Show Iq 1 I 11 By B ULM LLON AUL LO H Released by Western Newspaper Union CAN DAN BE BEATEN HAS BAS DEWEY A CHANCE WASHINGTON Can Roosevelt be beaten Has Dewey a chance Stories have been creeping into the newspapers that the Republican convention convention convention con con- had a defeatist spirit The administration partisan writers chose that not unusual political line The London Times which always assumes itself to be the British empire empire empire em em- pire has editorially derided Republican Republican Republican lican chances but this also may reflect reflect reflect re re- a personal interest The Times may wish to continue the Church Church- Roosevelt ill-Roosevelt dealings into postwar Yet aside from these interest in stories there is a rather wide prevailing awe of the Roosevelt Roosevelt Roosevelt Roose Roose- velt tendency to control everything a respect for his great powers and naturally he is doing nothing to discourage discourage discourage dis dis- dis- dis courage that interpretation But this is a usual technique in his campaigning the imposition of an atmosphere o of discouragement upon his opposition SUMMARIZE CHANCES A factual reporting job on this convention however will give you a different picture If you will probe the state and sectional leaders for their honest opinions you will find the situation somewhat like this The Pacific coast regions are doubtful or Roosevelt pro-Roosevelt as a whole today Oregon gives Dewey his best Coast chance Important California will be especially difficult without Warren on the ticket I would count it Democratic In the Rocky Mountain regions the Republicans think they can carry Wyoming and Idaho surely probably also Arizona and New Mexico but expect to lose Montana Utah and possibly Nevada Livestock trouble is a main factor in the Mountain states influx of a million war workers in California But the farm states all of them are considered the best Republican ground in the country country country coun coun- try the CIO has been too much out here and the conduct of the war economically has been un un- un- un popular Kansas is in better Republican shape today than ever in its history Iowa is considered almost certain certain certain tain the Illinois Republican organization organization organization or or- definitely promises this state Indiana is more doubtful doubtful doubt doubt- ful due due to a fa factional onal R Republican p can split but few count it for Roosevelt Bricker has a good chance to carry Ohio The Republicans think Dewey can beat Roosevelt in New York Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn Penn- sylvania is truly doubtful as is Massachusetts Mas Mas- But Republicans have havethe havethe havethe the edge elsewhere in the East outside outside outside out out- side of Rhode Island New Jersey is debatable but on the Roose anti velt side SOUTH TO DEMOCRATS No one expects anything Republican can from the South in the end Where then do these people derive derive derive de de- rive the conclusion Roosevelt is a cinch that Republicans are defeated defeat defeat- ed Obviously only out of their own heads Give Dewey and Roosevelt an at even break west of the wheat- wheat corn belts count the farm states Republican the South Democratic Democratic Demo Demo- cratic and you must reach the conclusion that the election will turn on the big industrial communities communities communities com com- in central and eastern states That is where the fight will be Whoever carries them diem will win this election It is all up to Dewey He is entering entering entering en en- the campaign with the edge against him psychologically To many he is David out after Goliath but with the same ending not guaranteed guar guar- Yet the ground is well prepared prepared prepared pre pre- pared for him Republican organizations organizations organizations are functioning in 26 states the populous heavy voting ones If he conducts an un unenlightening enlightening unintelligent campaign he can lose loseby loseby loseby by a landslide If he can keep all the Republican voters together and the Roosevelt anti-Roosevelt forces solidified he ne can win My first state-canvass state shows Roosevelt Dewey doubtful needed to win If Mr Roosevelt makes more than one or two campaign speeches I will be surprised I look for him to become deeply absorbed in peace negotiations or final preparations in August or September until November November November No No- vember either going abroad broad or bringing wringing the other nations here at that tim time in case their leaders can come The news he produces from such a meeting with radio addresses addresses addresses ad ad- dresses from a traveling fireside could well furnish his campaign ma- ma erial As a result of dickering here the Pacific coast war businesses will be protected if Mr Dewey is elected elected- and Warren will have charge of If that matter in the Dewey administration This is the only campaign camp ign promise by y Dewey that I 1 heard h here re The price was not high considering consider- consider ing ng what Deweys Dewey's chances of elec- elec election election tion ion would be without Warren A million new workers have come com into that hat state since the war the unskilled and type The TIt mun- mun ber jer of Negroes in San FrancI to eo ha has hag I shown hown a remarkable a. a y t |