Show I f I NEWS I B TIlE N W By PAUL 9 Released by Western Newspaper Union unton PRESENT STATUS OF PRESIDENTIAL I I RACE ItACI WASHINGTON The The Gallup pot claims Roosevelt lending leading by a n sepal margin These commercial polls generally In the past have noted presidential races about even until two or weeks before the real rea 1 vote V counting A magazine poll of the politico I experts In the Washington Press Pres corps Indicates a rather stronger ex I a h it Victory I This reflects reflect i think the I disbelief that anyone could enl evet II beat Mr Roosevelt the natural sports notion that nearly always alway makes the champion the favorite Generally the public cannot con conceive of a n champ losing as he has haj never lost before Yet rt the Inside In unquotable re 11 reports ports of the congressmen from fromback hack bark home actually give Dewey newry De an even ln or better chance to win as matters stand today Discard all Republican reports ai as these might be partisan Consider only those of Democratic legislators They have been so discouraging as to alarm and even embitter the Demo Democratic erotic cratic political lenders leaders who are urging urging ing the President to drop his non nonpartisan nonpartisan nonpartisan partisan campaign and start a partisan one and one and he will Septem September ber 23 The spearhead of the fourth term movement was the CIO CIO political action committee and all the politicos can see Its effectiveness has been dulled if It not splintered Then The other unions and some CIO unions would not stand for it Wagering odds have dropped from to 1 on Roosevelt to 0 5 to 10 5 in inthe inthe inthe the best racing circles Take Maryland which always ha has been bern listed as a sure sure-Roosevel sure Roosevelt state Today there Is a n Democratic Democrat cloakroom saying possibly over overdrawn drawn but nevertheless significant that Only Senator Tydings and his hI secretary think Maryland is going Democratic These two claim th the Roosevelt majority would be today but Roosevelt carried Mary Maryland Maryland land four years ago by I know a n southern Democratic leader lender who thinks Dewey will win winand winand and is making preparations accord accordIngly Others insistently list Texas Mississippi and Virginia as doubtful There are lire reports that tho the Roose Roost Roosevelt veil velt Bremerton speech in the news news' newsreels reels received little or no applause generally while the campaign pic pie pictures pictures tures of the Dewey family were well received Democratic leaders are art arenow arenow now taking care of this deficiency and within the past week Roose Roosevelt Roosevelt velt applause again has appeared r r in-r- in the movie w r-w r. r f r theaters 0 r- r ro L' FARM VOTE LOST LOST All reports agree the farm vote vot votis is lost beyond redemption and th the business vote for Roosevelt wa was damaged by the departure o ci 01 little businessman Nelson and big bl businessman Wilson from In It favor of at a TVA engineer Earlier a considerable portion o othe ot the business vote and possibly all al althe the top financial vote would have hav gone to Roosevelt on the spending recovery promise plus inter nationalism On the other hand New England Eng I ng- ng land is still classed as largely doubtful by Republicans al although at al- although though Dewey newey has gone irone a long longway longway longway way toward satisfying the Wilt Will klc kle elements there Probably experts r to come tome out for Dewey Ih we just ju t before election as ashe ashe ashe he did dill on the eve er of or the elec elec- election election tion of 1942 In New York These developments as a n whole may explain Mr Roosevelt's deci decision ion sion to make a labor speech in Philadelphia and follow with others After all votes were cast against him four years age for him und and all symptoms symptoms toms of sentiment suggest this op opposition opposition position has been bren greatly enlarged These are arc nearly as many manyas as elected him president In 1933 1937 ills His totals in 30 36 and andIC IC ran Now many man a campaign has been won on Labor L bor day only to be lost 1051 i h months later on Election day I 1 Winkle Willkie for Instance was wasU wasFI su I U linger unger at this stage of the th race four years cars ago than when the 22 22 votes were cast for him himI him I have ha seen Mr Roosevelt com completely completely turn over a campaign situ situ- situation situation atlon stacked mountain-high mountain against him He lie has been more clever as a campaigner than in any other othet phase of his duties Yet nothing which has developed so far in this campaign yet points to that out outcome come again To date the Dewey campaign has hat been be n by far the smarter Anyone who thinks this brief citation cita citation tion is not objective reporting is merely deluding himself There exists in this country a silent strong opposition to Mr Roosevelt a are re resentful resentful opposition which is not in indulging much in political debate which may not show Itself at pout political ical teal meetings or in press reports I think the fourth term will wm be gravely in doubt until these votes are counted Republicans are sit sitU tine U back waiting i r tJ tw r A |