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Show By DUANE CARDALL fi Chronicle Staff Writer 1 America's success in the Vietnam Viet-nam war will determine the future of the Middle East, said retired , Brig. Gen. S.L.A. Marshall, a mili-' mili-' tary analyst and battlefield historian histor-ian Wednesday night. Keynoting the first session of a two-day seminar on U.S. foreign policy and national strategy, Gen. Marshall said, "The U.S. can't quit in Indo-China without changing the Middle East." "Israel can hold her own against the Arabs for at least five or six years, but Israel is a small state and can't do magic, even though many people think she can. Israel will go quickly down the drain if America fails in Vietnam. America is the leader," he said. Shooting Won't Resume Gen. Marshall predicted another all-out shooting war in the Middle East will not resume, things being as they now are. There will still be fighting incidences across borders bord-ers for some time to come, but no full scale war. from the Mediterranean. This would leave the Middle East wide open to Soviet control, he said. "One can't say enough that if America fails in it's present task, there will be a grave situation in the Middle East. Israel understands under-stands this well," said Gen. Marshall. Mar-shall. "For this reason, the people of Israel are the only people not engaging en-gaging in anti-American and anti-Vietnam anti-Vietnam demonstrations. They know we must win." "The Egyptian army is not within with-in seven or eight years of regaining regain-ing the power it had before last year's war," stated Gen. Marshall. "Not only is Egypt's army powerless, power-less, it is shattered and demoralized." demoral-ized." "So long the Arab armies breath only out of hate, they'll never be formed into effective fighting forces. They must get a different view of life if they are to become effective." Suez Canal Gen. Marshall said Egypt's strongest weapon, at the present time, is control of the Suez Canal. He stated within the next 18 months, "Nassar's ditch" will no longer be a determining factor to shipping. "The Middle East is the most decisive part of earth there is at the present," contended Gen. Marshall. Mar-shall. "Oil reserves in the Middle East are three to six times as great as in the entire Western Hemisphere." "There is no shortage of oil now, but nations are looking to the Middle East with speculation. This is what is keeping the Soviets in the Middle East," he said. Withdrawal Of Fleet Gen. Marshall said, if the U.S. pulls out of Vietnam, NATO will be substantially weakened, which could eventually result in the withdrawal with-drawal of the U.S. Sixth Fleet GEN. MARSHALL . . . keynotes seminar |