| Show II Where Where Will Japan Strike Next By WILLIAM C UTLEY for tor Americans Americana Eu- Eu Europe Europe A rope for Eurol Europeans and Europeans and eAns-and Asia for tor That Is the marching song fie fig figuratively of or the Japanese army In eastern Asia and the theme song or of orthe the drama of or Imperialism that Is unfolding today In the vast thea theA- theater theAter theater ter of ot the Far East To nil all appearances Its true mean menn- meaning mennIng ing lag In the eyes of ot America and Eu- Eu European European Eu European nations Is East Asia Asla at least for tor the Japanese The Time rapidly expanding power or of NIppon In East which AsIa Asia which for tor the present means China Is China 1 the the result ot of a nationalism which has been r 6 11 1 t f Jl v va i t by the Chinese and the assassination assassination tion of or two Chinese editors who had been friendly toward the Japanese policy polly The army of or Gen Cen GenYu Yu Chun Chung has withdrawn south Bouth of or the Yellow river and the Japanese army has moved In Japs Will Dominate W Whatever hat h a t eve e v e r government finally emerges emeres In the North China area It Is certain that It will be guIded by Japanese policy and expediency It Is doubtful however If It any kind kindor or of political union with will ensue for tor the two areas com com- combined combined In one would be a n package e mighty unwieldy to carry the Japanese believe that It will be easier casler to administer them sep sep- separately separately Under the provisions of or the Tang Tang- ku treaty of or two years ago China ChInn north of or the Yellow river has been declared a demilitarized zone zor but It seems the only demilitarization has haa been carried out by the Chi Chi- Chinese Chi Chinese nese Dese In moving mo to the south and west est The Japanese army Is still there and I Is completing occupation occupation occupation tion of ot the province of or which Is 18 rich In Iron ore oree ore This This i with the other three North China provinces hope Hopel Shantung and Shansi will unite to form a 11 new territorial unIt unit completely from the Chinese national govern government ment merit and distinctly favorable InIta In Its relations with Japan and Man Man- Ian Chinese coal and Iron Iron and the opportunity for cotton planting particularly In Hopel and Shan Shan rung tang rung have bue been the Incentive for tor formost formost most of ot the J Japanese action how bow however however ever eTer It Is pointed out that the loss or of trade In other parts of or China as a result may rosy offset onset these advantage advantages j adran-j I tares tage They become doubly Important I tant taut when It t Is 15 considered that i Great Britain America and other I powers may extend financial aid to Chins china Where Japans Japan's Imperialism and I n expansion will carr carry It next Is open for tor conjecture Japan la Is Is or was was I an Island aland empire and to Its south In the Pacific are many Islands Island In which It has bas enormous commercIal interests After Arter a statement like that we weta weIs wela ta Is America are prone to think m 5 I E R L Ld d fy L 1 A Af Arti f r 7 H III cli it Q NG 1 R F S o tN E suL suLf f R 1 8 1 I L 1 f j YANG 4 s I t S A Ai P Po o AMOY r CANT W r FORMOSA w l Japan Backs Demands In ChIna With Troops growing steadily with the civilization tion of or Its people and came to a lull full awakening with the realization ot of those people that they had h 1 ten away with the complete sub sub- subjugation of or Manchuria Ma the Increasing ever ever eyer- IncreasIng pressure of or a spIrited population to make male room for tor Its existence by enlarging Its bound bound- boundaries boundaries aries and the self-discovery self of or a peoples people's genius for making all manner man man- manner manner ner of ot commodities for tor which there Is a demand at a n cost low enough h to get the business Japan has conquered and Korea She has an nn eye It Is generally believed upon the islands Is- Is Islands Is Islands lands of or the South Pacific And site she has already established a virtual protectorate over oyer North China now tar far she will go and anU how soon are the answers to a n question which all the rest of or the world would give a cookIe to know v If H the Japanese have ha gained con con- control control control over oter the heathen Chinee they have ha certainly also bewildered him For while the Japanese mInistry or of foreign affairs shakes his hand with an attitude of or paternal be- be benevolence be benevolence the Japanese army sneaks up behind him and kicks himIn him himIn himIn In the pants Foreign Minister eulo eulogizes the Chinese leader Gen Chinn Chiang army leaders lenders Immediate immediate- Immediately ly dub lub him a fake ake and a n fraud III- III Ili rota III-rota rota honors China by making an embassy of or the Japanese legation In China the army Immediately declares de- de de declares clares dares Its It's all nil news to them While Japan on one hand speaks of or co cooperation co- co cooperation cooperation operation and the common good Ja Japan Ja- Ja Japan pan on the other hand goes rIght ahead with methods of or out and out coercion As an excuse for tor direct action the Japanese army cited banditry supposed to have been encouraged mediately of or the Philippines but butmore butmore butmore more Important to Japan are the Netherlands East Indies which Ouy y more goods from rom Japan than does even en China Japan has an nn an nn annual an- an annual nual balance of or trade with these hea heavily populated Islands that Ismore Is Ismore ismore more than In her favor As to the Philippines Philippine Japan make horrIfied gestures at the sug sug- suggestion sug- sug suggestion suggestion that her Interests there are anythIng but platonIc CertaInly although defending the the PhilippInes from Japanese attack would be n a size mans Job for tor America the Jap Japanese Jap- Jap Japanese anese would venture no aggressIon there so Ion long as the Islands are under the wing of American protection protection protection tion But Iut In 1945 19 Hi 5 according to the present agreement the Philippines will get their complete political In- In Independence Independence In Independence dependence With American dom dom- domination domInation domination will go the privilege of or free rree trade with the United States In fact during the next ten years the tariff on Philippine goods comIng Into the United States will be an- an annually annually an annually Increased If H the economIc burden becomes too great for the Philippines and and there are plenty or of those who say It will will the the Is Islands Is- Is Islands islands lands may be forced to enter some sort of or union that would give them trade advantages with another lar large e power That would be Japan Consider Russia It n must be remembered that there Is another great power which has somethIng to say about the reap reap- reapportionment reapportionment of or territory In East Enst Asia That power Is Soviet let Hussla with fighting men and a afar afar far superior air tor forte force e north of or Man Man- SIan and across the Amur river The conflicting alms of or these two powers was not so serious when Manchuria existed between them to absorb the shocks Now v their borders have haye moved right up agaInst one another Already border skir skir- skirmishes skirmishes skir- skir skirmishes allegedly provoked by Jap Jap- Japanese Japanese anese guns have ha caused vigorous protests from the Soviet let ambassador dor In Tokyo The Siberian army Is far better mechanized than the Japanese Its airplanes are modern and double the Japanese strength and the time Is Island Is- Is Island Island land of or Japan Itself Is la a perfect set set- setup setup setup up for tor aerial To offset this Japan will be mo moving moving ing from Interior lines and admin admIn- administration of or B n Japanese army cam campaign would be possible on a n much more concentrated basis balls for tor Si- Si Siberia Si Siberia beria berla Is on the outside of or a great curving northern frontier of or Man Man Man- Ian While Japanese re enforce ments merits could be moved mo In with com com- comparative com com- comparative celerity because of or the proximity of or the homeland and be- be because because be cause or of tar far superior rail rall faculties It lt would take a much longer time Ume for or the Red lied army to move mo replace replace- replacements replacements ments meats from Russia proper Into east enst eastern ern Siberia These replacements would have to come over one lone Jone railroad which Is la notoriously Inefficient cleat clent and easily susceptible to crippling by an enemy force The Tho Test May Coma Cemo Soviet Japanese relations may come a little more nearly to a head next year when new contracts willbe willbe will willbe be discussed to permit Japanese fishIng off ort the Siberian and Kam Kam- Kam coasts Only 10 per cent ot of the ash fish taken from the waters bit on communistic hooks books In 1027 1927 now half haIr of OC them do Perhaps the red bait Is more enticing At any rate Japan now v wanta wants to pay Its rental of ot fisheries In yen jen instead or of gold rubles and wants to base the rentals on the number of or fish actually caught By Dy consenting pence peaceably to the waiver of ot Its Ita ownership rights In Inthe inthe Inthe the Chinese Eastern rn railway II way Rus Itus Russia sin sia Indicated that It was wai willing willingto to let Japan have hue something of or a tree hand In The area which Is 13 three times Umes a u as large a as Japan Itself Is la now administered administered- and very ably too too too-by by the thc Japanese army of ot occupation The Japanese policy polley In Manchu Manchu- kuo kul has bas been constructive Rail Rail- Railroads Railroads roads road hue have been Increased In mile mile- age ae more than third one In three years These have all been Ileen built where they will make It easier to divert dhert to Japan much of or the traffic In goods which has lIas passed through SiberIan cities particularly Vladivostok rostok which now must depend al- al almost almost al almost most entirely upon Inland Siberia for or Its trade New v railroads planned for or construction will make even the far Car reaches of or readily accessible to Japanese commerce Japan also built miles of roads In In 1033 1933 and 1934 and schedules call for tor 2500 miles au- au an In the years to come Last year ear became Ja Japan's pans pan's biggest export market taking IS 18 per cent of or the exported goods The value of or these exports grew from more than yen en In 1931 to more than yen In 1934 1034 This has confronted Japan with a serious economic problem however for or It Ir exports of or goods to have grown so have exports of or capital Japans Japan's capital Investments there were yen In 1932 1032 yen en In HJ 1033 3 and yen en In 1934 1034 The cost of or military occupation In Man Man- Is about yen en an an- an annually annually A balance of ot trade will have to be effected If It Japanese Invest Invest- Investments Investments Investments ments are to be secure It Is not merely tons of or coal reserves and the areas area's Iron which Japan wants She Is honestly desirous or of maintaIning more peaceful and civilized civilized conditions In where the preceding rule was cor cor- corrupt cor- cor corrupt corrupt rupt and oppressive While she site has admIttedly Improved ed the country she Is not so popular with the na native na- na naUTe native tive UTe population probably because of her desire to acquire more high posts In the administration and In business than Is seemingly ly necessary necessary necessary sary America Chagrined Naturally America has lias been cha cha- chagrIned chagrined by the the Japanese Japanese abrogation ot of noval nova treaties and Insistence on naval Daval parity and has been offended by the Japanese policy of ot forcing out foreign oil companies In Man Man- We Wo along with Great Grent Brit Brit- lint lint- Britain ain and other nations have been provoked at her Interference In ChIna and visualize the suffering ot of our trade But nut Americans have only about Invested In ChIna Great Grent Britain has six times ns as much Japan a little less than Great Britain Our export sales to China In 1933 amounted to nearly or approximately 3 S per cent of or our total exports We exported worth of or goods to Japan lathe In Inthe inthe the same year If 11 we were to go towar to towar towar war with Japan the value of or our ChInese export business would van van- vanIsh vanish ish In no time The e expense pense would paral paralyze ze Japan economically and destroy our best customer In Asia The Japanese e people are probably much more excited over our recent naval maneuvers In the Pacific than we are over their policy In AsIa Influenced by a press which speaks only with the voice of or Tokyo they feel teel that we plan to carry out our lar Easters Eastern policy with wills an armed force and that the fact that we do de- demand domand de demand mand a stronger navy Davy than Japans Japan's Is evidence that we want to be equipped to carry carryon on an nn offensive In the Ole Pacific and have no Intention Intention intention tion of or fostering world peace by limitation of or armaments Japan with her withdrawal from the League of or Nations and her abro abro- abro abrogation abrogation gation gatlon of or armament treaties las JUlS openly showed her disgust and dis dis- disInterestedness disinterestedness interestedness In iii European affairs and her Intention to devote her ac- ac entirely to Asia But Dut sho cannot forget torget Europe I entirely be ba- because bp cause of or the Interests of or European nations particularly Great Britain In her vicinity More than anything else Japan fears an AtI Anglo American lo agreement which would form torm a potential union or of the two greatest navies In iii the world The great ent puzzle Is whether such uch action would avert or bring ona on ona ona a serious crisis Trouble which Is II brewing in Eu- Eu Europe Europe Eu Europe rope may come to a n head bead and If It It does this will command most of ot the attention of ot European powers Japan Ja- Ja Japan Ja Japan I pan will then pursue her aggressive I Asiatic policy more Intensely asahe as 85 she did during and Immediately Imm lately fol- fol to following I- I II I lowing the war I But nut Japan harbors no M Illusions or of I ruling the world All AU she Is la con concerned about shout Is ii AsIa Asia particularly I eAstern Asia sla C e We IlI W p r a |
