Show Moderate Enrollment Increases Expected During Next Decade Although enrollments In Utah's public elementary and Secondary schools are expected to rise only moderately mod during the next decade de dc cade and a half enrollments In Utah's public c colleges will roar coar during this same per per- iod led This was S the conclusion readied reached by Utah Foundation the private governmental research research re reo search earch agency In an nn analysis I or oi population patterns and educational e trends In Utah The Foundation report points out that reductions In Utah's birth rate during re re- cent rent years Is beginning to have lave a moderating effect on public school enrollments The study estimates that elementary el el- el elementary and secondary enrollment en cn growth In Utah will be only about 5 57 per percent percent percent cent between now and 1980 This compares with an In In- crease irease of 75 per cent during I the he past fourteen years I Enrollments In Utah's public colleges on the other hand land are expected to nearly neary near near- ly y double between now and 1980 If pre present ent nt trends con con- tine The Foundation study estimated that enrollments at t Utah's public colleges will rise from In 1965 toa to toa toa a projected In 1980 If f existing ng patterns and trends rends continue Important factors In this expected growth in public college ollege enrollments over the next decade and a half are are are- 1 The flood float of babies born orn In the years lately following World War WarI II I has has' passed through the and secondary schools and is now now beginning to o reach the college ge level 2 An Increasing proper lon tion of high school graduates ates tes are seeking college admission ad ad- mission 3 Utah Is attracting a rising ris- ris Ing ng proportion of out of state tate students 4 4 Brigham Young University Ity sity the major private college col col- lege ege in Utah has announced that hat it Is placing a ceIlIng on n future enrollments which fact act will place an added burden buren bur bur- den en on the public institutions ions Utah Foundation analysts point out that much of the population rise In Utah during during dur duro ing the past twenty five years has been In pre prepra pro under 18 and the post productive post 65 and over over ov ov- er er age are brackets The effect of these thes population shifts shifts' has haJ born been 1 that the demand II ar r public services Cervices Ices especially lally education has hns been increasing while the Uw relay rela relative tive number of potential taxpayers in the generally productive tax producing age brackets has been de de- de dining clining As a n result government government govern govern- ment r is have been rising and the tax burden has in in- sharply This In turn has complicated Utah's efforts effort at Industrial devel devel- The he study also observes that not only has there been beena a 11 rise In state stale and local local lo lo- 10 cal spending during the past quarter of 01 a century but buttIta that tIta t there also has hM been a decided shift l In the purpose se of such spending In 1942 1992 public education expenditures expendi expendi- expenditures tures accounted for of all state and l local spending spend spend- spending ing in Utah By 1965 the percentage going for public education had risen to a high of Public welfare spending on the other hand which I was equal to per c cent lt of all nIl Utah state and local expenditures in 1942 had declined de de- de dined to 62 per cent In 1965 An important fact In Inthis inthis I this decline according to the Foundation study was the shifting of state welfare costs to Federal Social Security Security Se Se- CUl ty programs |