you are for him or against him you can trim your business sails and your election election elec elec- tion bets bel on the basis that its it's in the bag for Roosevelt Copyright 1336 by United Feature Syndicate Inc t |