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Show NEW YORK JOURNAL'S DEMOCRATIC "EXPLANATION1 OF HOW PARKER WILL OVERWHELMINGLY BEAT ROOSEVELT - . Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, Indiana, West Virginia Vir-ginia and Delaware Are Claimed as Democratic. . I HERE ARE THE ELECTORAL VOTES. THAT WOULD ELECT JUDGE PARKER. - In addition to the Solid South, here are the States which the Demo- cratlc national managers say they will surely carry, and which, added to the 151 electoral votes of the South, will give Parker and Davis a to- ft tal of 259: , 8 Electoral Electoral State. votes. State. votes New Jersey 12 Montana 3 U New York 39 Colorado Connecticut 7 Nevada w Delaware 3 Idaho Maryland 8 Utah 3 . West Virginia 7 lx Indiana 151 Total 108 S, The Nev- York American, William Randolph Hearst's Democratic organ, has completed its poll of the country. The American says the Democrats say they will win. . . NEfW TORK. Nov. 3. Hearst's American gives its forecast of the elec-. elec-. tion as follows: The Democratic estimates are extremely ex-tremely encouraging for two reasons: rirst, because States like "Wisconsin, Illinois, Idaho and Washington are conceded con-ceded to the Republicans, and the States- of Maryland, Montana, Nevada and Colorado are yielded to the Democrats Demo-crats under the Republican estimates. The 259 electoral votes claimed are secured by the capture of New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, Indiana, West Virginia, all of the solid South, including Maryland and Delaware, and the mountain States of Nevada, Montana Mon-tana and Colorado. Twenty electoral votes In this list could be lost and the Democratic ticket still be successful. Innumerable combinations can be figured fig-ured out. As many as four of the claimed anf conceded States can go Republican, with Democratic success assured. The , Democratic views in different 6tatfare given below: MARYLAND LIKELY TO GIVE PARKER 15,000 PLURALITY BALTIMORE, Nov. 3. Maryland this year will, In all probability, cast her electoral vote for Parker and Davis, and the majority is variously estimated by Democrats at from 6000 to 15,000. The Republicans admit that they have an up-hill fight, and while hoping to elect three of the six Congressmen, do not expect ex-pect to -carry the State. Under normal conditions, Maryland is always a " Democratic State, ar.d only . departed from her moorings in 1896 and 1900, when thousands of conservative Democrats left the party on the silver ismie and voted for McKinley. In this campaign it is estimated that considerably more than 90. per cent of the Gold Democrats who Voted for McKinley Mc-Kinley will support Parser, and In addition ad-dition the Democratic party is uni.d throughout the Stat-? as it has not been In many years. The Democrats in the State, led by Senator Gorman, are enthusiastic and confident, while the Republicans have .neither confidence nor enthusiasm, and are not nearly so well supplied with cas''Vi the other side. i DEMOCRATS HAVE HOPES OF GETTING WISCONSIN'S VOTES -.' MILWAUKEE, Nov. 3. The Democrats Demo-crats of this State have by no means given up the hope of carrying Wisconsin Wis-consin for Parker, though they admit Jt Is a hard and up-hill fight. They are placing great faith in the disruptive effect ef-fect among the Republican ranks of the LO Follette split, and believe that a great many Republicans who are opposed op-posed to La Follette's candidacy and revolt, will testify to the strength of their feeling by voting the Democratic ' ticket all through The big lttmbarin? population of na- r turalized Swedes and Norwegians are never strong at voting split tickets, and those of them that go against La Follette Fol-lette are likely to vote in the way easiest for themselves, which will be "a vote for the straight Democratic ticket. Ten days ago the Democrats were discouraged dis-couraged and were making only a pre-functory pre-functory campaign. Since that time the whole spirit has changed, and Democratic Demo-cratic headquarters is now the busiest place in Milwaukee. t CONNECTICUT FOR PARKER, DECLARE THE DEMOCRATS NEW HAVEN, Nov. 3. Democratic managers insist that Parker has an excellent ex-cellent chance to place Connecticut In the Democratic column this year. They are especially confident of electing their State ticket. Judge Parker's coming, it Is believed, will arouse a great degree of enthusiasm, and will swing into line many of the doubtful voters. The State chairman declares that for two weeks there has been a strong drift from Roosevelt, which. If maintained until election day, will surely sweep the State IntS the Democratic column. The trust Issue is being pushed to the front, and the speakers on the Democratic side are now impressing upon the people the fact that the high prices which have been paid for living in the last three years are due to these combinations. This, no doubt, has had the effect of Impressing Im-pressing many independent voters who might otherwise have cast their lot with the Republicans. A conservative view of the conditions In the State would certainly cer-tainly favor Judge Parker's chances. Judge A. Heaton Robertson, the Democratic candidate for Governor, is making a whirlwind campaign, speaking speak-ing all over the State, while Henry Roberts, Rob-erts, the Republican candidate, has not taken the stump. The union labor vote promises to be solidly cast against Roberts, Rob-erts, because of an alleged remark he made while State Senator that 90 cents a day was enough for any work-ingman. work-ingman. Judge Robertson will lose some votes because of the publication of letters written by him In 1896, stating that he intended to bolt Bryan and advising ad-vising his friends to follow suit. ROOSEVELTISM IS THE BIG ISSUE IN THE SOLID SOUTH WASHINGTON, Nov. 3. What degree de-gree of enthusiasm the personality of the Democratic candidates for President and Vice-President has aroused in the South and whether the figures on election elec-tion day will show relatively, all things considered, that.the ticket this time will be as popular asMn 1896 and 1900 are just now interesting questions. It can be stated that the hope of the coneervative thinkers that the vote of the South this year will equal or exceed that in the two previous Presidential election years is based almost entirely on the personal objection to Roosevelt among the voters of the Southern States. If this personal enmity is as rancorous as it Is claimed to be in the country districts of the South there appears ap-pears to be no question that it might take the place of the enthusiasm which Bryan rals-d by his personality snd views on the money question, which ' were matters of heated debate at every crossroad In the South. In South Carolina It is known that (.Continued on pags-S.) ' ;jGCLlATiC--P3Ii5CAGT'0PRdMBLEc V. V RESULT HUFlE PRESIDENTIAL RACE (Continued from pr 1.) ' 1 some of the big leaders do not stand for Judge Parker, but the same leaders will be active la bringing voters to the. polls as a rebuke to President Roosevelt In Mississippi also It is expected that the full Democratic vote will be brought to. the polls, because - In that State Rooserelt became Intensely unpopular through the Indlanola Incident. There is; however, another view erlously entertained, which makes for the conclusion that the vote . In the 8outh for Judge Parker and, the electoral elec-toral ticket will not be as large, taking Into consideration .natural Increase In-crease In the vote In election periods, as was the Democratic turnout in the Bryan campaigns, when the voters were .on Are with enthusiasm. First It Is rid, that the strength of Mr. Watson . will be, developed In Georgia, North Carolina, Kentucky and In Alabama. ' Another element of decrease In the vote. Is expected In Virginia namely, the poll tax qualification. Reports are that numbers of both black and white voters failed to come up six months ago, - retired by law. Another consideration that makes for a reduced vote is that there was no special canvass In the South except in "West Virginia and Maryland. There was no Issue practically In the - far Southern States but the negro question, ques-tion, and there have been no popular gatherings en masse to hear the normal issues of a I residential campaign. The optimistic view is that the negro ques-. ques-. tlon will lend it strength to Judge Parker. The unknown quantities are . the W.ton vote and the apathy of the average voter for want of another issue. For the latter reasons some observers think that the vote for Parker will not compare favorably with that of Bryan. BOTH SIDES CLAIM a ELECTORAL VOTES OF WEST VIRGINIA Wheeling, w. va., Nov. 3. since . Wfa'te issues this year in West Virginia 1 are paramount and have complicated the National election, no forecast on the Presidential result can be given with anything like a degree "of certainty. Roosevelt Is stronger than his party here. So also is Henry G. Davis. Republican Chairman Northcott and other leaders say Roosevelt will carry the State by not less than 30,000. Chairman Chair-man McKlnney of the Democratic cen-. cen-. tral committee laughs at these figures, but makes no estimate. The Democrats claim the State for Parker, but are more hopeful of their State ticket The return of Gold Democrats, a factionalism fac-tionalism among the Republicans and a hopeful, reunited and aggressive Democracy, greatly Inspired by Henry G. Davis. Indicate an increased Democratic Demo-cratic vote. Cutting on the Republican State ticket will lose Roosevelt many votes. - The Republicans will retain three of i the five CongresBlonal districts, but will j lose the Second and probably the Third. The Republican candidate for Governor Gov-ernor is certain of defeat Bryan has brought beck lagging silver Democrats. Watson will not poll 1000 votes. The Socialists are Active and will give Debs 2500. The Prohibitionists will do better than the Populist Thousands of voters employed in the ' coal, oil and lumber Industries are op-. op-. posed to the Republican State ticket 'this year, and many of them will also oppose the Republican National ticket At Sutton several lumber mills owned and operated by Republicans shut down and gave their men time to attend the speech of John J. Cornwell, the Democratic Demo-cratic nominee for Governor. One man engaged in polling Parkercburg says that seven out of every ten Republicans ' he has come in contact with assure him they will vote the Democratic State ticket. Bets are being made here at even money . that Cornwell will be elected Governor. If he gets 10,000 plurality Parker will . carry the State. . ' . . nowhere In the United States are the Democrats putting up a more strongly 1 organiied fight than here. Chairman Tom Taggart has declared that the battle bat-tle for Democracy Is already won. The proportion of independent voters is larger in Indiana than in almost any other State. The Democratic managers are confident that Parker will get the greater part of these. If he does, It is difficult to see how he can lose the State. The Republicans deny the Democratic claim, and boast that they will carry the State by at least 20,000. Their tremendous activity and extraordinary efforts do not, however, conform to this contention. The Democrats say that there would be no occasion for the dee-perate dee-perate efforts the Republicans are putting put-ting forth unless they realised that the contest was so close as to be almost desperate. : and held out hope to the Democrats In doubtful countle. The managers of the minor parties are greatly encouraged by the outlook in Illinois. The rDebs vote will be heavy in Cook county, and will show a big Increase over Socialist votes down the State. Watson will poll nearly as many votes in Chicago as Debs, while his down-State vote promises to reach a very respectable figure. The Prohibition Prohibi-tion vote will be double over that of two years ago. In 1896 the McKInley plurality was 141.500. in 1900 it was 94.900, on an increased in-creased total vote. In 1902 the Democrats Demo-crats succeeded in cutting the plurality down to 89.700. -The Socialist vote in 1902 was 28.000, and the Prohibition vote 18,400. This year the Debs vote will reach 60,000, and the Watson vote may go as high as 60,000. To this off-side vote should be added not less than 25.000 for the Prohibition ticket in Illinois. HEW JERSEY WILL GO FOR PARKER, SAYS EX-SENATOR SMITH . TRENTON, Nov. S. "New Jersey is safe for Parker and Black," said former Senator James" Bmkh, member of the Democratic National executive committee. commit-tee. ' The Senator would give no figures, but expressed himself as Very sanguine that the little State which McKInley carried both in 1896 and 1900 would be redeemed for the Democracy. The campaign conducted by the Democrats has been more aggressive than any for the past ten years. The party has been thoroughly reorganized. C. S. Black, the candidate for Governor, has made a whirlwind canvass. He has spoken night and day, appearing before ' unprecedented audiences in every city and town. His appeal for the privilege of forcing railway corporations to bear their just share of taxation has aroused the people as has no issue presented for a quarter of. a century. His friends predict that he will lead his ticket. . DEMOCRATS ARE FIGHTING HARD IN DELAWARE . . DOVER. Del., Nov. 3. The Democrats are making . a wonderful fight. The Union Republicans, under the leader-shin leader-shin of J. Edward Addicks, are waging the campaign much as they have waged previous ones, with either goodly sup-piles sup-piles of or assurances of large amounts of money. They have in their favor also al-so an Increase in the negro population of the) State, which Is fully enfranchised, and an unexpected growth of a nation or race of people known as "Moors," but who are really a peculiar sect of mulattos who have their own schools and churches, and do not associate with the blacks. Because of the Increase of this latter race alone the Republicans may carry two Democratic districts In .Central Delaware, i . Facing these condition therefore, the - ' Democrats may, by continuing their vigorous lighting, reduce the Republican majorities of two and four years ago, but it is not conceded by the closest Independent In-dependent observers that they can carry any one of the three counties in Delaware. Dela-ware. DBS AND WATSON WILL POLL GREAT ' ; VOTE IN ILLINOIS a . t CHICAGO. Nov. I. There will be a large shifting of the vote In this election. elec-tion. Both the Democratic and Republican Repub-lican party has suffered losses and made gains. . One cause, of difficulty in forecasting returns Is the inability of the canvassers of many districts to locate the direction of deserters. Early estimates of Republican Re-publican pluralities have been cautlou-' cautlou-' jy revised. At the outset of the cam-f cam-f faign predictions were free that Deneen, Republican candidate -for Governor, would run ahead of Roosevelt This prediction has been recalled. On the showing, Stringer. Democratic candidate toe .Governor, will run ahead of Parker. This has greatly encouraged the Democratic managers In this Stae DEMOCRATS ARE NOW CONFIDENT OF j COLORADO'S VOTE r DENVER, Nov. 2. If Adams is elected Governor, by 16,000, the Democratic Demo-cratic electors will be chosen. Unless all signs fall, Alva Adams, Democrat, will be elected Governor of Colorado. Whether the Democratic National ticket is chosen in the State depends on the size of his majority. " The campaign has been made entirely on the issue of "Peabodyism" and the record of the present Republican State administration on the labor troubles, which are still unsettled by the mining camps. It Is conceded by Democrats that Roosevelt will run ahead of Pea-body. Pea-body. The Republicans concede that Peabody will run behind the rest of the ticket on account of the opposition of organized labor. Two weeks ago Democratic Demo-cratic State Chairman Milton Smith claimed Adams's election by 20.000. Republican Re-publican Chairman Shirley claims the election of Roosevelt electors by 30,000. The Democrats say Parker will carry the State. i INDIANA. INDIANAPOLIS, Ind., Nov. 3. There is a confident determination on the part of the Democrats to carry Indiana. The party managers declare that the State is so close that Bryan, bringing Into line all of his adherents for Parker, has swung the pendulum their way. A. number of things have contributed to this Democratic feeling. The Republican candidate for Governor, Gover-nor, Hanley, has estranged the Jewish voters, of which there are 7000 in the State, and if Is expected that this element ele-ment will pull down Roosevelt's natural vote considerably. The Republican plurality plu-rality to be overcome Is only about 16,000 in a State of 800,000 voters, and |