Show EEN J d HEARD around the National Capital FIELD HELDi iB By 13 CARTER of ot the State tate circles nerv nerv- Kment and embassy t r the possibility of war In Bull Eu Bu lover over ll t growing out of the assassination re le ins Alexander of Yugoslavia beme bele be- be SUng KIng bulletins more tense tenso when me le even eren In Italian anti-Italian feeling to ct i y respect mobs blamed an anallAn the where n e published How How- were plot Plot allAn waved by r Per er their fears tears were aWl away I told old historian time of the year the fits fit's Its L historian smiled I e start lighting fighting It will beI bea be elf If If they wrong time lime all aU right one ambas- ambas I a Jor dor retorted Its always the wrong Le me of ot the yea fem Teat for war war That depends said the historian if look your four history t t It If you will up mind about dates d I refresh your four OU i will find tad that of the last twenty twenty- wars nil all but one start start- ur at r important id in July JulS and that one In August I What's the answer naked the as- as 5 I diplomat f people do not fight tI until Buhl-until ht until they get air crops In replied the historian lla N In Europe the ther have their crops In retry etty Eua well Ill by July and there still sUII reN re- re sins some good weather for fighting lighting Before fore tore winter Inter Down In my part cf ct the world world In- In the minister of t one of the American who was tailing In the State department I antem ante- ante Lam m with the ambassador and the his his- lorlan orlon orlan we ne e do not fight tight during the rainy lay loy sen season on When that comes on we Depend the war until It Is over And Andou Coo ou 00 tal talk about time old-time chivalry a gov goy went ment would not think thin of ot arresting rebel leader merely because he topped opted re and went home dure during dur dur- ing g e the rainy season Even If it the government gov gOY went ment knows he Intended to resume U e war the moment the rains stopped i that cricket I cricket I ask you Fears ears ear European War But the ambassador was Interested n i Europe not In the vagaries of Cen Cen- 1 American revolutions resolutions I 1 would not be at all surprised If his is h assassination resulted In a war which would Involve first Ital Italy and and later most of Europe e B said Aid In spite of your theory It is Ise he e wrong time of the tho year Why even the assassination was at ate atlie lie e wrong time of the year to cause canse a aar aar arar ar said the historian Again I ask aski askon ou on i to search your our history and notice e i dates Dates seem unimportant to too o ost t of us We are Interested in In the that happened In happened In the story as ast t were Even ven as schoolboys we loathed em dates But Dut there Is a pattern to It If you youIl all Il the thc way through Always the outrage or event which has haa hasto hasto to the war has happened In the theto late to te spring In the case case of the World war sr Sf It was In June But Dut the war did didot not ot of come for six sis weeks Until the theft roper ft time for a war That may have hare been logical enough ambassador But Dut nee are retorted he the reasons for It have become archaic Anyway there Is no logic In most wars They ey just happen I know there are exceptions where one nation seeking some great advantage deliberately planned a war But normally war wartimes times comes because no one Is III wise enough r big enough or has hall prestige enough combined with the other qualities to tc stop it it used to be that wars were almost suspended In winter But Rut In Id inthe itlie the World war we Straight through It may be said the historian slow slow- I jj Iy that through the centuries mens men's minds ha have e e been grooved by the I sties until they were not In a state l which leads lead to war except at the time I which for thousands of years has been I normal I 1 dont don't know knout But Dut I will la lay you IOU any odds In reason renson that we do doI donot donot I not have hate war this time and I am just betting on my theory Arouses Arouse Criticism Pass rass Prosperity Around the slogan lot of Jt the Bull Dull Moose cheering for Theodore Theodore Theo- Theo dore Roosevelt back In 1012 should be bit bethe bethe the text ten of ot the Franklin Roosevelt ad according to enthusiastic Except that of course It ItI I would have to Include when we Set get et It It The two moves to moves to pass It around j and lInd to get It have It-have have been proceeding sImultaneously sly In the plans of the govI gov I Hence there has baa been en much criticism from those who Insist that we wehe lave have to 10 cook the cake before we can cut It Or that we should bring prosperity pros pros- back before we attempt to pass It t ar around und Rut nut the New Dealers contend th tha thae that t we e e have hUIe to pass paES It around In the mod era ern rn sense St of ot economics before we can even wn e have It Hence nee NItA with Its attempts to towe raise we wages wagE'S and cut hours and AAA AA with th Its attempt to boost farm prices and pay the farmers for not growing too much and public works expend j tares turea res to provide pay rolls which mean Purchasing power not to mention CIU- CIU yens tens Conservation camps and ether ther relief rei re- re Bet lief i ef agencies most of which provide a little le buying power In addition to mere fee feeding and clothing of the hungry and coot But Dut the leveling oW process apply log lag to salaries and earnings Is to go further The President Intends t to work out some system which will preT pre pre- vent Tent T nt violent fluctuations In prices o of ofal all al 1 commodities Some think he I Is flirting with the commodity dollar C mainly Certainly controlled currency has bas a aPart apart part Wrt In the program lIe He admitted fo for Instance stance that gold would b be bea bea a factor a with lIh Ith emphasis on the a The be President as has been staled Haled fre tee frequently j in these dispatches believes becan becan be he can r reserve the capitalistic system but iut that be he can so 0 modify It that profits for the few at the expense of the theman man many nany will be very verI small smaiL 0 By deduc- deduc non Ion only It can further be assumed that new fortunes as a result of this condition n once one obtained wil be few and far between And heavy taxation on Inheritances and Incomes as well as on luxuries will tend to minimize existing fortunes Remove Speculation Whereas some same of his more radical lieutenants heartily approving his pol pol- ides cles believe belle that they ther will wreck the capitalistic system and bring About a i form of living much more to their liking And many smart reactionaries opposing the policies Just as strongly str as the radicals endorse them agree This criticism simmers down to this that that the President In his hll calculations calculations with respect to profits for private Initiative has lias drown the line so One floe and thinks of profits so small that there will be no reserve to carry the corporations or business men through th lh the lean lenn years ears The an answer of the small group of Insiders In alders siders who agree that the Presidents President's policies will preserve and not destroy the capitalistic system Is that under the New Peal Den 1 there will not be any lean years ears No Xo conservatives agree with this But Hut In his effort Tort to work out a system Ifs Ifs- tem tern which will run along alonA year In and year Ent out it with all nil private capital mak mak- In a small profit t no one getting rich and no one going coins absolutely broke this new nelv Idea of holding prices on eu ell even keel Is most Interesting In another way It Is a pa part t of the Presidents President's personal antagonism to anything resembling resembling re rev speculative profits He lIe would take every enry possible ounce of speculation speculation specula specula- tion Ilon out of business Buys Much Silver SilverA A government profit on silver at least equal to that made matie on gold Is ii the confident prediction of certain Insiders who It just happens have not been wrong on any currency questions since the Roosevelt administration came ame Into power Already the government has bought a tremendous amount of silver sliver some acquired at tho rough price of 62 tents cents an ounce paid for newly mined and considerably more the open market together with that obtained o ob oh tamed at CO po cents by the nationalization tion process Tho The average price paid by the government gov government though not officially computed com com- computed or admitted Is well under CO 60 60 cents an ounce Actually the government has bought a great deal more silver than the price Indicates The rhe entire world has been fooled on this silver sliver policy of the United States just as It was fooled on the governments government's intentions about marking up the price of gold Wall street for example cackled over the absurdity of the governments government's payIng palIng pay pal Ing log such a high price for gold In London Lon Len don and Paris figuring the gold would have to t be sold later on at a lower price Even the shrewd financiers and speculators did not take cognizance of one Important element In the equation Chat that the government was buying tlC Uia gold with paper dollars which It had the power to devaluate That phase Is all alt over the dam Nobody Nobody Nobody No No- body talks now about the purchases I ot of gold having been foolish The dollar doUar has hils been marked down to 59 51 cents and no one supposes that It will ever eyer be beI marked I up again any more than that th the French franc will wUl ever again be marked up to 20 cents gold from four cents or the Italian lire Ure from five live cents gold to 20 cents The profit on gold so to speak is In the bag Still Skeptical The speculators of Europe Asia and anel Wall Street are just as skeptical now about silver as they were about gold Some of the smarter ones are beginning begin ning to wonder especially the as told In In the recent dispatch about the visit to Washington of Lee Ming and his prompt cable to 10 his bis government govern govern- ment meat which apparently resulted In the Chinese and Indian governments' governments buyIng buy buy- Ing log sliver silver It would take a tremendous boost In Inthe Inthe inthe the price of silver sliver to put the government govern ment went profit on the white metal up to that made on gold for tor the gold profit was In excess of But Dut when a few v figures are considered It becomes simpler The government now has about 8 8 gold It has promised to tomake tomake make moke silver sliver quarter one-quarter of cf all alt the metal reserves behind currency It If one assumes that of this gold wilt will be used to purchase silver this thin figure being taken solely because It makes the computation easy as there Is no official announcement there ther would ihen then be gold and anil silver It If the tha silver sUver were acquired at a price not averaging over CO 60 cents and the average so far tar lewell Is le well below that figure gure and the price of silver sUver should be pushed up to then theft the profit would be How Ilow ridiculous the si skeptics ex ex- claim But Dut consider a moment The official value of sliver silver Is St St. an ounce This was the value alue before the devaluation of gold Assuming as most experts here agree that the dollar dol Inc lar Is ta to be devalued sooner BOoner or later to tha t full extent of the authorization In the present law or to CO 50 cents gold the official of silver would be an oun ounce e 1 I And you fOU will wilt find plenty of ot people who are not dumb about currency matters matters mat mat- ten and who know what Is s going on Inside the administration who will tell teU you rou positively that there theres Js s no prospect prospect prospect pros pros- of a n up let-up on the push for silver sliver until It passes the two dollar mark S a |