Show SEEN SEEN- find HEARD around round tho National Capital B 9 By Hy CARTER nELD 3 here that ar conviction C an n active M Herbert Is really y candidate candida te for the Republican nomination against President Roose- Roose nIt velt veit next year Is ls tilt the biggest comfort rt the New Dealers get out of the Supreme Su Suo preme court decision It I Is th the sifter lining to the constitutional cloud that put pat the New Nety Deal In the shadow hado That the Republicans would actually actual actual- ly Iy nominate Hoover Is too much friends of resident President Roosevelt elt say privately I to hope hole for Rut nut the mere candidacy of Mr Hoover er at the contention con con- would produce a fl feeling ling of It bit tilt comparable to that tha t which distressed dis dis- the Democrats after aCter Madison Square garden It would lack the religious re re- element and even eHn the prohibItion pro pro- element hut but It would be pretty prett bad the they tl tI and with fair All this Is bl based Ed of course on two factors either of which may mar change One Is that at present It appears likely like like- ly Iy the Issue of the next campaign will be rugged Individualism versus government government govern overn- ment control of wages hours and trade practices and planned economy to prevent prevent prevent pre pre- vent overproduction etc tte Or as the New Dealers prefer to state slate It the New Deal versus the old law of ot tooth and claw The Ideal candidate of the on such an Issue would have been Calvin Coolidge But nut Coolidge Is dead Mr Ir Hoovers Hoover's views as all to go government gov business s and every point Involved involved In In- fit him Ideally almost for the leadership of ot the opposition to Roosevelt Roosevelt Roose Roose- velt Also as the last President he Is the titular lender leader of his party But nut when that has been blen said for Hoover everything has been said In Inthe Inthe inthe the opinion of the New Dealers Deniers Ills weakness a as they see It It Is that he heIs heIs heis Is branded In the eyes ees of the countr country not only as a failure but as unlucky And the last Is almost worse than the first It pleases the Roosevelt lt supporters to recall that It was during Hoovers Hoover's administration that the public lost so much money mOlley and that so many lost their Jobs They point to the succession slon sion of ot events that led deeper Into the depression and call them a succession suc sue cession of Hoover mistakes Material Scarce Students of muss mass p psychology Insist that once the public mind Is frozen about a man It Is next to Impossible to thaw that conviction out It Just sticks there For example William Jennings Bryan DryaD The truth Is he had a fairly good chance of being elected President the first time he e ran Only the most adroitly managed campaign In history plus an enormous campaign fund plus Intelligent and ruthless operation co-operation with Republicans by employers of labor labor la la- bor defeated him Yet for some curious reason Bryan Dryan was stamped as a failure In the sight of the country Ills campal campaigns ns after aUer that time were Just Jokes As one of the Tammany orators said at Baltimore Baltimore Balti Balti- more In 1012 For Gods God's sake Bake Mr Bryan Hran get out of the way and give ghe the Democrats a chance The other factor that seems to point to Mr Hoover er Is the tile scarcity of other available Republicans One thinks quickly of Representative Representative former former Senator Sen Sen- ator ator Wadsworth Wadsworth of New York Vork But nut the forces opposed to him for one reason reason rea rea- son or another are still very strong In New York state Notably the old woman suffrage crowd and aud the more rabid of the prohibitionists So that many meny experts doubt If he could carry his own state state state-a a situation which has nothing to do whatever er with present Issues A canvass can of all the talked about Republicans shows none with any real strength all of which contributes to the theory that Hoover er can bring about his If he wants It Watch Business Business s Is to have a ten months trial period of ru rugged Individualism Indi Meanwhile It will be checked by an army of or Investigators the I the survivors of employees Under the directing of resident President and highly su suspicious eye Roosevelt fact furt finding as liS to overworked a and nd underpaid labor and kindred evils will proceed Then will come the decision If the experiment l succeeds succeeds succeeds-if lf If business busi i iness ness does docs not oppress employees if It prosperity goes gols forward If the country seems to 10 like operating without NItA NIC codes the codes the whole New Deal program for government direction of business In the Interest of the public at large I planned economy and all ail the rest of It will go out the 1 window If It the experiment falls and falls and Air Mr Roosevelt believes lS It will fall there fall there will be right on the eve of the Presidential election a New Deal program to supplant the law of the tooth and claw The probability Is that It will III take the form of a proposed constitutional amendment one which would give the federal gOl government control over hours and wages also trade on practices the theory that what happens In Bangor Bangor Ban Ban- an childrens children's school gor gOl a affects a the lunches In San 1 Diego Menace of Strikes Meanwhile with the Wagner labor disputes bill pushed through congress Inot not until after arter the Supreme court unworn announce decision did the tilt President his approval of this measure measure- ure It sees sea the situation situ situ- Itself as ir try indus will find 1 status Son atlon with the most provocative pro for tor strikes for many a atar year tar that no W false b hopes hores Warning 1 should Mould be entertained by the country as s to working conditions Is a cant guide to the Presidents President's attitude He LIe wants the Investigations of ot the corps of ot NUA employees reinforced by bl an arm army of ot self self appointed appointed scrutinizers He lie Is preparing the public mind for tor fora a change thane In la the Constitution to give ghe the federal government the powers loers necessary to make effective his New Deal policies higher wages shorter hours no big profits all aimed not only at better living standards for the lower strata but at Increased buying Power lower and planned economy under I government control aimed at prevent pre log ing overproduction understatement of the probable effects of ot requiring former code conditions on the part of or all having hay hav ing government contracts had bad two objectives ob ob- one one to provide a 11 constant contrast bel between what the codes would do If they were In legal effect the other other oth oth- er to prevent pre these same false raIse hopes Experts Kiperts believe 1 per cent cent the the figure figure fig fig- ure used by the resident President as the dollar volume of ot government go contracts to total total total to to- tal production production far far understates the actual ac ac- effect on employees Amendments are being drafted to the bill to provide provide pro pro- vide Olde tha that t no one lne can get a government contract who buys any of the materials materials mate mate- rials used from a concern not comply ing with former code standards Incidentally the government will be beIn beIn bein In a stronger position In enforcing these code requirements from government government gov gov- contractors than was even tn at lit the height of Its Us power For this time there will be bo law behind them so that the comptroller general general gentral gen gen- eral will wiil not lot be able able lawyers lawyers agree agree- to overrule 0 contracts on the ground that the specifications were not broad enough or that tb contract was not awarded to the lowest bidder As AI In Inthe Inthe inthe the automobile cases Dill Comments That President Hoose missed the boat as far as accomplishing his bis New Deal reforms when he be did not press for a constitutional amendment In la the spring of 1913 1033 Is the Interesting comment comment com com- ment on the present case of ot Jitters In Washl Washington by Senator Ex Dill of ot Washington Regarded as an advanced ad If It not extreme extreme ex ex- radical Dill who was one of the outstanding For Roosevelt Before Detore Chicago lenders leaders voted against A when It passed the s senate nate Later latter he hI began to have ha misgivings as 01 to whether he had made a mistake because he saw a number of advantages which grew gre out of It Rut nut he be contends It should have lune been allowed to die some sometime sometime sometime time back having ha served Its purpose Now the former senator declares If a constitutional amendment were to tobe tobe tobe be submitted granting the federal government government gov gov- the power to regulate minimum mini mum wages maximum hours and fair trade practices sought under the code cOIle system he would take the stump against ratification of such an amend amend- ment All of which Is significant In to conn connection con with a former dispatch atch In which opposition to such a constitutional constitutional change In Massachusetts Maine Vermont New ew Jersey Jersey- Maryland Delaware Delaware Dela Dela- ware wart Virginia and Georgia was out lined The truth Is It Is very difficult to pass any constitutional amendment over which there Is III a real nationwide battle Most people do not consider this Boldly coldly bernu because e several constitutional constitutional amendments have been passed In n the last few years without too much trouble i Amendment Fights Rut But ut lets let's take a look at those fights For Instance the first battle to put over the l Eighteenth amendment That should have been a real war But Dut It wasn't The fact Is that the wets gets ets Just regarded the whole thing as all a Joke until III enough sta states tes had rn ratified to tomake tomake make wake any remaining fight futile futile- Even then theD the stupid wets wet did dIll not fight light They began assuming that the Supreme court would knock It out I Which sounds crazy now but anyone In contact contact con con- tact with the developments de at that time either In New York or Washington Washing Washing- ton will remember its Us accuracy Then the repeal of ot the Eighteenth amendment Every thinking politician concedes that a real fight made b by the thedr's drys drs might have held 13 states against It d despite the then popularity of ot repeal repeal re reo peal and the Influence of President Roosevelt elt at the height of his power lower This may be disputed but the fact that outside the two Carolinas no 00 real fight was made to stop repeal cannot be The Che woman suffrage amendment Is often mentioned True there was ome some very sharp opposition to it nut But this opposition came from a very small minority and most people who actually actual actual- ly did not like like- the Idea contented themselves with private conversation There was as very little violent opP opposition opposition sl tion even en from the Ue minority opposed Whereas the militant minority In la fator favor fa fa- tor vor or was aggressive and persistent On the other oilier hand the Issue that would be raised by an attempt to change the Constitution so as 81 to give ghe the federal govern govern- it t the powers President Roosevelt Roosevell auld like the like the powers that the nil nh Jurists on the Supreme court Cl held It lacked at present pres pres- ent would pot would provoke a bitter battle In every try state In the Ul No state lIate would ratify virtually by 1 default as Maryland did the Eighteenth amendment amendment amend amend- ment though actually It was as 1 bo so 0 strongly strong strong- ly 11 opposed to prohibition that It would never pass ass a state enforcement law howl I Roosevelt elt counts very heavily on the nation cation wide organization with units in la every country which Jim Farley has built But the tremendous response to Senator Bombs Corah's radio talk a few y nights night a ago o shows that no fight to enlarge enlarge en en- lar large e federal powers at this time would be a push-over push I Service |