Show Washington jt X J I V ii J. J t tt t I I 11 Gl o. o Wp The Washington The arrival ll o of the first robin does not guarantee the Immediate The Smith al of spring but Bolt Bold when the first robin robI rob- rob I in jn is observed folks generally consider that there is little left of winter An out and out bolt boIt by an individual in party part politics poll poll- tics likewise does not guarantee important defections but like the arrival of the early robin an individual individual indi indi- vidual bolter i if he be a man of consequence has a story of its own to tell A bolt boIt In party politics never attracts attention unless the tile I bolting individual is of some consequence consequence consequence con con- sequence and therefore has a personal personal personal per per- following Thus it is that when we observe a n bolt by a nationally nationally nationally na na- known Individual from irom his lifelong political affiliation we im im- immediately mediately understand its cance The scope of this significance significance cance however is the thing that concerns nc us Nearly everyone knows mows now that former Gov Alfred Allred E. E Smith of New York Democratic Presidential nominee In 1928 has made known that he cannot support President President President Pres Pres- ident Roosevelt for re They know now as well that the four tour other individuals who asked the Democratic National convention to push Mr Roosevelt aside and nominate nominate nom nom- mate a Democrat can be classified as US important individuals along with Governor Smith No one dare say that former Sen James A. A A A. Reed of Missouri former Governor Ely of at Massachusetts Bainbridge Colby Colby Colby Col Col- by secreta secretary of state in Woodrow Wilsons Wilson's administration and Daniel F. F Cohalan one time tune Tammany Tammany Tam Tarn many chieftain are unimportant in politics They have consistently figured In Democratic party coun cowl councils I and thus it becomes apparent apparent ent eat that these five robins presage something more than just their own ono departure from the ranks of Roosevelt supporters I 1 make this statement notwithstanding notwithstanding standing the declaration by James A. A Farley that he would not dignify dignify fy their statement with a reply Of course Mr Farle Farley as Postmaster I General Chairman of the Domo- Domo I cratic National committee Chairman Chair Chair- Chairman Chairman Chair Chair- man of the New York State Democratic Democratic Demo Demo- Democratic cratic committee and delegate to the Democratic National convention convention convention conven conven- tion necessarily was a very busy man at the time tune the Smith statement statement statement state state- ment reus refusing ng support to President Roosevelt was released for V cation Nevertheless I am in a position to know that the Smith statement threw quite a scare into New Deal ranks Frankly they did not rat like it How much they do not like the Smith statement remain remain- to be seen lieen I believe that no one can forecast exactly how much strength this group can pull away V VV from Mr Roosevelt in the November November November Novem Novem- ber election Much will depend upon their personal activities henceforth If men like Smith and Jim Reed and Ely take te the stump If they they go out onto the hustings and actually campaign for Gover Gover- G Governor vernor ver- ver nor Landon the Republican nominee nomi nominee nomi- nomi nee it seems to me obvious that such campaigning will damage the Roosevelt cause materially The Smith defection becomes themore the themore themore more Important in my opinion because because because be be- cause it occurred Lemke almost z Third Party with the development development de des of a third party under the leadership of Rep William Lemke of North Nor Dakota This picture may not b be e entirely clear to everyone It i is s substantially this Lemke and his colleagues are attempting tc tt draw t together the extreme radicals th the e leftist n groups The bulk of these thes e win Will come from irom the me Democratic party i if the Lemke organization develops develops develops de de- de- de any particular strength The Smith group represents the conservative or rightist element In mV the Democratic party Thus Titus we wesee wesee see Eee detraction from the Roosevelt strength on two sides V I do not mean to say here that the combination of these circumstances circumstances circum circum- stances will insure President Roosevelt's defeat defeat- Anyone who would Rould make such a declaration at this time demonstrates his lack of knowledge of political maneuvers What I am seeking to show however however however how how- ever is that robins have arrived in inthe inthe the back yard and in the front Y yard of the New Deal party and if the leaders of the two obstreperous groups engage viciously in this campaign the time tune may come when Mr Farley will recognize their Importance There already has been evidence of the in influence of the Lemka Lemke radical radical radi radio cal segment I think everyone V agrees that the announcement of the third party's organization vitally vitaly vital vital- ly y affected the type of platform that was written in Washington and adopted by the Democratic convention conven tion at Philadelphia From many sources comes information that the Democratic platform was made much more liberal some liberal some critics describe it as more socialistic socialistic- SOCialistic SOCialistic-I than would have been the case had V Representative Lemke stayed out of the Hie political picture He nas thel the I l- l I backing of Father Coughlin tl the Detroit radio priest and his national nation national nation nation- al union for social justice an and h hhas ho he hohas has the backing of the remnants remnant of ot the late Hue Hucy Huey Longs Long's the share-the- wealth adherents In addition th the Townsend month a pension followers followers followers fol fol- lowers will be found behind Lemke to some extent I have observed these third party party par par- party ty movements many times before and usually they have hove failed to live up to expectations They nearly always have developed fights fight among themselves because the very nature of ol and the very reason n for their existence lies in their varied conceptions of what government government government govern govern- ment ought to o be or ought to to do Their sincerity precludes the them usually from irom compromise an and d when politicians refuse to compromise compromise compromise compro compro- mise their organization whatever it i it may be naturally disintegrates The European disturbances continue continue continue con con- apace It is a 1 situation thais that tha thatis t is extremely in in- Trouble and on one e in Europe that at probably w will unfold as th the e weeks go by In curious ways I Isa Isay sa say curious because to us in America Amer Amer- lea ica Jea it has been rather difficult to t understand the meaning of many of the maneuvers that followed the outright subjugation n of Ethiopia by br bythe bythe the power thirsty Mussolini of Ita Ita- ly Word that comes rather direct from inner councils in hi Europe indicates in indicates indicates in- in a tremendous fear on the part of Italy and France about German plans The British likewise likewise likewise like like- wise are arc displaying nervousness and the tile present alliances and combinations combinations combinations com com- of power existing in Europe Europe Europe Eu Eu- rope are none too stable It is just possible that Germanys Germany's Hitler may by his present activities force a new cementing of these alliances alliances al alliances al- al and ami understandings among other powers but at this time there is no mistaking the fact that Europe Europe Europe Eu Eu- rope outside of Germany is a bundle of nerves It seems that the basis for this nervousness nervousness is rooted in the clever scheming of Dr Hjalmar Schacht who is something of an economic dictator under Hitler Dr Schacht is a brilliant negotiator He understands understands understands un un- economics trade and md fi finance finance finance fi- fi nance as well as ns any man in Europe Europe Europe Eu Eu- rope today and when you couple such knowledge with diplomatic keenness you obviously have a man capable of accomplishing results Dr Schacht is employing the methods he be knows b best st namely economic understandings in making making making mak mak- ing new connections with central European power and the Balkan states These countries always have looked to England and France for protection especially since so many new states were created as asa asa asa a result of President Wilsons Wilson's ideal ideal- ism To see Dr Schacht cleverly and cautiously gaining good will among those peoples causes France and Italy and to a somewhat somewhat somewhat some some- what less extent Great Britain to wonder what is ms about to happen Those nations always have been nervous about German plans Probably the bulk of ol their fear was inspired by German silence and by the swift manner in which German moves have been mated However that may be the fact remains that none of the important Important Im mm- powers in Europe know what to expect as a result of the activities in which Dr Schacht Is Isnow Isnow isnow now engaged In the case of Italy an economic economic eco eco- weapon in the hands of Germany Germany Germany Ger Ger- many might easi- easi Italy Italy's 8 ly y prove disastrous Case trous because Italy Ita Ita- Ita- Ita l ly y virtually exhausted exhausted ex ex- ex- ex hausted her gold cold reserve in the late war and her government cannot cannot can can- not go goon on much longer In furnIshing furnishing furnish furnIsh- furnishing ing purchasing power for her peo peo- France has been able t tj open certain markets to the little entente entente entente en en- tente and to the Balkans and has In ill addition provided some financial financial financial finan finan- cial aid ald Thus when Dr Schacht pats the neighbors of Germany France and Italy quickly develop cases of jitters It seems that Austria and md Hungary Hungary Hungary Hun Hun- gary cannot depend fully on Italian markets bec because luse of the low gold reserve in Italy In the meantime as well France has een losing millions in gold as her own domestic domestic domestic do do- situation has been embroiled embroiled embroiled em em- broiled in hi a political whirlpool The Austrians and the Hungarians and some of the other central Europeans Europeans Euro Euro- Europeans recognize that unless France gets straightened out there willI will I not be purchasing power available there for their surplus produce So Dr Schacht is cultivating what whal appears from this distance to be bea a fertile field There is no Information from abroad at this time tim pointing conclusively conclusively conclusively con con- to early conflict of arms Yet there are those in hi a position to un understand European conditions and European psychology who think that a clash is not car nr ar off They recall the antecedents of the World war and it must be admitted that there is a n. strange parallel evident evi evi- dent today O 0 Vo western tera Union rs |