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Show IHI oo WHAT WILL JAPAN DO 7 The Japanese are undoubtedly IHI more concerned over their stay in Manchuria, Siberia and Korea than IJ they are disturbed as to what will happen to their hold on Shantung. But Hi Krank II. Sirnonds Is authority for the forecast that the Japanese may hold -haniung and refuse to gie up any of jHj their advantages on the mainland of Asia, and this attitude is proving a most difficult obstacle to the complete IH success of the arms conference. Mr. Slmonds bbs there are two theories as to what Japan intends to jH do. One is that when the new treaty has taken final shape and the Siber-lan Siber-lan discussion Is ended, and when at IH the close Japan discovers that her position In Manchuria will not be IH challenged and that her Siberian oo cupation will not be Interrupted: then with a final gesture she will take the IH curtain, resigning Shantung. Today this expectation Is more general than IH any other, but (and this circumstance IH must be stressed) it is not so strong- jH1 !y held as it was ten days ago. H1 The alternative suggestion is that the Japanese have discovered that the political situation in the Untied States I ( Is such that a speedy adjournment of IHf the conference, with no further acci-dents acci-dents to mar its picture, is urgently IHI demanded on all 6ldes, nowhere more insistently than among the majority senators on the hill. Therefore, If the Japaneso can hold out a little longer, H' ihe proverbial last quarter of an hour of wartime phrase, then they will be cble to keep Shantung. IIH Mr. Simonds sees the possibility of h hasty ending of the conference, IBi which recalls the close of the Ver rallies conference. "Yet it may be that in the end shall be stampeded. The Japanese played this game to perfection at Paris," says the historian, "when they jH waited until the Germans had actual 1y started for Versailles and then H1 came downstairs and announced quite Innocently that they could not sign the pmppMI treaty unless tbey received Hi Sbantun? And eeryone knows that Mr. Wilson was stampeded Into yielding. yield-ing. Are they playing thf same game now? At least memory has a certain value at the moment." Making a peace treaty, after all, is a play of arts, with those at the conference con-ference table constantly seeking to 'gain an advantage apparently the men who represent nations have tho selfish sido of life highly developed and are far from being altruistic. I They talk of peace, but maneuver as I though they expect war. |