Show FIGURES ON THE RESULT The Associated Press Forecast ONE STATE DIVIDED Wisconsin Watched with More Than Usual Interest RHODE ISLAND IN DOUBT A Careful Summing Up of Matters in All the States Shows Conclnsivaly That Tuesday Tues-day Will Show a Decisive Democratic De-mocratic Victory 111 YOUK Nov 5rhe presidential election or 1892 will be the first since the war in which so many doubtful states are admittedly at issue between tho great political tical parties I is also uniquo in being the first in which it is conceded by all parties that the electoral vote of the nation will bed be-d among three great political organizations organ-izations One of the three candidates must receive a majority of all the votes cast or the election will bo referred to the National House ot Representatives The advent of of the Peoples party into national politics has constituted a great clement of doubt In the nrcHGnt contest The Democratic fiohd EOuth and the Republican solid west are both menaced by the encroacnment of the Populists and in every estimate an interrogation point must mark certain states that one or the other of the old parties par-ties were wont to claim in the past and as apolitical a-political heritage In the list may be named Alabama Colorado Colo-rado Kansas Nevada North and Soutt Dakota Nebraska Wyoming and Idaho To this list are added the oldtime don t ful states of New York Indiana New Jersey i Jer-sey Connecticut Montana and West Virginia I Vir-ginia While the three parties will probably I prob-ably not reasonably agree that all these states are to be placed in doubtful columns the fact remains that on Tuesday tho American puolio will turn nuxioualy to those states each and all for a somtu of the presidential contest The electoral cal lego this vear will consist of 444 members tis follows I Alabama lljNebraska u 81 Arlansasu SlAevada 3 CaUforniauu 9 New Hampshire 4 Colorado uu 4jXew Jersey 10 Connecticut n Naw York 36 Delaware 3 North Carolina 1 Florida North Dahotann 3 Georgia 13 Ohio 23 1 3g Idaho SjOrepon 4 Illinois n JMjPennsylvania 3 Idiacnu 151 Rhode Island 4 Iowa un South Carolina 9 Kansas 10 South Dakota 4 Kentucky 13Tennessee = 12 Louisiana u 8Texa 15 Mine GjVermont 4 Maryland Virginia 12 Massachusetts u 15 Washingtonuo 4 Michigan u 1 West Virginia 6 Minnesota I 1con8in 12 Mississippi 9 Wyoming u 3 MHsourLh Ii Montana uu 3 Total 444 The states admitted to be Democratic are the following arkansasS Missouri 17 Delawaren 3 North Carolina 1 Florida un 4 South Carolina 9 Georgia 13 Tennessee 12 Kentucky u 13 Texas nU 15 Louslana un 6 Virginia h 13 Maryland S M Rsissipplun 9 Total n 147 Michigan u S The states admitted to be Republican areas are-as follows California n Oragon n 4 Hlno n 24 Pennsylvania n 3J Iowa u 13 Rhode Island n 4 Mane u 6 Vermont 4 Massachusetts 1 Washington 4 Michigan 9 Wisconsin n I Minnesota 9 Kew Hampshire 4 Total 172 Ohio 2 The fifteen doubtful states enumerated at the beginning will cast the following Electoral vote Alabama lljNew York 36 Crlorajouu 4 Indiana 15 Kansas 10 New Jersey 1 Nada Connecticut n 6 North Dakota Montana 3 South Dakota 4 West Virginia C Nebraska S Wyoming 3 Total 12 lUaho 3 In regard to the fifteen doubtful states Nevada wit three electoral votes is practically prac-tically conceded to the Peoples party thus leaving only fourteen states actively in contention Of these the Democrats make the loudest claims on Alabama New Jersey and West Virginia The Republicans express ex-press the greatest confidence on carrying Colorado South Dakota Idaho and Nebraska Ne-braska which would swell the total to 19L Admitting the claims to old parties and conceding Nevada to Weaver the very doubtful states remain a New York Indiana Connecticut Kansas North Da Hota Wyoming and Montana These states have a total of seventysix votes and of theso seventysix votes the Democrats must gain fortynine in order to win and the Republicans must secure thirtytwo While on tbeee figures Republicans would appear to have the advantage This presumption is not borne out when it IB remembered re-membered that the carrying of Kansas North Dakota and Wyoming by the Peo ploc party would inure to Democratic advantage by tending to render a choice in the Electoral college impossible and thus throwing the election Into the Democratic House of Representatives where Cleveland would surely triumph In addition to electing the president and vicepresident the people of the United States will next Tuesday elect 356 congressmen con-gressmen this being the number which whicl according to the reapportionment is to compose the Fiftythird Congress The states which Trill elect legislatures to choose senators to take the place of Republican Repub-lican senators retiring en the 4th of March 1893 are California Connecticut Maine Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Nebraska Ne-braska Nevada NewYork North Dakota Pennsylvania Rhode Island Vermont I Washington Wisconsin and Wyoming f i Those which will elect legislatures to elect senators to fill vacancies caused by the retirement of Democratic senators on the same date are Delaware Florida Indiana In-diana Maryland Mississippi Missouri iSew Jersey Tennessee Virginia and j West VirgInia Thus upon the result of the coming elections elec-tions depends the political personnel of twentysir senators to be elected to take their seats at the same time the new president i i presi-dent In inaugurated sixteen of these being elected to succeed Republican senators and tan being elected to succeed Democratic senators In the states of Kansas South Dakota f 8ud South Carolina legislatures chosen next Tuesday will also each elect a senator r J to succeed one whose term expires on March 4 1895 The retiring senators in I Kansas and South Dakota being Republicans cans and South Carolina Democrat I From Rhode Island comes a report of I uncertainty Harrison carried tbe state in laSs but i is believed there has been a I change but in the meantime no effort will i be spared to tiring out the full vote Both i sides are confident but it can be said that the plurality will be but 200 whichever I way it gees 1 In Massachusetts the result of the presidential I presi-dential ticket is not considered doubtful as the Republicans claim the electors by about 20000 votes The Democratic managers mana-gers concede this probable share for Harrison son but think it possible in view of the unCertain Certain attitude of a largo proportion of the electoral vote the result on the presi cntml ticket may be a surprise The registration which is large is generally believed be-lieved to favor the Democrats One of the Republican managers has said that Harrison son will have to lead Cleveland lh000 votes to elect Hale Republican nominee for governor gov-ernor It is difficult to find a Democrat who believes it possible for Belle to defeat Russell and equally difficult to find a Republican Re-publican who is perfectly confident that he will do so It is thought from a most careful estimate esti-mate that Cleveland will carry New Jer say by from 5000 to 6000 plurality Arkansas indicates 3 quit election with about an average vote Opposed to the Democratic national ticket ia a combination i combina-tion ticket composed of equal parts of the Republican and Peoples party candidates for electors Nothing has developed greater doubt of success of the Democratic candidate in the Sixth district given the state by the new apportionment Kentucky reports no less than the usual 30000 majority for the Democratic national ticKet In Oregon the Democrats do not expect to curry the state but say they are certain to elect Pierce Populist elector whom they endorse The Peoples party vote in the state it is believed will reach 15000 Fusion of the Democrats and the Peoples Peo-ples party has brought about a doubtful condition in Kansas for the first time in tbe history of tha state The Republicans do not admit this but their activity and reticence gives evidence of nervous apprehension appre-hension as to the result of the fusion I the Democrats and Populists alike prove loyal to the fusion it ought to result in the choice of the Weaver electors All fusion candidates for Congress and the legislature legisla-ture are favorable to the election of a Populist Pop-ulist or a Democrat to succeed Senator Pekins The bolt on the state ticket by a faction of Democrats will probably defeat the fusion state ticket Notwithstanding the strong combination against them the Republicans claim to have no fear of the defeat of the Harrison electors The close of the campaign In Nebraska shows that affairs are very complicated I While there are three sets of electoral tickets the spectacle is presented of Democratic Demo-cratic managers doing everything in their I to keep the opposition candidate from votes Governor Boyd has is lJ n > letters to the Democrats of the Late ur ng them to secretly abandon their eu ors and throw their support to Weaver and today the chairmen of the 1 noi ic county committees throughout the e began sending out sample ballots on which the Weaver electors are marked accompanied by a letter urging each voter to cast his ballot for Weaver and thus take Nebraska out of Republican hands That this urging ni prove effective in a large number num-ber of cases but many Democrats declare they will stand by the ticket The Republican Repub-lican vote depends entirely upon the proportion pro-portion of Democrats who refuse to obey the dictates of the party managers The chairman of the Democratic state committee com-mittee predicts that the ticket will be elected by 5000 plurality the Republican managers however assert that the Populists Popu-lists have become convinced of the uselessness useless-ness of voting for Weaver except to help Clovelano and they will vote for Harrison electors in sufficient numbers to offset the Democratic vote for Weaver They admit that the vote will be close but maintain that tbe state will stay in the Republican column Conservative estimates give Montana to Harrison by a small majority Republicans Repub-licans will elect the governor and the balance bal-ance of the state ticket will be divided between be-tween the three parties I Wisconsin is watched with more than usual interest as both parties claim the electoral vote of the state The brilliant I victory of Governor Peck two years ago is admitted to have been entirely due to I the preponderance of state issues and the chief question this year is now that the Bennett parochial school law is no longer an issue whether the Lutheran voters can be held by the Democratic party Democratic Demo-cratic leaders maintain that the principle of common gratitude must keep the Lutherans loyal to the Democratic party this year but the Republicans express the greatest confidence 3n their ability to reclaim re-claim the entire Lutheran vote which they lost two years ago Michigan for the first time since the war will cast 1 portion of its electoral vote for the Democrats Under the new apportion tle apporton mont the state is entitled to fourteen electors elec-tors and doubt as to political supremacy in two or three districts necessarily Involves the electoral vote of districts in similar I doubt Under the Minor law two electors a large will be elected and it is reasonably reason-ably certain that a Democratic elector will be returned from the eastern district at large while the western district will return re-turn 3 Republican elector The Democrats Demo-crats seem reasonably certain of also carrying carry-ing the First Second Seventh and Tenth Congressional districts and thus with one elector at large are resting secure in the confidence of having five of the electoral votes of Michigan with a fighting chance in some of the other districts Republicans Republi-cans are practically sure of the fourth ninth eleventh and twelfth districts ai d with one Republican elector at large feel equally confident with a fighting chance in the third fifth sixth and eighth districts dis-tricts While the Democrats will certainly divide the electoral vote in the state indications indi-cations on the state ticket seem favorable to the Republicans In New York presidential electors members I mem-bers of Congress chief justice of the court of appeals and members of the state assembly I assem-bly are to be elected Besides the old I parties in two district the county Democracy i Democ-racy is running candidates in opposition to I Tammany 1 he Prohibitionists have Prohbitionists candidates i can-didates in all the city districts and the Socialist I So-cialist Labor party has a candidate in all except the Seventh and the Peoples party in all except the Seventh and Ninth There is no contest for chief justice as the Republican Re-publican nominee was endorsed by tho Democrats In Alabama the Alliance embarked on an independent course and allied itself with the Republicans with no avowed object except ex-cept to defeat Cleveland The combination ticket known as the oPopuhst ticket at Tuesdays election is strictly confined electon confned to a choice of presidential electors and I a congressman con-gressman I nominated In California candidates all four national for presidential parties I presiden-tial electors Congress state senate and assembly Indications point to a vote of 50000 in excess of four years ago The Republican State Central committee confidently dently claim the state on the popular vote for president and say the Republicans will elect a majority of the members of the state legislature Democrats claimrthero is clalnth re a possibility of carrying the state and posslbity contend con-tend that they will probably carry the legislature legis-lature with the possibility that the Peoples Peo-ples party may elect a sufficient number of members of the legislature to give that I tho balance of gve party power I In Nevada it is conceded that the three r presidential electors named by the silver party of that state will be elected and that a majority of the same partys candidates for members of the state legislature will also be elected Washington votes for the first time for a presidential ticket since its admission to statehood A full set of state officers and two congressmen will also ba voted for Advices from twentynine of the thirty four counties in the state Indicate a very c f i < 1 large vote Tho Republicans today con i fldently claim the state for Harrison by 8000 and the state ticket by 5000 Democrats Demo-crats express themselves as confident of carrying the state by a small plurality for believe Cleveland and tho state ticket They hove the Peoples party vote will be largely drawn from Republican ranks The western state to which all eyes have turned since the opening of the campaign has been Illinois Two years ago the school question and tariff issue gave the state to the Democrats and this year a discussion I = of the first of these issues accentuated by the hope of its prominence holds out to I Democrats for success The issues are sharply defined and the vote on both the I state and national ticket will probably be close The Republican managers claim 20000 majority for Governor Fifer outside of Cook county and for Judge Altgeld a majority of 20000 in Cook county is claimed by the Democratic committee The chances are that Fifer vill carry the state outside of Cook county and AlUreld wH have a good majority in the city of Chicago and whichever of them is elected will have only a moderate majority It is expected that Governor Fifer will run somewhat behind the national ticket Democrats will receive large accessions from the Lutheran vote and indeed from all foreign born nationalities that favor parochial schools in foreign tongues To offset this gain will be thousands of lifelong life-long Democrats who this year are arraigning arraign-ing the party for pursuing false gods and will vote the Republican stte ticket on the ground that it is American in its declarations declar-ations and it appeals to the prejudices of no nationality and no religion The nomination nomi-nation of Hon A E Stevenson for the vicepresidency has added to Democratic confidence in Illinois The congressional outlook in the stale is unfavorable to the Democrats The heavy majority received by the Democratic state election in Georgia last month insures the election of a Democratic electioral ticket though it is probable the majority will be somewhat lass than that received by the Democratic state ticket in October In Iowa the fact that state issues arc subordinated to the great national questions ques-tions tends to give the Republicans a significant signi-ficant advantage and Democrats are usually usu-ally frank enough to admit that chances favor the Republican party although some Democrats still maintain confidence of apperently no significant growth that either tho Peop os party or Prohibition party will win the state while on the national na-tional ticket chances are all for the Republicans Re-publicans The indications are that the contest will be quite close on the state ticket Republicans are claiming eight out of eleven Congressional districts but tho Democrats concedj only six The political outlook in Louisiana may bo said to be decidedly democratic us far as the national ticket is concerned and the Democrats expect to elect the solid delegation delega-tion to congress although claims to the contrary con-trary are made In addition to a full state ticket and presidential pre-sidential electors all four parties in Missouri Mis-souri vote for railroad commissioner three judges of the supreme court and two judges of the court of appeals The sporting element ele-ment is placing even money on twelve thousand Democratic plurality The Tennessee State Democratic committee com-mittee had a neil made of the state which indicates a plurality of 40000 for the Democratic Dem-ocratic governor and a majority over all opposition In Wyoming the Democrats have continued an aggressive campaign assisted by the Peoples party with whom a coalition was effected by Democrats supporting sup-porting the Weaver electors and thin populists pop-ulists throwing thoir strength to the Dam ocratlc tate ticket Nonpartisans are of the opinion that tho contest will be very close From Galveston comes word tonight that virtually closed the meet exciting never n-ever known in Texas that George Clark who leads one wing of the Democratic Demo-cratic party and was endorsed by the Republican Re-publican party will probably be elected The presidential election is all one way Weaver and Harrison will get some votes but Cleveland will roll up the usual majority major-ity as there is no division of Hogg and Clark Democrats on president In Indiana it seems almost inevitable that the Democrats will lose some districts gamed Hin the political avalanche of two I years ago though they will probably retain re-tain a majority of the delegation From the state Democratic committee of West Virginia is a claim that tbe state is safe for Cleveland while some conservative conserva-tive Republicans say they consider it unlikely I un-likely that Harrison will carry the state I Besides the presidential electors to be chosen by the voters of Ohio a secretary two judges of the supreme court clerk of I the supreme court twentyone members of Concrete and county officers are to be ohio son While leading Democrats ut times claimed Ohio for Cleveland there is no settled set-tled feeling that there will be a change in Ohios position as a Republican state in a presidential year All issues In Colorado are subordinated to the silver question Ninetyfive percent per-cent of the Democrats in that stato endorsed en-dorsed tho Weaver electors so there is practically but two tickets in tho field viz Republicans and Peoples The Weaver party claims the state by from ton to fifteen fif-teen thousand The Republicans on the other band claims the state for Harrison but refuse to rive any figures Should Weaver carry the state by as much as 10000 the entire Populist state ticket will go with him That Mianesota should even become a doubtful state would not be allowed a few years ago and yet that Is what the Democratic Demo-cratic state committee are claiming tonight to-night They are claiming the election of D W Lawler for governor and assert a firm belief of tie election of four Peoples party electors whom they endorsed On the other hand the Republicans claim a majority for their gubernatorial candidate of from twenty to thirty thousand aud expect ex-pect to elect all electors notwithstanding fusion The Peoples party managers are claiming tho election of Ignatius Donnelly as governor but give no figures and also a belief in the success of the four fusion electors Chairman Green of the South Dakota Republican state committee places the Republican Re-publican plurality In the state at 15000 and other party leaders agree with him in the prediction Toe Democrats and Independents Inde-pendents however are confident of success suc-cess One matter of uncnrtaintv is their Inability to tel whether the Alliance vote will be as strong as two years ago Although Al-though the Democrats and Alliance combinations two years ago polled less votes than the Republicans they hope this year by fusion to carry the state The Democrats ore straining every nerve to carry the Weaver electors and are said to be sacrificing all the rest of the ticket to that end Democrats claim success but Republicans express the greatest confidence deuce in carrying tho state In Idaho there is great uncertainty regarding re-garding the result Tho Domocrats and Republicans both claim the state while the Populists are scarcely less confident In Maine the Republican plurality at the special election in September may fairly bo expected to reach the same figures or little larger ones in November Certain as anything can be in politics is that the electoral votes in South Carolina will be cast for Cleveland and Stevenson There is little doubt that a solid Democratic Demo-cratic delegation or rather partly Fusionists Fusion-ists will be sent to Congress and the full Democratic state ticket elected Tho Seventh is the only doubtful district in the state where George Murray colored Republican Re-publican opposes William Elliott the Democratic nominee In Connecticut there are five state tickets in the field and one must have a majority over all the others to win Both Republicans equal Republi-cans and assurance Democrats claim the state with |