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I d d n I d r- r NEWS Ft I I I THE r rBy By Released by Western Newspaper Union Union- AN HE nE BEATEN liAS AS nEWEl DEWEY A CHANCE WASHINGTON Can Roosevelt Roosevell ic to beaten Has HOI Dewey a chancel Stories have been creeping Into the that the Republican con had a B defeatist spirit The administration partisan writers hose that not unusual political line The London Times which always I assumes itself to be the British em em- lre tire has editorially derided Iran ican chances but this also may re- re rei i lect a B personal interest The Times nay wish to continue the Church Church- I I Roosevelt 11 dealings into postwar i ii i Yet Vet aside from these interest in I stories there Is a rather I vide ide prevailing awe of the Roose Roose- relt tendency to control everything i respect for his great powers and he Is doing nothing to dis- dis I Ii i outage that Interpretation I But this Is a usual technique In inus ils us campaigning the imposition of ol olin in m atmosphere of discouragement upon his opposition CHANCES I A factual reporting job on this however will w give you a picture If you will probe he state and sectional leaders for heir honest opinions you will find he situation somewhat like this The Pacific coast regions are or Roosevelt pro pro Roosevelt as a whole oday odny Oregon gives Dewey Dewcy his best chance Important California vill be especially difficult without Warren arren on the ticket I would It Democratic In the Rocky fountain regions legions the Republicans pink hink they can cnn carry Wyoming and surely probably also Arizona md and New Mexico but expect to lose Montana Fontana Utah and possibly Nevada Livestock trouble is a main factor n the Mountain states stales influx of a II war workers in California But nut the farm states Mates all of them are arc considered the best Republican an ground In the he coun coun- country try tr the tile CIO has been too much out here and the tile conduct of ot the use II war economically has been un un- un unpopular popular Kansas Is In better i Republican shape today than ever cr In Its Us history I Iowa Is considered almost certain I tain the Illinois Republican organization or or- I definitely promises es esI this state stale Indiana Is more morr doubt doubt- doubtful I ful lul ul due to a factional Republican l. can split spill but few count it for lot ker has lias a good chance chalice to carry car Ohio The Republicans think Dewey can eat cat Roosevelt In New York Penn Penn- is truly doubtful as is Mas Mas- But Republicans have he edge elsewhere in the East out out- ode ide of Rhode Island New Jersey Jerseys s 8 debatable but on the anti Roose anti Roose felt velt side SOUTH TO DEMOCRATS I No one expects anything an from the South in the end Where then do these people de de- deIve deIve delye I Ive lye the conclusion Roosevelt Is a Inch that Republicans are defeat defeat- 1 id d Obviously only out of their own I leads toads Gl e Dewey and Roosevelt an ancen even cen break west of the wheat wheat- corn belts bells count the farm states Republican the South Demo Urmo- Democratic Democratic cratic and you must reach the conclusion that the election will turn tum on OD the big Industrial com com- communities communities In central and eastern states That Is where the fight I will be hoe er carries them will willIn win In this election I It is all up to Dewey He is en en- enering enI I ering cring the campaign with the edge Against him psychologically To nany navy he is David out after Goliath ut with the same ending not guar guar- Yet the ground is well pre pre- Jared ared for him Republican organisations are functioning In 26 20 states slates he be populous heavy hea voting ones I If It he conducts an unenlightening I campaign he can lose loss losey jy y a landslide If he can keep all aU he Republican voters together and he Roosevelt anti forces solidified le e can A win in My Illy first state-canvass state shows Roosevelt Dewey e De doubtful 09 needed to win 66 If It Mr Roosevelt Roose makes more than me Ine or two campaign speeches I IMil It t sin Mil be surprised I look for him to toa a I deeply absorbed in peace or final preparations n August or September until No No- ember rember either going abroad or ringing the other nations here at hat time in case their leaders can some mine The news he produces from luch such a meeting with with radio ad ad- from a traveling tra fireside 10 well furnish his campaign ma ma- trial erial As a result of dickering here the Pacific coast war businesses will be if U Mr Dewey is elected elected- and md Warren will ha have hae e charge of that in the Dewey administration This is the only campaign promise iy ty y Dewey that I heard here Iho price was not high consider consider- ng what that Deweys Dewey's chances of elec elec- ion would be without Warren A Ad pillion nUllon new nw workers have come into Inton hat state since the war mostly the thed I and aud type Ipe The num num- I ler ter of Negroes in San Francisco hap hai haar hown a remarkable increase I |