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Show AMERICAN FORK CITIZEN m Battle Tides to Influence 1944 Political Campaign Close Observers Change Minds, Express Belief President Will Not Be Candidate If War Ends by Spring. By BAUKIIAGE IVnci Analytt and Commentator. WNU Service, Union Trust Building;, Washington, D. C. As the political campaign, which will be over In hort year, begins to Increase in tempo. It is interesting to note that noticeable shock recorded record-ed by the reporters at a recent White House press and radio conference when the President tossed off hat phrase "when I am out of the White House." Taken In the context. It was Immediately Im-mediately clear that the President did not delimit the time element In this statement and there was no real Justification for the startled pause when pencils stopped scribbling and heads and eyebrows went up at the presidential remark. Mr. Roosevelt was merely pointing out. In connection connec-tion with the postwar rubber situation, situa-tion, that he believed that any proposed pro-posed tariff to protect the synthetic lubber plants after the war should b vetoed, and he implied that any President who vetoed such a measure meas-ure might stir up a lot of opposition from the synthetic rubber manufacturers. manufac-turers. But we have become so accustomed accus-tomed to the idea that Mr. Roosevelt himself thinks only in terms of his own regime without time or other limitations, than an expression which seemed to indicate the opposite naturally nat-urally caused stir. However, It la entirely possible that Mr. Roosevelt win not be a candidate can-didate In 1M4. There are even those who enjoy making rash prophecies wtae are already laying he has made up his mind not to run at an under any circumstances. This type of prediction is accepted in Washington Washing-ton as being In that elass of guesses which have about a 40-60 chance of being right But closer observers who do not cheese to guess the President's inner thoughts but are thoroughly familiar with his manner of thinking, deduce, from what they believe la past experience, ex-perience, that he will not be a candidate can-didate if the war Is over by next spring. This is contrary to earlier prognostications that his desire to be President wWh' the blue-prints for the postwar world are being draws would incline him toward running for a fourth term. The explanation la that he win not run unless he has more than an even chance of winning. win-ning. End of Conflict Although none of the army or navy officers of the top command will allow al-low themselves to be quoted as saying say-ing the war win end early in 1944, a number of bolder and less constrained con-strained military folk are willing to say this is possible. It is Interesting to consider that a year ago this summer, when many believed that invasion of northern Europe by the Ames would be undertaken un-dertaken by the spring of IMS, few people were predicting, even under such circumstances, an end of the war early in 1944. Take for instance a typical comment In a leading periodical peri-odical (Harper's) written very little ever a year age In which It was said that Germany must complete the conquest of key positions in Russia, must halt or control the Anglo-American onslaught from the air, and must hold northern Africa for a sortie in the Middle East When we consider what has happened since, we can see'the progress which has been made. Far from any action in which the word "conquest" could be used, the Wehrmacht in Russia has been driven beyond its last Russian defense lines In many places. The dream of an African empire has become be-come the reality of bitter defeat and despite desperate defense measures, the most powerful air blows are being be-ing struck against the Reich. Japanese Situation Within the year, Japan's power has begun to crumble at a rate and In a manner which makes it plain that she will not have to be beaten back island by Island and every Jap on foreign soil killed. The Mikado's "unconquerables" have become exceedingly ex-ceedingly adept at getting away from points once expected to be last stands, with remarkable alacrity and apparent satisfaction in their own repeatability. Therefore, it Is not at an Impossible Impos-sible that the President, If he Intends voluntarily to retire with the end of the fighting, means that he will be B R I E F S . . Uncle Sam's fighting sailors, guarding aa island outpost to the Pacific, conducted a third war loan drive of their own and bought 658 $29 bonds and one $100 bond. Twice as many bobble pins and hairpins, necessary feminine Items, ; wiU be produced during 10-14 as at i present, under a recent War Pro- ' duction board action "out of the White House" at his own behest, before the ides of November. Novem-ber. "44 This situation. If It does arise, Imposes Im-poses an Interesting problem for the Democrats. It is pretty generally agreed that the conservative element In the Democratic party has been gaining in power in the last months when the President bestowed positions posi-tions of key importance on the right wing of the party while many New Dealers faded into the background. When Vice President Wallace, whom it was taken for granted would be the President's choice as a successor, suc-cessor, was dropped and his activities activi-ties placed In the more conservative hands of Messrs. Hull, Crowley, et at, it was plain that the original New Dealers were being relegated to the rear of the hall. COP Attitude And while the burning highlights of the administration portrait are being be-ing toned down to more sober hues, the Republicans seem to be outdoing themselves in an effort to show that they can make use of the bright lexicon of youth as a reference work and select from it promising shibboleths shib-boleths who speak of action rather than reaction. Of course. Mr. Willkie does not speak for the Republican party but he has a following which his supporters sup-porters hope win be reinforced by disgruntled former New Dealers as well as others whose leanings, although al-though they have never been such that they could wholeheartedly support sup-port a Democratic regime, are still far enough left to demand the most progressive candidate offered under any other respectable banner. Meanwhile, of course, the President Presi-dent must, according to the Inviolable Invio-lable principles of politics, show no signs of intending to withdraw, since it is written that you can't control your party unless there is a fair chance that you are going to continue con-tinue to be its active head. Our political campaign of 1944 is bound to be affected by the tide of battle abroad. e General Arnold Explain On a mild day, with the Virginia countryside warm in the glow of autumn, and the Potomac sparkling in the sunlight, some SO newsmen-correspondents, newsmen-correspondents, columnists, radio commentators climbed up the wide stone steps of the river entrance to the famous Pentagon building. General Arnold, chief of America's army air forces, took his seat and began to talk. The gist of his words you have read. What he felt can only be guessed but he was faced with the proposition of "explaining the obvious" and he seemed lust a .little weary at the prospect Arnold is a pleasant but blunt-spoken fighting fight-ing man with wings and service ribbons rib-bons won in service. A few days before, he happened to listen to a commentator who was computing in dollars and lives and material the cost of the bombing raid of the great ball-bearing factory fac-tory in Schwelnfurt, Germany. The general was exceedingly Irked. What the commentator did not perhaps realize was the number of endless explanations of "the obvious" ob-vious" which General Arnold has had to make since we entered the war. And If Germany does crumble because her war effort la smashed, it wiU be Arnold's explanations as well as the bombs themselves that ought to get the credit If he bad not been able to "explain" "ex-plain" that American bombers could fly in sufficient numbers into the heart of Germany in the light of day and hit a target with the precision to destroy It we would never have chance to prove it could be done There were few In high places either here or in Britain who believed such an absurd, untried thing was practical. But he had his chance and proved his thesis. Then, when the experts were convinced, when he was beginning to swing into action, ac-tion, the public began to exclaim at the cost of his raids. That must have been hard to take. And so he sat for an hour reeling off figures, recounting details which wiU never be printed until peace comes and. most effective of all for the layman, showing the greatly enlarged photographs of the destruction destruc-tion those great daylight precision raids accomplished. . by Baukhage A Zurich dispatch to the Swedish newspaper' Aftonljdningen said that the loss of the Kuban area in Russia had deprived the Nazis of 50,000 tons of tobacco a year. e A census of the German people, the first since the outbreak of war In 1939, will be taken October 10, the Nazi home radio has informed the German people, WEEKLY NEWS ANALYSIS Tax Body Asks Higher Postal Rates; Coal Miners Offered New Pay Boost; Nazis Strengthen Defenses in Italy As Allied Forces Gather in Corsica Released by Wertern w rrnrr '! Labor leaders who conferred with President Roosevelt on wages sad prices included, from left to right la front row, William Green, AFL president; presi-dent; A. F. Whitney; Mrs, Anna Rosenberg, social security board; FhiUp Murray, CIO president, and Julias Emspak. Back row frem left te light: George Meany, Daniel Tobla and B. J. Them aa. ITALY: Dig In With the Nazis solidly entrenched in the mountains running across Italy 100 miles south of Rome, there were reports that Gen. Dwight Eisenhower was assembling forces in Corsica, possibly for a landing at the Germans' rear in northern Italy, or on the French Riviera. The mountains in which the Germans Ger-mans dug In form a double ridge and rise to heights of 2,500 feet along the sector occupied by Lieut Gen. Mark Clark's Fifth army. Because most positions blend wen into the landscape and the heights are rugged, rug-ged, experts saw little use of airplanes air-planes to bomb defenses effectively or armored formations to break up concentrations. The continuing flow of German reinforcements in northern Italy indicated in-dicated that the Nazis Intend to pin down the greater bulk of the Allied armies in that country, and make it the principal battleground of Europe. Eu-rope. HAWAII: Commander in Contempt When the army's commander of the Hawaiian department refused to Droduce two Ger- rTsT1? man-American cltl- show cause why the army should continue con-tinue to hold them on precautionary grounds. Federal Judge Delbert E. Metzger charged the commander with contempt and fined him 15.000. But when Judge JadgeMetsger Metzger learned that the army had released the two citizens, be dismissed dis-missed the order to produce them, and cut the commander's fine to $100. However, he refused to dismiss the contempt charge entirely. Under martial law in Hawaii, the writ of habeas corpus, requiring authorities to show cause why a suspect sus-pect should be held, had been restricted re-stricted to use in certain civil cases, although Judge Metzger had demanded de-manded its full application. At present pres-ent habeas corpus stands suspended in military cases, but can be utilized in strictly civil suite. LABOR: Raise for Miners Trimming the United Mine Workers Work-ers proposition for a $1.90 dally wage raise with compensation for underground travel time, the War Labor board offered John L. Lewis' UMW a $1.12H boost Under the WLB offer, miners would not be paid for underground travel, but would receive time and a half for 45 minutes of work over the regular 7-hour day. According to the WLB, the miners' earnings would Increase $1.66 daily for a six-day, six-day, 8H hour day. Meanwhile leaders of 20 railroad unions were preparing a strike vote among their 1,350,000 members, to decide on a walkout over dissatisfaction dissatis-faction of the government's award of wage increases of four cents an hour for the operating unions, and Economic Stabilization Director Fred Vinson's refusal to grant the non-operating unions an eight cents an hour boost HIGHLIGHTS TAXESr The excess profits tax on corporation will be increased to 85 per cent from the present rate of 80 per cent Representative Knutson, minority leader, predicts. MECHANICS: A critical shortage of fiutomobile mechanics is announced an-nounced by the Office of Defense Transportation. Training courses in this work are now In progress in 72 Cities. Newipaper Union. "NT ill if TAXES: Ask Higher Postal Rates With congress opposed to further Increases in income taxes, the lawmakers law-makers looked to other possible sources of revenue to help raise some of the 10 billion dollars requested by the treasury to bring total receipts to 50 billion dollars annually. Congress' advisory tax staff proposed pro-posed increasing the local postal rate to S cents; air-mall to TO cents an ounce;- money orders 10 to 37 cents; insured mail 10 to 70 cents, snd COD mall 24 cents to $140. The advisory staff also suggested raising the liquor tax to $10 a gallon; beer to $8 per barrel; wine to 3 cents to $1 a gallon; electric elec-tric light bulbs and tubes to 1 per cent of retail price; general admissions admis-sions to 3 cents for each 10 cents; bowling 20 per cent of charge, snd billiards $20 a table. In au, congress hopes to raise ltt billion dollars from the new levies. RUSSIA: Nazis Fight Entrapment Their Dnieper river line smashed below Kiev, the German high command com-mand strfved to pull hundreds of thousands of their embattled troops out of the huge noose charging Rus sian forces were drawing about them. In this sector, the Dnieper turns sharply from a southerly direction and runs almost 200 miles eastward to Dnepropetrovsk. The Germans established a line along these 200 miles of river front, and then organ lzed a defense from Dnepropetrovsk southward some 125. miles to the Sea of Azov. By slashing through the German lines along the eastern course of the Dnieper, the Russ threatened the whole Nazi line strung to the south from Dnepropetrovsk. To escape entrapment en-trapment the German high command com-mand began withdrawing its troops. DRAFT: Would Take Dads Last Moving to draft dads last congress con-gress passed a bill which would require re-quire Selective Service to induct all single and childless married men throughout the entire country first before fathers would be called by any board. Incorporated In the same bill I which went to the senate for con sideration were provisions which would: 1. Eliminate the War Manpower commission's classification of "essential" "es-sential" industries offering temporary tempo-rary deferment; 1 Require all deferments defer-ments to be reviewed by appeals boards within the district where the employee works; 3. Establish a medical commission to consider change of army and navy physical standards. 'HELLCAT': Navy's Newest Latest American plane to sweep the Japanese before it in Southwest Pacific skies is the navy's Grumman Grum-man Hellcat fighter plane. Powered by a J.OOO h.p. motor, the Hellcat travels over 400 m.p.h., can climb to 35.000 feet and has s range of over 1.500 miles. With a wlngspan of 42 feet; 10 Inches and an overall length of 33 feet 6V4 inches, the Hellcat is a single sin-gle seat, low wing, all metal, folding wing monoplane, designed to operate from an aircraft carrier or land. th te week $ newt a a WHISKEY: An Increase of 30 cents quart, and W cents a nfth' has bem authorized by the Office of I rire Adrrvnistration. It applies to ! blended v. hiskey containing Imported Jjculral spirits. I'MU KWEAR: A shortage of un-, un-, tli rwc u i- impending, says Roy Che- y- ! r u-nt of the Underwear In stitute He blames lack of factory wurktrs SOUTHWEST PACIFIC: Work on Jap Bases Pnntiniiinff to blast at Japanese out- imnpriins further U. S. ad vances in the Southwest Pacific, American airmen returned to Ra-baul Ra-baul and Kahili and showered the two big enemy air and sea Dases with hundreds of tons of bombs. A result of rjersistent U. S. bombing, it was reported that the Japs have been making little use of their air fields of Kahili in the Solomons. Solo-mons. Once the center for enemy rraft harassing U. S. nositlons in the southern Solomons, Kahili has shown little life as American airmen swept over to plaster runways and instal lations. Hpavilv nrreened bv fighters, near ly 5" four-motored Liberator bombers bomb-ers spearheaded the latest blast at Rabaul, which has served tne japa-nfnf japa-nfnf aa a feeder noint for supplies for their troops battling in New Guinea and the Solomons. As a result re-sult of recent raids. It was reported more than 800 enemy planes were knocked out. PEACE PLANS: Debated in Senate In the hush of the historic old senate sen-ate chamber, silver-haired Senator Tom Connally (Texas) arose to his feet in his long black coat Glancing slowly about he began to read the foreign relations committee's resolution reso-lution defining the principle of America's co-operation with other nations for preserving peace in the postwar world: "... The United States acting through its constitutional processes, Join with free and sovereign nations in the establishment and maintenance mainte-nance of international authority with power to prevent aggression and to preserve the peace of the world." When Connally sat down the senate sen-ate opened debate on accepting the resolution. Some senators charged the measure invited U. S. formation of an alliance with individual countries coun-tries for action against threatening powers, and they demanded adoption adop-tion of a broader resolution calling on the U. S. to Join a world organization organiza-tion which could enforce peace through use of military police. Blood Flows Backward Although three-montb-old Marilyn Mari-lyn Stewart's heart Is so constructed con-structed that the blood circulates backward, she has been faring weU. Pictured above In her mother's arms, tiny Marilyn's case has baffled doctors, whe say that her condition la contrary to the ordinary ordi-nary structure of life. FUEL: Coal SuddIy Wjj jmww" mil ' WW'a,.'i'p'i w i ' , ' frVOa i ''L. J halted, and 4 Ample replacement callable machinery is available. Although production slumped 350.-000 350.-000 tons In the week of October 16, the institute said, output still was 150,000 tons higher than the same period laii year. Oil Sources To keep pace with the rising rate of crude oil withdrawal, the U. S. must bring in a 30,000,000 barrel field every six days, Col. Ernest O. Thompson of the Texas railroad commission declared. Although the nation has an unused capacity of 200.000 barrels daily in west Texas, Colonel Thompson said the United Nations have a reserve of 991,389 barrels daily. Of this, the British empire possesses 422,123 barrels, bar-rels, chiefly in Iran, and Latin America has 569,246 barrels, mostly in Venezuela. At present Colonel Thompson declared, de-clared, the British empire is supply-ing supply-ing 845,800 barrels daily, and Latin America 1,015,035 barrels daily compared with U. S. production of 4,000,000 barrels daily. VETS: Offer Job Training . Vocational training, fur veterans of the present war who may be, UI1. able 16 find e'mplo'yment'whon thev return, will be provided at cvi.rn ment expense,, the Veter.n.s' istration announces. Courses up to four yr.rs w.n ,, given, and increased (, . ,,,, v '., be paid while the ex , rv ., ,-,,' in fclioel A single r, ;, 1Vi'; . ' $80 a mouth, a num..,' ,J t . " $5 ,tor each depeiKlot.t ,!;,)' ' U. S. coal stock, total a record T, hT P 100.000,000 tons, of which 15.000.000 tJhL 7w " ' tons are stored in basements, the L.1 5 VT" J" Bituminous Coal Institute declared lit t ' Further, the institute said, produc0, "e-World-Unanlmos-tlon goals of 600.000.000 ton, of coal ' " DuC" J for 1943 wiU be met if: 1. There are L m ,lvinf no more strikes; 2. Absenteeism can J Jf N"U ' ' ' be reduced; 3. Drafting of miner. 1. Lj"1 ?e!111J' went to gj Notes of an Innocent Bystander: The Magic Lanterns: Mary Martin, Mar-tin, already topping the newest stags bit "Venus," presides over a daffy dllly on the screen caUed "True to Life" . . . "Phantom of the Opera" gives you more opers than phantom this time, with Nelson Eddy. Susanna Susan-na Foster and Jane Farrar pouring it on vocally. Claude Rains Is the hesd skulker, but his chills run second sec-ond to the triHi . . . "Behind the Rising Sun" is grim stuff about the war against the Japs. Its bsrbari-ties bsrbari-ties were authenticated by Correspondent Corre-spondent James Young, who lived among the beheaders for years. Margo and Don Douglas are the pair who stir up the Japs' furies. The Dials: The AFL urged NBC to muzzle Kaltenborn because of his severe Jabs atlabor unions. The network, however, permits him to continue expressing his opinions freely, even if they irk you or me . . . The best snswer to any oral attack, as the AFL probably wiU agree, is not suppression, but facts. When dvU Uberties go down the drain so wifl labor's ... We thawt only columnists took bows for scoops. But every hour, via its radio offerings, the N. Y. Times announced Its beat in reporting that Italy would ' An nrminT . Fred I uciattv " " ... i Waring likes to hurl numbers around Ion his show how many perform ers, etc. He announced no piano keys for a selection. How many piccolo pic-colo holes? . . . Jsck Benny's new corps of writers csught his style sdmlrsbly on Jack's first out snd added a little more lunacy . . . The other nlcht a band came on the sir : unaecomnanied bv that claquey hand-clapping and synthetic cheer ing. Or could I hsve Just dresmed thatT Memos of a MIdnighter: MGM has Junked "They Were Expendable," a best seller I . . . Jockey Nick Wall and his wife have reconciled after a long sep . . . Insiders think that If I Durocher is dropped as Dodgers' pilothis pi-lothis successor msy be the gent I who once said: "Is Brooklyn still in itfas National League?" Bill Terry ... "Lassie," the dog star (of the ! film by that name at the Music Hall), I Is a him real name is PaL The owner sold him for $10 . . . After i seeing the preview in BTwood he csme out muttering: "I've thrown away a fortune!" . . . Garbo has glven'in to Ernest Pascal's pleading to go to London and star in Shaw's "St Joan." Frem the Irish Echo: "Premier De Vslera of Eire succeeded, after considerable time and effort, in making mak-ing Hitler pay for the restoration of a synagogue in Dublin which had been destroyed by Nazi airmen when they bombed the city a couple of years ago. Mr. De Valera acted in fulfillment of a promise to the Jews of Eire that their lives and property would be protected by the government govern-ment against the acts of any enemy of the country." Quotation Marksmanship: A. Murray: Mur-ray: She's the only one I know who always seems to rhumbs into a room . . . Mere: Beauty is the first present pres-ent nature gives to woman and the first it takes swsy . . . Denham -.Vta.f I- lit- - 4 f .. .. .. n"!. ol. v, SZT; ' ' " Broun: She balanced her dignity on we up or aer nose . . . Confucius If you lose your temper, you've lost the argument . . . Anon's definition of Intoxiested: To feel sophisticated and not be able to pronounce it ' Private White House polls show Wallace has twice the support for the vice presidency as the combined vote of an his opponents. Including J. Byrnes, P. McNutt, Mr. Justice ' ninani ... A Capitol Capi-tol correspondent Is in a Jam with colleagues for supposedly making re-marks re-marks to their wives . . . The Stork Club has gone high-toued. Last night its guests included America's fa-nwus fa-nwus poet Joseph Auslander. end Assistant Secretary of State Adolf A. Berle Jr.. and his wife . . . In tte film, "Spitfire." th, taU Leslie . Howard (who perished in a plane) ssys: "What's the use of Inventing planes? They only kin peoplsl" iv." ' hn K ot 1119 Ttm, "cords this nifty: "Washington is a place where everyone is welcome but no one is missed." ! His chums enjoy relating this about lovable Barney Baruch. whose ' . . . Birucb Is hard of hearing and wear, s device which is connected with ,om. dry batterie, concealed In a coat pocket. These batteries .re bard to get nowadays-so when Ba-ruch Ba-ruch is buttonholed by . bore or ome timt-waster. he reaches into Wi pocket and-disconnects the bat-torles bat-torles by merely pushing the "Off" bre keePJ "v' way. but Baruch doesn't hear . -1 VOUB home w juu; rw in were J v j Iter way of showing yo jj beauty than by making tbl crocheted spread. The pmj design, gracefully arrw squares, lends itself equifoi to cloth or smaller accssjJ Pattern 748S containj InitntJ square; Illustrations of jtitctac! needed. Due to an unusually Urt aJ current war conditions, slifhth is required In filling orders SrT the most popular pattern w ' nroi imnf A i n Sewlac Circle Ntedleenl)-117 Ntedleenl)-117 Minn SL Su Fraacfc Enclose 19 cents (plus oh cover cost of mailing) No. Name Address rviomtri, ttef young dakldrt cold-be onfcD and relieve te1 without doi out upsettiBf tk ruo vicKS vapoKut) on tlx fa chest and back. It is whatnot: mothers do because VspoR-sr. direct two ways at ona-as1 ar on working tor hours to bnaf i. to ease coughing-relieve nat soreness or tightness and kne ful, comforting sleep. Often byar ing most of the misery of gonel Try It tonight J When you see how VtpoRat; lieves distress of children's oil should understand whyttbfca known home remedy oftttkUs; world. It's just as tY good for grown-ups, if v) too. Time-tested Vvan Our Highest FiHi Highest waterfall in Aoerc Yosemite falls in Califonx) plunges 2,600 feet down I P cliff in three giant lest $ from this cascade freeieiM ter to form a white tdsxsH ice 500 feet high at the toot t falls. J "Ts rsflers distress sf KCJiT, 1 iff u Lvdla r Flnxham'i D'S Vt pound is made tsptciaUtl to help niter t aerlodle s ak. Snd. ncrtou. aiw ' du to functional turbanecs. Takm wslarty-Plaxhtsrt" pew4 halpa aulld P atainaa such symptom. 1 proSuet that AIP sffLI that's the kind to burl atonal a eantary. TbosMav tneutaDds of women te wjjf baMflta. Follow toatl Worth tnfintl -p Vanilla Oft m Ma - vanilla which we used from Madagascar. Give good-tastWj many doctors!- promote, proper WZii. dtee-lCoiu2 VHanunsmentsc&Jt Mothsr-givs o jjrT i a .unrf BUT rfXIft No. :im 1 Sl'ijlilli J HHP Mi J |