OCR Text |
Show New survey projects explosive growth in Carbon, Emery Counties million in 1985. The implications of this ment of energy resources has already taken place in trend, where the basic coal Substantial Carbon 1975 to $40.8 develop- and Emery industry However, what has happen so for is merely the tip of the iceberg if projects now on the drawing boards materialize, is how the third chapter of a recently released study, The Impacts entitled Associated with Energy Developments in Carbon and Emery Counties, Utah, begins. This study, prepared by the Center for Business and Economic Research at Brigham Young University under the direction of Evan Turner, is Counties. the first comprehensive study of the prospects for growth in the Carbon-Emerarea for the next ten years, and, as such, offers some fresh insights into the kinds of growth that can be expected which, in many cases, are truly startling. The study is divided into y three volumes-par- t concerning itself 1 with economic and demographic impacts; part 2 covering impacts; and part 3 dealing with land, water and air resources and possible conflicts of their use. For the purposes of this story, we will concern ourselves with information contained in part 1 with other stories to follow covering the other sections. For the purposes of developing a point of reference, the study confined the first two chapters of Part 1 to base line socio-cultur- al projections for the two county area through 1985 with all planned energy development being ex- cluded from consideration in the projections. The traditional cyclic nature of coal mining in the area explained with ac- companying graphs continued to supply less and less supportive and service type jobs held true in the projections covering other areas ranging from numbers of school children in the counties by 1985 to the growth of government spending in that same study summarized these baseline change in the decline of the local coal industry was suggested by the figures of period. The earlier years in under these saying assumptions, population economic growth were shown to be near a point of stagnation or slight decline. The third chapter of this survey paints a far rosier picture for economic "growth and development in the area in the coming ten years. Under the conditions proposed in this chapter, Carbon-Emer- basic y employment projections serve as the foundation on which total employment, population and income are forecast. With this in mind, researchers assumed that basic related industries .would grow at the rate projected for the baseline conditions and that present and prospective non-ener- coal would develop to the points they are projecting for the next producers ten years. Employment multipliers are added to the equation and produce some final figures that would indicate explosive growth in the area. Under these total emconditions, ployment (all jobs) in Carbon County is projected to rise from 7,323 jobs in 1975 to 13,714 jobs in 1985 and from 2,518 jobs to 4,326 for the same period of time in Emery County. A total employment population such as this is estimated to accommodate a population showing coals, relative importance as an industrial fuel from its high point in the early 50s through its decline in the 60s and early of approximately 33,000 70s. Using this declining people in Carbon County by trend as a base, the study 1985. The possibilities of projects that total coal population growth become in Carbon mines jnorecomplex in Emery ' output would have been down to County because of the approximately 3 million prospect of the construction tons per year by 1985 and of the Intermountain Power mine employment would Project (IPP) in Wayne have been down to 789 jobs. County. Two possibilities In Emery county, this trend for obtaining coal for this was also predicted to hold project been have true with 779,000 tons of coal discussed. One where the projected to be produced in coal is shipped from a site on this baseline 1985 the near proposed projection providing for 223 Kaiparowits Power Project in Kane County and another jobs. These figures compares with 1975 projects of where the coal comes from 3.5 million tons of coal and a proposed mine in southern 985 jobs in Carbon County In the case and 906,000 tons and 362 jobs Emery County. in Emery County. In this where coal came from the vein, total personal income Kane County site, the total in Carbon County was figure is projected to grow from the employment to stay at the present estimate of $62.5 projected million to $153.8 million by figure previously men1985, most of this due tioned with a population of largely to the inflation 10,650. However, in the factor. In Emery County, this figure was projected to second case, total emgrow from $16.6 million in ployment is predicted to nse to 8,463 jobs by mine the impact a toal population of 18,683, projections take one a truly which would rival the fantastic dimension. The impact projection for present size of Carbon 1975 remains the same but, County. most by 1980, development imthe Perhaps staggering projection of pact, including that of the future development comes IPP coal production, is in the total income area expected to generate $30.4 where ' the differences million in personal income between the baseline in- which is $55.2 million over come will be generated in the baseline projection for Carbon County this year that year and by 1985 should under the impact conditions reach $185.7 million which we now face. is a whopping $145 million This compares with a over the baseline projection baseline income of $62.5 for 1985. of Predictions million for 1975 or an increase of $24.7 million in growth hold true through all other areas 1975. In the years following, these projected differences considered by this survey. in total income become The study predicts that even more marked as $181 6,000 new homes will be million is projected to be needed in the Carbon area generated in 1980 as by 1985 over any that might compared with the baseline have been built under of $97 million or an $83 baseline conditions. In million increase and in 1985 Emery County, this figure the impact projection is runs between 2,000 and 4,000 approximately $290 million additional homes. School of generated personal inpopulations are expected to come as compared with the double both counties with baseline projection for that double the schools and year of $153 million. The teachers needed to acdifference between those commodate this growth. two projections comes to The study recommends that approximately $136 million. The degree of development impact in Emery County for these years is very dependent on whether coal from an Emery County mine is used at the In- termountain 1985 and County the Carbon Hospital be doubled in size by 1985 and that a 45 to 100 bed hospital be built in Emery County. Total governmental expenditures, which are projected to total $9 million m Carbon County for this year, are projected to increase over threefold by 1985 with over $32 million expected to be spent by government that year. In Emery County, these figures may be even more dramatic as the $3 million governmental expenditure projection for this year is expected to grow to $105 million in 1985 if coal from Emery County is not used at IPP. However, if IPP uses Emery coal, that govern- mental expenditure Page 1 Section Price, Utah B medical facility needs, the urgent needs for an area Master Plan, and the need explore means by which federal, state, business and industry sources of revenue to million in to that lasts and lasts y while providing years of use New Scandia 24 Traveler $30 $45 $50 including transportation facilities, recreation and land use, the needs and locations for new schools, Hillbilly Power impact projections read $40.1 million million for for 1980 million for 1985 pared with $16.6 $63 1975, and $92 as com- I! million, million and $40.8 baseline in million projections for those years respectively. The differences in impact and baseline projections for those years is $23 million in 1975, $37 million in 1980 and $51.7 million in 1985. However, if coal for the IPP is produced in an Emery $25.2 Men s Travel Kits Fully lined with water proof vinyl $5.00 to 9.95. iHillbilly for Girls Sweaters and Jeans Apparel Center 0C3P&GM7 M 55 East Main Hillbilly is another new addition to our growing girls department. Girls and tAoms alike will love the look and tit of Hillbilly. Lots of sweaters in 100 percent Acrilyc Knit, sizes and novelty looks. 2 styles of jeans, zipper pockets and regular in Slim sizes 7 to 14. Sweaters Sizes 7 to 14 $8.75 to 10.75. Sweaters Sizes 4 to 6x $6.50 to 7.75. Jeans Sizes 7 to 14 s$8.50 to 10.50. Jeans Sizes 4 to 6x soon to come! t3X $ur Styles similar CHRISTMAS on all our Ladies Whether it's a fancy print or a quilted of yoke shirt you're sure fashion right P.T.C. has them good fitting quality. at $16.00. Start Prints both. Fancy at $18.00 Start Yoke Quilted Soft Sides Ladies Tote Ladies Carryon Project. If coal is not used from Emery County, the T Shirts growth. The Christmas gift Mm 5Kemtin0ton, 3Stb. can be tapped in anticipation of this explosive Samsonite Luggage 1985 non-energ- Nightgowns Loungewear Pegnoir Sets Special sale for all those last minute shoppers. Choose from frilly lace to classic styles. Beautifull selection. 18, 1975 V7" ' is rise to $18.3 or a sixfold increase in ten years. In conclusion, this study recommends that local government, civic and business leaders use the resources and financial possibilities presented by this growth to establish related basic inin dustry the area to sustain the population when coal again takes a downturn in demand. It also recommends that further study is vitally needed before the projected boom occurs in a number of service areas projected Thursday, Dec. Coat Sale OFF Every Winter Coat in the store, Ladies, Girls, Boys and Mens. Many styles, Jackets, Boot length and some Maxi's. |