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Show I" (OUTLOOK IN ERIN DESPERATE, I NOTED LIBERAL EDITOR SAYS Fate of Treaty With Great Britain Awaits Upon Result of First General Election Next Friday . IB) A. G. GARniXiJR Britain's Greatest Liberal l li(or (Copyright, 1921; by The Stand.ud-Rxaminer Stand.ud-Rxaminer ) In this, his first dtejpatdl to tho Sunduy Stanclard-1 xaniliiLV. Mr. Gardiner, for many years tlo cui-toriol cui-toriol jjenlus of the Ixmdon Dally News, and a writer of brilliant attainments, at-tainments, draws a striking plr-turc plr-turc of the tense situation In Ireland Ire-land as affairs in tlie unhappy s-land s-land approach a eUmax. He discloses dis-closes some of the intninslBCnce of the Ornncemcii of l ister and predicts Hint Lloyil George, the nolitlcnl opportunist, will not permit per-mit himself to be drawn Into ft , campaign for Irish 'hl".tiona The Irish outlook admittedly is desperate. Do Valera threatens to overthrow Collins. The elecOoiW nct Friday are fraiurht witn grave. plbl,ltlflR- ,r- Garfllnr ex's dispatches will be a regular feature of the Sunday Standard-Esaminer Standard-Esaminer In the future. LONDON'. June 10 The outlook in Ireland Is desperate. The coming week wiU be the most momentous In Irlh history. Next Friday the first general . Section in the Irish Free State ia o be held. Upon its result depend, tte fate of the. treaty with Great Britain. England awaits developments with pfSTnd anxiety. Apart from the Inconsiderable In-considerable body of the die hards represented by the Mornine Post. English Eng-lish opinion overwhelming is desirous desir-ous of ft peaceful Issue. It accepted a treaty as a belated deliverance from a Srugtfo of Which It had srown , asbs lined lin-ed and will ratify it. If possible with relief and thanksgiving. If the Irish people could Rive a free verdict undoubtedly the treaty would be safe. They want peace the same U the English, and arc satisfied that lie treaty las a roundaticn for pe ice But the terrible events of past years have raised the spirit of anarchy in their midst. The fear of this terrorism terror-ism Is the reason why Collins made HIS pact with Do Valera for an agreed That Collins acted In good falih la unquestioned, but the compact with DeValertU who repudiates the treaty. denteS the. Irish people the liberty ireely to declare their opinion on the treaty and the proposed constitution, it Discussions are proceeding in London Between the British government and !' representatives of the Irish proUslonal f government on the subject of draft of I constitution. If It koe- s within the I treaty will Do Valera accept it? If not what follows the agreed election between two balanced parties which disagree on the vital Issue? The pact has partly collapsed. There is prospect of contests in 20 out of 27 . uf the member constituencies into which the free stato Is dlvldod. Inde-I Inde-I pendent candidates representing labor I and the farmers have been nominated I to oppose the Collins and De Valera I eandidatos. In Dublin the Lord major ei stands Independently as a supporter I of the treaty. But grave concern pre- Sj vails as to possible developments be- i twoon now and Friday. The atmos- 1 phcre is oharged with electricity and f the fear of violence Is acute. If the ! independent candidates poll a substan- j rial majority, tho mischief of the pact I 3 minimized because ror the most part I they are definitely pro-treaty or If I K they are freely elected the parliament f should be assured a balance on the I 1 side of peace. But nothing can be I forecast and It Is significant that while nj Do Valera has a walk over in Clare, Collins Is unopposed In County Cork, f Meanwhile the storm in Ulster is jj'l brewing. Belfast Is the constant the- atre of battle between Protestants and Catholics, and the slaughter is serious i The provocation here undoubtedly I came from the Orangemen who drove tho Catholics out of the shipyards No effective measures have been taken by the Ulster government to protect the minority and there is a feeling that the policy pursued is deliberately directed f to intensify mutual passions and com pel the British government to recant its paclflo policy and throve over the L treaty on the ground that it has been I dishonored and then return to the old task of reconquering Ireland. No oth- j er construction can be Dlaced upon the provocative proceedings in Ulster I and the demand for British troop". I Carson's elevation to tho Judicial J bench robbed Ulstermen of a hero and leader but a now hero emerged in the I sinister person of General Sir Henry Wilson, who Lloyd George made chief I of staff during tho war. He is an Orangeman of tho extremist type and f a militarist who scoffs at peace nny- i whero. He Is as dangerous as he .is I able and his entry Into the British ' parliament has given the "die hards" I a powerful and ruthless figurehead I around whom every Influence sworn Jl to destroy the free state gathers w There would bo no reason to fear 1 this if things were going well in the f free state, but anarchy there plays into the hands of the Ulster eonspir-fc eonspir-fc acy. It makes the English public lose 1 confidence In a settlement and Swings i the moderate opinion into tin- Ulster What of the British government" It has staked everything on the treaty and undoubtedly wishes to make It a , success. But the rank and file of the Tory party still Is anti-home rule, resentful re-sentful of the settlement and ready to 1 destroy it. I think undoubtedly Lloyd j George will flpht hard to defeat the j attempt to involve him In a reconquest , of Iroland. His volatile career brought him around again to liberalism. He is busy making his peace with his old followers. It Is Impossible t say where lie will bo six months hence, for the career of a political opportunist always al-ways Is incalculable. But at the moment mo-ment it would suit hi political book tn smash tho Tory party as ho smashed smash-ed tho liberal parly. For this reason we may relv on him fighting his hardest hard-est to "save the treaty. But the Issue is with the Irish themselves. They can savo the treaty if they want to save it. no- |