| Show I Loo Looking ng Ahead in Germany By HENRY T. T ALLEN Who WI Commanded the American Army on the Rhine Ge Germanys Germany's many's outlook for the year will be dimmed only If hr the present ministerial crisis results In a net unwilling to continue the tho present policy of recon recon- dilation That this Is not a probable Is the conclusion that the able survey of German of at V fairs gIven by this authority s suggests gg F Friendly developments in the west of Europe combined corn com with German Germanys Germany's s desire to regain her and commercial c gives ives good rca rca- son to believe that 1927 be a prosperous and peaceful year for Germany German In this year ear the Dawes plan the results of the Loc Locarno rno pacts Foreign l attn lin in ister Istel politics and n Russia carr carry over as asfour four of the determining factors VV When the maxImum outgo connected with the Dawes plan is reached two years hence it willbe be 5 per cent on fifty billion gold marks Fortunately Mr 11 Parker Gilbert who should know much about that matter does not feel apprehensIve concerning Germanys Germany's Germanys Germany's Ger- Ger many's capacity to carry it on Finance Minister 1 has already announced that Germanys Germany's budget for the coming year will be balanced without without with with- out the n necessity ot of floating a loan The final chapter chapter chap chap- ter ot of the reparations question however remains to tobe tobe the total to be the be written What Is sum paid by reich and when will payments end A continuation ot of the peace spirit of 1926 which prevailed in great part of Europe notably in France and Germany German in contrast to the aggressiveness of the preceding years is indicated for the new year Perhaps the coal steel and dye agreements made between be- be bee tween these two countries are harbingers ot of peace as important as the pacts of Locarno France for forthe the present has abandoned the policy of seeking con con- supremacy and by actual force that brought about the Ruhr seIzure in 1923 ThIs upset any possIbility of an early European moral or physiCal physical cal restoration The present cabInet crisIs was effected by an unnatural unnatural un- un natural coalition of f the logically hostile the groups lOft left and the right The attitUde of the marshal presIdent president pres- pres Ident has however clearly l arly demonstrated that he is a sIncere supporter ot of the Veimar constitution lie He has consIstently refused to admit that the nationalists national national- could create such disorders as s would authorize him to establish a dictatorshIp under Article 48 of the constitution That fact the increasIng prosperIty prosperIty prosper prosper- Ity of the country and the policy of conciliation that thatis is now uppermost answers for the present the question question ques- ques tion so len asked Will Germany remain republIcan republican lIcan Herr Str formerly recognized d merely as a skillful leader ot of the peoples people's party part has achIeved distinction as one of the outstanding statesmen of Europe His conciliatory measures measures towards the victors vie vic tors of his country hIs powerful support of the Locarno pacts abroad and at home his treaties of friendship and arbitration with nearly al ai the Europe Euro Euro- pe n co ies Ht-ies re a st fbi ad vision Largely due to hIm the the- duties of the inter inter- allied military bo board rd of control sitting at Berlin will Pass pass to the league ot of nations When the unauthorIzed improvements on the fortresses in the vicinity or Jf I rg and the export of partly finished war materials have been made to conform with the Versailles treat treaty as Interpreted by the conference of ambassadors the e occupying forces on the Rhine may be removed or at least radically reduced d. d The presence presence pres ence of tl these ese forces in Germany German s s' s the greatest obstacle obstacle ob- ob stacle to genuine peace in the west Nothing would more strongly indicate a real Locarno spIrit in central central cen- cen Europe th than n removal or reduction of the lg tr ups V Oe of the most important questions s for the wet wet- fare of Peace in German in fact In Europe is the attitude of Russia The signing ot of the Locarno treaties bY Germany was interpreted by RussIa as a trend to the west at variance with the treaty of Rapallo It is my opinion that it was such However How How- ever the bet between een and Moscow se seems ms to have calmed the spirit of the leaders of the union of soviet republics and to have put Germany in a strong p to develop its trade with Russia Dut until understanding Is effected between Rusala Rus- Rus ala sia Poland and the Baltic states Germanys Germany's eastern posItion remains very difficult It must be remembered remembered that the Polish corridor to the sea the settlement of the upper question almost implacable relations between Poland and the tho reich V Co Copyright 1927 Cosmos Newspaper Inc Inc V V 6 |