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Show The Sail Lake Inbuilt. Wednesday, May zl, luxo 1 .1 Bill Neikirk Pessimistic Economists See Little Relief on Horizon Chicago Tnbune To John Zalusky, the suggestion that the Federal Reserve Board might try to cut the recession short and save hundreds of thousands of jobs is so unrealistic that the can't keep from laughing Nor does he think that Congress is going to help, even though this is an election year John Zalusky is pessimistic, and so are many people around him. John Zalusky is an economist for the AFL-CIHis is one of many discouraged oices emanating from that giant labor federation. As he and his colleagues see it, the nation's enemployment rate will be high for the next two. three, or maybe even four years. I don't think he will They have company. see an enemployment rate as low as 7 percent for a long, long time." said Barry Bosworth, an economist for the Bookings Institution and adviser for the Carter former administration. Michael Boskin, an economics professor at Stanford University, also sees the country although facing a long period of joblessness he is slightly more optimistic than Bosworth. W - p tr wtps t&mr funwirm Mike Royko Now Deadbeats Get Indignant Chicago Kathy Black was filled t with righteous indignation. And from her point of view, the sense of outrage probably seemed justified. Her car had been re possessed. Her shiny, Sun-Tim- ( $10,000 lux- d, ury hot rod had been snatched from in front of her home while she was sleeping. But that wasn't all. She says that the repossessors hired by the finance company didn1 play fair. They used deceit to track her down Mr Hm and get her car. Kathy, 28, a student, had been pretty cagey. She had moved, and the finance company did not know where she lived. But they somehow found her phone number, she says. And late Monday her phone rang. The guy on the phone says he is a telephone company repairman. He said there had been a complaint about my line, that somebody had been trying to get through to me but there was no answer. I Gave It to Him He said to me: Theres no trouble on the outside line so it must be inside. Can we come by and check the equipment inside? I was half asleep and I said, Sure. Then he asked me my address and I gave it to him. After I hung up, I started thinking. I figured that if the pnone company knew my phone number, why wouldnt they know my address? So I called the phone company and asked them if there had been any problem with my line. They said they had no authorization for any work to be done on my number. That really frightened me. I called the police. I didnt know who had called. I thought maybe somebody might be coming ovct to murder me. Dirty, Rotten Thing The police came out and the cop told me I ought to get a gun. But I had a friend come and spend the night at my place because I was worried. But when I got up in the morning and went downstairs, I knew what had happened. My car was gone. I called the finance company and they told me that they had repossessed it during the night." u So? So it's a dirty, rotten thing to do, thats what. They have no right to be calling someone up and posing as the telephone company. Thats low. Thats cheating." Im sure many people would agree. Im surprised at how many complaints I receive from people who don't like the way they are treated when they fall behind on bills of one kind or another. People call about their cars being repossessed. Some call about their landlord trying to throw them out for not paying their rent, or landlords keeping the security deposit to cover holes they poked in walls. I get regular calls from a man who is upset because his favorite bar has cut him off for writing bad checks. I think that this is an extension of Ralph Naders consumer crusade. Many people apparently feel that, as consumers, they have the right to be deadbeats. Take Ms. Black. She is about four payments behind on her car. That adds up to about $1,000. And she's fallen behind several times in the past. Now she has resorted to not letting the finance company even know where she lives. You would think she would be embarrassed at having that known. But instead she calls a newspaper and portrays herself as the wronged party. Actually, if the repossessors did pose as phone repairmen, it is a mild deceit compared to the tactics they used before laws were passed forbidding some of their stunts. Only a few years ago, collectors used to pose as cops, coroners and hospital emergency room doctors to horrify friends or relatives of deadbeats into blurting out their whereabouts. Identify the Body I remember one case in which they called a mans employer and asked if somebody could come to the morgue and identify the mans body. By the time they got off the phone, they had the mans address and were in hot pursuit of his car. The problem was, the employer called the man's home. The wife answered, and the employer began commiserating over the mans sudden death. The wife fainted, since her husband had been alive when he went out for a few drinks only two hours earlier. She was surrounded by weeping, mourning relatives when the husband returned home. By then, he was so drunk that he cried at the thought of his demise. Now they cant do these things. And if they do, they can be in legal trouble. And the result is that deadbeats no longer feel that they, too, have to join in the sport and show some imagination. Ms. Black, for example. You would think that by now she would have taken the precaution of parking her car several blocks from where she lives. That's fundamental when someone is trying to repossess. I have a relative who, in 30 years, never once parked his car within eight blocks of his house. He was almost always at least two months behind in his payments. And even when he was paid up, he still hid his car just to stay in practice. Sometimes he would rent a garage to keep his car off the street. Then when he fell behind in his garage payments, he would duck the garage owner, too. The family of my friend Slats Grobnik was expert at avoiding bill collectors. You could tell when it was the end of the month because all the lights would always be off in their house, so the collectors wouldnt know anybody was at home. The lights were off so much that by the time Slats was 6, he could function in the dark like a bat. Michael Kilian Whos Who and Whats What From Gay Talese to Vance Chicago Tribune Time now for another report from gossip celebrity answer man: Q. Who teen-hoo- d is MicheUe Phillips? Im not sure exactly, but Im told she is A. a world famous celebrity. Is it true that author Gay Talese plays tennis in the nude, like it says in the magazines? A. Not with me. Q Do you There was an article in People Magazine about someone named Cyrus Vance. Is he important? Should I have read the article? A. Not if it takes you away from something more significant, like an evening of roller Q. Do A. Not Q. you play tennis? with Gay Talese. Didnt Michelle Phillips used to sing with a group? A. Yes. The Mommas and the Poppas. I used to think it was the Brothers and the Sisters, but then someone told me that was the Osmond family. Brzezinsld? He was part of a secret deal for overtime Q. Who is Zbigniew A. Why is Shelly Hack leaving Charlies A. I dont know. I bought a copy of People Magazine to find out. but all they had in there was this story about Cyrus Vance. Q. Is it true that Zachary Taylor used to nude roller disco? A. No, but John Quincy Adams used to go ' sldnny-dippin- g in a creek behind the White House. Whod have thought "The John Quincy Adams Story" would get an "R rating? Q. How come Gay Talese took almost a decade to research and write a book about sex? A. As Mrs. John Quincy Adams said, some things are obvious. Q. Who will be remembered most, Cyrus Vance or Shelly Hack? A. MicheUe Phillips. They seem to have named a screwdriver and an oil company after her. 4 mistakenly responded when she should have said with water." Slats didnt hesitate. He opened the door and d sicced Bruno, their watchdog, on Granny Grobnik. By the time the family pulled them apart. Bruno had chewed off one leg of her long underwear and she had bitten off two inches of his left ear. red-eye- They neveh used that password again. As Granny said: You know I never take bourbon with water. Chlorine can ruin your liver. (Copyright) If the political pressure from a recession constituents isn't too great, it will continue to be sensitive about the prospect of double digit inflation. Even if Ronald Reagan is elected president, he will have a difficult time getting a 30 percent tax cut over three years approved The recovery itself will be slow The recent bout with 18 percent inflation led consumers to lows and reduce their savings to generally dig into their assets to try to heat inflation. They now have come to the end of the string. Impact of Inventories This raises a key question. What forces are going to lead the economy from recession In 1974-7when the economy sank into the worst downturn since the Great Depression, the recession had a built-ispringboard. That one occurred because businesses had tried to heat inflation by building up their inventories to record levels. When people stopped buying, business lived off their inventories and laid off workers. Once the inventories were sold, people were rehired. k Expects Peak In 1881 Boskin believes the unemployment rate will peak somewhere between 8 and 9 percent in and then start coming down gradually. But it will be a long time hefore the country will see a jobless rate as low as 6 5 percent, he says. has The great inflation crisis of 1979-8- 0 implemented a pathological fear of its dangers and consequences in Washingtons major political and economic Institutions. Bosworth conjures up a scenario in which the recession gradually becomes worse, rather than dramatically so, so that by 1981 the country will find itself with 8 percent or more and be fairly tolerant of it. unemployment The White House, Congress, and the Federal Reserve Board react strongly only to sharp declines, he said, and thus will not move to cut taxes significantly or loosen credit if the recession follows a gradual path downward. If the recession develops more sharply than Bosworth now believes, it would probably spur a reluctant Congress into action and produce a tax cut before election day. And it could result y in some loosening of Federal Reserve policies. It will take time for the economic crystal ball to reveal how fast and steep the recession may be expected to develop. But looking beyond the uncertainty of the next few months, economists e n Now, inventories are lean and people dont have any money. So this is a final goods recession, occuring because the consumer has stopped buying. The only way to halt it is to make sure the consumer has sufficient income again. But his income is declining in "real" terms because the inflation rate is higher than his salary increase. This will occur for at least another year, and maybe longer. The consumer can only hang on. He is too broke to spend the country out of a recession. Bosworth and Boskin, as do their colleagues, therefore see the next several years as extremely sluggish ones for the U.S. economy. tight-mone- The Public Forum Tribune Readers Opinions Dubious Statement Regarding what I believe to be rdisleading statements made by Linda Huinker, consumer information writer, Utah State University, in The Salt Lake Tribune on May 12. She says, Doctors say that lack of exercise rather than overeating is the most important cause of obesity." She seems to have no awareness there are different levels of competence among doctors; levels indicated by their degree of specialization in different fields of medicine. She doesnt even qualify her source. Dr. Drury, as an M.D. If she had consulted an M.D. who was certified as a specialist in metabolic diseases (indicating a high level of competence to advise about obesity). I believe he would have warned her that her statement was untrue. He would have given her the same warning about her statement, Your diet will take care of itself if you get regular exercise. R. A. HOLLANDS, M.D. Monroe Near Poverty I read Ernest Conmes article on pension inequities May 15 issue of The Tribune. It is this kind of misinformation that is causing great hardship to military and civil service retirees. I retired in 1963 and presently am receiving just 66 of my maximum salary and this includes my Social Security. Conlne must have been high on something when he pulled his figures out of his hat as I ioubt very strongly that there is one such or etiree unless it might be an epresentative. Most civil service retirees are just above :he poverty level and any curtailment would iccessitate many, to go cn welfare and food damps. Working Principle After attending a Salt Lake City Council meeting for the first time I was disappointed to discover that the Peter Principle is operating at fuU steam in our city government. First, in regards to the recent ordinances drafted for the pay raises of city workers, I noted the city attorneys office still cannot draft a workable one for the council to vote on; or on, which seems to be the case lately Mr. Cutler recently argued that the city attorney's office personnel needed higher salaries to compete with the private market and to avoid loss of personnel to the private agencies. His argument was bought by the council, in that they agreed hia office was doing high caliber work. He has demonstrated the competency level of his office recently with its attempts to draft an ordinance the council can vote on. Now, the council is not to be outdone. They took over two and a half hours to attend to 10 minutes work in the meeting to vote on the ordinances. First, a motion would be made, then amended. Before any discussion from the floor could take place, someone would make another motion, which would be amended by someone else. Finally, when one of the council members would suggest a vote, without fail another member would ask what motion they were voting on. This went on during the entire meeting, interspersed with Mayor Wilson trading shots with Alice Shearer or passing the re-vo- Angels?" Q disco. roller disco? Talese. A. Not with Gay Q straight, K. W. CLAYBAUGH. SR. Brigham City work between President Carter and the typesetters union. Q. Was Cyrus Vance really no more significant than roller disco? A. Yes, but he is more significant than nude roller disco. Q. grandmother of high Having seen what tax cuts in the past have done. Congress will he less willing to increase spending or cut taxes to pull the country out of mid-198- All the Grobniks freinds and relatives had to use secret knocks and passwords for the front door. Slats had the only grandmother who had to learn to give three short knocks, then one long knock And when little Slats would call out would have to the grandmother shot, respond and beer before Slats would let her in. They used to change passwords occasionally. And once, when Slats called out bourbon," his of a long period These are the factors The Federal Reserve Roard may he willing to change its policies slightly at the the next two or margin but for the long run it has made its intentions known three years It wants to reduce the annual growth in the supply of money as inflation comes down What this means is that the Federal Reserve is not a slimmed down economy willing to force-fee(high with unemployment! with higher production of money It will he tougher for people during this period to maintain their income with inflation. n nfv( P 'UK PmjoilHtt it are ,still fairly sure loblessness SHINGTON election our family will not participate in such unfairness and political injustice. It saddens me to know that the governor of this state is letting these individuals ruin our faith in the system we call democracy. BILL SNYDER Hunter time of day with citizens in attendance addressing the council. My first inclination after leaving the meeting in disgust was to present the city council with copies of Roberts Rules of Order, but I later concluded all they would do with the books is eat the covers. 1 suggest that every interested citizen and student of bureaucracy attend a council meeting to witness the Peter Principle in action. KEN THIRSK Jail em I was pleased to read that a Blackduck, Minn, man was recently sentenced to three years in prison for killing and selling a bald eagle. He was convicted on violations of the Migratory Bird Treaty Act and the Endangered Species Act of 1973 after having illegally sold eagles on previous occasions. While the intent of federal laws has been good with respect to marketing of endangered species, the peanlties have often been no more then a slap on the wrist of the offender. Hopefully, fines and jail terms like the one in Minnesota will draw more public attention to Faith Ruined My wife is of Mexican ancestry and we both enjoy attending the different cultural events given in various locations during the year. We discovered that a particular person was Forum Rules Public Forum letters must be submitted exclusively to The Tribune and bear writer's full name, signature and address. Names must he printed on political letters but may be withheld (or good reasons on others. Writers are limited to one letter every 10 days. Preference will be given to short, typewritten (double spaced) letters permitting use of the writer's true name. All letters are subject to condensation. Mall to the Public Forum, The Salt Lake Tribune, Box 867, Salt Lake City, Utah. 84110. the severity of these actions. In Utah, another federal law which protects archaeological resources rather than wildlife resources may soon face a similar test. The Archaeological Resources Protection Act of 1979 safeguards, among other things. Indian wall paintings. Penalties include a $10,000 fine and a year imprisonment for first offenders. If the individuals who recently defaced the Courthouse Wash Pictograph Panel near Moab are apprehended, I, for one, would be glad to see stiff penalties DAVID E. HALL running for the Hispanic Advisory Council we registered to vote so we could have some input on who we felt qualified to help our particular needs. We voted. And now we discover that my vote will not count because I am not Hispanic. I feel I know the needs of my children and my wife better if not more than these unreasonable politicans. I dont know who this John Medina is and what he has done for my family and me. but I do know one thing one of those candidates has helped my children to come to know more about their heritage and be proud of it. I feel very sad that I am unable because of race to thank that individual by putting forth my vote. One thing ia for certain, if there is another Questions Relevancy When 9 Afncans were trampled to death last week in Zaire ;n the crush to get in to see the Pope celebrate Mass I had to think back to last December when 11 rock music fans were killed in Cincinnati in the rush to see the Who At that time rock music in general and The Who in particular were severely criticized. Given the similarities in these two tragedies, does that criticism still seem relevant? JAMES ALFRED BONGARD The Way It Was Here are the briefs of The Salt Lake Tnbune 25 years ago: English department, who will deliver the dedicatory address. Dr. John E. Carver of Ogden, representing the board of regents, and President Emeritus Joseph T. Kingsbury, in uhose honor the building is named, who will make the response to the dedication. Opening the hall will be Maeterlincks Bluebird," under direction of Miss Maud May Babcock from 100, 50 and May 21, 1880 with magnetism over the body Expenments of Hoyt, after he had hangecj thirty-fiv- e minutes in New York, on Friday, produced most wonderful results. A current was applied to the muscles of the chest, and another to the muscles just over the diaphragm, working them alternately. Complete artificial respiration was secured, breath being exhaled with such force that air could be felt as it passed from the nostrils. The dead man really breathed. The results were most satisfactory, as it was not expected that life could be restored. May 21, 1130 Dedicatory exercises for the official opening of Kingsbury Hall, the new auditnnum at the University of Utah, will be held at noon Thursday, it was announced by university officials. Principal speakers at the exercises will be Professor G M Marshall of the university May 21, 1955 Moab received $162,000 WASHINGTON worth of federal assistance Friday to make municipal improvements necessitated by its - . becoming the booming center of Utahs uranium mining industry. The federal funds would be used to improve and extend the water and sewage facilities for the community. Moab's population, largely due to the uranium boom, has soared from 1,274 in 1950 to an estimated 4,500 at the present time. Moab became eligible for the federal assistance when the office of Defense Mobilization ruled earlier in the day that it was a critical defense housing area. |