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Show 1 Page 8 - UINTAH BASIN STANDARD. January 12. 1993 O 'V f - ' ' v ' , - Specialist says farmers can expect modest growth in 93 1 By John DeVilbiaa, Utah State Milk Expect milk prices to be the same or slightly lower than prices in 1992, said Jay C. Andersen, public policy specialist. He said it appears milk production is returning to mare normal levels consistent with prices and income. Increase in production per cow has averaged around two percent per year, with sales increasing at about one percent per year. This leads to a need for continued reductions in cow numbers for maintaining prices. Though total production has at least been maintained in most areas, increases in the percentage of all production have occurred in the Southern plains, Mountain and Pacific regions, he said. "All other regions have declined in market ehqro," he said. "The rapid growth of production in the West has strong implications for Univenity Utah agriculturalist! can expect modest growth in the farm economy over the next year, according to DeeVon Bailey, Utah State University Extension marketing specialist Speaking recently at the annual Utah Agricultural Outlook conference during a state satellite broadcast from Utah State University, Bailey said most of the states agriculture sector continues to show strength. Broadly defined, the agriculture industry includes primary producers such as farmers and ranchers, transportation firms, marketing entities, processors and a host of support industries. "Primary producers in general have experienced a good year and the financial condition continues to improve with Utah experiencing one of die lowest ratios in the United States," he said. Even so, there are still areas of debt-to-ass- Utah producers." Meat et Expect beef and other meat production to keep pace with population growth. This added production will keep pressure on meat prices in 1993, said Darwin B. Nielsen, ranch management concern. "For instance, the drought in the northern portion of the state continues," he said. "Serious problems will likely occur this summer ifmen moisture is not received now in the form of snow." He said there are also many uncertainties about the future direction of U.S. agriculture. "A new president is establishing his own agenda for agriculture in an atmosphere charged by world trade tensions and opportunities," he said. "Whatever direction is selected by the new administration, it appears certain that the future of Uf3. agriculture rests, to a large extent, on our ability to capture and hold domestic and foreign markets for our products." Here is a summary of what USU Extension economists say the Utah agricultural industry can expect in 1993: specialist . However, lower costs for feed, com, oil meals and forage will hold down production costs which will partially offset lower product prices, he said. As of January 1, it is estimated that the beef cow inventory is near 34.5 million head. This is about two percent larger than a year earlier. With continued one to two percent annual growth, the beef cow herd could roach 36.5 million for an eight head by 1996-9percent increase in five yean, Nielsen said. As more heifers enter the cow herd over the next few years, he said the annual calf crop could increase two percent to 2.5 percent 7, Ifintah Basin Sttamndlaiirdl 2-M- Feed Grains The price for feed grains will probably be weak compared to 1992 prices, Godfrey said. "This pessimistic view is based primarily an the record levels of production expected," he said. While the production of feed grains is expected to increase, he said use is also expected in increase to record levels. Much of this increase is the result of increased numbers of turkeys, broilers, hogs and beef. It must be remembered, however, that the United States is not the only country that produces feed grains. World ending stocks of feed grains are also expected to increase. Consequently world wide production and use also suggest that low prices will occur during 1993, he said. Economists with the United State Department of Agriculture say they expect the farm price of corn to be in the $1.85 to $2.25 per bushel range throughout the 1992-9- 3 Get one FREE GO SIGNAL-Sn- ow plow operators receive the green light to remove the heavy "white stuff on Roosevelts Main Street, which is officially known at 200 East. The heavy snow has resulted in many local citizens volunteering their time for snow removal. marketing year while barley prices, didn't materialize. This resulted in the primary grain grown in Utah, smaller than normal fruit, especialmay be as much as a dime higher ly in the stone fruits, he said. Hatch said this past growing than the expected price of cam. season produced one of the best Turkeys Turkey consumption is down, apple crops in recent years, although prices have been disapGodfrey said. "This is the first year this has pointing. occurred since the rapid increases "Heavy production in Utah, in consumption began in the mid Washington and increased competition from New Mexico and Arizona 1980s," he said. The existence of plentiful quanti- have exerted downward pressure ties of other meats available at on prices, ha said. "This is expectcompetitive prices, particularly pork, ed to continue throughout the has kept downward pressure on storage season." turkey prices, he laid. Sheep Lamb and wool prices continue Godfrey said the brightest hope for increased use of turkey is in the to be depressed, said Bruce Godexport market. Exports of turkey are frey, Extension farm management e high specialist. expected to reach an of nearly 140 million pounds during "Steep production in Utah has 1993. Most of these shipments will been a low or negative profit be to Mexico, which has imported enterprise the past several years," nearly 60 percent of the turkeys he said. "Numerous reasons can be given fin: this position, but prime exported from the United States. "Utah producer! have the possibil- among the factors is the prices ity of capturing some of this growth received for the products prowith m active marketing program duced." The price of lambs, fixr example, because the cost of shipping birds to Mexico from Morori should be less has varied over time, but hte late than most other parts of the coun- 1980s and early 90s represent try," he said. years when prices have been most Overall, however, Godfrey said favorable, he said. Utah turkey producers will most Godfrey said there is no time period that likely continue to face narrow profit during the 1960-9- 1 lamb been have 1993 with as poor even prices margins throughout the low grain prices that ' are relative to calves. "This is the primary reason why expected. all-tim- Duchesne Cattlemens Assoc. Pro Ag Service Teresa Stewart Dr. Gary White Remote Operating Systems Ann's Cafe Farm Bureau Insurance The Attic Farmers Insurance Group Reynolds Emporium Robb's Sporting Goods Basin Builders First Security Bank Basin Diesel Frandsen Realty Robin's Body Shop Rods Mini Lube 3. Basin Pawn Frontier Roosevelt Bowl Gale's Insurance Roosevelt Theatres Gale's Office Supply Roosevelt Variety Roosevelt Video i. .2. 4, 5 6. Basin Pharmacy Basin Veterinary Clinic 7 8 9. Basin Western Gifts Gags Basin Wholesale West Grandma's Sew 10. 11 .12. 13. 14 .15. 16. 17 .18. 19. 20 .21. 22. 23 .24. Grill & Gimmicks It Up Shop 26 .27. 28. 29 .30. Clip and Mail to.... Uintah Basin taimdardl 268 South 200 East Roosevelt, Utah 84066 Deadline: Fridays at 12:00 noon If you prefer to charge it to your Visa or Mastercard Please call 1 or 722-513- Sears Big Joe's Burger World The Grub Box Service Insurance Big 0 Tire Held By Production Snow Construction Hullinger Mortuary I.GA Super Center Sports Plus Bluebell HOt Oil Boren Electric Jennings Petroleum Century 21 Country Realty Lawrell Jensen John Larsen Sawmill Coastal Oil Coldwell Banker R.S. West Jones Paint & Glass Carlson Cleaners 25. pressed in teh foreseeable future. Godfrey said the only place when some Imps exists is in the production of "fine" wools. "Lamb prices may strengthen during 1993 as compared to 1992, but the prospects for a major increase in price is low because increased supplies of other meat will be produced during 1993," he aid. Wheat Despite the drought, the production of hard rod winter wheat is up 19 percent in Utah, said Larry Bond, Extension fisrm management specialist. Acreage remains same lewd as 1991-9- Dan's Tire Jubal's Automotive L&LMotorCo. Doug Gilley's Carpet Doyle's Drain Service Maverick Country Store Moon Lake Electric Dr. Lee Brilliant Murphy's Savemore Dr. T.M. Buston Murray Motor Cow Palace Dr. Keith Evans Dr. Michiel Knight Dr. Dale C. Dr. Steve Larsen Pehrson Sportsman Pawn Sprouse Sprouse Insurance State Farm Insurance Concrete Tri-Cou- Tri-WPi- pe U. B. Medical & Design Val's Body & Paint Wenzel Trucking Nape Nielsen's WestHazmat Old Man Wrecking Wood Prime Cut Center Uintah Basin Standard US Trophy Western Hills -- N- Design Zion's Bank Dr. Kent Smith To at about the The latest however, suggest estimates, yield m average of 43 bushels per acre. This is up from 36 bushels the 1991-9growing season. Utah millers an currently paying $3.60 to $3.66 for 11 percent wheat and as high as $4105 for protein levels of 13 percent. Bond eaid the outlook fixr the coming production year ia a little uncertain. The lack of moisture in the Intermountain area this past growing season was critical. "Sane growers held off planting in hopes of sufficient moisture fixr germination, thm finally 'dusted in their wheat," he said. "The crop has not had time to develop properly and a cold winter could increase susceptibility to winter kill as well as reduce yield potential." 2. 2 Utah's largest than 400,000 acres in production each year, Bailey said. He said little change in price ia Allniter Not Oil check ir ouh cattle." Lamb, and especially wool prices, will continue to be de- Alfalfa remains crop having mare Dr. 100 a word thereafter heep operators in Utah and throughout the nation have either gone out of business or switched to Hay Action Insurance (paid in advance) A Fruit This past growing season saw the third season of a serious drought. Despite this, most fruit trees experienced an unusually heavy fruit set this year, said Tony Hatch, Extension fruit specialist "No one cm recall a growing season that set such a large number of fruit, especially on tart cherry trees," he said. A heavy "June drop" was expected to cause much of the excess fruit to fall naturally, but the June drop expected for alfMfa hay producers in Utah from last year. Historically, prices are somewhat higher in die southern part of the state. That trend is likely to continue. Bailey said premium alfalfa hay prices should avenge around $90 per ton. Good quality hay should sell for about $75 per ton. s $3.00 for up to 20 words , per year. By the middle of the decade, annual calf crop sice may peak near 42 million head. This is compared to a 1992 calf crop of 39.5 million head. Bailey said U.S. beef exports are projected by the United States Department of Agriculture to increase by ten percent in 1993. This is primarily due to increased shipments to Japan and Korea. "Beef tariffs in Japan will decline by 50 percent April 1," Bailey said. "A weak dollar has also made U.S. beef a good buy in the Pacific Rim." Special Rate Buy w the Businesses & Professional People for Sponsoring TURKEY DAYS 1992! Duchesne County Area Chamber of Commerce Merlon Behunln - 722-3587- 1: (Ren and Betty Alexander spent Christmas in Missoula, Montana, where they got acquainted with two groat grandsons. They attended on Eagle Court bf Honor for e grandson. Lone Timothy, eon of Charles and Susan Timothy. They visited friends in Pocatello, Idaho. Back in Utah they stopped in Payson and spent a day with their son, Jeff; and Denies and family before returning home. Tiara LeShay Behunin, Craig, Co., visited thii past week with her grandmother, Marion A Behunin, while her father, Keith Behunin, is waking on an oil rig in Ouray. Orla and Ruth Ami and family, Ogden, visited her parents, Thuro and Iillian Carlson, and other relatives. Doris Ellingford is in the Utah Volley Hospital, when she is recuperating from surgery from a fen. Mr. and Mrs. Daryl Edmietui and baby, of Anadarko, Oklahoma, visited his grandmother, Male Roes, last Sunday. Daryl is attending Purdue Univenity in Indiana. Gordon Baecom, Layton, visited his parents, Elvyn and Venice Beacon, last week. While hero, he . helped Me father with earns projects to large fer one person. Eldan Mortensen made a trip to SLC fa a medical check-u- p last week. He recently had surgery on both knees. Cindy Bryson and children, Irvine, (k, spent a few weeks Rod and visiting with her s, Bonnie Bryson, and Lari and Alton Powell, her parents. Cindy's husband, Sgt. James Bryeon, ia serving on the USS Tripoli in Smdia. |