Show BETTING ON ElEGTION Great Odds Given on ReElection ReElec-tion of McKinley THE FARMERS ARE WAKING UP I Beginning to Heallze that If They Want the Continuation of tho Present Pres-ent Excellent Market and Industrial Indus-trial Conditions Thoyr Must Vote Against Bryan Condition of tho Campaign in Western Now York A Strong Peeling Against Tam inany 5 1 Correspondence Tribune 0 Buffalo N Y Oct 18Two and a half to one l1ne to one four to one and in sdmc cases five to one are the odds which have been wagered XIii New York that McKinley will be reelected re-elected As a rule the two poorest cities In the Empire State from which to make any accurate gauge of the political politi-cal situation are New York In the east I and Buffalo In the west The reason for this is that the politicians ot tho I two principal cities of the Stale who I furnish political prognostications are usually guided by their own wishes rather than by any actual basis upon which to Judge the probable result The New York city politician knows less about the situation throughout his own State than the ordinary farmer of thc Interior as a rule and yet this year It may be that the odds are five to one that McKinley will be reele lcd Upon hypothesis that us the Stato I of New York goes KO will the general Iesult It would seem clear as a result of the first week of registration that the Republican have by long odds the I best of the argument There seems to some basis for the claim that while c the enormous majority of 1890 cannot by any possible chance be repeated still the Republican national ticket is likely to carry the Empire Stale by f upwards of 100000 over the number of votes cast for William Jennings Bryans electors And yet up to a few days ago the whole campaign seemed to be marked by 1 apathy on the part of I the Republicans ana Indifference on the part of the Democrats Nowhere was this more noticeable than In the small hamlets and country towns of the Slate All through the counties of Chemune Stcubcn Livingston Monroe Wyoming Wyo-ming Orleans Gencsee Niagara Erie Chautauquc Cattaraugus and Allegheny Alle-gheny where usually at this season of a Presidential campaign It may be said to have reached the boiling point it was dinicult to find half a dozen farmers farm-ers or artisans who cared enough about the result to give any attention to the campaign The good crops which I abount everywhere In splto of the very I dry season and the long continued absence ab-sence of frost seems to have acted upon the rural votcY as a < check upon his political enthusiasm On the other hand wherever the writer went among the Gold Democrats he found a disposition dis-position on the part of those gentlemen who sided with the gold standard ticket In 1SOG to go back to their old political allegiance and voto this year for Mr Bryan Strange as It 1 may seem the argncnt advanced AS a reason rea-son for taking such a course was almost al-most unlvcranlly the same Bryan cannot be cldctod we are Democrats we desire to retain our party positions and consequently as our votes will not endanger the chaoc of the election of Mr McKinley w j will vole for Bryan Such a statement that was I made within the past ten days by more I than a score of men who have always been regarded as Democrats who still believe In the principles of the Denfy cratic party as enunciated by Thomas Jefferson Samuel J Tlldcn and others of high ank hit the party in the past and yet whonAour years ago voted against Bryanlsm and a depreciated S currency S A So strong was the feeling among these men that fliers is no danger of Eyans election that it seemed as though nlnotQnths of the Gold Democrats Demo-crats throughout the State of New York would return to their former party allegiance not because they do aired the success of the man who heads the Democratic tlcUot but because be-cause they believed that there Is no possible chance of his election For ome reason however there has been n change of sentiment among those men within a few days While they will not permit their names to be used as Democrat who Intend to vote for McKinley it may be said that something some-thing has come before them recently which has convinced them that such a course as they prOlOsed to adopt may prove disastrous and it I Is therefore a safe prediction that tho majority of those who abandoned the Democratic party In 1S9G because of the platform I upon which their candidates l stood before be-fore the people will not return to that 1 parly in 1900 but will void straight I for McKlnlcy One oC the ablest of these men who has given a great deal of attention and thought to the present pres-ent situation informed the writer that In his judgment after a cavcjul canvass can-vass personally and by mall MoKlnley will poll from twenty to thirty thousand thou-sand more votes In the State than Odell in other words In the judgment judg-ment of this gentleman unless the Republican electoral ticket wins In of fifty thou New York by a plurality sand al leasu there will be great danger dan-ger of the defeat oC the State ticket Right here In lie city of Buffalo reside re-side two candidate whose personal popularity would undoubtedly run their Stale tickets ahead worp It nol for the fact that they arc on the opposite op-posite side of the political fence State Senator William F Mackey who I hair been nominated for LIeutenant Govcrnor by tho Democrats would add strength to the StUi ticket in Erie I count and would probably succeed in f adding many hundreds to the total Democratic electoral tick the 1 vote for L were he riot confronted by the City et Comptroller Eras us C Knight who Is l life Ronubilwxn candidate for State Comptrollpr Knight is a better And In votegetter ban Mackcy 1 addition to this there Is more harmony among the Republicans of Eric than there Is nmonsrthc UemocralH notwithstanding notwith-standing the anticonvention untago n sm lo Col D S Alexander the llc mibllcan candidate for Congress In one Buffalo districts Normair of the two Mack the Democratic loader In thIn end of the Stale predicts success In Erie 1 county But Mr Mack predicted sue lost year when the head of the I ocas Democratic ticket was defeated by up j wards of cloven thousand The Republicans Repub-licans have strengthened themselves among the Poland and the Jtalians I Important factors in a city with such un enormous population as Buffalo has I by nominating for the fifth time the I erratic brilliant young inati for Congress I Con-gress Roland B Mclmney who has i been twice elected and twice defeated Owing to his successful efforts behalf J of the laborers on the docks In tlielr strike against the saloon system of I payment a year or so n Mehancy la almost certain to be 1eelcctcl1ly I a I Substantial majority and bin elecUon means thQ Addition of a thousand ort or-t more voles lo the national and State tlekels which could not have been secured se-cured by l any other man S i There Is apparently more of the ring of Iruth In the claims made by then the-n p hllcnlH In the western end of the State than In lie utterances oC the Democrats who predict Democratic success An to the eastern end the altitude of Mr Color Comptroller of ihe State of New York who while on the slump for Bryan and Staunchneld ne ver omits an opportunity to drive apolitical a-political dagger Irfo Mr Croker Indicates l Indi-cates that there Is a lack of harmony on thc part of lie socalled Bryanlloa I of Creator New York There IH undoubtedly un-doubtedly a strong feeling of antagonism I antagon-ism toward the Tammany not only on the part of the socalled best classes of citizens but on the part of the best classes of business men and even the officeholders who find themselves compelled com-pelled to contribute to the call In order lhat they may be secure In their places which tribute was not demanded de-manded of them during the regime of Mayor Strong and the temporary retirement re-tirement of Tammany Mr Croker is said to have wagored 550000 al odds of three to one in his favor upon Bryans election MY Croker has an enormous sum of money to use for campaign purposes for which he Is not required to make an accounting to any one Sometimes big wagers carry weight politically and Croker undoubtedly un-doubtedly believed when he accepted the proffers of bets mado to him that he was Investing the money at his command In a manner satisfactory to I the contributors when he tied them up perhaps to lose them pending tho result re-sult of Ihe contest now on it A Crokers lieutenants claim that they can go to the Bronx river with from a hundred to a hundred and twenty five thousand majority But on the other hand private advices right out of Tammany Hall received here within the last two days say that Mr Croker does not believe anything of the kind 1 that he has made up his mind that In Manhattan and Bronx boroughs together to-gether Bryaii will not have more than C5000 majority and he does hot expect to swell the total soulh of the Bronx to more than 70000 If this statement of Mr Crokers belief Is true and I have every reason knowing the source lo believe that It reflects the real situation situa-tion than the Republicans will certainly cer-tainly have a walkover In the State and will nol only give a majority for the electoral ticket but will also elect Odell to the Governors chair Tho campaign of the State Jo now at Its height Adherents of bolh parties are flocking to political meetings In great crowds and there I seems to bo something like real old lime animation among the voters It Is Impossible to Judge thc result by the size of political meetings David B Hill In his last gubernatorial campaign drew the biggest crowds ever seen in the State and yet he was badly beaten These political meetings are usually held In the cities and big towns and the speakers generally have repula lions which extend far beyond the confines con-fines of the State In which they speak Curiosity always attracts great crowds but the great crowd does not always point in the direction In which the political po-litical wind Is blowing It Is around tho country slores and the schoolhouses I school-houses at the postofllccs and crossroads I cross-roads and around the blacksmith shop and the waysides hat the real situation situa-tion of political affairs In a State ike New York can be most accurately Judged Up to this time farm work has kept the rural voter from discussing discuss-ing the political situation SU11 the indications in-dications which have made themselves manifest Indicate that the cries of Imperialism Im-perialism and trusts has thus far had no deleterious effect upon the Republican Repub-lican chances and there are probably excellent reasons for the prediction that McKinley will carry the State by anywhere from 50000 to 100000 plurality plural-ity C A HAMILTON |