Show ES H A AS ASIAT I ANT LEAD lA N II Al l TM AW V VOTE T 1 Making g Slight I I Gains ains While Safety t of Republican Ticket i Narrows arrows Considerably I I ICE ACE CE IS CLOSE ONE I where Is There a Suggestion Sug Sug- estion of Landslide or 1 I r Anything Approaching j fit t Canvassers Declare I Ik I i Telegram Special pe lal News Sen r Ice i NEW NEW V YO YORK K Oct I. I 15 Sun j ji I jj i The The New York Heralds Herald's it at t political poll iolI published l to- to I J sa says s 1916 fay by byThe The he New NewYork York raid Company all rights reserved I I harles E E. E Hughes Hu maintains ains' ains a sl slen- slen I lead ad in the race for fot U the resI- resI cy Icy resident Wilson has made slight as ns S. S The ie margin of safety safeLy for the I la n ticket has narrowed considerably ce the Heralds Herald's canvass started but butI I as shown by the I J L. L 03 straw votes oles are that if an anIn In were held today the norm normal l ji bUcan strongholds probably I j id roll up pluralities just large larges s I ough gh to give Mr 1 Hughes a majority e electoral college I e changes during the last week f liless jre less marked than during the pre- pre ous us week A 4 tRACE BRACE is CLOSE L E ONE f. f riom om all that hal can be gleaned at th this s r nt the tle Rep Republicans ans are at a stand- stand II 11 and President Wilson is going Tead catl l slowly The race Is a close one I ere is there a suggestion of or a a. or 01 anything approaching it f Conditions are such that it would j I J hazardous now with the straw vote yote I t incomplete to make nake a are e man many in in- that the moun mountainous R ID pluralities fit or the McKinley l I o velt elt and aM Taft years are dangers danger- danger s y threatened On the other hand president is holding his own with SO m the c strIctly Democratic tern tern- 17 I Y and nd Is apparently certain to get getch en ch states tates as Tennessee Kentucky Kentuck I 9 and Oklahoma ip in each of or orl I itch l ich h the Republicans believed helleved a aj j ort rt time ago they had a fighting nee nee o or OJ considerably better bettel FOUR OUR DECIDING STATES Th h states sLates of or New York Illinois lI and ancl Indiana will beyond all ques- ques the election Any one of tin may I I Th straw votes and the Inquiries de by hy correspondents for the Her Her- at this writing that Her Mr has the better of the tho situa- situa Mn New Ney york Illinois and Indiana JU tiit tt i is ib A tossup in Ohio All the tie are In doubt doubt- Illinois was presumed by the n TS ns to be 10 overwhelmingly ly 1 conceded b by the Democrats to yer r to Il go ao strongly for Cor I ghei and Fairbanks s has begun to toYe toso Ye he c n 1 so far as the straw vote yote I clo epes es favor or the president because I his peace program The male elenI ele- ele Int nI of or the electorate is in a large I Jonty for tor the Republican ticket U-he U the attitude of the women voters whom there are Or a half halt million InI in- in I I Continued on page alc 6 6 HUGHES HAS SCANT LEAD IN NATION NATIONWIDE S. S WIDE POLL S Continued from page paRe 1 a distinct note of uncertainty In Inthe Inthe inthe the situation there i NEW YORK IN SPOTLIGHT New York Tork perhaps enjoys enjo's the spotlight spotlight spotlight spot spot- light more than any other state Conditions CondItions Conditions Con Con- there remain about the same as last week The president from present straw vote Indications will have a small plurality small plurality small by comI comparison com corn parison In In New York City and Mr lI Hughes will have a also small small also by I comp comparison pl rison-pl plurality upstate and calculations calculations cal cal- calculations made from the straw votes taken throughout the state indicate In Indicate Indicate In- In I that Mr Hughes will have the forty five electoral votes of ot this perI perhaps perhaps per per- haps vital commonwealth I In the total of ot votes taken toda today Mr 1 Hughes has a plurality over the president of In the thirty five states which figure in the front page table of ot the Herald I to today 13 Mr Ir Hughes has a a. majority In eighteen and the president In seven seven- teen S v J S HOW STATES STAND The Hughes straw vote rote states stats a ase e New Kew Jersey Deleware Maine New Hampshire Vermont Ohio Indiana Illinois Il Illinois Il- Il Iowa Michigan Nebraska Kansas Kansas Kan Kan- sas sac North Dakota Oregon Orgon Wyoming California Nevada and New Kew Mexico The Wilson Vilson states are New York Connecticut Maryland Massachusetts Rhode Island West Vest Virginia Kentucky Wisconsin Missouri 01 Oklahoma lahoma Minnesota Min Mm- South Dakota DakotaS Washington Idaho Montana 1 Colorado and Arizona In none of the states with the ex exception exception ex- ex I of California Califor ia is there anything anything anything any any- thing like Ie a large margin between th votes for Cor the two nominees California Califor Califor- nia out of a total of votes gives Mr Hughes a plurality of or The northern part of ot the Golden state leans heavily toward the Democracy while the southern and central parts c 01 the state stare are for tot Mr Ir Hughes and Mr rr Fairba Fair Fair- ba banks ks There seems not to be the slightest doubt that California will roll un UD a avery aver avery I ver very large plurality for the Rep I cans can thus ass assuring the thirteen electoral elec elec- toral oral votes of that state to the ticket CLOSE IN OHIO In Ohio out of a total of votes Mr Hughes leads b by the delicate margin margin marin mar mar- gin in of ot A great many of ot the Ohio votes have been taken In Cincinnati which Is presumed to lean strongly toward the Republicans and no votes in Ohio have havI yet been ben obtained in ip Cleveland which has a distinct loaning lining toward the president Ih lb whatever way one surveys the Ohio situation itIs it itis is a close state state far far too close to warrant war war- warrant ra rant a prediction at this h time 1 at The president in n nat the straw n votes tes takI taken taken tak tak- en since the last publication n has more more I than held his own and is very evident- evident I Iv h stronger there as he Is In a gr great at many many oth other r sections of ot the country than his party On the other hand Mr lr Hughes is not proving to be the magnet magnet magnet mag mag- net among the Buckeye Buckee farmers he was expected to be He lIe Is weaker than his party in the state and that contrasted contrasted con con- contrasted with the exceptional strength of or the president among the workers inthe Inthe in inthe the great industrial great industrial industrial- centers of ot Cincinnati Cincin Cincin- nati Toledo Cleveland Dayton Akron and Youngstown brings the two nominees nominees nominees nom nom- very close together |