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Show qiii I IVAN nrimnppnTC paim Utah Changed by Des Moines Speech: Jobrrson Hurts G. 0. P.. He Declares WASHINGTON. D. C. Oct. 2S. The campaign has entered a new phase That phase Is a steady ebb in the lie-, publican strength and a corresponding growth in the Democratic strength.' The dfl,y when it began can be fixed with ulmost mathematical certain! 1. Cox returned to Dayton from hi long lour west of the Mississippi On Monday, '".tober 4, and began hlsj campaign in the ce : on the- follOWlUB Thursday. It was thut dav Hardlni made his first appearance west of the! Mississippi and delivered his Des; Moines speech. Cox's trans-Mlsslaeippi lour had been devoid of results. At that time lt; WBs possible to suy, and It was said in this correspondence, ihat Cox four weeks in the west had not hanged the conditions in any -state, and ill" he would not get more than one-fifth 1 of the electoral votcj in the eighteen' states west of the Mississippi other than those laed as southern. .. P HIGH TTD1 But tho ' date I have mentioned marked the high tide of Republican strength Whatever may be the exact result next Tuesday, the Republicans must know u will not be as favorable to them either in terms Of the mini-, ber of states carried as it would have been Puree weeks ago. From that week when Harding crossed the vn Blsslppl westward and Cox crossed it1 eastward not only has Cox made gains wherever ho has u pearcd in the east but also the ecbo of those gains has reflected itself in a betterment of his fortunes west of the Mississippi 1 liav. expressed it In1 terms 01 Cox making gfclna, and that Ls accurate. Bin It should be addl-tlonallv addl-tlonallv expresssd in terms of the Ko-i publicans making losses. The change has been made due quite largely to Harding s Des Moines speech and to the distasteful references made by the publie from the dally contradictions contra-dictions between Senator Johnson and ex President Tap. UTAH lit l i 1 1 M n K nt u 1 f the substantial quality of the change there can be no doubt l can name not fewer than four states and man smaller communities which, on October 7, the day of the Des Molhes speech, were safely Republican, but which are now eith.-r Brobabl) I'inf' cratic or else in the doubtful list. On of these "tatcs is L'tah. In l'tah there has been from the beginning be-ginning a strong league enUmc-nt. When Wilson first brought the covenant cove-nant back from Kurope. t meeting was held in the Mormon tabernacle in Salt' Lak Cit. William H Toil was the jirlncipal speaker, lttli )ic gae the league an enthusiastic indoraemenl Al the close of the meeting a vote whs bjken and out of an audjence of about 10, OOP, it was said probably with ox-aecerMtion, ox-aecerMtion, but neverlhele with sub-sta&tlal sub-sta&tlal accuracy, that 9 999 voted "Aye'' and one voted "Nay ' It can bo imagined how a community which hadj once believed in the league as strong!; an this and still believes In the league wiUi modifications, v.as shocked by the nc; paper headlines the da; after the Dm Moines speech. sii to 1 l IGH IT M. In L'iah senator .srnoi la bavins the hardest kind of a fight. He Is one' icnator tiiai ihe Republican pan: 111 the nation can least afford to lose. For' 'ha. matter Senator b'moo'.'s knowledge knowl-edge of the government business is .uch that 'the counirv a whole n-ill n-ill afford to lose him. Senator Smoot'i attltud" on the league has been fairly aceeptable to l'tah and If he loses he 1 will lose, not because or anything he! has said or done, but because of Bar-1 ding's Des Moines speech. I have spoken as if It were Harding's Har-ding's Des Moines speech that started, the ebb of the Republican tide That I3 true hut thHT event alone would nol hae been marked in its effei? If It had no been follower! bj the specch- 1 bf Senator Johnson, in Which Senator Sena-tor Johnson harks back to the Del Moines utterances and pins Senator Harding down tn it on this point, I there Is testimony from a western clt) j "A somawhal critical condition arose in the minds of large number" or neoplc when Senator Harding appeared ap-peared to make rn outspoken declaration declara-tion against all leagues Of nations at Doc Moines! riiat was iiarllally cor-ie cor-ie ted by his Omaha speech and haJ been largcl' cured b the statement-! mad" bv the thirty-one prominent Re publicans." The observer who expressed this Judgment Is in a position to know what ia true of his community. But spcak-ir spcak-ir for the country generally, tho original ori-ginal impression created b the Des Moines speech is kept steadily alive by th speeches of Senator Johnson. Who specif leal lj refers to the statement state-ment ol the fhirt.i-onc Republicans," Republi-cans," and flouts them. JUHXSOft Bl VMLID T here are several other communities ii: the west where the revulsion from Harding, due 10 the suspicion that hi-porttion hi-porttion and Senator Johnson's Bjfi iib iitlcal. is not necessarily statewide, state-wide, but might vet be suffli leiillv strong to affect states heretofore ion sidered safely Republican. N"hat the degree of this revulsion la f .-hall never kno.v, because there Is no record ot how great the Republican Repub-lican victory would have been had the election occurred the day preceding the Des Moines speech The revulsion, of course is confined to persons who are In some degree pio-league. Here, again, we have un-Cbrtalnty, un-Cbrtalnty, for there is no means of knowing what tiic division umong the voters la between anti-league and pro-league. pro-league. It is the misfortune of Cox and the fault of the Democratic organization that the; will probably not be able to get the full advantage of this revulsion. revul-sion. They have not the mechanism to bring to the polls ever- possible voter who m.: have been unsettled b;. th- nresent phase of the league issue. A voter who at one stage of the campaign cam-paign has made up his mind to vote tor one candidate only rarely got; v hole heatedly over the point of voting for tho opposite candidate More usually us-ually he merely becomes unsettled and concludes not to vote at all but to go fishing or to play golf. It is these voters vot-ers that the Democrats might get to the polls if thev had the machlnerv. it 'pi 'DS x WORKERS I think it may be said safely that even under normal conditions omitting omit-ting this turn of the tide, there is an average of say five Democratic voters and five Republican voters in every election precinct who will vote or nol vote, according to whether or not there is an active part worker on the ground to sec them on election day and actually lake them to the polls. This margin of voters includes those who are sick, those who arc Indifferent, Indiffer-ent, those w ho are a little disgruntled, disgrunt-led, those who want lo take advantage of a holiday An effective worker who will undertake to sec them al an hour convenient to them and 'provide an automobile to take them to the polls Will gel Just that many additional votes for his parte, and the aggregate of five VOtet In each election precinct would make from ten to twenty-five ihou-sand ihou-sand votes in a state, and would change the result In many states. For 'he Republican? the individual precinct workers neceesar - to do 'h:s will ebb on hand and have his automobile. auto-mobile. I'or the Democrats, in mo.-l stales, this worker will not exist - nn- |