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Show Bflflj1 4 the iuttix of thu iuli.ois. Bflflj The great contest, national and local, Bflflj i lakes i laco two wceka from today, and Bflflj It la reasonable supposition that near- Bflflj ly everybody'a.intnd Is about made up Bflflj ki to how ho will act on tliat occasion. Bflflj , The few who still waver arenotauf- BHfljj flolent in number, wu take It, to great- flflfcT' ly change the result in any placo or at Bflflj. large, but tho "spellbinder" and the HflflJJ "organ" will keep up their work till BflflV tho last day In the evenlug; then the Bflflf tvoplti may look for n long aud needed Bflflj t Bflflj ' A glance at the chaucea of the two Bflflj partita through unuolored epectkelea Is Bflflj H pleasant diversion at tills stage ol the Bflflj proceedings. Holla the Democrats and Bflflj Itepubllcan nru oonlldeLt of winning, Bflflj and It Is as well for ua to know before Bflflj hand what ilther has to do to ncoom. B pllsb BJflB , The Republicans, In order to conic BJflB out ahiad, have only to do as well BjBjH as they did four yeara ago, when liar- BJflfl rlton carried uvery northern atate but Bjflfl 1 New Jersey and Jonueclltut,recolvlng BJflfl'' .1 elictoral votes against 103 for Bjflfl Cleveland. Of courtu under the new BJflB1 apportionment tho electoral vote Is In- BJflB' creased, but It the ltopubllcans can Bflflj carry the saino states as last tlnw they H will succeed, for they would bavo SM J votes, or three more than a mi. BJflB' Jorlty. (Tho lucrraso Is from 91 to BJflB' H llfty-three votes). It la practically Bflflj Irapcolble that thry Mill lose all the Hflkf new votes; and those they may lose, at HHjV least those of thu now stale, will be HHJt no direct galu for the Democrat, who HHK have fused with the l'opullst In all of HHjJ tho statea Lut Montana and Washing- BJflfl ton. It thus appears that ttie Demo. HHJJ crata have to rely upon states which Bflflfl gave them nothing lit 18S3 to win, and Bflflflj ' probabilities thus become a factor lu Bflflflj the computation. Bflflflj It Is conceded, eseclally alnco tho H Iecact ttato elections, that tho entire J , roll of tho Bouth will respond to Bi the Democratio call, giving Bflflflj' Cleveland 159 votes, to be. Bflflflj glu with, leaving him 01 Bflflflj i short of a majority. If be H rgaln carries Kew Jersey and Bflflflj Connecticut, tho former with 1U Bflflflj and tho latter with 0 votea, tho gap Bflflflj will bo narrowed to 49. Ho la reason- BHflflJj ably emu of at least S lu Michigan, Bflflflj which further reduces It to i:t, llu Bflflflj friends aud himself are coutldent of Bflflflj J caiturlcg Indiana this time, which Bflflflj I ouldgluhlmlS moruaud leave Lut Bflflflj 8 to bo gained to reach thu guitl. Bflflflj j MollUim ruuy redui'o this to ia, but It Bflflflj! canuot be depended 014 however ilitt- 'j ,uuy IV (bero Is still a big UeOclt, and BJflHJ tbu only other state which thu ex- HHI President cauiu anywhere near oir- Bflflflj rylug wns Now York; this, with Its Bflflflj plump 8J votea, would take hltnaway J beyond the winning lot, having 11 flflflM oteeto sjiare. Carrying thu Umpire Bflflfljf I a'nte, thsreiore, hu could do without 1m New Jersey or Connecticut, lut not without both, and with both ho would not need Mlihlgau or Montnni. While the Democrat aro counting itroogly ou apiuu of tho Northwester . sjbbbbbb j i dates which went nepubllcau Inlb33 IbB x BBttl,tJi1SSs3gsals! Illluol', Iowa, Wisconsin, and as stated, n j art of Mlchlrnn and ol a negative gain by fusion and thus giving to Weaver Kansas, Mlnnsaota air", Colorado, It will bo seen that the real battle ground Is, a usual, New Vork. While It la pomlhle thry may win tbealatea named.aud thus ho com-pensated com-pensated for tho hs of tho Kniplro stale, such nihil g Is hardly irobable nud It Is likely that only lu Michigan will there be recorded any chniiRes from Harrison to Cleveland In that luarter. It would seem that the managers so regard It, too, for each aide Is holding 1501 ineettogs In. the former ttato every weekl At to tbo imjort-once imjort-once of thu one mighty commonwealth common-wealth tho tltuatlon may lie briefly stated thu! Cleveland cannot win at all wltheut New Vork; Harrison cm win without II but In nil 1 rohablllly will boi; ro that na New fork goes, to goea the country, On the bMis nf tho new registration In New Vork city, thu Ileuhllcana cipher tho Democratio majority there down to 03,001), about "0M IrM than four yeara ago; this would imt.ii about CO.OOOir "0,000 for the ltcjubllcana to ovcrcomn at Hsrlein river, anJ they camedown to It In 1889 with upwards of 110,000. They thus count on carrying the statu by 10,000 to 1R,V00. On tbo other baud tbo Democrats, from tho same source of Information, claim a majority In tbo city of tl'i.OOO, which, with llrooklyn and Its surroundings proirtlonat, would run the total up to about 120.030 and belt the Republicans Repub-licans In the date auywbere from ',000 to 50,000. These, however, aro only figure, which the people can easily, as they often do, change considerably con-siderably one way or another. It should bo remembered lu this connection, con-nection, that not only the Presidency but every branch of the government, excelling the tjuplemu Court, Is In the Issue. Cnalrnun Carter, of the republican repub-lican National committee, announces this, saying tho election uf Cleveland meant also a Congress Democratio In both branches. It Is hardly probablo Ihst the IIuuso of llepreseutallvte will bo subjecloj to such a revolution attochangon majority of HI for the Democrats Into a minority for that party, though undoubtedly this huge pleohdernnco will bo somewhat, er-haps er-haps greatly, reduced. The Ben do thus becomes the cynosure of the occasion occa-sion next to tho l'resldenoy. In order to change thu political complexlou of this body, tho ltopubllcans have only tu loco three members; there aro now forty-six members of that party, forty Dcmocrata and ouu Populist (IV (Tor). In this footing Kyle of Bouth Dakota la clueted as n Democrat although elected by the Farmor' Alllanoo and Demo-crats Demo-crats Jointly and being considered at the time aa belonging to the former; but ho votes with tho latter usually and bat received all his committee, assignments from them. Three Democratio senators have alrealy been re elected Uorman, of Maryland; George, of Mississippi, and Daniel, of Virginia. Tin slates which have to elect eeuators In placo of titling tit-ling Democrats aru 1'lorlda, Missouri, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia, Delaware, Indiana and New Jersey. The first four of these will chlosa Democrats, Dem-ocrats, and It Is considered reasonably certain that all but one of them will. Tho preaeut legislature of Delaware It Republican by n majority of eight In a total membership of thirty, and tile I rccedlug legislature was llipubllcan. Thu present legislatures of the others aro Democratic by heavy majorities. Delawaro would tium to bo the only really doubtful one In thu list. Two ltepublloau senators, Bheriuan, of Ohio, and Aldrlch, of ltbodu Islind, have been ru-ulrctod. The llvpublloans aro certain, or reasonably certain, to control the next legislatures lu,Malne, Msteaoburetts, Vermont, l'euusyl-vanla, l'euusyl-vanla, California, Washington and Nevada, The statea regarded at doubtful doubt-ful aru Connecticut, New Vork, Michigan, Mich-igan, Wlsconalii,Mlniiciota, Nebraska, North Dakot t and Montana. The probabilities and portlbllltle'f,tho claims and counterclalma bolng thut placed leforo the reader he can proceed pro-ceed to post thu Inioka for himself; doubt!! lie will do It at it Is done elsewhere, III accordance with hit -o-lllleal predilections. |
