OCR Text |
Show 10B Sun Advocate Price, Utah Thursday February 21 ,2002 Federal agency evaluates nationwide statistics, releases U.S. energy consumption forecast consumers Energy delivered to American consumers represents only a part of total consumption in the United States. Primary consumption includes losses associated with the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. The losses arc allocated to the residential, commercial and industrial sectors in proportion to usage shares. In 1970. electricity accounted for 12 percent sectors, exof all energy delivered to end-us- e cluding transportation. (irowih in electricity applications has resulted in greater divergence between primary and delivered eonsunipt ion. The trend is expected to stabilize as more efficient generating technologies offset increased percent of the nation's energy requirements in 2020, including electricity generation. Demand for renewable energy from sources like wood and ethanol will rise 1.6 percent per year, predicted the federal agency. Geothermal and solar energy use in build-ing- s should increase by about 3. 1 percent annu- ally. Primary energy use is projected to reach 1 30.9 quadrillion Btu by 2020, 32 percent higher than the 2000 level. As related prices increased in the early 1980s, sectoral energy consumption grew relatively little. Between 1985 and 2000, stable prices contributed to a significant increase in consump- demand. tion. Proieilcd primary and delivered energy consumption will grow by 1.2 percent per year ihroueli JU2II. according to (he U.S. Department of I lie iity's icccntly completed forecast. I lie icy intensity, as measured on a per capita basis and by consumption per dollar of gross dome-ti- c product, declined between 1970 and the mid I'tStls. ( oss domestic product is estimated to climb Ml ieicent lietween 2000 and 2020, compared with a .U pciccnl increase in primary encils lonsumpiion. Kd.it is els stable pi ices are expected to slow Energy demand in the residential sector is d the gross domesprojected to grow at tic product rate. lf The commercial sector will expand by the rate. Efficiency gains in the industrial sector will cause the deman to grow more slowly. Residential energy consumption is projected to increase by 22 percent between 2000 and 2020. Most or 81 percent of the growth is related to electricity. Natural gas consumption in the residential sector nationwide is projected to grow by 0.9 percent per year through 2020, stated the DOE -t the di i leasing intensity. I Jriii.iinl tin enei gy services will jump markedly ifuoiiidi 2020. Xuiiiial peisonal highway and air travel are 31 pciccnl and OK percent higher cspci i' d to he lively than ill 2000. uh the mounting demand, per capita inlcn-si- t will mi. lease hyll.h percent annually through 2o2o. I llicicmy improvements in applications will make it possible in provide higher levels of scro siLiiilicanl increases in total energy imic-p- ei u-- e. IVti i ileum consumption, mainly for transput i. it u m, w ill claim the largest share of primary u i .lui mg the 2IMMI to 2020 forecast period. I items demand in the transportation sector .r.i i.mcd 2.0 percent annual growth during the I1' Os. hut slowed in the 1980s due to rising pme. ami IIcdcral efficiency standards, explained the )OI forecast. I lie oneoing situation led to a 2.1 percent unmi.il mciease in average vehicle fuel economy wiiliiu the lime frame in question. . liming the 20 year forecast period, fuel ciouoim gain- - will slow as a result of stable pi lie- mid the absence of new legislative mandate-. pu'diclcd the federal energy department one-thir- one-ha- forecast. Prices to residential customers are projected to decline, dropping lower than other fuels such as heating oil. Energy for space heating, the most intensive end use in the residential sector, climbed 1.9. percent per year from 1990 to 1997. Future growth in residential energy consumption is expected to be slowed by higher equip- ment efficiency and tighter building codes. Building shell efficiency gains are projected to cut space heating demand by about 7 percent per household in 2020 relative to the demand in 1997. Energy use for residential refrigeration dropped 1.7 percent per year from 1990 to 1997. Related energy consumption is expected to decline 1.9 percent annually through 2020, as less efficient refrigerators are replaced with newer models. The all other category, which includes smaller appliances like personal computers, dishwashers, clothes washers and dryers grew 5 percent per year from 1990 to 1997 and accounts for 32 percent of residential primary enThe category will account for 40 in 2020 small electric appliances conas percent tinue to penetrate the market, growing at an annual rate of 2.1 percent. Energy trends in the commercial sector show stable shares for all fuels, with growth in overall consumption slowing. Energy use per square foot of commercial all-oth- er Copulation and travel per capita growth are expected to result in increases in demand for easolme. ( ompciition and technological advances in clccliiciiy uencration and distribution will slielnly i educe costs. Natural gas will meet 24 Are You A A.1 l Duiwood Carter My My Diana Palmer a Rebublican to the degree that they can ini good conscience check the boxes, yes next to these I Believe statements: name & address is: phone & email is: I Yes volunteerism. Government should protect the unalienable rights of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Individuals have the right to own private property. Citizens should oppose unreasonable and intrusive federal mandates. We should demand honesty, integrity, morality and accountability of our public officials. In supporting lawful efforts of local law enforcement agencies to protect citizens. We should support capital punishment when appropriate. In the right to religious expression, including prayer, in private and public, 10. Parents have the primary responsibility for training their children in moral values. j In the right for life for both the bom and unborn I 12. To oppose abortion, 13. except to preserve the life of the mother or in cases of rape or j incest. iu I 14. We should oppose public funding for abortion, euthanasia and assisted suicide. I 15. The main responsibility for meeting basic needs rests with families and voluntary 1 percent. The natural gas share dropped from 32 percent to 24 percent and coal's share fell from 16 percent to 9 percent, pointed out the DOE fore- cast. After 1986, natural gas began to recover its share as regulations were lifted and supplies became more certain and less costly, continued the federal agencys report Primary energy use in the industrial sector which includes the agriculture, mining and construction industries in addition to traditional manufacturing - is projected to increase by 1.1 percent peryear. Electricity and natural gas are the major energy sources for the United States industrial sector, explained the DOE evaluation. Industrial delivered electricity use is projected to increase by 32 percent, with competition in the generation market keeping prices low. Despite a projected increase in natural gas prices after 2002, its use for eneigy in the industrial sector is expected to increase by 25 percent between 2000 and 2020. Industrial petroleum demand will grow by 27 percent between 2000 and 2020, according to the federal report. Coal use is expected to remain essentially constant, indicated the DOE forecast. New technologies should continue to reduce demand for metallurgical coal. The ongoing development and application of more efficient technologies within the mining industiy throughout the nation will likely offset the expected modest growth in coal use for boiler fuel and as a substitute for coke in steelmaking, continued the federal agency's forecast report. Approximately 70 percent of all the energy consumed in the industrial sector is used to provide heat and power for manufacturing. The remainder is approximately equally distributed between heat and purposes. power and consumption for non-fuNon-fuuse of energy in the industrial sector is projected to grow more rapidly at 1.1 percent than heat and power consumption at 1.0 percent peryear. In 2020, feedstock consumption is projected to be 5.0 quadrillion Btu. Asphalt use is projected to grow by 1.6 percent per year to reach 1.8 quadrillion Btu in 2020. The nations construction industiy is the principal consumer of asphalt for paving and roofing. Petroleum refining, chemicals and pulp and steel-maki- ng el el and simplify taxes. ' 19. The estate tax should be eliminated. 20. In the right to bear arms for the protection of self and family. 21. In deregulation by foe Federal Government 22. That we can preserve the environment while serving the best interests of our citizens. 23. The jury is a fundamental institution of liberty with the authority to acquit 24. A party should govern by toe people and for the people. 25. President Clinton's declaration of toe GSENM is unconstitutional. 26. In NOT plaping U.S. troops under foreign or U.N. command. ' 27. In a reform of the legal system to ensure swift justice. 28. In requiring welfare recipients to work towards seHsufliciency. 29. Parents have a right to choose public, private or home education. ' i j The major fuels used in petroleum refineries are gas; natural gas and petroleum coke. In the chemical industry, natural gas accounts for 60 percent of the energy consumed for heat and power. The pulp and paper industry uses the most renewables in the form of wood and spent liquor. Changes in industrial energy intensity - the consumption per unit of output - can be separated into two effects, explained the DOE fore- cast One of the component reflects underlying increases in equipment and production efficiencies. The other component arises from structural changes in the composition of manufacturing output. Since 1970, the use of more technologies, combined with relatively low industries, has growth in the inindustrial energy consumpdampened growth nt energy-efficie- energy-intensi- ve tion. Therefore, despite a 53 percent increase in industrial output, total energy use in the sector grew by only 8 percent between 1978 and 2000. The basic trends are expected to continue, pointed out the federal agency. Industrial output is projected to grow by 2.6 percent per year from 2000 to 2020. The share of total output attributed to the energy intensive industries is projected to fall from 22 percent in 2000 to 17 percent in 2020. Consequently, aggregate industrial intensity should decline. forecast period, industrial During the delivered energy intensity is projected to decrease by 25 percent and the changing composition output is expected to result in approximately a 19 percent drop. By 2020, total energy demand for transportation is expected to be 39.6 quadrillion Btu, compared with 27.5 quadrillion Btu in 2000. Petroleum products dominate the sector. Motor gasoline use is projected to increase by 1.6 percent peryear, making up 56 percent of transportation eneigy demand, pointed out the DOE forecast. Alternative fuels are projected to displace about 184,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day 20-ye- ar by 2020. Gasolines share should be sustained by low prices and slower fuel efficiency gains for cony vehicles than were achieved ventional during the 1980s. Assumed industrial output growth of 2.6 percent per year through 2020 leads to an increase in freight transport, with a corresponding 2.4 percent annual increase in diesel fuel use, according to the federal agencys estimated calculight-dut- lations. Economic growth and low projected jet fuel prices yield a 3.5 percent projected annual increase in air travel, causing jet fuel use to increase by 2.5 percent peryear. Fuel efficiency in the United States will likely improve at a slower rate through 2020 than it did during the 1980s. In fact, DOE anticipates that lower prices at the gas pumps and higher personal income will increase the demand for larger, more powerful vehicles. Advanced technologies as well as electric hybrids for gasoline and diesel engines will boost vey the average fuel economy of new hicles by about 3 miles to 27.2 miles per gallon in 2020. Automobile fuel economy is projected to reach approximately 31.7 miles per gallon by. 2020, as a result of advances in technologies. light-dut- No the a classifieds! Call a a 637-07- 32 a a a a a a a a Change is inevitable. In this life there are very few guarantees. That's why it's nice when something like the UCCU Flex CD comes around. Unlike manyi investments, the Flex CD offers a guaranteed rate of return and a low minimum investment of just $500. After tiro, yean, you even have the flexibility to redeem the certificate or keep the existing rate up to five yean. a The UCCU Flex CD also a O Q a a Never a loss of interest If you would like to know more about CDs and how they can help you prepare for the future, call us today at 80 or visit www.utahcentral.com. End Note: All statements are amplified in toe Utah Republican Party Platform, 'Indicates significant differences between the Republican and Democratic State Platforms Notice: After completing this please dip it out of the paper and send it to Richard H. who on a committee serves for Republican Awareness, 470 College Avenue, Price, voluntarily Moriey Utah 84501 q. Offers: After two yean CD becomes redeemable eveiy 6 months Never a loss of principle 1 j agency. organizations. 16. Contributions are made to our quality of life through ethnic diversity. All children should have access to 17. I quality education, j 18. It is a necessity for limited taxation to meet essential public needs. We must reduce j j 20-ye- ar a a a it charitable hs end-us- a a Our government should be based upon a moral and spiritual foundation. Citizen s needs are best met through free enterprise, private initiative, and . three-fourt- e of enpaper are the largest in the and for heat power manufacturing ergy sector. The nations three primary energy intensive industries used 8.9 quadrillion Btu in 2000, according to the data compiled by the federal Believe: I j j of Electricity will account for commercial primary energy consumption, according to the DOE forecast. Natural gas accounted for 20 percent of com- mercial energy consumption in 2000 and should maintain a similar share throughout the forecast period. ' Distillate fuel oil made up 2 percent of commercial demand in 2000, down from 6 percent from the years before deregulation of the natural gas industry, explained the DOE report The projected distillate share will remains at 2 percent in 2020. With stable prices for conventional fuels, no appreciable growth in the share of renewable energy in the commercial sector is anticipated. Lighting will continue as the most important in the U.S. commercial secindividual end-us- e tor, pointed out the recently released report compiled by the federal agency. During the designated time period, eneigy to operate personal computers is projected to grow by 3.7 percent peryear and for other office equipment by 4. 1 percent per year. From 970 to 1986, with demand for coking coal reduced by declines in steel production and natural gas use falling as a result of the restrictions and curtailments, electricity's share of industrial energy increased from 23 percent to 33 20-ye- ar Republican?! Everybody is year. -- ergy use. ieuiil floor space should increase by 0.1 percent per -- 487-884 w new ima mr IT j I 1 j yon. nflnracnrap ma citgmuiijr ifqwKV. ffl Utah Central Credit Union lllIJ Were in it together 494 East Main, Price 637-096- 4 Logan Duane & Emily LaRene are proud to announce die marriage of their parents Roxanne Marie, Daughter of Fete A RitaElkface to Ricky Wade Olsen, son of Vicki Olsen A Rick and Jeannee Olsen on Sat the 23rd of February at the Price Elks Lodge. Reception Dancing 6-- 8 p jq. |