Show All the Secrets of f Tomorrows Tomorrow S Draft Lottery Revealed Per Cent Allowance Will Be Made for Ex- Ex United By By- By United Y United Press WASHINGTON July 19 The Th The draft for t the e national army will positive positively b bo in n room 2116 of the J sen senate te office building at at 93 o o WJ arrows monin Jann J- J yas ann ammo announced this Hils afternoon By Associated Press ASHINGTON July 19 WASHINGTON Ten million men are registered regIstered registered reg reg- in the United Unite States for war service servIce- are needed in the first call for the national army Who shall I Igo go first This question is asked and the method by which It is to be answered answered answered an an- outlined by Provost Marshal Marshal Marshal Mar Mar- General Crowder in an explanation explanation explanation ex ex- ex- ex issued today of the great drawing about to be held in Washington The scheme evolved is so simple that the drawing of one set of a thousand numerals and another of eleven will fix with absolute absolute absolute lute equality of chance the order in which every everyone one of the registrants shall report to his local board for examination and subsequent exemption discharge or acceptance for military service Since the average exemption district registration is and there are districts the average n number of men of-men men listed with each operation of the drawing machinery machin machin- ery will be about General Crowder announces also that lo local al boards will be Instructed to call per cent of their quota at the first call to provide for probable exemptions That means that men will be bo notified to appear for examination within the next few days If more ar are aro necessary y they will be called for foras or oras as needed by the local boards inthe inthe in inthe the order provided for for in the drawing draw draw- ing ing ingIn In some sOFo districts the per cent allowance for exemption may maybe be too large largo and in others too small but tile the local boards will be in instructed instructed in- in in every case to continue calling for fo fomen men until tho the district quota is filled tilled Each state governor governor governor gover gover- nor is now allotting to his districts their respective proportions of tho the states state's quota In each of the exemption districts among which the registration cards have been en divided d the cards have been given serial numbers The number of r registrants in each district varies from about ut in the smallest to more than in the largest so that the serial numbers tube to be dealt dalt with in the drawing range from orie one to between nine and ten thou thou- sand Ma Master ter Key System Is Devised In order to reduce reduce the mechanIcal mechanical mechanical ical process process and m make ke it possible for the 1000 numbers drawn to to reach every man roan in every district a so called master key has been devised This will be obtained by drawing thawing slips numbered from naught to to- ten which will be he listed drawn to to in the order they are form the l key e l Then h will begin the drawing of the numbers one to a thousand For the district with not more mure than one thousand l registrants there will be bl no problem to determine determine determine deter deter- mine the order of appearance be be- be fore fore the exemption board The number drawn first will fix the theman theman theman man whose card carel bears that serial number as the first to appear be before before before be- be fore his board In the district with only registrants the will be liable for appearance appearance in inthe inthe inthe the order in which their numbers are drawn an and when a number higher than appears the district of course will not be affected Application of tho the master key makes it possible to apply fairly each of the one thousand numbers drawn dr wn to districts with more than one thousand registrants As a number Is drawn it will be added to each of the thousands in excess of one thousand in each district The key will fix the order in which each group of thousands is isto isto isto to be bo placed on the list which will run from No 1 to more than For instance if 9 should be the first number drawn for the key all registration numbers numbers numbers num num- bers in the group would go in ina ina ina a block at the head of the list arranged ar arranged arranged ar- ar ranged In the order in which the numbers 1 to 1000 come out in the second drawing Districts with less than registrants therefore therefore there there- fore forB would disregard this first block entirely and would be affected affect affect- ed only bythe by the position tion of the key hey numbers for the blocks corresponding corresponding corre corre- with thE number of thousands thousands thousands thou thou- sands of registrants they have In his explanation of the process and of ot the reason for for fixing the order of or liability for all of the men when only are needed General General General Gen Gen- eral Crowder says The Order of Examination If It we were dealing with th the ancient ancient ancient an an- draft we should take every fourteenth man But we nr are not conscripting We Ve are selecting for military service those whose civil service can best be spared Therefore Therefore Therefore There There- fore the question Is not net who shall go first but who shall be first called up for examination l' l and what we must do Is to make a list showing the order of examination Now no one one knows how many men must be examined to yield soldiers Therefore no one can say just how many men it is 18 absolutely necessary to put on this list listA A moments moment's reflection will win prove 4 that that the whole must be given places on the list p o of order of examination y Every registered man man- manis is In ln a a I state of uncertainty He Ie does not know when he will be called He hesitates to plant a a crop for tor fear ho will not reap it Employers Employers' hesitate to engage eng hs his his' services e fearing they will be but temporary f This condition to be cured cured- for for the r repose pose of or the public mind Continued on page age 2 DRAFT tOTTERY IS' IS sT S T FOR FRIDA Yi t Continued from page 1 It can can be cured to to some some extent by bi I putting every man on the list For this reason the whole 10 names mes are to be given pla places es on the list of order of ex ex- ex The lie Segregation Ento nto Groups Obviously no single agency could examine men Therefore he fhe are segregated segregated segregated seg seg- into groups of suitable sizes for or convenient examination There are re of these groups For Por each group a board has been been appointed 1 to examine for se se- se lection By far the greater number number number num num- ber of these groups consist of ap- ap men Since this is so our problem Is not to put ut the whole names in one list arranged in the order of examination It is to de determine determine determine de- de termine the order of examination in each group The Fhe Necessity I r For or or Dr Drawing wing Since all 1111 registered men stand in an equality of right and duty the question of priority can only be determined by lot or drawing I It would be possible to have separate drawings one drawings one for each group group but but since methods would vary and since supervision and ab absolute absolute absolute ab- ab solute Insurance against the charge of fraudulent manipulation could not be had in that way every consideration of expediency and justice urges on drawing in Washington The Method f for forThe forThe r The Drawing I t In each group every registration tion card has a red-inked red number written on its face and these numbers numbers numbers num num- bers run in a single series from unit unity 1 to the number corresponding corre corresponding corre corre- to the greatest number of cards in the group Normally I this Is from unity 1 to about I Exact copies of or the cards in each I group have been attested and sent to the tie various state capitals Lists showing the name of each man in each group and the serial number of his card have been pointed In Inthe Inthe Inthe the office of the board published in the press and one one copy is on on file me in Washington There is therefore no chance of any mans man's number being changed without de detection detection detection de- de or of any cars carl card being lost being lost beyond replacement The Idea of the Central Drawing Suppose there were just names and numbers in every group It is at once apparent that it would be a very single think to have a central drawing that would control the order of every name and number in every group of the whole just Just put numbers into a bowl and draw them cut one at a time The first number drawn out would place the cards bearing that particular number at the head of every list in the United States The s second cond number would put the cards bearing that number se second ond on all the lists and so sorl forth rl Now the thing cannot be done in in precisely this way because there are not precisely numbers numbers numbers num num- bers in every group But the same Idea with a a. few necessary modifications is the idea on which the present drawing is based The Drawing By Thousands To Ta draw separate numbers numbers numbers num num- bers would take ten hours and would multiply the chance of error Moreover if the thou 9 sands the thousands 8 th the 7 thousands and the thousands' thousands were scattered all over the master list indiscriminately the cancellation cancellation cancella cancella- tion by boards having small groups would be very tedious and would open the way to numerous errors All this is easily avoided Suppose we drew only 1000 numbers We could then provide that the drawing of the number would also draw the n numbers 1878 2878 2578 1878 and In that way only 1000 numbers need be drawn and by making our master list consist of one sheet for each 1000 we could provide a master list easily applicable to lists with only numbers since such boards could disregard all except the first three sheets We should do this but for the fact that this makes it c certain that men il in ip the first thousand would be called first pen men II In the second thousand next and men with high serial numbers last of all Since the assignment of numbers numbers numbers num num- bers is also done by chance this does not interfere ve very greatly I with the even chance of all men but It does lees Interfere to some extent J For r this reason is was decided to have one drawing to determine the order within any group of 1000 and another drawing to determine the which the sheets of 1000 each should appear on the master list instead of arbitrarily assigning assign assign- ing the sheets of 1000 in their natural order This reduces the the whole matter to an absolute equality equal equal- tty ity of chance The Details of The Drawing One group of numbers from 1 1 to 1 1000 and a second group from 0 o to to 9 have been carefully imprinted on opaque slips of paper black back on one side counted and checked Thes These slips been rolled up and each put inside a 3 gelatine capsule with the black side out To insure absolute accuracy of count the capsules containing numbers from 1 to 1000 have been counted into ten glass jars in groups of each ch the glass jars have been seaTed seared and kept In a safe awaiting the d day y of drawing The contents of the jars willbe will willbe willbe be decanted into a large glass re receptacle receptacle receptacle re- re from which the capsules ca can be readily drawn a II will the A A blindfolded I man will stir the capsules it In the receptacle thoroughly thoroughly thor thor- before any are drawn and will keep stirring them during the drawing A blindfolded man will then draw capsules out one at a time As each capsule is drawn it willbe willbe will willbe be handed to an announcer who will break the capsule and announce announce announce an an- the number drawn While I he is announcing the number a second capsule will be drawn and handed to a second announcer who will break breal this capsule and read the number The drawing will proceed in this way until all the capsules are drawn Three tally sheets will be kept One keeper of a tally sheet will repeat each number as it is announced announced an an- and all three will write it down In case of disagreement disagreement disagreement dis dis- agreement between tally sheets on onI any number the sheets that agree will control I Immediately before the drawing drawing drawing draw draw- ing of the numbers from 1 to 1000 the drawing of the numbers numbers numbers num num- bers from 0 to 9 will take place to d determine the order in which the thousands shall appear on the master lists |