OCR Text |
Show OaR OaRPOULRY IJrI IJrIPOULtRY POULtRY POULRY POULRYCOIL ? 1 1COLUMN COLUMN COIL UMN UMNF UMNL F . \ ' 0 RAMSIIA \ ' L _ i I IUSDA USJDA USDA RepTt Report GI1 en n Poultry P ltry Progress ' ProgressI I do not pretend to be economl econom1at economist economistbut but . I bludy btudy study all of the thl ' Informationg InformationI Information I can get on poultry prospects Tot For Forthe Forthe tha the moct moot mast dependable informationIt Information It ecms seems to me m that the report reports reportsIssued reportsissued * Issued by . the t.be tbe Bureau of Economic.1 Economic1 Econom1ca Economics Econom1caof Economicsof . of the United StaUs Statts Departmentr Departmentof Department of AgrjcuJture Agriculture are best A As I write writethis writethis thia this I have before me the USDA U'SDA U'SDApoultry UI ' > 9A 9Apoultry poultry and egg repoit repent report dated Feb1 FebI Feb 1 I rat 11138 193 & " # It contain containa * valuable in- in information in information Information - formation of special spe la.l lal apeptal . interest toevery toevery to every poultry ralscr ra.Lser raLser raiser . The follow follow- followling followtog following - ing tog excerpt which . appears a.ppears In fn quotation quotatlon quo- quo quotatlon - - ling tatlon tation marks Is la L * taken from frorn thLi this thisreport thisreport report reportcccccccclrrc reportccccccccl1Tc reportccccccccirrc cccccccclrrc ccccccccl1Tc ccccccccirrc hdrlu shdrlu mfwyp mlwyp vbgtaun1 vbgknrnt vbglto.m vbgltom vbgknrn . t thetcurrent : An out outstanding tandlng factor In 10 thecurrent the tcurrent current poultry and ess egg situation situationIts situationIs Is the small sma.ll . flock rJock six size else with which whichfanners whichl whichfarmers Its fanners farmers have bave started the new year yearThe yearThe yearThe The laying nock flock Is 1 usually near nearIts nearIts Its maximum muimum : size 1ze & for . the t.be tbe year 0'1 01 on 0'1January onJanuary ' , i ! January 1 I This year numbers ol of ofhens ofi ofihens hens and pullets of laying ace age on onJanuary onJanuary January 1 1 J were at their lowestpoint lowest ' point of record for Ior that date dateThree . . . . Three TT c Y Year tal ' CycleThe 'Cycle Cycle ICycl ' * The graph reproduced . . In theUSDA the theUSDA USOA USDA report shows plainly plaln1y thatpoultry thatpoultry that thatpoultry poultry has gone ( one through t threeyear three- three threeye - year ye r cycles regularly since &ce ce 1SIAce & 19 1925 1 25 In Inother Inother Inother other words thJUl tl11e this spring Ls Is I * a low lowpoint lowpoint lowpoint point In the cycle and starting startingnO'jV startingnow startingnow nO'jV nOjV now ' the cycle should trend up upward upward upward ward rapidly for far the next twoyears twoyears two years This expansion coincides closely losely with Increasing incrf'lUilng incrflUilng ' eft egg profitsfrom profitsfrom proflta profits profltafrom from poultry . . . . Peidtry Poultry Pooftry Mnt Meat Mr t and an * Egg EU Prtces Prices PrtcesIn PricesIn rric In regard to poultry meat prices pricest1115 pricesthis pricesthis t1115 this spring spnng the report aays says Dur Dur- During Dur- Dur During During - - ing the next few months low lowpoultry lowpoultry lowpoultry poultry supplies lIupplles both on the farm farmand farmand , and In storage lItorage will wUl tend to krep keep krepprices keepprices keepprices prices ( ( of poultry m meat at ) aboT above abovethooe abovethose aboTthose those thooe In the first half of 1937 1937In 1 37 ' In retard regard to egg en prices pr1cea Egg EggI Eggprices Eggprices Sggprices prices usuay usually } ] decline until unW March MarchIn MarchIn MarchIn I In 1937 l 37 they declined throughout1 throughoutthe throughout " the spring In IKU 1938 It seemj seems * likely Ukely Ukelythat likelythat that the low point will win be reached reachedearly reachedearly reachedearly early In the spring It Is Ls believed believedhowever I however that the small 6mall flock nook size sizei sizewill sizewill will so reduce production by n mid- mid midspring mid-spring mid spring d- d dspring - i spring that prices gabs will rtte J1.se J1se rise . above abovethose abovethose abovethose I aboveI those of or 1 1937With HOT 1937 HOTWith 3'7 37 ' 3'7W'lth ' With W'lth Wlth smaller storax storage st.ora stora . Rtocks tock t.ock . . likeIlY likely like likethe ly by Augwt August ; I 1 than a year before beforethe beforethe IlY the spread In p-ire p ire p 1ct 1cttWf"t1 > - ce ' - between --tWf"t1 tWf"t1 tWft1 " ' ' 1939 1938 (938 938 1939and 1938and (938and ( and 1937 1 37 i Ia L & e expectad expected tet : tetto ft ftCklnce to widenChinese widen Cklnce Chinese Egg En Importa Import ImportaDut I wrta wrtaDue . Due Dut ' to the Chinese Japanese war warlmpor1.8 warimports warImport lmpor1.8 lmpor18 imports . * of eggs egp from China are ared aredeclining aredwsllning d declining Unlng rapidly In 1137 1937 approxl approxlmate1y approxlmately approxlmately mate1y mately 800 800000 00 000 ca.se case cases . caj of < jt eggs . In Inliquid In inliquid . , liquid and powder form were 1m tin 1mported tinported 1mported ported Into the U S B This Is art an artother another another other fat factor = tor which whlc.h whlch . seems seeIT1 to in ind1cate Indicate Indtcate d1cate dicate a mighty profitable twoeal"S two yearsahead -eal"S eal"S ealS years > ) - eal"Sahead " earsahead ahead for far pouJtryNotice poultry pouJtry poultryNotice poultryNotice Notice how the present pN'sent pNsent ' . situation sltuation situationravon sltuationfavors situationfavors ravon favors the producer CA ( A ) There Is Isplenty Isplenty laplenty plenty of feed available at rea- rea realIOnably reasonably rea reasonably - - sonably lIOnably low prlc prices CB ( < B ) ) BI'O BIO Broilers Broilersraised Broilersraised ' raised from baby chlcka 'hick hick chicks ( ' & tal1ed started startednow startednow tal1ednow now should pay a rood good profit . . . ( C CKgg ) En Egg prices are eXpe < ' expected to be very veryu.tlsfactory verysatisfactory verysatisfactory u.tlsfactory utlsfactory satisfactory . this fall and wint.el wintel winter winterwith winterwith . " with advancing ad'Bnc1ng adBnc1ng ' ' prices prlct's prlcts ' starting 4tarting by bymid bymid bymid mid sprtngWhen , spring fprlng sprtng . . . . When to t ExpanJI Expand ExpandThe ExpanJIThe The majority of poultry raisers raisersIncreaSl raisersincrease raisersIncrease IncreaSl increase ' the size of laylne laying 1oob flocks 1oobaft flocksafter ! flocksafter after aft r prices have risen men Thus nextyear next nextyear nextyear year we may erpect to see a big bigtncrl"ase bigIncrease bitIncrease tncrl"ase tncrlase Increase " But the better time to toIincrease toIncrease toIncrease Iincrease Increase the flock Is at the begin beginI beginnlng beginning befinnlnK nlng ning of or the upw Up upu " ard and rd cycle A considerable con considt'rable considerable I sidt'rable sidtrable siderable ' marfin margin of ' extra I'xtra Ixtra income IncomeLa incomeIB incomeIs IB Is al\\ al alay always al \ ay ys ! realtEed reallzed realized by t1y poultry DOultry rals rats ralsI ralsers ratsera raUere I ers era who do 110 thisSo thisSo this thisSo So It Is ls my opinion based base- base baseon - < ! onthe on onI onthe I the verv verY conservathc conservat\ conservat conservatI consenstlsr ! \ I ' statf statements statementsof ststemenfcRiof > mpntJI mpntJIlof lof of the USDA reports report . t that ha . t this Is IsIlhe isthe lathe the Ideal y.ar yar year ye , . r jo ao Increase 1YlCTPase floeS finds flockilzc . . Ilhe size on the farm And nd to plan onmarketing on onmarkt'ting onmarketlni markt'ting marktting marketing ' early brollcrt brollers broilers and r ratsing rals rats 1 1ng | ! ine ng ing ' early t'arly tarly layers For bE > best st profitsI profitsthe profitsthe profits I jthe [ the earlier the better betvr - - |