Show WilL fR FRANCE C CJ JOiN J I RUSSIA I i I Latter LaUer Must be Attacked By Two Powers Before Defore Former Is Re Required Required Required to Act GREAT CREAT BRITAIN IS NEUTRAL That Thill United States Might Aid Japan Is Regarded He as a Remote Possibility Paris Feb have havo care carefully carefully fully considered Just how ho far France FranceIs Is likely to become b involved In under the th terms of or tho the alliance which they say sa PA contains two distinct safeguards limiting French participation tion TOte The first of ot these Is that tout must be tie attacked and the second that Hint this title attack mutt must be by b two powers The TOte requirement that Russia be at attacked attacked tacked has hall been one of or the chief causes cause for tor temporizing a as 1111 the site has not nol wished to sacrifice ce the chances of ot French r support Officials here hero how howe hower e eser er r have believed and hoped that RussIa would strike the first Arst decisive lell lye blow as such uch action would woul in a U men meas measure wr ure relieve lello France from participating In lii a I war I Concerning the condition In the alit once that two powers must muRt attack nUI hl before be foro l become becom M has distinctly to tn members rl of or the tho diplomatic corps that Corea Coren amid China would not nol be he h considered such uth powers power If It either Joined Japan against 1 Russia nula The only July remaining powers likely to tn I Ja Sit Japan pan JIlIn against nto 1110 Great Oreal Britain and the United Stoles States Great BrItaIn the tho official belief h ler here hers Is III that lint she the does docs do g not nol desire to be he em embroiled embroiled broiled owing to her recent expert experiences eileeN in n South Africa and possible Huston complications In Iii India Moreover ns as was pointed out by a 1 lending leading diplomatist tonight If It Great threat Britain became embroiled she sho would woul be b compelled to hold hoM the largest portion of ot the British fleet at 11 home In order artier to 10 prevent her ports from rein being block blockaded ailed adeil her food supplies stopped by b France whose participation would nut mutt follow rollow Great aidIng Japan Joplin Furthermore tho the recent r cent arbitration treaty him hoe ht productive of It a II strong sentiment ot of amity limit between the two nations and this till Is I thought to counteract much of the former torm r sentiment favorable to Itus litis sin sla Besides being written n In lit the tho treaty trtAt M Lord arid nd others of or tho the highest Influence In British and French life Ufa have havo lately emphasized this restoration of or friendly relations and there is lit reason renson to believe that these exchanges have ha resulted result eI In a 1 pretty prett definite under that under no nn circumstances will trIll either Prance France or threat Great Britain be drawn Into Inlo the tho nunn Russo Japanese con COli conflict COlim filet m ct That tho the United States might possibly bly III bo ho o tho the second power to attack Rue Pus sin fila thuit thuc necessitating French action h it regarded ns as nn an extremely remote possIbilIty and practically I Impossible amid furthermore tho the cordiality be boo between tween France and tie the United States Isa Is IsA A 1 powerful offset to 10 any 1111 French senti merit ment toward Russia One Ono of ot the tho beet beat posted authorities catch tonight that notwithstanding any alliances the French l parliament 1 would never authorize war In iii connection with the tue present dispute I II Thin Thill authority pointed out that after the tho coup of or Napoleon III by precipitating 1 n tho tim Will WilE consult In the branch Franco canco adopted the tho salutary principle of at the AmerIcan Constitution which makes parliament the th sole cola body bOl capable ot of declaring war At the present nt tUne time the French parliament is IR strongly main tip liP of ot SocIalists anti and one of their cardinal principles IA Is disarmament nt ar am arbitration nod the tim avoidance of war fare Thin element l holds the balance of ot power poter In time the French parliament anti and It stands therefore ns nil n a distinct t as assurance II against a n parliamentary doe dec declaration of or war wor Probably tho ho bet outward evidence that France Francl has hall no expectation of ot be ho becoming coming Involved In n tile the far tar In lit l that only one French Fr warship has hall b bt been n rent Bent nl thorp there and that not a single additional soldier line has been ordered to the tho I he ex cx extreme orient As 11 to the probable course of t the hue other powers toward tho ho belligerents the Associated pre Pres has Mil been Informed by the highest German authority In n France that Germany will wilt maintain an attitude of neutrality n her sympathies lean toward she has haa ho hi Intention Inte ll lI of or aiding Russia materially for tor she believes that hue nUl ala 1111 will wll be victorious As AI Germanys Germany s Interests are lire not menaced mena l she win till simply b bit lm n R fI but If it anything should hould b be done lone which thermally Germany might consider r as affecting her she sho will bo ho prepared to 0 net act It is said ald that Ocr Ger Germany many has no ito intention of seIzing Shan Shantung tung twig and It Is declared to be ridiculous to suppose that slie she proposes to lo occupy any points point In Denmark Austria Au It 1 Is III believed will follow tollow the courM courll of Germany because of ot the triple alliance and from her neighbor neighborly ly Iy Interests with Russia particularly In the Balkans Italy Is expected to maintain practically the same position I as her tier associates In its the triple alliance Binet the thu resulting r in i theD the czars l i canceling c n his trip to Home nomo there has hn been a notable lack hack la k kor of or In Italy for tor Russia Hussla The are lire considered the dan danger ger spot of ot Europe As a result of or the preoccupation of t Russia nu la In tho ho far tiC east cost It Is III known know 11 here that lint t silo uha he hide has been careful Clr not to 10 draw upon the troops Coops In European Russia to any great creat extent for tor service In Manchuria be he because cause of ot the Ih prospect that Turkey and Bulgaria will wilt engage In war durIng the spring Austria will win bear bellr the burden In the greater gretter te degree of ot preserving pence peace In Europe Io In lii this however she will bo be earnestly supported by France and Great Orent Britain arid and it Is hoped by Get Ger Germany many and Italy With war Imminent orders have been given Riven for n R rigid censorship over ver I all In Information Information formation relating tc to t naval and amid mill tory movements Preparations were ere also made malle for COl the tha czars journey to the ancient capital Moscow where ho he goes In accordance with the traditional CUB cus torn tom of ot his forefathers to Invoke InOke dIvine guidance While hhie the lie Imperial train trall Is II passing to Moscow troops will whit lino every foot toot of ot the way AT SI LEGATION When the lie representative of the th As AN Associated Press called nt III the Japanese Ic Ie gatlon this morning he found a 1 scena of or great confusion During the night as IlS if by Jy manic magic all the Japanese art treasures bronzes and Ivories had die dis disappeared appeared runT the spacious salons were bare Amid the tile crop nf ot stories afloat hero here today thero are some seine of or the Ihl wildest character as all for tt Or r example that a n naval battle battlo has hal already ready I been fought rOUght and n mm Japanese fleet anti Another dory which Is repeated repented clearly hilly Is I that while the tho Japanese guy gov government go did not walt wait for tor the presentation of ot the Russian response the tM contents of or It were communicated privately to M who tele telegraphed graphed It to lute his government This the lie Associated Aa Press l has hoa been an Informed Is not true When Count Informed M on 01 Thursday night that the response e hud hitch gone to Viceroy ho he tIll dirt not give 0 him a n copy cop of oC It but It Is In understood that he made mode known In a 11 general way wn the Russian position FOUR POINTS Russia while making concessions declined to lo yield on the four following points First Japans to ask for tor a ti treaty trent covering the sovereignty of or Manchuria Second She Insisted upon mutual recognition of the Independence of ot Coren Co tea Third That there should be no io forth fortU heathen of ot southern Corea Coren which might m hl threaten Russian communications with Port lorl Arthur and stock Fourth Sha declined to meet macel Japans withes wishes with regard to n a neutral zone cone on both bolh sides of or the river The news of or the breaking oft off of or di dl diplomatic relations between n Russia nU and Japan wo ivaN spread far and anti wIde throughout the capital by extra bul bulletins of tho the and lInd other papers Much excitement was created anti and this resulted III In patriotic demon demonstrations At the performance Of ot heroic opera Life Mr fOr the tho Czar Citar nt at atthe tho the Marie theater the Iho enormous build buildIng Ing lug was packed Item from floor to ceiling rind many military officers were VerA pres pree present emit ent en When the tIle peasant who In the play piny lIlY comes to 10 save PAve the czars life fang eang the tM national ode God Hive Have Havethe the Czar from Ills His Enemies the hc Imo emo nu character was wan stilled by the of or the occasion hut but when the curtain was wn rung down tho the audience nc burst Into Inlo vociferous o op The Bourne o Gazette lulls hills the tue break lug In of o relations because It terminates the anti and declares that the tho entire nation will respond to the Im penal call It li Is the general opinion of or military men here that Japan Jalan will Immediately land hand troops In Coren Corea whence will conic como the first news of ot fighting unless there should d b IM be an nn occidental nc en encounter counter The Tha u In was Informed nt at a late hate hour tonight that the order for tho tha Imperial Imp train to take the tho czar cz r to Moscow had hail been countermanded and md that th t the date data pf ir his ide de departure Is uncertain |