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Show NA NATIONAL ilONAL ilONALAFFAIRS AFFAIRS AFFAIRSReVleweJ AFFAIRSReviewed NATIONALAFFAIRS NATIONALAFFAIRSReviewed Reviewed ReVleweJ by byCARTER byCARTER byCARTER CARTER FIELDThe FIELD FIELDThe The temper of the peopie peo peopie pIe of the United Umted States isdecidely I.S IS . isdecidely decldely decidely against agatnst partlClpa parncipa parncipanon particlpation tcon non ofany of any land l.tnd ltnd Lind l.tndtn Lindin . in tn a Euro Europeatt European pean peatt Uior nar mar . . Condttlons Conditions Conditionsvastly Conditionslastly wstl vastly ) different dlfferent from those thoseat thoseat at the time tlme of the Worlduar W WorId World Worldmar orId tLar mar "Big Big "Blg Blg " business bustness " " con confers confers fers on plan to bring brtng abouta about a big blg boom in tn business busmess betueen be betueen ttteen tueen noiv noW and January inhopes tn in inhopes llOpes hopes ofrefuttng ofrefuting of refuting refuttng Room Roose Roosevelt's Rooevelt's Rooevelts ' , velt's velts ' dire dlre predictionsWASHINGTONThe predictions predlctlOns predictionsWASHINGTON WASHINGTONThe WASHINGTON-The WASHINGTON The WASHINGTON -The The - The greatest dIf dIfference difference diference ference ( of opinion opmlon about anyone anyoneImporhnt any one oneionportint oneimportint Imporhnt ionportint question in this country countrytoday countrytoday countrytoday today is whether the United Umted States Statescan Statescan Statescan can keep out of o1 war in Europe EuropeThere EuropeThere EuropeThere There is no doubt about the tem tern temper ternper ternper per of the country If I ! a referendum referendumcould referendumcould referendumcould could be held tomorrow nearly all allastute allastute astute ; tute politicians believe it would wouldgo wouldgo wouldgo go overwhelmingly overwbelmmgly for remammg remaining remammgneutralor remainingneutralor remainingneutral neutral-or neutral or - - or as most people put It it itminding , , mmdlng minding our own busmessMoreover businessMoreover business busmess businessMoreover Moreover there is no such ele element elemint element ment mint in this country today as there therewas therewas therewas was immediately after the InVaSIOn InVaSIOnof invasionof invasionof of Belgium in 1914 which kept In Increasmg increasing mcreasing creasmg creasing unt until in 1915 " when "hen hen the Lu Lusitama Lusitania Lusitania sitama sitania was sunk it reached a for formldable formidable formidable mldable midable crestOn crestOn crest crestOn On the other othcr hand there is no nosuch nosuch nosuch such division of sent ment in m thIS thIScount.y thiscounty thiscount count.y county . y as there \ was as from 1914 to to1917 1917 In many man ) ] , states the German Germanpopulat Germanpopulat Germanpopulat populat on openly sympath zed at atthat atthat atthat that time with the central pOViers powers pOVierspartIcularly powersparticularly powersparticularly partIcularly in m the upper M SSISSIppl ssissippi SSISSIpplvalley ssissippivalley ssissippivalley valley \ which hiCh as one old pol pot tIcal tIcalleader ticalleader ticalleader leader remarked at the tune time IS ISmore ismore ismore more Teutonic TcutonIC than Anglo Saxon SaxonMinnesota SaxonMinnesota SaxonMinnesota Minnesota for instance mstance contrary to tothe tothe tothe the belief behef of most Easterners and andSoutherners andSoutherners andSoutherners Southerners has more Germans Germansthan Germansthan Germansthan than Swedes S\\edes S edes \ more Germans than thanNorwegIans thanNorwegians thanNorwegians NorwegIans though of course it If the theScandinavians theScandinavians theScandinavians Scandinavians are cons de dered red as one oneracIal oneracial oneracial racIal group they outnumber the theGermans theGermans theGermans Germans Wisconsin Wlsconsm Nebraska and andM anditi andM M iti ssouri not to ment mint on llllnols Illinois llllnolshave Illinoishave Illinoishave have huge German populations populationsBut But today there is not much sym sympathy sympathy sympathy pathy for Hitler among these Ger German German German man segments of our populat on onh onwh onvi \\h h wh \ h ch were so fervently pro German Germanin In 1914-1917 1914 1917 - - - Most of them st lllove llloveGermany 11 ll love loveGermany loveGermany Germany but thev they do not like llke Hit HitIer Hitlei Hitler Ier lei There are plenty of except ons onsof onsof onsof of course as becomes apparent apparentyhen apparentwhen apparentwhen yhen when , one starts to canvass the s tu to tuat toat hiat at on 011 but it is very obvious that m in mstead instead instead stead of the German Americans be beIng being being Ing a sol d pro Hitler bloc they theywould theywould theywould would show a substantial maJority maJorityagainst majorityagainst majorityagainst against him Most r-Iost r Iost - German Amerl Ameni Amerlcans Amenicans Amencans cans today would be pleased at the thene thene thene ne vs of a polit pollt cal turnover in m Ger Germany Germany Germany many manyhlch \ which \\hlch hlch would throw H tier tler and andthe andthe andthe the 1\ 1 \ 1az I'az Iaz I ' > az s out of po ver Most of ofthem ofthem ofthem them would even prefer the return returnof returnof returnof of the Hohenzollerns I-Iohenzollerns I Iohenzollerns - to contmuance continuance continuanceof contmuanceof of the present reg me meNeutrality 1\ 1 11 \ 1eutrallt 11eutralit Neutrality eutrallt eutralit ) Lans Latts Lazes WouldNot Would WouldNot Not Keep Us Out of W rr rrar War WarAll ar arAll All of which is cited to how that thatth thatth thatth th s country does not have to travel travelas as far ( ar now in m order to reach the thepomt thepoint thepoint pomt point where Itould it \ would \\ould ould plunge Into Intothe intothe intothe the war on the side of Britain Brltam and andFrance andFrance andFrance France as it did in m 1914 1917 Yet Yet Yetalthough , , although Pres dent Wilson was re reelected reelected reelected elected in m November 1916 on akept akept a akept kept us out of v w \ , ar issue the coun coup country couptry country try was n the war just five months monthslater monthslater monthslater later So it may be wiser to be beconservatIve beconservative beconservative conservatIve in m assumptions asoumptlons as'umptions asumptions ' as to toth toth toth th s country s remaining rcmammg out of war war1J1 warto warui 1J1 to : Europe Iurope EuropeVery IuropeVery Very few people u-ink u ink thnk think - that the thepresent thepresent thepresent present neutral ty laws or for that thatmatter thatmatter thatmatter matter any variation of them WhICh WhIChanyone whichanyone whichanyone anyone keepth has suggested would keep keepths th s country out of o1 the \ war ar As a amatter amatter amatter matter of tact fact t . the e present law IS ISvery isvery isvery very much m snamed It pro\ pro pros proIdes pro\idesagainst pro idesagainst \ Ides Idesagamst idesagainst agamst against the shipment of arms am ammumtlon ammunition ammunition mumtlon munition and the implements of ofwar ofwar ofwar war to belligerents Yet it has hasnever hasnever hasnever never been appi appl appled ed to the present presentconf presentconfi presentconfl conf confi ! ct between Japan and ChmaThe ChinaThe China Chma ChinaThe The answer is simple The ad admInistration administration administration mInistration believes beheves that to recog recogn n ze that a state tate of war exists and andconsequently andconsequently andconsequently consequently to impose unpose an embargo embargowould embargowould embargowould would JapanThe benefit not China Chma but Japan The government at Washmgton Washington WashmgtonsympathIzes Washingtonsympathizes Washingtonsympathizes sympathIzes quite openly with ChI ChID"J Chinl Chin-t Chin t D"J DJ nl " - . not Japan as the NIpponese Nipponesea a e wrathtully wrIthfully wrathfully : aware So it Ignores ignoresthe the sp nt rut of the law though observ observrng observing observing rng ing the letter Nobody kicks much muchbecause muchbecause muchbecause because the whole country is al almost almost almost most a unit urut in sympathlz sympathiz sympathizng ng with withCh withCh withCh Ch na naThere There is no doubt that the sym sympath sympath sympath path es of the admin admln adman stration stratlOn w will l be beeven beeven beeven even more strongly and actively on onthe onthe onthe the side of Britain BrItam and France Franceaga Franceaga Franceaga aga knowtha knowthat nst nit Germany H tier will know knowthat tha that t . . P/ai P ai Plan / ; Boom in tn Business toRefute to toRefute Refute r D R R's Rs ' $ Pred Predictions Predcl1ons PredictionsHalf cl1ons Half Hall a dozen dozcn conferences confercnces of men menwhom menwhom menwhom whom the New Dealers would call callWb call"b call"b callb Wb "b b " g bus ness have been held In Inthe inthe inthe the last few days on an agenda look looking looktag looking ing tag businessbetween busmessbetween to a sharp revival of busmess business between now and January when whencongress whencongress whencongress congress meets agamThe againThe again agam againThe The idea is to cause su hare harevival h a re revival revival vival of bus ness and suchan such an in increase increase increase crease in m employment by prIvate prIvateemployers privateemployers privateemployers employers that the d re prcd pred prod ct ons ens onsof ensof onsof of Pres dent Roose\ Roose Roosevelt Rooseelt Roosetelt \ elt grow ng out outof outof outof of the defeat by congress of the thespend thespend thespend spend lend b 11 will be made to look lookr r d culous to the returning la 1a v vmkers vmakers vmakers m\kers m kers makers ' \ It would be little short of a mira miracle miracle miracle cle if U anything came of the con conferences conferences conferenccs ferences It I If ! business revives revlvcs and andemploymcnt andemployment andemployment employmcnt employment Increases it will not notbe notbe notbe be the result rcsult of them Despite the thepet thepet thepet pet theory thcory of certain radicals busi business business business ness is not such a cohesive unit In Inits inits inits its operations As a matter of fact factno factno : no big corporation even actmg acting actingalone actingalone i ialone alone is ever Inspired by pollbcal pollbcalI political pollbcalmotIves politicalmotives politicalmotives I motIves m in deciding on an enlarge enlargeI enlargement enlargement enlargement I ment or curtailment of Its opera operabons operations operations operationsWhen bons tions bonsWhen tionsWhen When busmcss business expands it is al always always always ways for one reason and only one oneThe oneThe oneThe The same is true when it contracts contractsThere contractsThere contractsThere There is ne\ ne ne ne\er ne er neer \ ' er any doubt about the theI themotIve themotive themotive I motIve whether it be based on onsound onsound onsound sound or poor judgment The mo motIve motive motive tIve is always profit . . When bus busi business business I Iness ness sees secs a chance to make a profit profitit profitit profitIt it expands When it tears fears losses If Ifit ifit ifit it continues the present scale of op operatlOns operations oporations eratlOns erations it contracts It may make makea , a mistake in m ether e a ther direction but butthere butthere , there is never ncver any nny question about aboutwhy aboutwhy aboutwhy why it was doneNew done doneNeiis Neiis New Dealers Ncedn Ncednt Needn t WorryNothing Worry , Not/ung Not ung Nothing / Will Come of ItSo ItSo It ItSo SohIle So \ while \\hIle hIle gentlemen gcntlcmen with impos ng ngnames ngnames ngnames names really have been confcrrmg conferring conferringon confcrrmgon on this tlus question of a manufactured manufacturedboom manufacturedboom manufacturedboom boom m In order to thwart the Presl Presi Presldent President President dent no New Dealer need nced be wor worned worrued worned ned rued \ Iiothing 1\othmg 1 othmg I'othing Iothing ' will come of it It . . It If Itthe Ifthe Itthe the management of any parbcular particular parbcularcorporation particularcorporation particularcorporation corporation dec des that by expand expandIng expanding expanding Ing it can make another 20 cents on oneach oneach oneach each share during the next six sixmonths sixmonths sixmonths months that corporation will ex expand expand expand pand its operat ons If It it figures figuresthat figuresthat figuresthat that it will lose money by contmu continu contmumg continuing continuing mg ing the present rate of product on onIt onit onit It will begin begm laying off menOne menOne men menOne One of the few exceptions in m his history history history tory happened in m the early days of ofthe ofthe ofthe the Hoover depress on in m the sprIng sprIngof springof springof of 1930 " , when hen President Hoover m in mduced induced induced duced a number numbcr of railroad and andb andb andb b g business execut t \ es to cont nue nueJust nuejust nuejust Just as they were going when all allthe allthe allthe the executives wanted to cut downBut downBut down downBut But that except on on only onl 1) 1 ) made therule therule the therule rule of profit mot ve ye surer be because because because cause ofhat of \ what \\hat hat happened then Ev Every Every Every ery corporation that took Mr Hoo Hoover Hoover Hoover ver s advise on that occasion suf suffered suffered suffered fered terribly as a result . . , Mr Hoo Hoover Hooyen Hoover ver yen w \ 11 always bel eve cve that what whathe \ whathe \ hat hathe he induced mduced these b g employers to todo todo todo do softened the blow-cushIoned blow cushIoned blow - cushioned the thedecl thedec thedecl decl dec ' ne But no bus ness man wants wantsto wantsto wantsto to offer his own surplus to be uscd used uscdas usedas usedas as a cushionPredict cushion cushionPredict Predict Real SIarJ Marl Marlet et Boom BoomFollowing BoomFollowing FollowIng Outbreak OulbreaJ Outbreal . . of War WarNew WarNew WarNew New York stock market gyrat ons ens onsperplex ensperplex onsperplex perplex most outsiders and the per perplex perplex perplex plex ty increases if one attempts to toget toget toget get an explanation from shre shred shreidmarket \d d sd sdmarket \ dmarket market operatorsNever operatorsNever operators operatorsNever Never was th s more forcibly dem deco demonstrated decoonstrated demonstrated onstrated than byhat by \ what \\hat hat the market markethas markethas markethas has been undergoing in m the face of ofrepeated ofrepeated ofrepeated repeated repeatedar war \\ar ar \ scares Every t me methere methere methere there is a scare the market d ps psSomet psSomet psSomet Somet mes ones it almost crashes Ex Expeds Experts Experts peds perts agree that when whenar \\ar ar war \ \ ar really reallybreaks reallybreaks reallybreaks breaks out in m on Europe there will be bea bea bea a real crashBut crashBut crash crashBut But the same operators operdtors w 11 tell tellyou tellyou tellyou you that not very long thereafter thereafterthere thereafterthere thereafterthere there will be a real boom in the themarket themarket themarket market with a crop ofwar of war bab es esnot esnot esnot not unlike those of 1915 though tl tI e enames enames enames names of the compan es may be dil dif dilferent different different differentMoreover ferent ferentMoreover Moreover the same shrewd shre\\d shre d \ opera operators operators operators tors will tell you tha that t the rise of ofthese ofthese ofthese these war bab es will merely be a awave awave awave wave on top of a tide which will willseep willsweep willsweep s\\eep s eep sweep \ the prices of most sound cor corporatIons corporations corporations poratIons upward The tide hde w 11 ll be bethe bethe bethe the inevitable result they say of ofbus ofbus ofbus bus ness cond tions tlons lions in m the UnIted UnItedStates UnitedStates UnitedStates States which w 11 be brought about aboutby aboutby aboutby by the war |